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us stock market, trade stock
Begin part 2 of 3
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NOTE: PART 2 PRECEDES PART 1 THIS EVENING.
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CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri=Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.) Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon Market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor Market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMMD 09/23 Test 50 17.76 +0.28 18.14 21.65 690K 1.2M 16.87
Buy Not Hit. Didn't rally with the market but was not the day for more defensive stocks given the rebound in the sectors slaughtered Monday. Still solid and patiently waiting for it to show a break higher.
BBBB 09/18 Cup hdl 40.29 +0.80 42.11 50.45 362K 550K 40.55
Buy Not Issued. Holding well after a test of the 90 and 50 day EMA this week. Reached lower and recovered on rising, average volume Tuesday. Now we see if it can show us the break higher.
BIG 09/20 Asc Bse 27.83 -0.85 33.31 39.95 3.1M 4.6M 24.55
Buy Not Hit. Dropping.
CEPH 09/29 Cup hdl 77.49 -1.08 79.08 88.95 2.2M 1.8M 75.74
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower but closed with a modest loss, just over the 10 day EMA on again above average volume. Nice test of the Friday break higher and when it rebounds on some continued solid trade we can look at moving in. Didn't rally because it is more defensive and is waiting for when the money turns away from the rebound money.
CHTT 09/15 DB hdl 78.18 +2.13 76.11 86.45 245K 450K 78.21
Current. Gapped lower to the Monday low then reversed course for a nice gain. No volume at all, but despite the volatility it has helped its uptrend.
CNMD 09/20 Asc Bse 32.00 +0.54 33.21 39.45 324K 400K 31.44
Buy Not Issued. Still hanging solid in its 9 week pattern, tapping the 50 day EMA (30.97) for the second session and rebounding positive on stronger, above average volume. Good shakeout, good support at the 50 day EMA. Defensive sector so as with others in medical appliances it did not rally with the rebounders on Tuesday.
DGX 08/20 Test 18 51.67 +1.42 56.25 64.95 2.5M 1.8M 54.42
Current. Bounced off the 200 day SMA after the Monday thumping. Stronger volume than on the selling sessions. 52 to 55 is a range it has to get through on this move.
FDO 09/15 Test BO 23.70 -1.44 27.55 34.35 6.7M 6M 25.91
Buy Not Issued. Dropping as the stock is, alas, dropping. Kind of ironic; the dollar is rising.
GENZ 09/27 Dbl btm 80.89 +3.80 81.57 91.95 3.6M 4.5M 77.88
Buy Not Issued. Strong surge right back up after getting sold off late Monday. Still in the pattern so watching for the break higher given the nice volume.
GLD 09/27 DB hdl 85.07 -4.50 88.56 99.75 20M 24M 87.48
Current. Struggled as the market rebounded. Held the 50 day EMA and bounced. Still looking for gold to rally: if the 'buyout bailout' plan passes our debt doubles, the Fed prints money like made, and gold should take off again. Indeed will look to buy more once it bottoms here over the 50 day EMA.
HCBK 09/11 Cup hdl 18.45 +1.95 19.38 22.95 9.4M 14M 18.91
Current. Gapped right back up from that ugly Monday close. Basically this keeps HCBK in its 8 week range and just over the 50 day EMA (18.32). If the FDIC ups its insurance that would really help HCBK.
HELE 09/29 Cup hdl 22.77 -0.39 24.25 28.95 413K 400K 22.55
Buy Not Hit. Tested lower, not ready to make the next break. Tapped the 50 day EMA on the low and rebounded for a modest loss. Good shakeout. Just going to be patient and see if Helen can win for us.
JPM 09/29 Dbl btm 46.70 +5.70 44.55 51.88 67M 80M 42.74
Entered today. Gapped higher after that ugly close Monday and we were in on the move. One of the anointed banking winners so this was where money should be put.
MCD 09/16 Asc Bse 61.70 +1.54 62.04 72.95 13M 13M 59.77
Buy Not Issued. Second bottom at the 90 day SMA (60.44) and a stronger volume bounce than the Monday selling. Still working through the base and setting up for a break higher.
MMSI 09/22 Cup 18.77 -0.20 20.69 23.95 179K 525K 19.24
Buy Not Hit. Dropping for now and will see how it rebounds.
MTH 09/25 Test 18 24.70 +0.95 25.68 30.95 958K 1.5M 24.08
Buy Not Issued. Holding the line nicely at the 18 day EMA, testing on below average volume, just riding out the volatility and in position to move higher once it is over.
MVL 09/20 PreAnn 34.14 +1.09 35.89 42.95 981K 1.4M 33.77
Buy Not Hit. Very quiet just working through its 16 week pattern, trying to make a higher low here on this test. Just watching it to see if it can show us the break higher.
PETS 09/18 Test 18 15.70 +0.30 16.08 19.68 273K 450K 15.08
Current. Nice action, testing the 50 day EMA on the low and recovering to positive. Very solid.
PNRA 09/29 Rev HS 50.90 -0.10 53.65 63.94 467K 1.5M 50.11
Buy Not Hit. Holding the 90 day SMA and support at 50 though not participating in the market rally. Just need to be patient and let it make the bounce for us.
PRXL 08/23 Test BO 28.66 +0.65 33.13 40.95 694K 750K 30.91
Current. Bounced modestly off the 90 day SMA on rising but still below average volume. Needs to show us something here.
RIG 09/24 Trnd Rv 109.84 +2.58 126.94 137.95 9.9M 9M 124.77
Current. Rebounded off the Monday gutting. Not enough so we see how RIG can recover.
RMD 09/02 DB hdl 43.00 +0.67 47.02 54.95 1.5M 1.2M 45.91
Exited. Did not want it to fall lower and try to close that gap from August.
SF 09/24 Test BO 49.90 +4.13 46.68 58.75 411K 500K 44.11
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher and traded all over the map, then sprinted to the close. Average trade. Held off but may regret it. Would like to see a bit of a test and then start picking up some positions, but there is still plenty of upside from the Tuesday close.
SGEN 09/06 Test 50 10.70 -0.29 11.67 13.88 580K 700K 12.31
Exited. Sold further below support at 11 so took it off the table.
SHLD 09/17 Rev HS 93.50 +1.49 97.91 116.95 2M 5M 93.88
Buy Not Issued. Holding the test near the 200 day SMA on the close after tapping at the 50 day EMA intraday and rebounding. Nice set up, just going to sleep waiting for it to make the move.
SPY 09/26 Rolling 115.99 +4.61 120.48 125.00 329M 350M 118.39
Current. Rebounding after the Monday gap and dive lower. The key test for this move is up at 120.
TOL 09/27 Cup hdl 25.23 +0.85 26.55 30.95 4.7M 6M 24.69
Buy Not Hit. Volatile, but hanging in the base and still in position to make the upside breakout for us.
TSCO 08/26 DB hdl 42.05 -1.97 44.10 51.45 677K 1.3M 43.62
Current. After lauding its strength last night Tractor Supply tripped and fell to the 50 day EMA (41.30) but bounced modestly off that level. Volume was very low so did not get too worked up. Needs to hold here, bounce, and continue its pattern.
TSO 09/08 Trnd Rv 16.49 -0.26 20.03 24.55 8.4M 9.6M 18.63
Current. After gapping lower Monday TSO held steady Tuesday near the bottom of its 11 week range. Thus looking for a bounce from TSO off of this fade.
UTHR 08/09 Test BO 105.17 -0.87 112.07 124.95 496K 800K 108.55
Current. Tapped the 90 day SMA on the low and bounced to cut the losses, making a higher low at that key level and still setting up for a move higher.
VLO 09/25 Rolling 30.30 +0.32 30.31 34.95 11M 13M 29.21
Buy Not Hit. Held support at 30 and thus looking for a bounce higher from here to play the roll on up to 36ish.
WBSN 09/18 Test 50 22.35 +1.12 23.75 28.55 822K 700K 22.87
Current. Rebounded nicely from the late Monday selling, recovering the 50 day EMA (21.74). that is a start but it needs to clear 23 to put it back in the trend higher.
WFC 09/23 Test BO 37.53 +4.28 36.94 41.85 47M 70M 34.35
Current. Nice solid advance after that aberrant selloff at the Monday close. Even with that selloff WFC held near support at the 18 day EMA and continued higher.
WFC 09/06 Rev HS 37.53 +4.28 33.44 37.95 47M 55M 36.94
Current.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
CEDC 09/23 Put 45.41 +1.91 45.11 39.31 481K 1.4M 46.62
Buy Not Issued. Gapped back up and when nowhere after that. Still looks ready to fall.
JOYG 09/22 Put 45.14 +5.21 51.98 46.00 3.2M 3.5M 40.88
Current. Gapped higher and rallied a bit more, closing just over the early September low. Low, below average volume on the rebound. Looks as if it will still fail but don't want to give it more run higher on us for this position. If so we will close it and then let it bounce and look for another entry point.
NEM 09/23 Put 38.76 -0.60 42.11 38.88 8.8M 12M 40.11
Current. Flat on the session, unable to rally with the market. NO problems with that.
SDS 09/22 Trnd Rv 70.30 -6.20 70.86 75.75 37M 35M 74.91
Current. Plunked back to the 10 day EMA on lower volume as the market rebounded. Not convinced this is the end of its run, i.e. the end of the downside for the SP500.
End part 2 of 3
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