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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 11/01 DB hdl 98.24 -0.86 108.74 124.75 39M 65M 107.44
Current. Decent recovery off the lows as it bounced off the late October lows as support. Needs to get back over the 10 and 18 day EMA this coming week in short order.
AAPL 10/14 Trnd Rv 98.24 -0.86 95.12 119.95 39M 60M 107.44
Current.
AFAM 10/23 Cup hdl 51.47 +0.31 40.65 48.85 494K 475K 48.11
Reached up to 52.98 intraday before the market pulled it lower for some light gains. Still hanging around here at the October highs and looking for AFAM to catch its breath from the Thursday surge and resume higher again soon in its Cup hdl base. Nice trade as well.
ALK 10/18 Rev HS 25.19 -0.10 25.49 30.45 724K 1.6M 24.48
Current. Nice test through early November so far back to the 10 day EMA. Hanging around the moving average for now and looking solid for a rebound soon off support from the September and October highs as well.
AMED 11/05 Dbl btm 50.06 -3.55 55.57 64.95 1.1M 1.5M 52.65
Buy Not Hit. Got rid of this one Friday as it continued this week's selling, but with a bit more force here at the end of the week. Cleared its key 90 day SMA and 50 day EMA in the move lower so dropped it.
APC 11/05 DB hdl 36.33 +2.48 35.87 41.95 7.6M 13M 33.78
Entered today. Held up great during the selling and started higher Friday to give us the buy. Not much trade but a solid push uphill nonetheless off support from the 10 day EMA so looking for APC to make its move uphill some more from here in the DB hdl.
CHK 11/01 DB hdl 23.39 +0.86 24.87 29.95 21M 40M 22.92
Current. Nice hold at the 10 day EMA continues despite the 10% drops in the indices Wed/Thursday. Energy in certain areas held up well and CHK displaying that nicely. Looking good to hold at support from the 10 and 18 day EMAs here on this fading low volume until stronger trade can take it higher in the DB hdl base.
CMC 10/29 Dbl btm 10.70 +0.39 11.87 16.95 2.8M 3.5M 11.12
Current. Stuck with it as it tested some as the market sold. Trying to hold some support from the late October lows and start over again.
DAL 11/01 Rev HS 9.46 -0.06 11.44 14.65 11M 20M 10.64
Current. Low volume test of near support again Friday to hold its 18 day EMA, still holding over the 200 day SMA as well though. Looks ready to rebound off key support soon.
DDM 11/06 Rev HS 34.65 +1.71 30.11 38.75 17M 10M 28.00
Buy Not Hit. This was an upside play IF the market gapped lower on the jobs report. It did not so we held off buying this because without the big selloff this is just a bounce.
DIG 10/23 Rolling 33.58 +3.27 36.27 48.95 19M 15M 33.73
Exited. Decided to close it as it was unable to break back through the 10 day EMA and was going to let it test and then reload. Of course the late rebound sent it right back up over that level at the close. Will see how it develops.
DLTR 11/06 DB hdl 37.90 -0.39 40.08 47.95 2.1M 3M 37.27
Buy Not Hit. Reached lower intraday to tap the 90 day SMA and 10 day EMA as support before the late market rebound pulled it higher to cut most of the selling from Friday out. On just below average trade and DLTR in good shape still as it holds above its key 90 day SMA in this early November pullback.
EWBC 10/29 Trnd Rv 15.79 -0.05 16.25 19.89 913K 2M 16.28
Current. Nice test through early November so far as it steadily works its way lower to the 18 day EMA. On below average volume still and looking good to hang on here at support from its moving average and early/mid October peaks.
GOOG 10/29 Dbl btm 331.14 -0.08 370.57 399.75 4.7M 9M 354.88
Current. Still hanging around this low as it bounces around 325 and 370. Continues to hold support nicely and bounced off those prior lows as it did Thursday so just waiting for the bounce to add positions.
GXDX 10/11 Dbl btm 38.63 +6.76 34.48 39.95 755K 350K 36.98
Target Hit. Gapped higher and surged on earnings and took part of the gain as it was a huge one-day move. Left the rest to run higher next week as it looks to continue this break uphill in the Dbl btm.
HAL 10/20 Dbl btm 19.44 +1.19 18.71 25.95 16M 26M 18.48
Current. Short step higher off the November lows as it rests near 20 some more. Just above its 10 day EMA again and hanging around here until stronger volume can push it uphill past the 18 day EMA for November.
HBAN 10/28 Rev HS 9.48 -0.27 10.32 13.94 5.3M 12M 9.21
Buy Not Issued. Regional banks sold late in the week but held their patterns and still looks good for the buy once it gives a nice bounce off this key 200 day SMA on some stronger volume.
IWM 11/06 Rev HS 50.62 +1.03 46.65 54.95 62M 100M 44.74
Buy Not Hit. An upside play we were looking at to play if there was a massive gap lower on Friday. Did not happen so we will have to see how it plays out. Nice Rev HS base for IWM setting up out of this early November test and starting the bounce Friday so looking to see IWM finish up the base soon and get some help moving upside.
JPM 09/29 Dbl btm 37.75 -0.51 44.55 51.88 50M 80M 45.91
Exited. Took the rest off the table even though it came up off the lows on the day. It failed at the 200 day on the week and it was bouncing some late Friday, and as expect some weakness next week we closed it.
MON 10/28 Dbl btm 88.12 +3.06 85.88 98.00 5.4M 12M 89.91
Current. Nice bounce higher and push off support from the 10 day EMA. Not much volume but still in good shape to continue this Dbl btm move higher from here next week. Waiting for that higher low to add some more on as well.
MU 10/30 Trnd Rv 4.48 +0.10 4.57 7.94 15M 30M 4.25
Buy Not Issued. Doji step laterally along the 50 day EMA. Holding support nicely here and on light trade so doesn't look to head any lower from here. waiting for stronger trade from MU on a bounce off key support to let us in.
PETS 09/18 Test 18 17.80 -0.14 16.08 19.68 537K 450K 16.71
Current. Started with a nice move higher but came back from there to close with a short step downhill. No serious damage done though and just hanging around the Thursday surging high for now to catch its breath. Ready to resume uphill again soon in this solid DB hdl base.
QCOR 10/16 Cup hdl 8.46 -0.26 7.59 9.21 758K 1.2M 8.31
Current. Pushed a bit lower in this test of the early November high Friday. On light trade however and looking good to hold the line at the 10 day EMA and late November high near 8.20.
QQQQ 10/15 Dbl btm 31.19 +0.63 32.11 35.55 177M 325M 31.65
Exited. Gapped higher and tested the 10 day EMA but no volume and did not come close to taking it out. Closed it and will let it test this week some more and then if it holds at 29.50ish and starts to surge then we look at it again.
QQQQ 10/11 Trnd Rv 31.19 +0.63 32.88 39.31 177M 300M 34.31
Exited.
QQQQ 10/08 Trnd Rv 31.19 +0.63 33.58 39.31 177M 300M 34.31
Exited.
SF 11/05 Dbl btm 45.16 +0.65 46.11 54.95 254K 575K 43.21
Buy Not Hit. Doji gap higher for some light gains. Hanging around support from the 50 day EMA and November consolidation at this recovery high from late October in the low 40s until stronger trade resume to take it higher. Will watch for the buy there once it resumes that Dbl btm.
SPN 11/04 DB hdl 19.32 +0.25 22.21 26.95 828K 2.5M 20.45
Buy Not Hit. Doji step laterally under the 10 day EMA. Hanging around its late October low here under 20 and key for SPN to hit the brakes. Doesn't look to head any lower given the low trade.
SPY 11/06 Rev HS 93.86 +3.00 85.11 99.85 380M 495M 83.77
Buy Not Hit. As SP500 tried the 10 day EMA but failed we took some of this downside in the afternoon, looking for some more softness next week as the indices test the prior lows more. After that it may bounce but we will have our money from the trade.
STE 11/01 DB hdl 33.24 -0.06 34.92 41.95 575K 1.2M 33.55
Current. Continues to form the DB hdl in this test through early November. On fading, below average trade and waiting for a bounce on stronger volume still to add some positions once it really gets this base going.
STLD 10/29 Trnd Rv 9.52 +0.14 12.05 15.95 5.6M 9M 11.11
Current. Doji step laterally along the late October lows as it finishes up this test through early November. Not much volume here and STLD in good shape to hang on here until trade picks up to take it higher again.
STLD 10/20 Dbl btm 9.52 +0.14 10.76 15.65 5.6M 10M 11.11
Current.
SYNA 11/01 Rev HS 28.86 -0.60 31.72 37.95 1.6M 2.4M 29.54
Buy Not Issued. Continued downhill through Friday in this test through early November and broke its key 50 day EMA on the way down so key for it to hang on here at support from the late October consolidation highs as well.
TFSL 10/30 Test BO 13.33 +0.05 13.51 16.31 431K 1M 12.56
Current. Deep reach intraday lower to 12.6 to tap the 50 day EMA as support. Bounced nicely from there to step laterally along the Thursday low and on fading below average trade so looking for TFSL to hold its October, late September highs some more until stronger trade can push it uphill again.
WCN 11/06 DB hdl 34.30 +0.82 34.55 39.95 424K 1.4M 32.77
Buy Not Hit. Nice bounce off the 10 day EMA and 50 day EMA intraday for some great gains Friday. Not much trade still though and waiting for WCN to pull out some stronger volume in this rebound from the quick test through early November to give us the buy.
WFC 09/23 Test BO 29.50 +0.73 36.94 41.85 292M 70M 32.11
Current. Gapped lower Thursday on news it was offering $10B in stock to pay for Wachovia purchase. It started to recover Friday as we thought it would. We will know more with respect to how it acts after it closes that gap lower.
WFC 09/06 Rev HS 29.50 +0.73 33.44 37.95 292M 55M 32.11
Current.
XTO 10/29 DB hdl 36.12 +0.95 34.70 40.95 8.2M 20M 35.45
Current. Short step higher off the 18 day EMA for some light gains Friday. Still just consolidating along the late October high from its steady recovery move through October and just taking it easy for now. Not much volume so looking for XTO to hang around here a bit longer until trade returns to really get the DB hdl base going uphill.
ZION 11/03 DB hdl 38.95 +1.55 41.32 49.95 2.7M 6.5M 38.43
Buy Not Issued. Reached lower intraday to tap the 50 day EMA as support and bounced from there to close with some modest gains. On light trade still though and waiting for ZION to pick up stronger volume as it starts higher out of this early November test back to the 18 day EMA to let us in.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMX 11/03 Put 32.15 +1.59 30.91 25.05 6M 10M 32.11
Buy Not Issued. Short step higher with the market Friday to close right at resistance from the 18 day EMA and key for AMX to hold here and resume lower next week to stay out of trouble.
DIA 11/05 Put 90.13 0.00 89.91 83.55 31M 35M 91.55
Buy Not Issued. Downside play that fell too fast Thursday. This bounce up to the 10 day EMA Friday puts it in a good downside position again. Changed the buy point and watching it closely next week.
EEM 11/05 Put 24.64 +1.85 23.74 20.11 152M 120M 24.48
Current. Still looks ready to fade to start the coming week along with the other indices so will see if it can make a nice push lower off resistance from the 18 day EMA here after the short step higher from Friday.
SOX 11/01 Put 223.19 +3.75 235.87 211.00 0 0 241.49
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower Thursday and did not let us get in. Bounced modestly Friday. Kind of in no man's land here after that drop but insignificant Friday bounce. Dropping it until it forms up better.
SPY 11/05 Put 93.86 +3.00 92.14 85.11 380M 380M 95.12
Entered today. Was an upside position as we waited for the market to gap lower. Market did not play out with the gap on the jobs so we left it but jumped in and after the market tests early next week it could be just right for this play as well.
YUM 11/05 Put 27.33 +0.27 27.96 25.44 5M 5M 27.65
Buy Not Issued. Just is not really cutting it. Would prefer a test up toward 28 or the 10 day EMA and then a rollover to give us a good buy point.
End part 2 of 3
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