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us stock market, trading system
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri=Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.) Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon Market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor Market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 07/08 Rolling 188.50 -7.85 138.55 149.91 26M 23M 196.88
Current. Making the further decline below 190 but still in the range from early October and above the 50 day EMA (183.75) with a modest bounce off the lows. Had to pullback and all we had was stock. Can still hold the calls for a further fall but a lot of the value is now gone and it is not a bad idea to close them out and then just wait for the next play point.
AAPL 04/15 Test 20 188.50 -7.85 119.69 132.77 26M 25M 196.88
Current.
ACF 10/28 Flag 17.65 -0.48 18.12 21.22 2.1M 2.2M 16.85
Current. Stepping lower here to close at the 10 day EMA (17.63). Were looking for it to continue up after the solid Thursday bounce, but holding decent support here and will see if it can start moving out of this solid flag pattern Monday.
ADSK 10/29 Flag 24.93 -0.92 25.97 30.94 2.5M 5M 24.97
Buy Not Hit. After that short Thursday bounce resumed the downside here to move through the 18 day EMA (25.41) and now at some support around 25ish. Want to see ADSK hold around this range, though as of right now a move back to the 50 day EMA (24.34) is very possible.
ANV 10/24 ABCD Up 9.55 -0.38 10.04 11.95 456K 550K 9.52
Buy Not Hit. Slipped beneath the 50 day EMA (9.60) at the close, but not a bad bounce off the lows. Will see if it can hang on around this range and start up next week to get back over the 10 dollar mark.
ANV 09/12 Flag 9.55 -0.38 9.45 11.61 456K 475K 10.11
Current.
APA 10/13 Test BO 94.12 -2.97 99.71 109.95 4.7M 4M 98.11
Current. Above average trade as APA stepped lower to hold support from the 50 day EMA (93.68). Modest bounce off the intraday lows so will give it more time. Holding where it needs to for now.
APA 09/29 Pennant 94.12 -2.97 92.37 105.95 4.7M 4M 98.11
Current.
ASIA 10/01 Asc Bse 22.06 -1.23 20.74 23.85 1.3M 900K 21.97
Current. Definition of volatility with this large step back but hanging in there overall so we are staying with it. Pretty solid recovery off the low to close over support at the 22 mark so will see if it can maintain this level early next week and start to bounce.
BGCP 10/28 Pennant 4.83 -0.30 5.37 6.45 702K 400K 5.08
Buy Not Issued. Dropping this one as it slammed lower on volume to break up the pattern.
BIDU 10/19 ABCD Up 377.92 -15.48 408.68 464.94 2.7M 2M 416.88
Exited. Had been recovering nicely after that gap down but slipped lower here to give up the 50 day EMA (383.92) so it was time to move out.
CAT 10/24 Test BO 55.06 -2.19 57.11 63.95 12M 12M 55.04
Buy Not Issued. Average volume here but a move lower so not going to buy, holding solid support at the 55 mark with the September highs so giving it more time. Still like the pattern and if it can bounce from here we will have a great entry.
CLF 09/28 ABCD Up 35.57 +0.70 31.12 39.95 9.9M 5.2M 35.87
Current. Liked that it continued the bounce, but a big doji at the early October peak at 36. It can go on and form an ABCD from here, but if stalls we would just as soon take off the gain and then let it form that pattern. From there we could play it again. If it cannot push higher we take the gain.
CME 10/10 ABCD Up 302.61 -11.16 296.21 338.88 891K 1.2M 308.77
Possible ABCD here with the October surge and this pullback. Headed lower Friday to hold the 50 day EMA (299.22); not pretty, but if it holds this range that is ok.
CME 09/26 Flag 302.61 -11.16 300.77 338.88 891K 1.2M 308.77
Current.
CVO 10/27 ABCD Up 7.08 -0.31 7.48 8.71 390K 650K 6.86
Buy Not Hit. Stepping lower here to continue testing along the 7 dollar mark with the September highs there. Also holding the 50 day EMA (6.85) and might begin to work laterally for a bit here. Not a big deal if it does that, but would like to see it start bouncing to the 7.50 mark early next week to get us looking at an entry.
ELOS 10/22 Pennant 11.00 -0.13 11.48 13.35 224K 385K 10.89
Buy Not Issued. Just slightly lower here with a doji at support from the 11 dollar mark and working very solidly in this pennant pattern. Will let it continue along here but want to see a bit of a bounce here Monday to start ELOS higher after the tight lateral trading of this week.
EV 10/20 Asc Tri 28.39 -1.09 30.65 34.95 1.5M 1.2M 28.48
Buy Not Issued. A drop after the Friday move lower through support at the 50 day EMA.
FEIC 10/22 ABCD Up 23.81 -0.47 24.31 27.45 313K 250K 23.31
Buy Not Issued. Gap lower, filled, and then turned back down into the close. Not able to move over the 50 day EMA (24.28), but still holding over the prior October lows (23.62) so we will give it a bit more time. Want to see FEIC turn back up some Monday, and then stick a move over the 50 day EMA before we move in.
FFIV 10/29 Flag 44.89 -1.60 46.66 52.45 1.5M 2M 43.77
Buy Not Issued. Pulled back early in the week and then a bounce Thursday, but slipping back here again. May get another entry out of this one if it slips a bit lower to the prior October high (43.94) or 18 day EMA (44.04) and holds. Will let it play next week and then see where it sticks.
FFIV 09/30 FlyPlat 44.89 -1.60 40.51 44.95 1.5M 2M 45.48
Current.
FLOW 09/12 Flag 2.41 -0.21 2.60 3.65 648K 335K 2.65
Current. Not pretty either with this high volume mover lower, but sold below support at 2.40 and rebounded some. So, if it holds here we let it bounce back toward 2.60 resistance and see how it performs this time around.
GD 09/17 Flag 62.70 -0.95 64.68 74.95 3.1M 2.8M 66.36
Falling below support at the 50 day EMA here so we are dropping it.
GIS 08/07 Test BO 65.92 -0.78 58.59 67.42 3.9M 4M 64.44
Current. Working laterally to start the week and then a solid bounce Thursday to move over the prior October highs. Stepping back Friday with higher volume, but still at a healthy level so we will see if it continues lower to the 10 day EMA (65.56) Monday and holds there.
GLD 10/02 ABCD Up 102.53 -0.16 98.89 105.45 15M 14M 101.88
Current. Gold down modestly but GLD held up nicely with a bounce off the lows to finish the week with a doji. Nothing to brag about here, but did hold up when not many were. At an ok place heading into the weekend, and will see if GLD can get the ball rolling Monday.
HAL 10/29 ABCD Up 29.21 -1.12 30.54 34.95 19M 23M 28.41
Buy Not Hit. Slightly lower here to close beneath the 18 day EMA (29.42), but the important levels over the September highs (28.46, opening) are intact. Going to let it play around a bit more early next week to see if it can start bouncing up over the 30 mark.
HCN 10/24 Pennant 44.37 -1.09 44.72 49.95 3.4M 2.8M 43.69
Buy Not Issued. Headed lower here with some volume so we were not moving in, but still nicely positioned after the bounce off the intraday low. Good support level at the 44 level is holding so we will give it more time to play out next week to see if it can start to bounce.
HMSY 10/27 Cup hdl 42.93 +1.94 41.74 46.45 838K 445K 40.11
Buy Not Hit. Gap away here and then moved around some with volume. Not able to get in at this level so we will see how it tests from here and if it can give us an entry.
HWD 10/26 ABCD Up 8.17 -0.83 8.95 11.95 345K 450K 8.32
Current. Headed lower to start the week but bounced Thursday at the 50 day EMA (8.32) to get things looking solid again. Quick reversal lower here though to fall below the 50 day EMA, but still holding some support at 8 with the late September lows. Want to see HWD start reversing here to get back to the 9 dollar mark to get things on track.
ICE 10/27 Test BO 100.19 -5.24 105.46 119.95 1.2M 1.8M 100.22
Current. Strong bounce Thursday after controlled testing lower, but a move down here back to the support at 100. Still looks ok at this level, but want to see ICE begin to rebound here to get back to 105 and start this stock running again.
ICE 09/16 Flat 100.19 -5.24 97.35 114.94 1.2M 2.2M 102.91
Current.
INFY 10/24 Asc Tri 46.00 -1.26 49.26 54.91 2.5M 2.5M 46.77
Current. Closed beneath the 50 day EMA (46.39) with this move, but did manage a solid bounce off the intraday low so we left it. Not a huge move lower over the week unlike many others, so will give it a chance Monday to see if it can keep rebounding up.
ITRI 10/26 ABCD Up 60.04 -1.75 58.11 67.65 1.4M 900K 56.77
Buy Not Issued. Choppy all week with a very strong bounce Thursday, and just testing a bit here with a big doji over the 50 day EMA (59.18). Bounced off the intraday low at the moving average, but if it can settle there a bit early in the week and hold, we will have ourselves a better entry point when ITRI bounces.
ITW 10/29 Flag 45.92 -1.02 47.12 52.25 4.3M 4.8M 45.77
Buy Not Issued. Not ready to move in here with the slide lower to close just beneath the 18 day EMA (46.09). Still in decent shape if it can hold up Monday, so will see if it can get a move going after the nice testing lower that started this week.
MPET 10/14 ABCD Up 1.45 +0.02 1.52 2.11 410K 387K 1.51
Current. Looked good mid day but then sank back with the doji to close just slightly higher. Will watch it after this surge and fade back, but as the support at 1.40 is holding we will give it some time to get running again over the 1.50 mark.
NVTL 10/07 Test 50 8.92 -3.27 12.30 14.98 14M 900K 11.44
Current. Gap lower but no harm in leaving it now with the bounce off the lows at support from the June/July lows around 8.50ish. Now will see if it can keep bouncing from here next week to give us something to work with.
QTWW 10/21 ABCD Up 1.19 -0.01 1.19 1.60 3.4M 4M 1.16
Current. Barely closing negative here with the doji after bouncing sharply off the low at the 50 day EMA (1.11). Like how it is holding support with the doji after some testing this week, and looks good to start higher Monday to get this play moving again.
RDY 10/02 Flag 21.73 +0.55 19.36 22.95 1.3M 545K 20.36
Current. Gap and then ran further on the solid volume to close over the prior October peak (21.46). Came back intraday from the 22 mark, but like this action after three days of testing this week to light support and then bouncing. Now we see if it can stick this move on Monday.
RTI 10/21 ABCD Up 20.71 -1.23 22.32 29.95 640K 925K 21.78
Buy Not Issued. Dropping as it failed at the 50 day EMA and tanked.
RTI 10/14 Pennant 20.71 -1.23 25.36 29.95 640K 875K 23.77
Exited. Time to give it the axe as it rebounded to the 50 day EMA (21.92) and then slammed on the breaks.
SOHU 09/21 Test BO 55.60 -1.84 69.31 79.95 1M 1.1M 67.31
Current. Short step lower here for the fourth day at this level. Still moving up and down around the 200 day SMA (56.35) after that gap so will give it more time next week to bounce a bit.
SRZ 10/28 ABCD Up 4.16 -0.51 4.66 5.65 2.1M 2.8M 4.42
Buy Not Issued. Drop. The sun is not rising on this pattern.
SVA 10/12 Test BO 7.41 -0.15 8.01 11.95 1.5M 5M 7.28
Current. Eased lower here but a short bounce off the low to close just barely under the 50 day EMA (7.45). Very light trade on the move and holding solidly where we need it to for now. Now giving it a chance to bounce early next week from here after gently testing lower this week.
THS 10/14 Pennant 37.40 -0.15 35.73 41.45 401K 480K 35.66
Current. Pretty easy climb so far this week, but reached up to the August highs at 38 and then fell back to flat Friday. Not too worried as we saw similar action Wednesday before a resumed Thursday bounce, but will watch it at this resistance next week. Overall stellar action this week compared to others.
TYC 07/10 Test 50 33.55 -0.41 26.75 31.95 3.6M 5.5M 34.11
Current. Closed just slightly lower but still sticking nicely at the 50 day EMA (33.50) and October low (33.32). Has held up pretty decently this week and will see if TYC can start to bounce from here Monday after working laterally for a few sessions.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AIPC 09/26 BearFla 27.09 -0.76 27.60 24.04 139K 500K 27.69
Current. Nice drop Wednesday, quick Thursday bounce, and now back down to that key 27 mark. No bounce off the intraday low but still want to see this key level with the September and October lows fail and let AIPC tumble lower.
BHP 10/22 HdShldr 65.58 -3.56 73.82 70.84 9.2M 4.8M 67.11
Current. Interesting action. Down after the weak Thursday jump, but bounced off the range of support around 65. Quite a drop; if it shows stickiness at 65ish we will take at least a half of the remaining positions.
CAB 09/23 BearFla 12.57 -0.94 13.21 11.38 1.6M 1M 13.78
Current. The cab has driven off the cliff here with this drop on volume. Has broken through that 13 support and now we see if it can keep going to the next support at the 12 mark.
DST 10/10 BearFla 41.71 -0.99 43.88 40.38 377K 600K 42.54
Resumed the move lower off the Thursday doji to close just under the prior October low (41.83). Still not definitively past with this lighter volume move so will watch out for a bounce, but everything else points to a nice drop here so we see if it continues Monday.
GS 10/17 Put 170.17 -8.41 183.63 175.05 13M 15M 173.22
Current. Down all week and then a bounce Thursday, but stalled at the 50 day EMA (176.71) and headed back down. New low on this leg and even though at some support at 170 we left it in play as it closed right at the intraday low.
IWM 09/30 Rollove 56.33 -1.58 61.48 57.55 116M 48M 57.54
Current. Resumed the move down with volume after the short Thursday bounce up. Some support here at 56ish with the September low (55.64) and bounced a bit there, but looks weak still and will see if it can wipe lower again Monday.
MCHP 10/06 HdShldr 23.96 -0.91 25.61 23.48 6.6M 3.5M 24.89
Turned tail and headed lower on strong volume after the short Thursday bounce to close at some support at 24. Also at the August, September, and October down trendline drawn through the lows so may bounce some here, but looking very weak so will see if it cracks lower again Monday.
ROST 10/20 Put 44.01 -0.59 45.58 41.75 2.4M 2M 44.65
Current. Maybe now it rolls over with this doji that tested the same early October lows (45.20) and faded back. Will see it this was enough to send ROST below 44 Monday to begin cracking open the downside.
SHAW 10/24 BearFla 25.66 -2.13 28.40 26.08 2.6M 1.4M 26.42
Target hit. Took part of the 47% gain on the puts as SHAW gapped lower and then fell a bit more. A bit of a bounce off the intraday low, but will see if SHAW can plow down a bit more from here.
End part 2 of 3
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trading system
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