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Begin part 2 of 3
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CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 07/08 Rolling 204.45 +2.46 138.55 149.91 12M 23M 196.88
Current. Bounced a bit heading into the weekend to take just a modest step higher. Holding up some over the 200 level, but still not clear cut here which way AAPL will go. It is taking the bounce, but still need to watch the resistance at the October peaks if they come into play next week.
AAPL 04/15 Test 20 204.45 +2.46 119.69 132.77 12M 25M 196.88
Current.
ACF 10/29 Flag 18.79 -0.13 18.20 21.88 1.2M 2.2M 17.97
Current. Higher intraday but slipped back to finish just slightly negative at the 10 day EMA (18.67) and October high (18.82). Holding key support here but not showing a ton of strength. Want to see a bounce here after three days of testing to keep this one looking good.
APA 10/13 Test BO 98.14 +0.19 99.71 109.95 2.9M 4M 98.11
Current. Lateral move but not bad at all as APA tested lower intraday and bounced back to flat. Holding up after slipping back for two sessions and looks ok here. Will see if the bounce off the low carries into Monday.
APA 09/29 Pennant 98.14 +0.19 92.37 105.95 2.9M 4M 98.11
Current.
ASIA 10/01 Asc Bse 25.05 +0.94 20.74 23.85 1.1M 900K 23.84
Current. Volatile, but nothing new there. Intraday dip back to the support at 23 but bounced solidly to close ASIA higher after the big Thursday move back. Held over the key 24 support and now we see what ASIA can manage from here next week.
AUXL 10/30 ABCD Up 33.72 -0.32 33.21 37.22 192K 865K 32.88
Current. Surged a bit intraday but rolled back to close a bit lower at the 50 day SMA (33.54). Still a fairly lateral move along the 34 mark, but seeing AUXL pause here a bit. We get to see next week if AUXL can get something started or if it needs to test further.
BBY 11/12 Asc Tri 41.88 +0.04 41.91 47.95 4.2M 7M 40.11
Buy Not Issued. Made a further test and rebounded to close laterally. Looks solid here over the 41ish support and if it continues higher it is a buy.
BWLD 11/05 Asc Tri 42.27 +0.66 42.57 48.95 204K 635K 39.77
Current. Intraday move to the 50 day EMA (41.09) but a bounce to close BWLD a bit higher. Not a hug jump but a nice little bounce after some testing this week. Now would like to see BWLD hang onto the 42 mark and start running to the next resistance at 44.
CERN 10/29 Test 50 80.14 +0.86 79.62 94.94 505K 1.2M 77.28
Current. Short step lower Thursday and a nice little bounce Friday off the 18 day EMA (78.91). Nice action but closed off the high and not able to really move past the 80 mark. Going to see if CERN can keep running laterally and get a bounce up from here.
CLF 09/28 ABCD Up 41.30 +2.35 31.12 39.95 5.6M 5.2M 37.97
Current. Higher, average volume as CLF shot up to close well above the October peaks at 40. Solid move and held onto everything at the close to show a bit of strength after looking only so-so the past two sessions. Now we see if CLF continues or if it will test some support at the 40 mark.
CME 10/10 ABCD Up 313.76 -1.38 296.21 338.88 312K 1.2M 308.77
Very low trade with a bounce off the 10 day EMA (310.66) to close laterally. Holding up at this level decently here, but getting to that point where we want to see it make a move towards that October peak. Not a definitive move one way or the other here but holding support so will see if CME bounces Monday.
CME 09/26 Flag 313.76 -1.38 300.77 338.88 312K 1.2M 308.77
Current.
CPST 11/12 ABCD Up 1.14 +0.01 1.21 1.55 910K 4.5M 1.05
Buy Not Hit. Short gap higher and faded just slightly from there to finish a bit higher on the day. Very low trade as CPST tries to move up from the D point in this pattern. Will see if CPST starts to bounce next week, giving us an entry.
DD 11/12 Asc Tri 34.31 +0.44 34.68 39.91 6.3M 8.5M 32.31
Buy Not Hit. Up and down all week and then finished positive on Friday with just under average volume. Nice pattern so we are letting it play out, but will need to see strength next week with a move towards the October high (34.62) that can hold before we buy.
DE 11/07 Asc Tri 47.58 +0.17 48.50 58.95 3.1M 6.5M 45.97
Current. Two days of testing back and now a low volume doji at the 10 day EMA (47.50). After stalling out at the October high earlier in the week DE is holding some support, but we will need to see if this is enough or if a move back towards the 18 day EMA (47.01) is needed.
FFIV 09/30 FlyPlat 49.26 +1.98 40.51 44.95 1.9M 2M 47.69
Current. Gap lower and rebound Thursday and just kept running higher Friday with this improved trade. Over the October high (48.22) now and that is a key point to crack through, but now it has to hold next week. Like the action and will see if it continues Monday.
GIS 08/10 Test BO 67.60 +0.32 58.59 67.42 1.2M 4M 65.91
Current. Very slight gains with this lighter volume move up to end the week. Holding up over the October highs and looks good, but really not doing much at this level. In good shape so will leave it longer and see if it can manage something from here.
GLD 10/02 ABCD Up 109.74 +1.53 98.89 105.45 17M 14M 107.39
Current. Boosted back up here with just over average volume to end the week. Dollar fell back some and that helped the move but still a nice looking bounce. The key is whether it will stick here Monday and continue, or if it will fade back Monday. Good level so we will see what it can manage.
HAL 10/29 ABCD Up 30.71 +0.41 30.30 34.95 12M 23M 29.89
Current. Lighter trade but not a bad move at all with the bounce off the low to close at the 10 day EMA (30.70). Tested lower some this week and a bounce at support here. Will see if HAL continues to climb; if it does it is important to keep an eye out at the 32 mark where it slipped back from last time.
HWD 10/26 ABCD Up 9.85 +0.28 8.95 11.95 164K 450K 8.97
Current. Up and down some this week to bump against that 10 mark and fade back. Short bounce Friday and a pretty decent move, but will want to see a punch through the 10 mark with continued gains. If not we look for a hold around the 18 day EMA (9.34) again.
ICE 10/27 Test BO 108.53 +0.70 105.46 119.95 544K 1.8M 103.88
Current. Looked a bit tired after finishing off the high Wednesday and Thursday, and not much better here with a lower volume bounce. ICE did manage to stick the gains at the close, but feeling the heat under the 110 resistance. Key level to break through and want to see that move next week.
ICE 09/16 Flat 108.53 +0.70 97.35 114.94 544K 2.2M 103.88
Current.
IOC 11/09 Test BO 51.72 +3.33 48.81 54.95 1M 1M 47.65
Current. Up early in the week and then tested back some. Strong gap and ran with volume from there to get things on track though. Solid move and now we watch for it to continue to the October high around 52.50ish and see how IOC reacts there.
JBLU 11/07 ABCD Up 5.39 +0.09 5.33 6.94 2.9M 8.5M 4.96
Current. Tested early in the week and then bounced some to resistance, where JBLU faded again. Stuck the move higher Friday but still with lower volume and not able to move past the 50 day EMA (5.44). Serious resistance level with the October lows at 5.50 as well, but still can let the pattern work for us. Will see if it a move higher can hold next week.
JOSB 11/10 ABCD Up 42.62 +0.18 43.50 48.88 193K 450K 41.77
Current. Higher early in the week and turned quickly lower Thursday. Nice bounce off the low here to close with a doji at some support over the 42 mark. Like the reversal off support and will see if JOSB can make some headway against the 50 day EMA (43.23) on Monday or if it will get stuck there.
LNCR 10/02 Flag 34.52 +0.32 30.86 35.88 719K 1.2M 32.78
Current. Nice climb all week but started watching after the Thursday surge and reversal lower. Held the 34 support nicely here and started back up though so we're letting it run. Will have to test at some point, but over a nice layer of support so we will see if it can bounce off here next week.
NFLX 11/03 Flag 59.33 +1.14 56.18 62.55 782K 1.8M 57.78
Current. Nice run and then tested lower Thursday. Started back up Friday off the 10 day EMA (57.00) after the intraday test to there but need to keep in mind it was a lower volume move. May need to test back more, but for now it is running so we are leaving it.
NTGR 11/04 Asc Tri 20.67 +0.01 19.05 21.95 264K 450K 19.77
Current. Strong break higher Wednesday/Thursday, but just a lateral move here after bouncing off the 20 support to finish with a doji. Nice hold and could be a bit of a continuation move. Would be ok to start up again from this bounce or to even test back some to 20 and hold.
PIR 11/09 Test 50 3.67 +0.06 4.05 5.25 1.3M 3.2M 3.77
Buy Not Hit. Monday bounce but faded back after that to this doji at support. Nice hold at the 3.50 mark and 50 day EMA (3.58) and want to stick at this level next week. Then we can look for a bounce.
PNC 11/02 Flag 53.82 -0.52 51.77 58.95 3.5M 7.5M 51.61
Current. Finished well off the high Wednesday and Thursday and stepping back here like we had thought it would. Low volume move back and looks set to continue down to test so we look for it to hold the 10 day EMA (53.04) with the May and October highs also in that range. Will see if we get the test and bounce next week to start things back up.
PRE 11/11 ABCD Up 77.69 +0.48 77.66 84.77 750K 1M 75.38
Buy Not Issued. Higher intraday but faded back so we did not move in. Worked fairly laterally this week and now will see if PRE can hold the 18 day EMA (77.57) and bounce to give us the buy.
QTWW 10/21 ABCD Up 1.21 +0.09 1.19 1.60 1.7M 4M 1.16
Current. Started the week higher and then tested back for two sessions to the 50 day EMA (1.13). Held the line there and a solid bounce here back over the key 1.20 mark. A level we want to see QTWW hold up at but will watch it after this lower volume bounce. Depending on what we see with the overall market next week QTWW can bounce higher or fade back from this level.
RDY 10/02 Flag 24.22 +0.51 19.36 22.95 255K 545K 22.91
Current. Solid climb all week but gapped lower Thursday and tested some at the 10 day EMA (23.35). A bounce there and that was enough to spur on this low volume move Friday. Not the most solid action on the lighter trade but will see how RDY reacts at that Wednesday peak (24.61) next week. If it fades back watch out, but if it can hold a move to that level it may be ready to continue.
RIG 11/10 Test 50 87.31 -0.06 89.89 99.92 3.1M 5M 86.54
Current. Gapped to a gravestone doji Wednesday, slipped back Thursday, but held up laterally here. Nice bounce off the intraday low at the 50 day SMA (86.21) to close flat and looks like RIG is trying to dig in here. Will see if this holds and if RIG can bounce Monday. From there we want to see it climb through the next resistance at the 90 mark.
RMBS 11/06 Rolling 18.50 +0.41 16.78 19.45 1.7M 3M 17.48
Strong jump Monday but has just worked laterally since then to hold up at the 18 mark. Not crazy about the Thursday gap and rollover, but a bounce up Friday to keep things looking decent. Will see if RMBS can climb next week and press over the next resistance at the 19 mark.
TNB 11/04 Flag 37.59 +0.74 35.84 40.95 477K 870K 35.88
Current. Solid run up to start, slipped back Thursday, and then bounced to finish things up. Lighter volume move and still bumping against that 38 mark and fading so still think TNB could test from here. It could carry through, but if it falls back we look for a hold at the 10 day EMA (36.39) or a bit lower at the 36 mark.
TROW 11/02 Test BO 50.74 -0.29 49.78 58.55 1.5M 3.6M 48.55
Current. Just slightly lower on light trade and a nice bounce off the intraday low. Gapped up Wednesday but has been easing lower since then. Now at some support and we see if TROW can bounce from here.
TWP 11/02 ABCD Up 16.56 -0.48 16.73 20.98 213K 217K 16.28
Current. Don't like this action with the step back on higher volume. Bumped against the 50 day EMA (17.65) several times this week and faded back, but continued the move lower here. Moved up the stop point after this one.
TYC 07/10 Test 50 36.50 +0.93 26.75 31.95 3.3M 5.5M 34.11
Current. Lower, just under average trade, but a solid run higher through the October peak at 36. Held onto all the gains after the move through a key level. Now we see if TYC carries forward or if it tests back some to the 36 mark and holds.
XRTX 11/10 ABCD Up 11.40 +0.04 11.34 14.95 251K 400K 10.55
Buy Not Issued. Nice test after tapping the 18 day EMA (11.22) and bouncing to flat. Just slightly up and down this week and looks ready. If it bounces it is a buy.
XRTX 11/04 ABCD Up 11.40 +0.04 10.95 14.95 251K 550K 10.44
ZMH 11/09 Asc Tri 55.59 +0.43 55.52 63.95 2.4M 3.4M 53.91
Current. Nice run to start the week but gapped to 56 and faded back from there. Jumped to that level Friday but again peeled away from there at the close. Will watch it after this move on volume could not press through the resistance. In the uptrend, but showing some weakness here.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ASH 11/04 BearFla 37.45 +0.84 36.54 31.21 1.1M 2M 38.22
Current. A bit higher Friday after working horizontally most of the week under the 50 day EMA (37.96). Nice resistance is holding and ASH is set to break lower. If the market begins to pullback next week this can easily follow it lower. If not, ASH is still positioned to crumble under this resistance.
IWM 11/04 BearFla 58.73 +0.56 58.08 53.00 70M 75M 59.88
Current. Sold off harder at first and looked good but rebounded to positive. Closed at resistance from the 50 day EMA (58.70) and looks weak, but not out of the woods yet as there was strength coming back up.
IWM 09/30 Rollove 58.73 +0.56 61.48 57.55 70M 48M 57.54
Current.
JDAS 11/12 Rollove 23.91 -0.02 23.68 20.11 482K 450K 24.32
Buy Not Issued. Ran early in the week and now stepping laterally at resistance with these doji. Bounced off the intraday low Friday, but set to break here under the October high so we are ready to move in if it begins to sell.
JNPR 11/06 BearFla 26.15 +1.45 24.84 22.75 13M 10M 26.21
Current. Was upgraded and it gapped right back up from that Thursday move. Closed off its high but just over some resistance at 26 so we will see what we get here next week.
MBT 11/03 ABCD Dw 50.18 +0.47 49.44 43.04 1.3M 1.8M 51.11
Buy Not Hit. Closed just a bit higher, but another gap up and fade lower. Lower below average volume with the move and looks to be stalling out, but has yet to give up this 50 level. Will see if we get a bit of selling next week to start things lower here.
QID 11/11 BearRev 20.83 -0.37 20.92 24.00 17M 25M 20.55
Current. NASDAQ bounced, QID accordingly faded. NASDAQ still below resistance so there is that, but we will see what direction the market takes us next week.
RIMM 11/12 BearFla 62.69 -0.30 62.66 55.45 11M 22M 66.04
Buy Not Issued. Ran to the 65 resistance early in the week and showed a doji there. Fading back some Thursday and Friday to show weakness, but did recover off the low on the day so we held off. If RIMM holds a move lower we can still move in.
ROST 10/20 Put 46.01 +0.21 45.58 41.75 1.1M 2M 44.65
Current. Gapped to a doji Wednesday, faded back Thursday, and now a doji at support from the 50 day EMA (45.73). Looks weak here and ready to fall, but did bounce off the low so we want it to tumble here next week.
RS 11/09 Dbl Top 39.18 +0.28 39.38 35.48 887K 1.2M 40.81
Current. Bounced off the low and did finish slightly positive, but closed off the intraday high as well. Nice drop from the 40 resistance after hitting there Wednesday and we will see if this is more of a continuation move. Will see if it resumes the move down from here.
SCHN 11/10 BearFla 46.12 +1.79 44.82 40.75 809K 625K 46.77
Buy Not Issued. Bounced on some volume so dropping it for now, but will watch it.
SDS 11/11 BearRev 36.89 -0.38 37.21 40.94 43M 45M 35.96
Current. SP500 bounced a bit and SDS faded accordingly. Lower volume move and still against resistance with the October peak so we will need to see which way the market heads next week. Looks ready to test, but with all the liquidity trying to push into the market that is not certain.
SHAW 10/24 BearFla 28.19 +0.58 28.40 26.08 929K 1.4M 26.42
Current. Nice flop lower Thursday to fail at 29, but a low volume bounce Friday. Were looking for more here but under a key level and still set to fail so we are giving it that chance.
SLAB 11/02 BearFla 43.26 +0.58 42.28 38.22 454K 1.2M 43.91
Buy Not Issued. Not looking as weak as it did with a short bounce up to end the week. Dropping it.
SPY 11/10 BearRev 109.62 +0.59 108.98 106.95 151M 200M 111.21
Current. Downside is not a done deal here and SPY held over the 10 day EMA (108.30) and bounced. It still has to deal with the resistance that the SP500 faces from 2004, the 2007 down trendline, and the October high. We will see what happens here next week.
VMI 11/11 Put 76.36 +0.42 76.48 71.65 235K 450K 79.53
Buy Not Issued. Nice run lower this week not moving in here with a bit of a bounce off the low off 75. From here VMI can tap the 10 day EMA (76.62) again and bounce down to give us an entry. Will see how it acts Monday.
End part 2 of 3
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