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Begin part 2 of 3
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CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 07/08 Rolling 205.96 -1.04 138.55 149.91 13M 23M 198.00
Current. Lateral move as AAPL bounced off the intraday low to finish with a doji. Holding up still over the October high but not much happening here. Still, a good level to run from so we will see if it can bounce off this support soon.
AAPL 04/15 Test 20 205.96 -1.04 119.69 132.77 13M 25M 198.00
Current.
ACF 10/29 Flag 19.66 -0.22 18.20 21.88 1.3M 2.2M 18.11
Current. Short step lower with rising, just under average volume. Tapped up at the prior November high and then slipped back so not the best move, but solidly over some support at 19 so we will give it more time.
ACH 11/16 Asc Tri 28.36 -0.84 28.91 34.95 665K 850K 26.89
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower but a short bounce off the low to hold up at the 50 day EMA (28.36). Can use this dip to take a part position if ACH can rally from here and sustain a gain into the close. Then we see how it looks on a breakout and can buy more then.
APA 10/13 Test BO 99.75 -0.87 99.71 109.95 3.3M 4M 98.11
Current. Opened higher but slid lower with rising trade to close at the 10 day EMA (99.44). Holding up at some light support here, but not the best action with the better day for energy. Would like some something better here Thursday to show a bit of strength.
APA 09/29 Pennant 99.75 -0.87 92.37 105.95 3.3M 4M 98.11
Current.
ASIA 10/01 Asc Bse 25.86 -0.07 20.74 23.85 478K 900K 23.84
Current. Lateral step with a bounce off the intraday low to finish with a doji. Finished off the high Tuesday but holding up nicely over the prior November peak (25.82, opening) with the lighter trade. Looking for a some stickiness here Thursday.
AUXL 10/30 ABCD Up 34.39 +0.23 33.21 37.22 194K 865K 32.88
Current. Short step lower intraday but bounced lightly to finish with a doji. Low volume move and really just working laterally along this 34ish mark so we are giving it more time to bounce from here.
BBY 11/12 Asc Tri 42.48 +0.28 42.91 48.95 4.1M 7M 40.87
Current. Continues to show good action, testing on the low and rebounding the past two sessions. A bit positive at the finish and with the good bounce off the 10 day EMA (41.71) BBY looks ready to start up to move past the November high at 44 soon.
BLKB 11/17 Pennant 21.93 -0.07 22.28 25.95 140K 300K 20.97
Buy Not Hit. Lateral step with a tight doji at the 50 day EMA (21.94). Holding up at support here as the pattern finishes up so we will give it time to bounce and start the run higher.
BWLD 11/05 Asc Tri 41.82 -0.91 42.57 48.95 438K 635K 40.88
Current. Gapped lower, but a solid bounce off the 50 day EMA (41.28) at the low to finish BWLD with a doji. Has bounced from this level several times over the past two months and looks ready to do the same here.
CERN 10/29 Test 50 77.40 -2.66 79.62 94.94 1M 1.2M 77.28
Current. Coverage initiated by Robert W. Baird and thus CERN sold to support at the 50 day SMA (77.14). Further support below at 75 with the September peaks and November lows, but want to see CERN hold up here. Looking for a bit of a bounce Thursday.
CLF 09/28 ABCD Up 43.04 -0.90 31.12 39.95 3.7M 5.2M 39.88
Target Hit. Took another third off the table, 39% stock, 193% option, as it gapped to a new high and then reversed its ground. Big week this week and before and hit the 127% Fibonacci extension so we banked some gain.
CME 10/10 ABCD Up 324.11 +2.07 296.21 338.88 480K 1.2M 311.44
Approaching that late October high at 325ish, making a new closing high so that is good. Still, it gapped to a doji at the bottom of the early June consolidation so we will have to see how it plays out here. Good move to this point, and now should pause a bit. Can consider taking some gain off the table here.
CME 09/26 Flag 324.11 +2.07 300.77 338.88 480K 1.2M 311.44
Current.
CMG 11/14 Rolling 87.59 -1.37 88.21 99.88 461K 800K 86.21
Buy Not Issued. Moved buy point lower to account for this step back to support at the 50 day EMA (87.68). Stuck here nicely and this is where it should hold and rebound. Will see if it can do that on Thursday.
CPST 11/12 ABCD Up 1.29 +0.10 1.26 1.55 3.4M 4.5M 1.09
Entered today. Toyed around under the 1.20 mark for the past couple of weeks but a big break higher here to give us the entry. Just letting the ABCD pattern work for us and now we see how far it carries.
CRNT 11/17 Asc Bse 9.56 +0.03 9.69 11.32 96K 300K 9.01
Buy Not Hit. Holing up at the 18 day EMA (9.45) and then bounced very lightly from there. Nice hold at support and just letting the Asc Bse play out some. Giving CRNT a chance to bounce higher here.
DD 11/12 Asc Tri 35.25 -0.04 34.89 39.91 5.1M 8.5M 33.57
Current. Solid jump over the October peak at 35 on Tuesday, but a lateral step with a doji Wednesday. Could hold up here and turn this into a bit of a continuation move, but a slide back to the 10 day EMA (34.35) is also a possibility. Solid mover and at a good level though, so giving it time to run further from here.
DE 11/07 Asc Tri 51.46 +2.31 48.50 58.95 13M 6.5M 47.88
Current. Gapped through the 50 resistance and ran from there. Finished a bit off the high, but a solid move up and looks strong. Will see if it can keep moving or if it slips back some to test the 50 support.
FFIV 09/30 FlyPlat 49.30 -0.46 40.51 44.95 1M 2M 47.69
Current. Just a bit down after bouncing off the intraday test down. Holding up at the October high and 10 day EMA (48.31) with this move but could ease lower to settle at that level. Like the action here and will see what FFIV manages Thursday.
FMX 11/16 Pennant 44.42 +0.19 44.39 49.95 1M 2M 41.82
Entered today. Intraday move to the 18 day EMA (43.75) and then a bounce to give us the buy. Looks solid as it looks ready to move out of the pennant pattern and now we see if FMX continues Thursday.
GIS 08/10 Test BO 67.49 -0.08 58.59 67.42 1.3M 4M 65.91
Current. Intraday move to the 10 day EMA (67.08) that bounced to close GIS flat with a doji. Rounding out some at the top here and looks like it will shift a bit lower. Going to let GIS make the move and see if it can bounce off support at the October highs (66.70).
GLD 10/02 ABCD Up 112.25 +0.28 98.89 105.45 22M 14M 108.11
Current. Okay, on Wednesday GLD rallied again and ran into the 200% Fibonacci extension of the move from the late September low to the mid-October peak. This is where it likely runs into some headwinds and pauses a bit. Doesn't mean it will sell off hard but could move laterally some. If you have not done so, it is worth taking some money off the table.
HAL 10/29 ABCD Up 31.69 -0.06 30.30 34.95 10M 23M 29.89
Current. Opened at the October and prior November peaks at 32 and then slipped back some, but a nice bounce off the low at the 10 day EMA (31.16). Seeing the resistance come into play at the 32 mark but with the light support holding we will give HAL more time to start moving through.
HOC 11/14 ABCD Up 28.03 -0.39 29.16 33.68 636K 1.2M 27.21
Current. Stepped lower again Wednesday to continue the Tuesday move lower. Not a big move by any means, but now over support at the 50 day EMA (27.35) and prior November lows (27.72) that we would like to hold. Not the best action considering energy was up, but will see if HOC can bounce from here.
HWD 10/26 ABCD Up 10.04 -0.08 8.95 11.95 247K 450K 8.97
Current. Lateral step here after a move lower intraday that bounced. Holding nicely over some light support, but not doing much here. Nice level here so will give HWD more time to start moving again.
ICE 10/27 Test BO 109.40 +0.13 105.46 119.95 507K 1.8M 104.94
Current. Lateral step after a short move lower that intraday that reversed to flat. Gap over the 110 mark Tuesday that slipped lower into the close, but is sticking over the 10 day EMA (107.71) still with this move. Will see if ICE works laterally and tries for a bounce off this support.
ICE 09/16 Flat 109.40 +0.13 97.35 114.94 507K 2.2M 104.94
Current.
IOC 11/09 Test BO 51.60 -0.50 48.81 54.95 416K 1M 47.65
Current. Moved laterally with a doji Monday and Tuesday, so not surprised with this step lower here. Low volume move and bounced off the low so will give IOC a chance to test to the 10 day EMA (49.99) and will see if it can bounce from there.
JBLU 11/07 ABCD Up 5.47 -0.03 5.33 6.94 14M 8.5M 5.21
Current. Holding the 50 day EMA (5.45) with this lateral move, but not crazy about the surge and rollover on volume. Not the strongest action over the past two sessions, but holding up at a decent area so will let the pattern continue to work for us.
JOSB 11/10 ABCD Up 42.65 -1.06 43.50 48.88 142K 450K 42.25
Current. Not looking that great with this second step lower below the 50 day EMA (43.29) support. Heard a commercial for JOSB today offering 70% off of leather jackets and cashmere wool suits. Quite a deal, but needs to hold up at 42ish here to keep the play in shape.
LNCR 10/02 Flag 35.23 -0.74 30.86 35.88 1.3M 1.2M 33.77
Current. Very solid run higher in November and just taking a step lower here. Not a bad thing to test a bit here and if LNCR continues lower Thursday we will see if it tests to the 34 support and bounces.
MA 11/14 Test BO 227.28 -3.72 232.66 253.45 2.1M 2.4M 227.38
Buy Not Issued. Hmm. Had been testing nicely to the 18 day EMA (229.60) and held there, but the downside is picking up speed after this step back. Will see how this plays out, but if it continues lower this one is not looking so good.
MDT 11/17 Flag 39.71 -0.49 40.32 45.45 5.2M 7M 38.28
Buy Not Hit. Short gap lower and could not stick anything either way from there. Strong run in November though and more testing may be needed to the support at the 10 day EMA (39.25) with the September peaks also there. Will see if MDT can bounce from to get over the 40 mark to get us looking at a buy.
NFLX 11/03 Flag 61.13 +0.38 56.18 62.55 942K 1.8M 57.78
Current. Slightly higher again here but a low volume move to a doji so we will see. A pretty big run to this point and we will see if NFLX turns back from this doji. If it does it can hold support at the 60 mark or down at the rising 10 day EMA (58.61). Will see what NFLX does from here.
NKE 11/16 Rev HS 64.42 -0.54 66.24 74.95 2M 4M 62.88
Buy Not Hit. Down a bit further again Wednesday, but a nice bounce off the intraday low to hold up at the 18 day EMA (64.27). Has tested some to support and would be a great place to see NKE hold and bounce from.
NTGR 11/04 Asc Tri 21.36 -0.08 19.05 21.95 230K 450K 20.34
Current. Stalling a bit here with the lateral move after bouncing off the low to finish with a doji. Can consider banking some gain after a strong November thus far. Nothing wrong with this uptrend, however. Just a bit extended after a super run and will now see where it tests to.
PIR 11/09 Test 50 4.22 -0.13 4.31 5.25 1.1M 3.2M 3.97
Current. Popped up some to the 4.50 mark and then faded back to close negative on the day. Not the strongest action at some resistance but a low volume move and not too bothered by it. Support is at 4, but we will see if PIR can turn higher before getting back to that level.
PNC 11/02 Flag 55.96 +0.67 51.77 58.95 2.9M 7.5M 53.65
Current. Finished a bit higher, but again closed off the high and a low volume move. Still in the uptrend but a short pullback from here to test at the 10 day EMA (54.16) would not be a bad thing. Will see what PNC can manage Thursday.
PRE 11/11 ABCD Up 77.57 +0.40 77.66 84.77 637K 1M 75.38
Buy Not Issued. Opened lower but bounced a bit to close for a lateral step. Finished off the high so we did not move in, but if PRE can start to run from here it is at a great place to move in.
QTWW 10/21 ABCD Up 1.21 -0.02 1.19 1.60 1.1M 4M 1.16
Current. Eased lower Wednesday, but a nice bounce off the intraday low to hold at the 1.20 mark. Good level of support here and will see if QTWW can start to run Thursday.
RDY 10/02 Flag 23.97 -0.33 19.36 22.95 369K 545K 22.91
Current. Short step lower with a doji, but a nice reversal off the intraday low at the 10 day EMA (23.74). Could turn back up off this move, but if RDY continues to settle here we will let it.
RIG 11/10 Test 50 87.29 -1.78 89.89 99.92 4M 5M 86.54
Current. Not good action with a weaker dollar as RIG fell back to the 50 day SMA (86.79). Holding support though so giving RIG more time here, but really want to see something from her Thursday.
RMBS 11/06 Rolling 18.71 -0.19 16.78 19.45 1.1M 3M 17.48
Bumping the lower peak at 19 with this side step, but it is holding fine so will see if can go ahead and push through to 19.50 to 20ish. If it cannot we bank it.
TEVA 11/14 Cup hdl 53.06 +0.44 52.83 60.34 5.2M 5.2M 51.44
Current. Short move lower Tuesday but a solid bounce up from the 10 day EMA (52.35) here. Solid volume on the move and now we see if it can keep moving right up through the prior November peak (53.20) from here. Looks good.
TNB 11/04 Flag 37.99 +0.01 35.84 40.95 883K 870K 36.28
Current. Lateral step after rising a bit and then fading to close flat. Higher volume at this level and looks ready to test some after this November run higher so we will see what TNB can do from here. Some support is at the 10 day EMA (37.16) and that would not be a bad place to stick.
TROW 11/02 Test BO 50.18 -0.49 49.78 58.55 878K 3.6M 48.55
Current. Still testing with this step down to close at the 18 day EMA (50.08). Light volume move and a nice bounce off the intraday low so still looks ready to run here, but now just has to do it. Will see if it can start moving Thursday.
TWP 11/02 ABCD Up 20.73 +1.60 16.73 20.98 368K 217K 19.21
Target Hit. Took part of the 25% stock and 67% option gain as TWP stormed higher yet again. Released innovative decking and railing system Monday and has been running strongly since then. At the September peaks now (20.97) so will see if TWP can rip through there with more gains Thursday or if it pauses some.
TXT 11/14 Asc Tri 20.23 -0.17 20.29 27.25 2.3M 7M 19.18
Current. Looks really good here with the low volume test of the 10 day EMA (19.97) that bounced a bit. Like this test and looks ready to start running up from this level on Thursday.
TYC 07/10 Test 50 37.08 +0.19 26.75 31.95 2.3M 5.5M 35.36
Current. Up just slightly with the falling, below average trade. Not able to do much at this level and a slip lower would not surprise. Not a big deal and will just look for a hold and bounce at 36 to set TYC off again.
XRTX 11/10 ABCD Up 12.32 -0.06 11.34 14.95 207K 400K 10.55
Nice jump Monday and Tuesday but a low volume pause here. Nice bounce off the low to finish with a doji, and looks capable of resuming the upside from here on Thursday. Will see if it does just that.
XRTX 11/04 ABCD Up 12.32 -0.06 10.95 14.95 207K 550K 10.91
YTEC 11/16 Cup hdl 8.05 -0.17 8.22 9.48 42K 125K 7.64
Buy Not Issued. Not able to continue higher so we held off the buy. Going to give it some more time though as it is holding at the solid 8 support and will have to wait for another bounce from here. Going to see if it can get started back higher again off this level.
ZMH 11/09 Asc Tri 58.03 +1.28 55.52 63.95 2.6M 3.4M 55.91
Current. Upgraded and thus the gap and run by ZMH. Strong volume backing the move and will see if it carries higher from here Thursday. Looks goo after clearing the prior highs at 56 on Tuesday.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ASH 11/04 BearFla 37.69 -0.34 36.54 31.21 728K 2M 38.22
Current. Lower volume move, but still slipped lower to close beneath the 50 day EMA (37.96). More support to be broken at this level, but looks like it could start to fall here. Wary of a potential bounce, but will let it run from here.
IWM 11/04 BearFla 60.16 -0.12 58.08 53.00 54M 75M 59.88
Current. Mirroring the SP600/Russell2000, IWM tested lower again but managed to recover with the market. If it can hold over that peak from last week (59.26 close, 59.84 intraday) it has more of an upside bias and we would have to close this play out. Seeing how it tests here.
IWM 09/30 Rollove 60.16 -0.12 61.48 57.55 54M 48M 57.54
Current.
JNPR 11/06 BearFla 25.60 -0.21 24.84 22.75 5.5M 10M 26.21
Current. Stepped softly lower Wednesday to continue the move down that started Monday. Not in the clear after the Friday gap up, but moving lower so we will see if it continues back to the 25 support. That will be the next key level where we see how JNPR reacts.
JOYG 11/17 Dbl Top 56.00 -0.85 56.05 51.05 2.8M 4.5M 58.11
Entered today. Slipped lower again Wednesday to give us the entry. Pausing at the 10 day EMA (56.03) but a nice double top after failing at the October peak (57.48) and looks set to keep heading south.
MXWL 11/14 BearFla 17.73 +0.15 17.12 14.11 143K 300K 18.28
Buy Not Hit. Not looking so great for the downside with this short bounce off the 50 day EMA (17.30) to close flat. Still under some resistance, but want to see MWXL give up the moving average to get the downside started.
RIMM 11/12 BearFla 59.85 -1.55 62.66 55.45 18M 22M 62.34
Short gap down and kept sinking to follow the Tuesday test higher that failed. Looks ready to keep running lower so we will see how far it can carry for now.
ROST 10/20 Put 46.07 +0.48 45.58 41.75 1.8M 2M 44.65
Current. Bounced over the 50 day EMA (45.75) but still holding under some resistance so we left it. Not a powerful move and will see if ROST can stall out at this level and start to fall back.
SHAW 10/24 BearFla 28.52 -0.25 28.40 26.08 1.2M 1.4M 26.42
Exited. Short step lower but a bit of a reverse head and shoulders formed here. Have already taken some nice gain so went ahead and closed it out to avoid a possible gap higher on us.
SPY 11/10 BearRev 111.27 -0.06 108.98 106.95 156M 200M 111.21
Current. Rebounded late to close flat, and the SP500 showed relative strength to rest of the market. Holding the breakout and if it continues to do so this week and then starts back upside we close it.
VMI 11/11 Put 78.48 -0.06 76.48 71.65 280K 450K 79.53
Buy Not Issued. Lateral step here under resistance but a bounce off the low to close with a doji. Great level to break lower from, but want to VMI hold a step down before we buy.
End part 2 of 3
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