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us stock market, top stock pick
Begin part 2 of 3
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HTML CONTINUING PLAY TABLE. Click the following link to view the Continuing Play Table in HTML format:
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CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 07/08 Rolling 194.73 +2.67 138.55 149.91 27M 23M 207.91
Current. Sold back hard for two sessions to end last week, but did hold up at the 190 support with the October highs, Nov/December lows. Bounced modestly to start things off, so that is a plus. Not much of a bounce though. Will see if it can continue to recover as the week plays out.
AAPL 04/15 Test 20 194.73 +2.67 119.69 132.77 27M 25M 207.91
Current.
AMED 01/30 ABCD Up 57.07 +2.12 57.05 67.95 1.7M 1.5M 53.38
Entered today. Short little ABCD set up the last half of January, and gave the buy with an intraday reach lower that vaulted back up into the close. Off the intraday high slightly to finish, but a solid move out of the pattern and looks ready to run.
ASH 01/27 Asc Tri 43.23 +2.82 42.69 49.89 2.5M 1.5M 39.70
Entered today. Sold for two sessions to end last week over strong support at 40ish. Gapped up to the 18 day EMA (41.04) Monday and bounced from there with volume so picked it up. This one looks ready to move after a short correction.
BBBY 01/23 Test 50 39.33 +0.63 40.14 46.25 2.4M 4.2M 38.77
Buy Not Hit. Not out of the woods, but a step higher to close back over the 50 day EMA (39.05). Like this action though volume did fall, and BBBY still has more work to do to move past the December highs (39.62, opening). Will see if it can continue to improve Tuesday.
BWLD 01/26 Test BO 47.66 +0.85 46.35 53.35 317K 600K 45.39
Current. Volume edged back to just below average, but BWLD continued to work higher to start the week. Beginning to bump into resistance with the January high (47.72 closing, 47.91 opening), but this move held everything into the close to show strength. Just letting it play out to see if it continues on past.
BWLD 01/07 Rolling 47.66 +0.85 40.62 44.00 317K 500K 45.58
Current.
CMG 01/26 Test BO 100.38 +3.92 98.45 110.00 433K 550K 94.89
Current. Volatile over the previous week, but has held up pretty well. A bounce up to start things Monday, and looks solid as it held the move to close just barely over the January peak (100.06). Volume better as well, and now we see if CMG starts to make a move this week.
CMI 01/13 Flag 46.94 +1.78 52.69 62.75 2.3M 3.2M 49.89
Current. Suffered from big selling throughout January, but now bouncing off support at 45ish. Turned higher Monday and solid action to start the move to get things back on track. Still, have to watch very closely with earnings tomorrow as CMI holds under serious 47.50 resistance. Will see if it can manage to continue Tuesday and if it gets sparked by earnings. If it starts to turn tail, though, will have to consider closing it out.
CVD 01/28 Cup hdl 57.18 -0.93 59.56 69.88 826K 1M 55.82
Buy Not Hit. This one fell lower for the second session, but is holding up nicely at the 18 day EMA (57.09). Really not a bad place to hold, and if it can bounce here, it will put in a higher low. Will see if it turns up on Tuesday.
DNDN 01/21 ABCD Up 29.22 +1.52 29.54 33.48 2.6M 3M 27.68
Current. This is what we like to see. Sold back to support Friday, but gapped higher and then worked further up into the close. Another stock that bounced solidly Monday and this one got through mid January resistance at 29. Volume did fade slightly back, but still hanging in at average. Will let this one run as long as it will.
FLIR 01/07 Flag 29.90 +0.32 32.94 37.45 1.2M 1.9M 31.77
Current. After selling below support at 30 with Nov/Dec highs, FLIR has started to bounce off the September high (28.64). Not the strongest action, but as it is rebounding we are leaving it. Will see if it can retake the 30 mark with continued gains Tuesday.
GIS 08/07 Test BO 71.03 -0.28 58.59 67.42 2.8M 4M 69.91
Current. Wasn't able to bounce with the market. Gapped up to the 72 resistance and then faded to close at the 18 day EMA (71.13). Holding light support with the move, but this one is still moving slowly. Will see if it can hold over 70ish support with any further downside and bounce up from there.
GLW 01/27 Test 50 18.16 +0.08 18.66 23.44 16M 20M 17.78
Buy Not Issued. Fell below support with the 50 day EMA (18.50) last week, but is now setting up an ABCD pattern. A lateral step to a doji to start the week, and now just looking for a hold at this level, or slightly lower at 17.74 with the huge September '08 gap down. Will give it a few sessions to see how it plays out, and see if it can bounce to give the buy.
GMCR 01/25 Flag 84.41 -0.41 82.22 93.72 1.2M 2M 77.98
Buy Not Issued. Thumped back lower Friday to test, and now a lateral step with the doji. Very low volume, and like the intraday reach to the 10 day EMA (82.76) that bounced right back up to flat. Might get a buy off this test, and will see how it reacts Tuesday.
HUM 11/19 Flag 48.71 +0.09 41.58 46.39 8.8M 3M 47.94
Trailing Stop. Sharp selling early in the day and shook us out. Volatile on earnings that were decent, but below expectations. Will give it time and see if it sets back up.
INCY 01/23 ABCD Up 10.63 -0.05 9.78 11.65 1.4M 4.2M 9.91
Current. Held up decently Monday with a short intraday move down that bounced into the close. Volume was very low to start the week, but this one is ok as it actually rallied decently last week. Will give it a chance to pause, and see how it holds over light support at the 10 day EMA (10.24) this week.
IPAR 01/29 Test BO 13.25 -0.06 13.52 16.00 98K 150K 12.48
Buy Not Hit. Opened higher and then faded back to finish just barely negative. Still testing, and really doing a good job of it. Will see if it holds up over key support at 13 and takes the bounce.
ISRG 01/28 Test BO 328.65 +0.59 329.21 374.75 480K 700K 325.68
Buy Not Hit. Really like this testing back, and a very good looking doji that held the 10 day EMA (327.04). This is just how it should be testing, and if it can start to move on up, we are in.
MTL 01/23 Test BO 22.12 +2.33 22.77 26.00 3.5M 4M 21.18
Buy Not Issued. Has sold back considerably since mid January, but this steel stock took a handsome bounce to start the week. Moved up off of solid support at 20, and then held the entire move into the close. Just want to see it continue higher now to take out the October and November peaks at 22.
MTL 01/08 Asc Tri 22.12 +2.33 22.68 26.00 3.5M 4M 23.08
Current.
NKTR 01/29 Test BO 11.34 -0.08 11.54 13.97 526K 1M 10.88
Buy Not Hit. A good looking test with this one, and started the week by fading slightly with the doji over the 18 day EMA (11.14). Letting it make this test, and will see how it hold over this support the next several days. Will be ready to move in if it can star to bounce.
PNRA 01/26 Test BO 73.44 +2.02 71.97 79.50 700K 650K 69.04
Current. Big reach lower to the 18 day EMA (70.25) intraday, and then rallied back to finish moderately higher. This one was a solid performer to start the week, and held up solidly last week as well. Now we see if it continues up Tuesday to crack over the resistance with the January high (73.41).
RIMM 01/13 Pennant 64.06 +1.15 66.11 79.94 9.5M 22M 62.87
Current. Still trying to work through resistance at the 65 level. Gapped up, filled back, and then bounce to finish with a doji under the key resistance. RIMM is holding up for now, but want to see this one continue to improve throughout the week to keep us in the play.
SOA 01/28 Rev HS 14.00 +0.25 14.16 17.94 1.6M 1.8M 12.93
Buy Not Issued. Gapped to the January high, and closed there with a doji after bouncing off the intraday low. Holding up solidly at this level, but this is where it needs to start running higher to give the entry. Will see if it can do just that after the Monday intraday reach lower that bounced.
TEVA 01/29 Test 50 56.66 -0.06 57.56 64.32 4.2M 6M 53.53
Buy Not Hit. Worked laterally last week, and just kept that going with a gap lower Monday that bounced back into the close. Showing a hold over the December high (56.27), but want to see TEVA continue on up now. A good goal for continued upside would be to get back over the 57 mark. Will see if it does that Tuesday.
TLB 01/23 Cup hdl 12.24 +0.98 11.04 13.78 2.4M 2.4M 10.91
Current. This was a solid mover. Jumped quickly up from the 10 day EMA (11.06) with above average volume, and then continued to close over the October highs at 12ish. Held the entire move into the close, and seeing if it continues to run.
WBSN 01/21 DB hdl 18.59 +0.06 19.22 23.44 189K 450K 17.97
Buy Not Issued. Closed off the intraday high to continue working laterally with this doji. Will watch it as it holds this support level at 18.50ish, but waiting to see how earnings affect this one Tuesday. If they bounce WBSN, may get a buy soon. They could send it lower, though, so will have to see how that turns out.
XRTX 01/27 ABCD Up 13.69 -0.02 14.22 19.38 549K 450K 13.41
Buy Not Hit. Down intraday, and then bounced back to finish with a doji over the 50 day EMA (13.67). Looks like it can bounce, but this is the lick log point for XRTX at this support. Will see if it can turn back higher Tuesday to shape things up.
XTEX 01/29 Pennant 9.40 -0.05 9.84 11.85 211K 525K 9.02
Buy Not Hit. Stepping laterally over the 18 day EMA (9.29) after working higher and lower intraday. Still working along in the pennant pattern with below average trade, so just letting it continue that for now. Will give it time to bounce, and then be ready to move in.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ANV 01/29 BearFla 13.70 +1.03 12.58 10.82 555K 545K 13.72
Buy Not Hit. Bounced strongly higher back above resistance and did not give anything up at the close. Not a set up for the downside so dropping it.
COH 01/26 BearFla 35.27 +0.39 34.85 32.05 3.8M 5.5M 35.88
Current. Bounced lightly, but volume dropped off to below average with the move. Also holding under resistance with the January gap lower (35.35), so letting it play out. Will see if it fails at this level, or just slightly higher at the 50 day EMA (35.65).
CTSH 01/28 HdShldr 44.69 +1.03 43.72 41.05 3.2M 4.5M 46.11
Current. Bounced up over the November/December lows at 43ish, but a lower volume move so left it. Also holding under the 50 day EMA (44.96), so giving it time and will see how it reacts Tuesday. If it stalls out, great. If it continues, we want it to hold under the late January high (right shoulder of the pattern) at 46.
HMSY 01/29 BearFla 45.61 +0.52 44.98 42.00 146K 345K 47.21
Buy Not Issued. Fell solidly for two sessions, and now looks like more of a relief bounce. Will see if it continues on up to the 50 day EMA (46.44). If it gets to that level and fails, will give us a very nice entry point.
JPM 01/29 BearFla 39.63 +0.69 38.70 35.21 37M 55M 40.39
Buy Not Hit. Bounced Monday, but a lower volume move that finished off the intraday high. Letting it continue to test up for now as it holds under the 200 day SMA (39.92) and December low (40.04 intraday). Will see if it makes the break lower in the next couple of sessions and will see if we can pick it up.
LH 01/27 BearFla 71.60 +0.50 71.93 68.88 1M 1.3M 73.98
Bouncing back up off that Friday doji, and looks like it can continue as it bounced up solidly from the intraday low. This may give us the buy as it continues to bounce, so will see how far it gets before it fails.
MFLX 01/23 Put 23.68 -0.19 24.22 22.00 193K 175K 24.89
Current. Faded back with a small move lower, but do like how volume hung in at above average. Looks primed to move down with the lower highs in January and now just giving it time to continue. Will see what it can manage Tuesday.
PCLN 01/28 Rollove 204.20 +8.85 196.62 185.00 1.3M 1.8M 207.31
Current. Reversed on stronger volume after we took a partial downside on Friday. Holding under the 50 day EMA (207.13), and will see if it can stall under this resistance. If it can we let it run.
SLAB 01/23 BearFla 43.88 +1.64 43.87 40.77 713K 850K 42.88
Current. This one bounced as well, and volume showed up as well. Serious support at the 44 mark will have to stop it to keep the play in check. If it continues, will have to close it out.
SLB 01/26 Dbl Top 64.79 +1.33 65.22 62.11 8.5M 10M 64.77
Current. Sold for two sessions last week and now just bouncing modestly. Still looks weak, and holding under the 50 day EMA (65.75) with this lower volume move. Will see if it can stall out Tuesday.
SLH 01/25 Rollove 33.01 -0.10 33.65 32.00 330K 550K 34.22
Current. Started lower intraday, but reversed back up to finish with a lateral move. Still looks weak, but may try to test in the next couple of sessions. If it bounces, want to see it hold under 34 and then start back down.
TRLG 01/23 Rollove 19.36 +0.05 19.54 17.54 208K 750K 20.18
Current. What had looked like more of a short pause over 19 has turned into more of a lateral move. Will see if it can begin to fall again after four days of lateral action. If it does not start to show weakness we will close it.
WSM 01/25 Rollove 19.70 +0.72 19.60 17.55 1.6M 3M 20.44
Current. This one bounced with the market also, and held the entire move into the close. Volume fell of sharply to below average, though, so letting it test. If it continues, will see how it reacts at the 20ish level with resistance there.
End part 2 of 3
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