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us stock market, stock watch
Begin part 2 of 3
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CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 07/08 Rolling 200.41 -1.25 138.55 149.91 14M 23M 207.91
Current. Not a great session after the nice setup last week, but managed a good looking bounce up from the intraday low. Still hanging on at the 50 day EMA (200.70) so not a breakdown, but do want to see more strength Tuesday with a move higher now.
AAPL 04/15 Test 20 200.41 -1.25 119.69 132.77 14M 25M 207.91
Current.
ABVT 02/19 Flag 61.85 +0.05 62.08 69.95 54K 175K 59.57
Buy Not Hit. Nice lateral step Monday with this doji on falling, below average volume. Nice bounce up off the intraday low also and working along just as it needs to. Will see if it can start to surge from this level or if it needs to fade before bouncing. Just looking for the solid upside that holds before jumping in.
AET 02/18 BullRev 29.35 +0.42 29.94 34.91 8.8M 8.2M 27.84
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower but then battled back to close positive on the day. Did close back from the intraday high, but still showing strength as it tries to move higher. Right now will see if it can stick gain over the next session or two before we move in.
AMED 01/30 ABCD Up 60.04 -0.36 57.05 67.95 874K 1.5M 56.56
Current. Still seeing the resistance with the January high as AMED showed a gap and rollover to finish slightly negative on the day. Volume stayed quiet, but still looks toppy with this action. Going to see how it can test this week, and will see it can bounce with the early February high (58.83) and 10 day EMA (58.59). Will have to watch out if it starts to gain any momentum to the downside, but at a solid level for now.
ANN 02/05 Flag 15.84 +0.18 15.12 17.65 1.4M 3.2M 14.06
Current. Slight gains with this gap, but closed back from the high with this doji. Not the greatest move as it tapped at the 16ish resistance and faded back, but a test now would really be ok. Going to see if we start to get that pullback Tuesday with a move back towards the 10 day EMA (15.25). Would not complain about continued upside through this resistance level, but would have to show that it could actually hold the move.
ASH 01/27 Asc Tri 46.12 -0.43 42.69 49.89 1.1M 1.5M 44.21
Current. Normal action with this slow fade back into the close. Coming off that lateral action last week with the doji on Thursday/Friday and testing just as it should. There is that support with the September high (44.96 open) as well as the rising 10 day EMA (44.77) so will see how ASH falls back to that level and then see if it takes the bounce. Working as it should so leaving it alone.
ATI 02/18 ABCD Up 45.86 -0.23 45.34 51.91 1.5M 3M 42.17
Current. Nice upside Friday, but a gap and slide back finished ATI in the red Monday. Not much of a move back, and also with lower volume so not getting worked up over it. A test back after decent upside could hold at the 45 support, but this one is also capable of continuing higher Tuesday. Will have to see which way the market swings at this inflection point.
ATW 02/16 Rolling 33.51 +0.03 34.21 39.45 697K 1.3M 32.03
Buy Not Issued. Unable to make any headway Monday under this 34 resistance level, but a nice bounce off the intraday low still. Really not a bad lateral move so far in February and still waiting for things to get started. Ready to pick this one up if it can bounce, but it has to show it first.
CMG 01/26 Test BO 103.93 -1.06 98.45 110.00 363K 550K 99.97
Current. Stepped lower away from that 105 mark, but did bounce decently off the intraday low at the 10 day EMA (102.81) so it is holding up ok. It is showing there is resistance at the 105 mark with the February highs, but we can see if CMG will ride the 10 day up through this key level.
CNMD 02/04 ABCD Up 22.17 -0.12 22.89 26.45 142K 265K 21.56
Buy Not Issued. Slight fade Monday, but holding up over key support with the 50 day EMA (22.18). Nothing wrong with this action, but this would be a nice place to see the bounce now. Will watch for CNMD to start to the upside after a couple weeks of lateral action at this support.
DNDN 01/21 ABCD Up 32.80 +0.44 29.54 33.48 6.5M 3M 30.48
Target Hit. Took part of the 12% stock, 68% option gain as DNDN soared higher. Big volume move that did close back well off the high with the doji. Will have to see how this plays out now. Can test back to 32ish to fill this gap and that is kind of what it is hinting at now with the close way off the intraday peak. Going to see how it starts things off Tuesday though.
EAT 02/08 Test BO 18.18 -0.07 16.81 19.91 798K 2.8M 17.24
Current. Very low volume with this lateral step to start the week. Fifth day working horizontally under that August gap up (18.33) but still not looking terribly strong. Holding its ground, though, so there is something to be said about that. The 10 day EMA (17.76) is rather close now, so a test and bounce there would do the trick.
EBIX 02/19 Flag 15.71 -0.28 16.16 19.81 364K 1.2M 15.31
Buy Not Issued. Great testing back in the flag last week, but gapped up and sold back quickly Monday to finish negative. Holding near support with the 50 day EMA (15.82) though so going to see how it sticks Tuesday. If it can turn things around, great. If not, will have to see what it can manage.
FCX 02/05 Dbl btm 76.24 -0.92 70.96 84.92 12M 20M 73.34
Current. Gapped up and then sold to close near the 50 day EMA (76.38) Monday. Volume faded further below average, but FCX is still not making that clear break higher. At an ok level though, so will just see how it can hold up at 75ish support over the next couple of sessions and what kind of strength it shows.
FNSR 02/13 DB hdl 12.22 +0.12 11.75 13.97 748K 1.2M 11.11
Current. Modest upside Monday with the doji, and finished a good ways off the intraday high. Just showing slowing with the prior February peak now and may have to take a short test back. Ok to let FNSR reload, and will see if it can bounce up over the January high (11.47) or 10 day EMA (11.58).
GMCR 02/01 Test BO 82.60 -0.81 86.12 99.88 636K 2M 81.94
Current. Still working in that range along the 18 day EMA (82.73), but not the greatest action with the gap and rollover. There is support at the 80ish level, but do not want to see GMCR test that low before bouncing. Will give it a chance to hold up Tuesday, but looking for any kind of bounce/hold to show strength.
GOOG 02/05 BullRev 542.80 +2.04 539.42 574.45 2.1M 4M 537.32
Current. A lateral step, but still not a pretty move with the short gap and then fade back to flat. Holding light support with the 10 day EMA (539.73) and still like this play, it is just taking a while. Doing its job for the most part so going to let it play out further over the next couple of sessions and see if it can manage any upside.
HOLX 02/04 Test BO 16.19 +0.08 16.41 19.91 2.5M 5M 15.68
Buy Not Hit. Big gap down and then fought back to finish just barely positive on the day. No spike in volume though and might be best to just see how things play out next session. Do like how buyers are still willing to snatch it up though so there is a positive there. Can either test to 16ish support and bounce or will get us looking if it shows strength with upside now.
HUM 02/05 ABCD Up 47.87 +2.52 47.69 54.55 5.7M 3.5M 45.44
Current. Jumped strongly on much higher volume; maybe something going on with the President's new health proposal but not really sure what. Turned higher like we wanted and where we wanted to just accepting that for now. Will see if it can follow through Tuesday with more upside to really get something together.
ILMN 02/10 ABCD Up 36.37 -0.23 36.53 40.97 1.2M 4M 34.42
Current. Bounced off the intraday low and managed to hold the 18 day EMA (36.42) with this doji Monday. Very low volume and really just testing wonderfully at this point. Is positioned to bounce, but still just waiting for it to show up.
IOC 02/17 ABCD Up 62.69 -4.47 69.04 82.44 2.2M 1.6M 65.89
Buy Not Issued. Sold with volume Monday to give up key support. Time to drop this one as it drilled lower.
ISRG 01/28 Test BO 346.99 +0.47 335.64 374.75 383K 700K 334.88
Current. Short gap and fade back to finish flat on the day. Normal action at this level after clearing over the January peak with the upside last week. Ok for a test now, and will see if it gets to the light support with the 10 day EMA (337.89) and bounces.
ITMN 02/19 Pennant 14.90 -0.43 15.18 18.44 2M 1M 14.44
Buy Not Hit. Has set up an ABCD pattern for sure now with the Monday downside. Volume was up, but quite a decent bounce off the intraday low at the 50 day EMA (14.64) and still like this setup. Moved the buy to accommodate this action and now we see how it turns up from this 15ish support level.
JOYG 02/13 Test 20 49.96 -0.24 49.05 55.00 2.9M 4M 48.08
Current. Opened at the 50 day EMA (50.80) and then fell back from that resistance. Volume was lower with the downside so that is a plus, but still looking for signs of life at this level. Would be ok if it faded back for a quick test of the 18 day EMA (49.02) that bounced.
MJN 02/09 Asc Tri 46.68 -0.10 47.21 54.55 2.2M 6M 45.54
Buy Not Hit. Stepped laterally with this doji, though a pretty decent bounce up from the intraday low also. Looks like a continuation move after the Friday bounce higher, but still waiting now to see if it can make the run over the February high (47.00). If MJN can resume the upside Tuesday and hold gains with a strong enough move then we can look at a buy.
MR 02/02 Test 50 37.28 -0.11 36.94 41.95 544K 1.4M 35.78
Current. Short gap up, reached way back to the 18 day EMA (36.40), and then bounced to finish the day mostly flat. Like how buyers are still moving in with this reach lower and think there is still upside left for MR after this. Going to see if the gains resume Tuesday or if MR will try to pause a little longer.
MTW 02/19 Cup hdl 12.11 -0.14 12.42 15.45 1.7M 4.2M 11.55
Buy Not Hit. Still like this testing though the Monday gap and fade back was not so pretty. Very low volume though, and holding 12 support and the 10 day EMA (11.94) so letting it continue to test. Really a nice set up for another bounce and giving this one room to do so.
NETL 02/05 Test BO 53.70 -0.88 50.68 56.94 692K 750K 51.22
Current. Gapped lower, filled, and then turned back to finish with a doji. After that long climb and then lateral action last week a turn lower is expected. Not the best move to start the week, but can see how any continued downside reacts with the 10 day EMA (51.88).
NFLX 02/05 Test BO 65.27 -1.38 61.42 69.97 5M 2.2M 62.91
Current. Sold back to the 10 day EMA (63.94) but bounced back on strong, strong volume. Could be volatile as WMT moves into the movie-streaming business with the purchase of Vudu, but we like how we see buyers still stepping in. Going to see how NFLX shakes this off Tuesday.
NKTR 01/29 Test BO 12.93 +0.09 11.88 13.97 646K 1M 11.97
Current. Finished modestly higher, but this doji was really nothing more than a sidestep after that Friday doji. Showing it could use a test now so going to see if NKTR will fade any over the next couple of sessions. If it does start lower we look for a hold with the 10 day EMA (12.35) or January high (12.27 open).
NLST 02/18 ABCD Up 3.83 -0.32 4.26 6.45 779K 3.5M 3.96
Buy Not Hit. Nice upside Friday but turned down away from the 50 day EMA (4.10) to start the week. Not the strength we want to see with this one right now. A lower volume move though, so giving this one another chance Tuesday to hold any gains.
PCLN 02/11 Dbl btm 229.07 -1.50 210.99 229.91 870K 13M 225.77
Current. Slight downside to start the week, but holding near the December peak (229.24) with a bounce up from the intraday low. This is the level we are looking for PCLN to test to and will see if it can stick Tuesday. Will watch if it continues to fade, but going to leave it if it can keep a move lower controlled.
PDCO 02/13 Test 50 30.02 +0.23 29.57 33.89 1.8M 1.3M 28.54
Current. Short step higher with the consistent, above average volume. A positive way to start the week and challenging that resistance at the 30ish level now. Key area to see if PDCO can break through and start to run.
PLXS 02/02 Test BO 35.42 -0.28 32.22 39.94 273K 425K 33.28
Current. Downside to start the week, but a nice reach to the 35ish support intraday that bounced firmly. The 35 mark would be a good place to test to after the upside over the previous two weeks, so going to watch how PLXS reacts there Tuesday.
PNRA 01/26 Test BO 72.82 -1.02 71.97 79.50 446K 650K 70.77
Current. Started the week with a move lower, but holding over the 18 day EMA (72.40) just fine still. Will see if PNRA gets a little more fade and bounces there Tuesday.
RIG 02/18 Rolling 85.30 +0.18 85.00 93.88 5.9M 5.5M 81.44
Current. Moved higher intraday but not able to stick the landing past the 50 day EMA (85.92) as it closed back with a doji. Still positioned to run higher, but a key area to clear through so watching closely Tuesday.
RIMM 02/17 Flag 69.67 -1.35 70.98 88.91 13M 22M 67.44
Current. Nice action last week to try to move up away from the support levels, but slipped down Monday to close back near the 200 day SMA (70.00). Still like this setup, but would like to see the bounce up from this range in the next sessions or two.
RIMM 01/13 Pennant 69.67 -1.35 66.11 79.94 13M 22M 67.48
Current.
RMD 02/10 Test BO 57.95 +0.48 55.08 61.89 769K 6.2M 54.77
Current. Short gap up to this doji that turned widely higher and lower intraday. Pretty solid run up over the past couple weeks and this may be signaling it is time to pause. Will see if RMD starts to show its hand with downside Tuesday, and will see if that move can hold 56ish support.
SHLD 02/19 Flag 95.66 +0.62 95.61 104.89 930K 2.4M 92.11
Entered today. Nice reach lower and bounce back up to finish with a doji. Went ahead and picked up more positions ahead of earnings tomorrow morning as retailers have been treated fairly well. Will see how things get kicked off Tuesday.
SHLD 02/04 Test 50 95.66 +0.62 91.31 104.89 930K 2.4M 92.11
Current.
SINA 02/16 Dbl btm 37.86 +0.06 38.06 43.85 776K 1.4M 35.88
Current. Lateral step as it tested back to the 10 day EMA (37.46) and then bounced back to flat. Holding this level as it needs to with the fourth day of lateral action but still waiting for the start higher. Will see if that gets started Tuesday.
SJT 02/09 ABCD Up 21.05 -0.49 21.33 24.94 180K 350K 20.23
Current. Fell back to start the week but a bounce off the intraday low held SJT near the 18 day EMA (21.12). Would like to see it hold at this level now because if it continues down it may try to test back to the strong 20ish support. Leaving it for now though and will see how it holds up Tuesday.
SOA 01/28 Rev HS 14.36 -0.10 14.16 17.94 454K 1.8M 13.44
Current. Very gentle downside to start the week, and looks ok to test for a couple days now. A test can hold near the 10 day EMA (14.14) or slightly lower and bounce. Going to see what it does Tuesday.
TEVA 01/29 Test 50 59.87 +1.13 57.59 64.32 6.8M 6M 57.89
Current. Ran higher strongly for the second session now to break over 59ish resistance. Good volume with the move and then held right near the intraday high to show strength. After this we just see if TEVA can continue.
TEX 02/11 Rolling 20.54 0.00 19.34 23.77 2.4M 2.8M 18.91
Current. Gapped up and then faded to flat on the day. Pretty decent action and just a doji to hold support with the 50 day EMA (20.30). Can see if TEX can just work horizontally at this support for another day or two if it will and then resume the upside.
TIE 02/19 ABCD Up 12.22 +0.16 12.16 14.94 3.4M 4.2M 11.32
Buy Not Hit. Gapped up to a doji so did not jump right in but will see how it reacts. If it comes back we let it test and see if it fills before resuming the move. If it continues higher we can move into a few positions then wait and see how it tests.
TSL 02/13 Test 50 23.66 -0.75 25.85 29.91 3.6M 4M 23.89
Current. Volume was up as TSL fell back below the 50 day EMA (24.10). This one is hanging on the edge and has to show strength Tuesday. If it cannot hold or bounce Tuesday we have to shut it down.
WBSN 01/21 DB hdl 20.78 -0.03 19.36 23.44 286K 450K 19.78
Current. Surged but then purged to close flat with the gravestone doji. Not huge volume, but definitely toppy after running almost nonstop in February. Looking for a test now but going to see if that gets started Tuesday.
XTEX 01/29 Pennant 9.24 -0.14 10.01 11.95 95K 525K 9.31
Current. Not able to hang on at the 18 day EMA (9.33), but bounced up off the intraday low decently. Getting to that level where we want XTEX to bounce as it holds over 9 with the prior February low. Going to see if it turns higher Tuesday now.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMZN 02/08 Rollove 118.01 +0.49 116.80 108.55 6.8M 12M 120.68
Current. Not able to make any headway past the 10 day EMA (118.21) Monday with this lower volume. Still looks ready to roll, but have to wait on it now. Kind of a key point as we see whether the indices hold up or start to fade as that will determine a lot.
BRCM 02/19 BearRev 31.39 -0.21 31.38 28.11 5.7M 10M 32.12
Buy Not Issued. Volume was down, but a nice turn lower off that Friday doji to start things out right. Held off the buy with the bounce up from the intraday low, but still in a good position to move in. Want to see the fall from this level that sticks to give us the buy.
CRR 02/09 BearFla 61.74 -1.91 63.38 58.32 484K 450K 64.12
Higher volume as CRR sold off, moving out of that February lateral action. Bounced modestly up off the intraday low, but still a good first step down. At this point another test up that fails would be ok, but kind of looks like it will continue down Tuesday.
CTSH 02/16 BearRev 47.33 -0.18 47.15 43.08 3.5M 4M 48.54
Current. Looking interesting with this gap up and rollover, all under the prior high from January (48.78). Still has to show the move down, but things are looking better now so giving it another couple of sessions.
EGOV 02/13 BearRev 7.41 0.00 7.21 6.04 166K 400K 7.62
Buy Not Issued. Nice reach lower, but bounced up to finish so couldn't get the buy. Still holding under that very solid 7.50 resistance, and with the falling 10 day EMA (7.48) we can see if that exerts more downside pressure on EGOV.
FWLT 02/17 BearFla 27.66 -0.25 27.37 24.28 1.8M 3M 28.69
Buy Not Issued. Turned back down away from the solid 28 resistance, but not buying as it held the 10 day EMA (27.65). Still looks ripe for a buy, but this is where FWLT needs to show downside that holds.
MA 02/13 BearFla 224.24 +1.61 224.24 212.00 1.1M 2M 227.31
Entered today. Long reach up to the 10 day EMA (226.76) and then flipped lower so we bought it. Like this set up and now we see if MA makes the break lower.
MON 02/04 BearFla 76.79 -0.96 75.56 70.15 3.6M 6M 76.78
Current. Starting to act right now as it gapped up to the 50 day EMA (78.72) and then sold back to negative. This is the action we want to see for the downside and letting it be to see if it continues now.
MSTR 02/11 BearFla 86.36 +0.70 84.77 77.48 65K 200K 86.82
Buy Not Issued. A lateral step at resistance with the 10 day EMA (86.00), but not moving lower so we did not buy. Very low volume at this level though, so going to see if MSTR starts to backslide now for a buy.
PFWD 02/19 BearFla 12.00 -0.02 11.78 10.04 291K 650K 12.21
Buy Not Hit. Two week run higher and now pausing under the 10 day EMA (12.06) with very low volume. Great set up with this one, and now just waiting for the breakdown to give us the entry. Going to see if we get that Tuesday.
RL 02/17 BearFla 81.31 +0.71 79.44 75.05 1.1M 1.4M 80.98
Buy Not Hit. Upside Monday to close up over the 50 day EMA (80.72) resistance. Not the greatest action, but still under the resistance with the Nov/Dec peaks so giving it more time to fail.
SSD 02/13 BearFla 25.09 +0.33 24.35 21.32 117K 300K 25.21
Buy Not Issued. Gapped up and then pushed slightly more to close at the 50 day EMA (25.07). A hold under solid resistance with very low volume upside. This is a plus for the downside play, especially after that big close off the intraday high Friday. Seeing if SSD can fail under the downside pressure Tuesday.
End part 2 of 3
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