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Free Weekend Newsletter

Table Of Contents

1) MARKET SUMMARY

2) PRE-SPLIT PLAY

3) TECHNICAL PLAY

4) COVERED CALL PLAY

5) IPOs


The following Investment Newsletter is provided by the InvestmentHouse.com family of websites which include StockSplits.net, CoveredCall.Com and TechnicalTraders.com.

    
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1) MARKET SUMMARY

Haven’t we been here before?

- Indexes get right back to where they started from.
- Nasdaq declines on rising volume again, while Dow and S&P 500 sink on lower trade.
- Nasdaq going to test the down trendline?
- Gloomy economic outlooks now abundant.
- Subscriber Questions
- Team Trades

Click Here to read the full text of our Weekend Market Summary. Topics this weekend include: The Economy, The Markets, This Week's Economic Calendar; What To Expect This Week In The Markets and our popular Team Trades column.

2) STOCK SPLITS

Be sure to read our Stock Splits Manual. Playing stock splits can be very profitable, but it takes know-how.

Our stock split service focuses on three main types of plays:

1) pre-announcement (where we forecast an upcoming split prior to the company making the announcement); 2) pre-split (these plays are made in the days leading up to the actual split day); and 3) post-split plays (plays made after the actual stock split where the stock is showing continued or renewed strength).

We play pre-split plays as short-term plays. We get in when the technical indicators show us things look right, grab as much as we can, and get out, always being conscious of resistance and support. These stocks are highly volatile at this time, and can turn on you quickly. Don’t let good profits disappear. Watch for turns, especially when a stock trades in a wide range and finishes off its high. That is a sign these stocks often give you that they are running out of steam. We usually get out and ask questions later. We can always get back in. We like to play in the money calls, preferably two strike prices in the money as this usually gives us a greater delta (the percent an option will mover versus the stock’s movement). We prefer deltas of 75 or better. This means if the stock moves 1 point, the option should move three-fourths of that point. That means up or down.

Remember, wait to see the stock start to move up. Don't just blindly make a play and don’t try to guess tops and bottoms. We can look at indicators to give us a clue as to what will happen, but we need the stock to confirm it for us. Here's a pre-split play to watch and our current analysis.

LUV (Southwest Airlines--$31.01; -0.69; optionable): Announced a 2:1 stock split, effective February 15.
STATUS: Fell back a bit out of its recent consolidation, but held up to close with a doji after testing below its 50 day MVA (30.74) at its Friday low of 30.55. Not a severe drop, and the doji over support could signal a move back up in the handle to its small (five-week) cup-with-handle pattern. LUV has made a nice little move up from the 28 range in the right side of the little cup, and we will see if it can bounce back up into the recent range and make a run toward its high of 34.99.
PLAY: Aggressive-A bounce up from here, with stock and/or March $27.50 calls to buy (LUV CY). Breakout-A move to 32.57, with stock and/or March $30 calls to buy (LUV CF).
Company Profile


Chart by StockCharts.com

3) TECHNICAL PLAY

SDS (Sungard Data Systems Inc--$54.99; +2.19; optionable (SDS)): Business software
Company Profile
STATUS: The stock is in a nice uptrend since early July and broke out Wednesday and continuing Friday on even higher volume as investors jumped on board this good-looking stock (1.9 million; avg. 790,000). Buy point is 52.88, so remains a buy; indeed, the stock was trading up to 55.75 at the close of after hours trading. Outstanding money flow and high relative strength. Business software is performing well.
BUY POINT: Remains a buy on the breakout up to 55.52; after which we can add to positions after a test of the breakout (pullback).
POSITION: Aggressive: Stock and/or April $50 or $55 calls to buy (SDS DJ or DK). Safer: Stock and/or April $50 calls to buy (SDS DJ).


Chart by StockCharts.com

4) COVERED CALL PLAY

COF (Capital One Financial) is currently trading at $62.24. The Mar $60 Calls (COFCL) are trading at $5.20. That provides downside protection of 8% and a return of about 5% in about a month if COF is above $60 on expiration Friday in March.
Company Profile


Chart by StockCharts.com

5) IPOs

The mega offering from KPMG Consulting (ticker: KCIN) may have excited investors, but it didn't help the next two IPOs to come out of the pipeline. In the wake of KCIN's 30% first day gain the final two offerings of the week struggled to stay above their IPO price.

Oil States International (ticker: OIS) was the first to start trading on Friday, but barely moved from its drastically reduced IPO price. The stock opened a mere 2 cents above the $9 offering price and never made it much higher. OIS finished out its first trading session up only one percent at 9.15.

(This IPO story is continued on our website in the IPO Forum.)

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Good Investing! See you right here next week!

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For return calculations on our covered call, credit spread or put plays Click Here.

The foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinions of Eric J. Aafedt of Online Investment Services, LP., or Jon Johnson of Split Ventures, Ltd. This information is not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on the related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Eric J. Aafedt or Jon Johnson may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on the related web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors. Eric J. Aafedt and Jon Johnson do not receive compensation in any manner from any of the companies that are discussed in this newsletter.

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