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us stock market, top stock pick
Begin part 2 of 3
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CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 07/08 Rolling 200.65 +3.59 138.55 149.91 16M 23M 207.91
Current. Gapped and then continued to battle higher up to the 50 day EMA (200.56). A credible bounce after the drop lower Tuesday, but still not out of the woods as it holds under this resistance level on lower volume upside. Would be great to see AAPL retake the support, but if it turns back down we still look for the hold with the key support at 195 and 190.
AAPL 04/15 Test 20 200.65 +3.59 119.69 132.77 16M 25M 207.91
Current.
ABVT 02/19 Flag 61.25 +0.15 62.08 69.95 45K 175K 59.57
Buy Not Issued. Started higher, but couldn't hold the move so we held off the buy. Still a good place to bounce from out of the flag though, so will continue to watch it. If it can start to surge and the move sticks, we will pick it up.
AET 02/18 BullRev 29.56 +0.58 29.94 34.91 4.7M 8.2M 27.84
Buy Not Hit. Short intraday test lower and then rebounded solidly into the close. Did not move past the 18 day EMA (29.56), though it did not back down at all either. Seeing if it continues now as it is still at a good level to move in.
AMED 01/30 ABCD Up 59.26 +0.08 57.05 67.95 660K 1.5M 56.56
Current. Calming down decently Friday with this lateral doji over the 10 day EMA (58.80). Saw the gap and rollover Monday and Tuesday so a hold with this support is nice to see now. Going to give AMED a chance to hang on now, and see if a resumed bounce can take it over near resistance at the January high.
ANN 02/05 Flag 15.96 +0.50 15.12 17.65 1.9M 3.2M 14.06
Current. Long reach lower to the 18 day EMA (14.99) and then bounced smartly higher for a solid day of action. The upside was on better volume and held the entire move into the close so that is a plus as well. Still can go either way though. Has shown the bounce after the Tuesday downside, but still have this resistance level at 16 with December and early February highs. Will see how ANN deals with this Thursday.
ASH 01/27 Asc Tri 47.26 +1.96 42.69 49.89 1.7M 1.5M 44.21
Current. Two days of testing and now a blast higher up off the 10 day EMA (45.30). Good volume with this move that cleared over the earlier high from last Friday. Held all the gain into the close and looks like it could continue now. Will see if it does though.
ATI 02/18 ABCD Up 42.99 -0.74 45.34 51.91 2.1M 3M 42.17
Current. Did not participate in the bounce but continued to sink back again. Third day down though and bouncing modestly over the 50 day EMA (42.44) so just seeing how it tests. If it can hold and start back higher we let it run, but if it starts to waver at this level it is time to watch out.
ATW 02/16 Rolling 33.48 +0.31 34.21 39.45 698K 1.3M 32.03
Buy Not Issued. Short hop up after fading back for two sessions, but still holding under the 10 day EMA (33.66). Nothing more than continuing the February lateral action at this point so just watching how it carries along. Still ready to move in, but have to see that jump over the 34 mark before we get the buy.
CMG 01/26 Test BO 104.84 +1.20 98.45 110.00 249K 550K 99.97
Current. Pretty solid testing the previous two sessions back to the 10 day EMA (103.31) and now an appropriate bounce back up. Was missing volume though, so still just snugged up at the top of the February range as it closed off the intraday high. Can see if CMG will break through, but would not be surprised with a fade back Thursday to continue the lateral action for a little longer.
CNMD 02/04 ABCD Up 22.15 +0.07 22.89 26.45 67K 265K 21.56
Buy Not Issued. Trying to bounce after a couple weeks of lateral action, but after surging higher CNMD fell back to finish at the 50 day EMA (22.18). Not the kind of action to buy with so we are waiting it out. Will see if CNMD can start to move up again off this level and hold before we buy.
DNDN 01/21 ABCD Up 31.04 +0.03 29.54 33.48 2.6M 3M 30.48
Current. Gap up to a doji Monday, sold hard Tuesday, and now a short gap higher that slid back to finish flat. Still not ideal action, but calming down and it is bouncing up off the intraday low at the 18 day EMA (30.72). Will see if DNDN can find traction with this support and start to climb back higher or if it reaches lower again to the stronger support at the 30 mark from those Sep-Nov peaks.
EAT 02/08 Test BO 18.14 +0.19 16.81 19.91 985K 2.8M 17.24
Current. Two days of downside and then just bounced with the market Wednesday. Certainly not a huge move with this lower volume, but is holding up over the light 10 day EMA (17.85) support. Will see how this plays out over the next session or so. If EAT can start to bump higher we see if it can take out that August high (18.33) and start a new leg up.
F 02/23 Asc Tri 11.73 +0.13 11.77 14.22 84M 95M 10.95
Entered today. Gapped higher and continued to move so went ahead and jumped in. Like that Tuesday bounce that disregarded the market and as it continued higher it looked set.
FIRE 02/22 Flag 23.80 +0.48 24.38 28.00 344K 400K 22.71
Buy Not Hit. Had fallen for three sessions after that Tuesday drop, but left it on after it showed that big reach down that bounced. Rewarded us now with this Wednesday bounce higher to retake the 50 day EMA (23.49) and volume was no slouch either. Still need to see more life to get it back on track with the short February uptrend, but this was enough for us to see what else it can do.
FNSR 02/13 DB hdl 12.26 +0.39 11.75 13.97 832K 1.2M 11.24
Current. Nice bounce up off the 10 day EMA (11.75), but closed off the intraday high to finish at the top of the February range still. Not the best action as it still isn't sticking all the upside, but looking decent enough so we are continuing to watch it. Will see if it can begin to ride the 10 day higher by the end of the week.
GMCR 02/01 Test BO 84.46 +3.34 86.12 99.88 2.5M 2M 81.94
Current. Gapped up to the 10 day EMA (83.02) and then ran higher from there on news of a deal with SJM (who's shares fell). Nice comeback and will see if GMCR can stick this move Thursday. If it can then we will see if it recovers further.
HOLX 02/04 Test BO 16.57 +0.41 16.51 19.91 4.3M 5M 15.68
Entered today. Gap lower and recovery Monday, paused Tuesday, and then resumed the upside Wednesday. Held the entire move into the close and good enough for the buy. Right up against the prior February peak now, but looking good and ready to continue.
HUM 02/05 ABCD Up 46.91 +0.09 47.69 54.55 2.2M 3.5M 45.44
Current. Tapped down at the 50 day EMA (46.22) intraday and then bounced back to finish flat with the doji. Still looks good and holding up just fine after the light testing Tuesday. Now seeing if it will start to take off.
ILMN 02/10 ABCD Up 36.14 +0.13 36.53 40.97 921K 4M 34.42
Current. Spinning top doji that is wedged between the overhead 18 day EMA (36.35) and 36 support. Really holding the support level just as it needs to and does look set to bounce, just could use more volume. As this one is still in position to move we are giving it more time to run.
ISRG 01/28 Test BO 344.21 +1.53 335.64 374.75 331K 700K 334.88
Current. Slight upside with this doji, and bouncing nicely over the 10 day EMA (339.76) and January high (340.35) support. Not a bad hold after two sessions down and ISRG could start back up now. Will have to see which way things turn with the market as they are not quite clear cut yet.
ITMN 02/19 Pennant 14.37 -0.41 15.18 18.44 1.1M 1M 14.44
Buy Not Hit. Broke up the pattern with this crack lower through a serious support level. Have to drop it.
JOYG 02/13 Test 20 49.52 +0.82 49.05 55.00 2.6M 4M 48.08
Current. Gapped up to just over the 18 day EMA (49.04) and then tried for more, but came back into the close. Held the 18 day though, so it is showing life after testing for two sessions. Now we see if it can show anything at the 50 day EMA (50.67) resistance to get something started.
MJN 02/09 Asc Tri 46.30 +0.09 47.21 54.55 1.5M 6M 45.54
Buy Not Hit. Higher and lower intraday before settling to flat with this doji over the 10 day EMA (46.23). A lower volume move, and holding the support just how we want it to as it prepares for the bounce. This is one to watch closely as a bounce could start a break higher and give us the buy.
MR 02/02 Test 50 37.00 0.00 36.94 41.95 496K 1.4M 35.78
Current. Side step with this doji, but getting more interesting with the long reach lower to the 18 day EMA (36.52) that bounced back up. After stepping laterally that may be enough to start MR back to the upside. We will see though.
MTW 02/19 Cup hdl 11.58 +0.12 12.02 15.45 2.4M 4.2M 11.22
Buy Not Hit. Fell for two sessions to the 50 day EMA (11.38) and just held there Wednesday. A short move higher, yes, but could not stick the much better intraday levels. As it is at a safe level, though, we can leave it on and see if it can show more life Thursday or Friday with better upside.
NETL 02/05 Test BO 53.80 +1.61 50.68 56.94 455K 750K 51.22
Current. After two sessions lower, NETL took a nice bounce up off the 10 day EMA (52.28). Showing strength over light support, though volume was lacking slightly. Still, will see if NETL continues to recover, or it if does indeed try to continue testing after the big run up from a couple weeks back.
NFLX 02/05 Test BO 64.69 +0.34 61.42 69.97 1.7M 2.2M 62.91
Current. Two sessions of downside and now a side step to hold the 10 day EMA (64.14) with this doji. A good looking hold at light support and now we see if that continues. If NFLX can start to work back to the upside after just this short breather that would be great. If it starts to slip again then we will have to see where it can hold up.
NKTR 01/29 Test BO 12.67 +0.15 11.88 13.97 302K 1M 11.97
Current. A quick drop Tuesday and now a short bounce up Wednesday to hold the 10 day EMA (12.43). Do like how light support is holding, but a low volume bounce that closed well back from the intraday high. Not the best bounce but ok for now to see if it can gain any momentum Thursday.
NLST 02/18 ABCD Up 3.69 -0.13 4.14 6.45 367K 3.5M 3.85
Buy Not Hit. Slipped back for the third session, but again on very low volume so just continuing to watch it. Will see if it can start to hold in this range in the next session or two and then work back to the upside to get things back on track.
PCLN 02/11 Dbl btm 225.02 -0.07 210.99 229.91 898K 13M 225.77
Current. Setting up for the next bounce after that gap up last week. Reached down to the 10 day EMA (220.30) intraday and then bounced quickly up to finish with a doji. Will look for a new play with this one and see how it pans out over the next couple of sessions.
PDCO 02/13 Test 50 30.09 +0.44 29.57 33.89 1.1M 1.3M 28.54
Current. Gapped up and then ran further, but did close back modestly off the intraday high. Just showing that resistance level at 30ish still, but holding its ground so giving it more time. Going to see how it finishes up this week.
PLXS 02/02 Test BO 35.21 +0.86 32.22 39.94 205K 425K 33.28
Current. Another one that fell for two sessions and now is bouncing up off the 10 day EMA (34.46). Really a solid mover though volume was a tad light with this upside. Ok to see if it continues though as it held the entire move into the close and is positioned to take more.
PNRA 01/26 Test BO 73.04 +0.61 71.97 79.50 389K 650K 70.77
Current. After fading back for a couple sessions to the 18 day EMA (72.47) PNRA bounced right back up Wednesday. Not a huge move by any means, but holding over support as it needs to. Just letting this one continue along and will see if it can make any headway Thursday.
RIG 02/18 Rolling 79.85 -4.66 85.00 93.88 20M 5.5M 81.44
Current. Gapped sharply on earnings and sold quickly from there, but held above the December lows which is also at the early September gap up point(78.86 open). That is thus a key support level and given the gap on earnings we decided to wait and see if a bounce occurs.
RIMM 02/17 Flag 70.21 +1.79 70.98 88.91 11M 22M 67.44
Current. Sold to the 18 day EMA (68.43) Tuesday but a nice recovery Wednesday with the bounce. Getting things back on track now with this bounce so letting it continue. Now we want to see continued strength from RIMM Thursday.
RIMM 01/13 Pennant 70.21 +1.79 66.11 79.94 11M 22M 67.48
Current.
RMD 02/10 Test BO 57.52 +0.58 55.08 61.89 417K 6.2M 54.77
Current. Intraday reach down to the 10 day EMA (56.42) and then bounced back up to close nicely positive. Lower volume, but still nice action out of this one after that Tuesday testing. Letting this one run to see how it continues on up this February uptrend.
SHLD 02/19 Flag 95.52 +1.72 95.61 104.89 877K 2.4M 92.11
Current. Gapped on earnings Tuesday but the market selling pushed it back down. Nice to see the bounce back up though off the 10 and 18 day EMA as it shows life. Now we see how it plays out over the next couple days as it is well positioned to move still.
SHLD 02/04 Test 50 95.52 +1.72 91.31 104.89 877K 2.4M 92.11
Current.
SINA 02/16 Dbl btm 36.92 -0.04 38.06 43.85 877K 1.4M 35.88
Current. After the Tuesday selling SINA is holding up just as it needs to with this doji. Nice intraday reach down and bounce back up with this one at a key level so giving it more time to work out. Will see if it can start to rebound any over the next session or two.
SJT 02/09 ABCD Up 20.54 +0.13 21.33 24.94 152K 350K 20.23
Current. Three days of selling and now bouncing up off key support with the 50 day EMA (20.22). Lower volume move, but holding the key level we wanted it to hold so still shaping as it needs to. Now we see if it can make some sort of rebound off this level.
SOA 01/28 Rev HS 13.96 +0.08 14.16 17.94 898K 1.8M 13.62
Current. A nice hold with the doji at the 18 day EMA (14.89) after that quick Tuesday drop lower. This is more positive action, and also like that intraday reach down that bounced back up to finish. Positioned to run higher, but now just has to do it.
TEN 02/22 Cup hdl 19.73 +0.15 20.11 23.98 536K 1.8M 18.91
Buy Not Hit. Short step higher with this doji, and really like that intraday test to the 18 day EMA (19.27) that bounced. Still looks very ready at the bottom of the handle so just keeping an eye on it to see if it bounces.
TEVA 01/29 Test 50 59.56 +0.11 57.59 64.32 5.4M 6M 57.89
Current. Gapped up but then sold back to finish the day flat. Not the best action we saw Wednesday, but holding in a good range so just leaving it be. If it continues testing we see how it holds 59ish support.
TEX 02/11 Rolling 19.38 -0.37 19.34 23.77 2.8M 2.8M 19.14
Current. Not great action as it surged to the 50 day EMA (20.24) and then reversed back down to finish negative. Moved up the stop after this third day of testing and need to see life out of it soon.
TIE 02/19 ABCD Up 11.65 -0.08 11.89 14.94 2.3M 4.2M 11.28
Buy Not Issued. Not great as TIE slipped below the 50 day EMA (11.84) and closed there. Not what we want to see for the buy, but a lighter volume move so will see how TIE recovers Thursday.
TSL 02/13 Test 50 21.44 -1.52 25.85 29.91 9.1M 4M 23.89
Current. Earnings for this one gapped it higher but then it turned over sharply. It held above the bottom of the range of support that runs through the mid-November intraday high, the late November intraday low, and then the late January low (21ish). So we see if the mood changes on its results and it bounces up off of this level, and then how far it can move if it does.
WBSN 01/21 DB hdl 21.18 +0.29 19.36 23.44 429K 450K 20.08
Current. This one is showing more strength with the continued upside Wednesday on better volume. Saw that gravestone doji Monday, but seems to have shaken that off and now is trying to run further. If it continues we let it and just see how far it can carry.
XTEX 01/29 Pennant 9.27 +0.19 10.01 11.95 232K 525K 9.31
Current. Holding the 9 support as it needs to with the bounce up from there, but the upside bumped the 18 day EMA (9.30) and came to a halt. Held the entire move into the close, but do have that line of resistance to watch for Thursday. Will see how it handles that.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMZN 02/08 Rollove 119.72 +2.48 116.80 108.55 7.4M 12M 120.68
Current. It should fail out of this lateral consolidation, but wasn't acting like it Wednesday with that bounce higher. Still at the top of the February range at the 120 mark so there is resistance to put pressure on it, but this is where we want it to fall.
ATHR 02/22 Dbl Top 35.93 +0.27 35.91 33.08 1.3M 16K 37.11
Current. Bounced up off the 10 day EMA (35.53) but not much of one after that big Tuesday drop. Also finished off the intraday high so still looks very bearish. Will see how falls under this pressure now.
BRCM 02/19 BearRev 31.65 +0.92 31.38 28.11 7.9M 10M 32.12
Buy Not Issued. A very strong bounce up Wednesday killed the downside play. Dropping it.
BTU 02/23 ABCD Dw 45.30 +0.47 44.69 40.77 4.9M 5.5M 46.11
Buy Not Hit. Surged but then reversed back down to close with the doji at the 50 day EMA (45.07). This is what we want to see for the downside play and now just watching for weakness in the next session or two to give up this support level.
BUCY 02/22 BearRev 60.68 +1.20 61.15 56.25 4.5M 4M 62.11
Current. Gapped upside but closed well off the intraday high. This is something of a spinning top and can (can) signal a turn but it has to have confirmation. Still a more bearish pattern than bullish at this stage and will see if it can resume the downside.
CRR 02/09 BearFla 60.22 +0.95 63.38 58.32 256K 450K 60.65
Fell for three sessions and now a relief bounce Wednesday on low volume. After the fall over the previous sessions we can see where it tests to and then look for another break back lower.
CTSH 02/16 BearRev 48.17 +0.95 47.15 43.08 4.3M 4M 48.54
Current. This one is heading the wrong way on rising trade. Still holding under the January peak (48.78), but this is where it needs to start showing weakness or we cut it off.
EEM 02/23 ABCD Dw 38.89 +0.37 38.46 36.22 73M 85M 39.88
Buy Not Hit. Nice bounce back up with this doji at the 18 day EMA (39.11) that finished well off the intraday high. A good looking test with this doji and looks ready to turn lower now. Just seeing if it will.
FWLT 02/17 BearFla 26.71 -0.10 27.37 24.28 5.6M 3M 28.69
Buy Not Issued. Intraday move lower but bounced sharply back up into the close. Not the action we want for a downside play so dropping it.
IYT 02/23 BearRev 73.95 +0.36 73.21 69.15 312K 900K 74.69
Buy Not Hit. Closed in the green, but a low volume bounce that finished off the intraday high. Still tapping the resistance at the 74 mark so will give it a few more sessions and see if it starts to break down for the buy.
MA 02/13 BearFla 221.75 -0.27 224.24 212.00 1.5M 2M 227.31
Current. A side step and didn't participate in the bounce, but not giving up the 220 support either. Going to keep a close eye on this one and look for weakness in the next couple of sessions. Still a downside play with this one, but has to show something soon.
MON 02/04 BearFla 74.04 -1.86 75.56 70.15 8.3M 6M 76.18
Current. Gapped down, tested back up to fill, and then broke back lower with strong volume. This is what we want to see with the third day of downside and MON is acting as it should. Now will see how it handles this 74 support level and if it holds or continues to fall.
MSTR 02/11 BearFla 87.19 +1.07 84.77 77.48 45K 200K 86.82
Buy Not Issued. Bounced Wednesday, but bumped the 18 day EMA (87.40) and came to a halt. A low volume move that held under resistance, so this could set up a better buy. Just going to watch for the turn back lower and then see if it can hit our buy and hold the move.
PBR 02/23 ABCD Dw 41.58 -0.25 41.63 38.10 13M 16M 43.31
Buy Not Issued. Finished in the red, but too much of a rally off the intraday low so we held off the buy. A little bounce up to 42 would be really nice if it can fail there as it would give us a nice entry.
PFWD 02/19 BearFla 11.89 -0.03 11.78 10.04 338K 650K 12.21
Buy Not Issued. Holding right under the light 10 day EMA (12.01) as it needs to, but a bounce off the low so we held off the buy. Still in a great place to fail so going to watch it Thursday for any weakness.
RL 02/17 BearFla 80.15 -0.13 79.44 75.05 1.9M 1.4M 80.98
Buy Not Hit. Gapped up to the 50 day EMA (80.68) but then turned back down to finish flat. Like the set up with this one still as it continues to show weakness. Just waiting for that break lower that holds before moving in.
SSD 02/13 BearFla 24.60 +0.29 24.35 21.32 248K 300K 25.21
Buy Not Issued. Fell hard, but a sharp bounce back up so we did not move in. Still under strong resistance with the 200 day SMA (24.76), but have to see how this one acts after the big reversal. Going to watch and see if it fades back any now Thursday.
End part 2 of 3
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