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us stock market, top stock pick
Begin part 2 of 3
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HTML CONTINUING PLAY TABLE. Click the following link to view the Continuing Play Table in HTML format including additional information, e.g. option tickers, after hours pricing
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CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 07/08 Rolling 218.95 +8.24 138.55 149.91 32M 23M 207.91
Current. The iPad will be available in April and that was apparently good enough as AAPL gapped to the top of the January range and then pressed further. No issues with this and now we look at how the gap holds: it is a breakaway gap and those provide opportunities that we take advantage of when it tests back. Will do the same with AAPL and see if it gives a new entry next week.
AAPL 04/15 Test 20 218.95 +8.24 119.69 132.77 32M 25M 207.91
Current.
ABVT 02/19 Flag 61.95 +0.35 63.51 69.95 72K 175K 59.89
Current. Three days of testing, and just a gentle bounce Friday with the doji. Holding up at 62ish nicely, and a good layer of support there with the mid February lateral move. Just seeing how it sticks to this level, and then will see if it can start to bounce.
AET 02/18 BullRev 31.38 +0.73 29.94 34.91 3.9M 8.2M 29.77
Current. Climbed early in the week, tested Thursday, and bounced right back up Friday. Volume did fade back to below average so more testing is a possibility, but ok for now to just see how AET starts things off next week.
AMED 01/30 ABCD Up 60.06 -0.31 57.05 67.95 862K 1.5M 57.24
Current. Up and down all week as it was unable to stick any real upside, but nothing wrong with this lateral action over the 10 day EMA (59.50). Still primed to run next week, but will have to see if AMED can bounce to break over the January and February highs at 62ish. If it can do that, then it could really start to run next week. Will have to see what it does though.
ANN 02/05 Flag 18.50 +0.53 15.12 17.65 1.7M 3.2M 16.77
Current. Volume picked back up after fading Thursday, and ANN used it to help continue running. Letting the rest of the positions play out, and they are doing that just fine. Will see where they can run to next week.
ARO 03/04 PreSplt 25.56 +0.56 25.21 28.45 3M 2.6M 23.45
Buy Not Hit. Crazy. Announced the split Thursday and it was effective Friday. It gapped again Friday, but then faded off the high. Not a great one to enter on and needs to give us a more orderly test, i.e. one that holds around 25ish as it settles down. Then we can get in.
ASH 01/27 Asc Tri 51.20 +1.11 42.69 49.89 1.8M 1.5M 47.88
Current. Gapped lower, but tapped the 10 day EMA (48.65) and rallied back to positive with strong volume. Pretty decent week higher for this one and it held up better than others. As it is doing everything it needs to, we just see if it continues to run higher with the 10 day EMA next week.
ATI 02/18 ABCD Up 48.69 +1.20 45.34 51.91 1.5M 3M 45.78
Current. Gapped and then pressed just mildly higher from there into the close. Decent week of gains, though like many others we did see a few finishes back off the intraday highs. Looks decent moving into next week, and will see if it takes off again, or if it tests back towards the February high (46.47 open) for support first.
ATW 02/16 Rolling 36.20 +0.72 34.21 39.45 528K 1.3M 32.03
Buy Not Issued. Bumped higher again to end the week, and doing so as volume continues to shrink. Not at a level we can buy so dropping it for now.
BWA 02/24 Asc Bse 37.65 -0.53 38.69 44.88 2.4M 1.8M 36.31
Current. Gapped up and then sold back with volume above average. Not a great way to wrap up the week, but it is holding the 18 day EMA (37.49) and the late February lows at this level. Giving it more time to try for a bounce so will watch it early next week.
CEDC 03/04 Asc Tri 34.09 +1.31 34.05 39.94 522K 1.1M 32.08
Entered today. Tested for a few sessions back to the 50 day EMA (32.30), and then gave us the buy with the strong Friday bounce. Held the entire move into the close, and looks ready to keep running after this break past the February highs.
CGA 03/04 ABCD Up 15.55 +0.30 15.54 17.98 350K 875K 14.45
Entered today. Gapped higher and held that move as it closed with a doji. Did finish back from the intraday high, but still good enough to pick it up. This one is ready to make a move, but seeing if it will.
CMG 01/26 Test BO 110.63 +1.60 98.45 110.00 328K 550K 104.89
Current. Up early in the week, tested for two sessions, and now bouncing higher again Friday. Trending higher just as it should and showing life to continue along the 10 day EMA (107.49). Volume was a tad lighter to remain below average, but this one is still solidly positioned. Seeing how it starts things next week.
CMI 02/24 Flag 60.70 +0.97 56.82 64.85 2.6M 3M 57.69
Current. Bounced Monday, stepped laterally for three sessions, and then broke higher again Friday. This one is working along with fairly solid volume and does have more room to run. Seeing if it will take advantage of that Monday.
CNMD 02/04 ABCD Up 23.24 +0.47 22.89 26.45 200K 265K 22.11
Broke higher with volume rising to above average. Solid action to end the week as CNMD moved through the top of the February range, and now we see if it continues or begins to test the move.
CY 02/27 Flag 12.12 +0.14 11.98 14.22 3M 4.5M 11.49
Current. Short bounce up Friday to continue working along the 10 day EMA (11.95). Same story all week for the most part, and just stepped horizontally for five sessions. This one can start to bounce up from this level, but will have to break over the late February peak (12.30) to do so. Giving it a chance to do that.
DNDN 01/21 ABCD Up 35.30 +0.45 29.54 33.48 3.6M 3M 31.94
Target Hit. Took the rest of the 104% gain on options as they were March options. Stalled after that Thursday gap and may be out of steam so best to take the rest of the gain.
EAT 02/08 Test BO 18.27 +0.19 16.81 19.91 2.4M 2.8M 17.64
Target Hit. Interim target and took half the 42% option gain Friday. Has worked laterally for a few weeks now, and as it finished off the intraday high it was best to lock in gain. Will see if the rest can start to break out next week.
F 02/23 Asc Tri 13.00 +0.21 11.77 14.22 107M 95M 11.98
Current. Gapped higher and then just closed there with a doji. Not a bad way to finish the week of gradual gains, but F could test back after the gap. If it starts next week higher, we let it run. It does have room to test, though, so will see where it sticks if it does start to turn lower.
FIRE 02/22 Flag 26.85 +0.28 24.94 28.00 111K 400K 23.89
Target Hit. Interim target. Slowing toward the prior peak so took part of the 7.5% stock, 18% option gain. It can still break through the late December/early January highs at 28ish, but as it has closed back from the intraday high several times already this week, it was best to bank part of the gain ahead of the weekend. Will let the rest ride and see where it takes us.
FNSR 02/13 DB hdl 13.08 -0.26 11.75 13.97 1.1M 1.2M 11.97
Current. Saw that Thursday gap lower and rebound, but could not stick the move Friday as it slid back to close lower. This just ended the week flat as it worked horizontally the first few days. Not the best move as the market did rally Friday, but ok still to see if FNSR can manage any upside. If it slides the 10 day EMA (12.64) and bounces it is still in good position to move.
GMCR 02/01 Test BO 87.74 +0.42 86.12 99.88 593K 2M 83.21
Current. Short gap higher Friday and then slid back to finish flat on the day. Not a show of strength with this lower, below average trade, but still in decent shape overall. Can let it continue to pause at this late January high, and see if it can resume the upside next week.
HCSG 03/01 Cup hdl 22.50 -0.01 22.49 25.94 176K 250K 21.22
Buy Not Issued. Not really a great point to buy given the action the past three sessions as it continues to gap and fade back. Need to let it settle down as it is near term extended and choppy after this week's action. Will see where it holds after a few sessions of testing and if it can still be bought.
HOLX 02/04 Test BO 17.41 +0.30 16.51 19.91 2.1M 5M 16.57
Current. Gentle testing this week back to the support from the October high and 10 day EMA (16.99), and then an appropriate bounce back up Friday. Responded at support just like it is supposed to, but did have much lighter volume on the session. Will take what it gives us, though, and see if it can continue bouncing early next week.
HUM 02/05 ABCD Up 48.14 +1.02 47.69 54.55 1.7M 3.5M 45.44
Current. Maybe, just maybe, this is the time it rallies. Finished the week higher after stepping laterally along the 50 day EMA (46.52) for a couple weeks. There is a ton of space to run, if HUM can actually make the move, so will give it that chance Monday.
ILMN 02/10 ABCD Up 38.82 +0.55 36.53 40.97 1.1M 4M 35.97
Current. Bounced to start the week, and then just traveled laterally from there. Solid action though, as ILMN is holding over the February peak, and can now take a bounce up from the rising 10 day EMA (37.71). Then we see if it can break past the January high at 40.50 with the next leg up.
ISRG 01/28 Test BO 358.40 +3.91 335.64 374.75 341K 700K 342.44
Current. Tested for two sessions, and now bouncing up decently from the 10 day EMA (352.54). Like the turn higher over light support, but still watching as volume did shrink back to below average. Overall, this one is trending nicely higher, but will have to see if that continues with the start of next week.
JOYG 02/13 Test 20 55.85 +1.50 49.05 55.00 2.6M 4M 51.09
Current. Gapped Wednesday, and then just took a lateral step Thursday as it closed off the intraday highs. Just let this one play and it worked higher moving into the weekend. Nothing wrong with this action, but volume was lower so we see if the upside can continue. If JOYG tests, we see where it can start to hold and if it will bounce.
KSU 02/25 Cup 35.45 +0.57 35.28 39.94 1M 1.4M 33.77
Current. Tested the past three sessions, but holding nicely now as KSU bounced back up Friday off of the 10 day EMA (34.61). Did not really do much for the week, but it is still at a good place to start running. Just letting it play out further now to see what it can manage.
MDZ 02/25 Cup hdl 8.26 -0.05 8.44 10.35 254K 900K 7.85
Buy Not Issued. Gapped up and then faded back again to close near the 10 day EMA (8.28). Just barely lower on the session, and just continued the testing we saw for most of the week. Right now MDZ could continue down to the 18 day EMA (8.20) support, which is the same level it bounced from last week. If it does take the bounce, then we can see what sort of rally it shows and if it is good enough to be bought.
MR 02/02 Test 50 37.99 -0.01 36.94 41.95 1.2M 1.4M 37.11
Current. Worked higher to start the week but then showed that gap down to a doji on Thursday. Held the 18 day EMA (37.55) support so we left it on, and just doing the same Friday as it gapped up and then slid back to flat. Going to give this one time to work things out at this support level, but would like to see life out of it next week.
MTW 02/19 Cup hdl 12.71 +0.26 12.02 15.45 1.7M 4.2M 11.22
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher on low volume, showing a doji under the prior high. Not the kind of action you want to see so just dropping it and will see if it can set back up.
NETL 02/05 Test BO 56.05 -0.13 50.68 56.94 534K 750K 53.88
Current. Higher intraday, and then faded back to close with a doji. Still holding nicely in the short uptrend started at the beginning of February, but does looks tired. Going to see if it can take a breather over the light 10 day EMA (54.93), and then start to get moving once again.
NFLX 02/05 Test BO 67.65 -0.36 61.42 69.97 1.3M 2.2M 64.68
Current. Gapped lower early in the week, and has just drifted up with the 10 day EMA (66.91) since then. Still holding light support, so this one is not in trouble, but would like to see more life out of it. Going to watch for any bouncing early next week to get things moving higher again.
NKTR 01/29 Test BO 14.94 +0.36 11.88 13.97 1.7M 1M 13.37
Current. Volume still holding above average as NKTR stepped higher for the third session. Still not showing as big a move as that Wednesday blast, but positive action nonetheless. Do keep in mind that this move finished back from the intraday high so it may be slowing down now. Going to have to see how things start of next week, but would not be surprised with any testing.
NLST 02/18 ABCD Up 4.20 +0.02 4.18 6.45 515K 3.5M 3.87
Current. Showed another doji with this side step along the 50 day EMA (4.06). Not a bad hold after breaking through earlier this week, but still showing the finish back from better intraday levels. Just have to let it play, and see how it reacts with this support next week, i.e. can it hold an begin to bounce.
PCLN 02/24 Flag 235.34 +2.22 226.14 247.22 2.2M 1.2M 231.91
Current. Gapped up, tested to the 10 day EMA (231.03), and then bounced to finish with a doji. That closed PCLN modestly higher, and it does seem to be ready now after just a few short days of testing. Will see if this move up can actually be sustained and is able to reach our target. A great setup, but will see if it can follow through.
PCLN 02/11 Dbl btm 235.34 +2.22 210.99 229.91 2.2M 13M 231.91
Current.
PDCO 02/13 Test 50 30.77 +0.20 29.57 33.89 1.3M 1.3M 29.81
Current. Two sessions of testing, and now a very small bounce up to end the week. Not a bad way to end things, but now it gets interesting as PDCO tries to make a break past the January peak with further upside. This is another one that is well positioned, but just has to make the move.
PDS 03/02 ABCD Up 8.57 +0.24 8.38 9.98 1.8M 2M 7.94
Current. Stepped laterally Wednesday/Thursday with the back to back doji, but started back higher to finish the week. Volume improved with this upside, and PDS is looking better now as it has slipped over the February highs. Just going to see if it presses forward next week.
PLXS 02/02 Test BO 36.17 +0.26 32.22 39.94 238K 425K 34.12
Target Hit. Took half of the 12% stock, 44% option gain at the interim target. This one is slowing as it hangs around the February highs so went ahead and locked in gain. Now we will see what the rest of our position can do.
PNRA 01/26 Test BO 78.04 +4.00 71.97 79.50 1.2M 650K 73.38
Current. After testing along laterally at the top of the January/February range, PNRA broke higher Friday with very strong volume. Held the entire move into the close, and looks very good. Can now see if this move sticks, and can look at taking gain if it makes another solid push or two.
QID 03/03 ABCD Up 18.11 -0.58 18.97 21.55 17M 19M 18.48
Buy Not Issued. As the market showed quite a bounce Friday it was time to drop this one.
RIMM 02/17 Flag 69.50 -0.48 70.98 88.91 11M 22M 67.44
Current. Faded lightly again Friday, but still is holding up near the 200 day SMA (69.95) and 18 day EMA (69.44). Still holding a key range, but this is when RIMM needs to firm up. Will see if it can bounce early next week to challenge the 71ish level, as it is getting to that point where RIMM needs to hold.
RIMM 01/13 Pennant 69.50 -0.48 66.11 79.94 11M 22M 67.48
Current.
RMD 02/10 Test BO 59.50 +0.41 55.08 61.89 294K 6.2M 57.04
Current. Lower intraday and then recovered to finish just slightly higher. Not a bad lateral move throughout the week, and now RMD is beginning to tap down at the 10 day EMA (58.22) again. Will see if that is enough to send this one running up higher in the next few sessions.
SAPE 02/27 Flag 9.46 +0.08 9.12 10.95 794K 1.5M 9.11
After very gentle upside over the previous few sessions, SAPE bounced lightly moving into the weekend. Volume did fall to below average with this upside, so we still look for testing next week. If it gets the test, we see if it can hold and bounce and then we look for an entry.
SDS 03/03 ABCD Up 32.83 -0.99 34.23 37.78 32M 40M 33.46
Buy Not Hit. Gapped down and then fell further as the market bounced. Broke up the pattern so dropping this for now.
SHLD 02/19 Flag 100.95 +2.62 95.61 104.89 1.2M 2.4M 96.11
Current. After a couple weeks of lateral action, SHLD broke higher Thursday. Like how the upside continued Friday to end the week as volume edged higher. This one does look ready to run again, but now we see if it can actually follow through.
SHLD 02/04 Test 50 100.95 +2.62 91.31 104.89 1.2M 2.4M 96.11
Current.
SINA 02/16 Dbl btm 40.93 +1.53 38.06 43.85 2.2M 1.4M 37.77
Current. Gapped down and then showed a very strong bounce Thursday, and then bounced again Friday after opening at the 50 day EMA (39.44). Still showing the strong volume with the solid upside and we just see how far this one can continue next week.
SJT 02/09 ABCD Up 21.27 +0.51 21.33 24.94 149K 350K 20.23
Current. Saw that gap and rollover Thursday, but went ahead and bounced Friday to retake the 18 day EMA (20.92). Could still test back at this point, but if SJT can run we will see how it continues to the next resistance at 22. That is the next area to see strength as the two February peaks are at that level.
SOA 01/28 Rev HS 15.17 +0.77 14.16 17.94 2.4M 1.8M 13.62
Current. Tested back for three sessions to the 10 day EMA (14.41), and then took a strong thump higher Friday. Much stronger volume, and held almost the entire move into the close. This is the action we were waiting for, and will see if this can kick off the next leg higher.
SSYS 02/27 Flag 27.29 +0.47 27.59 31.94 96K 300K 25.78
Current. Tested down to the 18 day EMA (26.41) and then bounced to close modestly higher. Is holding up at this level just fine after testing for a few sessions, and this is where SSYS bounced last week. Will see if it does the same Monday, but will look for the upside to actually continue higher throughout the week.
SYK 03/04 Cup hdl 55.04 +0.99 54.97 62.22 2.3M 2.4M 52.44
Entered today. Tested for two sessions, and then showed a nice bounce higher Friday. Stronger volume, and a good enough move to give us the buy. Now we just let it play and see what it can do next week.
TEN 02/22 Cup hdl 21.88 -0.18 20.20 23.98 1.2M 1.8M 19.92
Current. Bounced solidly higher Monday, but not able to do too much from there. It ended the week with a slight turn back, but still is hanging in there nicely over the 10 day EMA (21.00). Can afford to let this one play out early next week, and see if any testing bounces at the light support.
TEVA 01/29 Test 50 61.66 +0.49 57.59 64.32 3.6M 6M 59.48
Target Hit. Took half the 59% option gain as the short Friday bounce hit our interim target. Just not moving quickly higher as volume fades, so banked gain and can see how things test now. If TEVA just continues to run, that is fine, but now we can afford to give it more room to play.
TEX 02/11 Rolling 22.72 +0.76 19.34 23.77 2.9M 2.8M 20.43
Target Hit. Took half the 18% stock, 63% option gain as TEX gapped and ran further Friday. Moving solidly, but as it is nearing the January peak (23.64) it was best to lock in gain. Will let the rest ride and see how it does the next few sessions.
VLTR 02/27 Flag 24.20 +0.41 22.11 26.42 301K 400K 22.04
Worked laterally for three sessions, but took a bounce higher off the 10 day EMA (23.13) Friday. This one is doing everything right, but would appreciate a dip back lower to give a better entry. As it is now, though, it looks set for more upside next week.
WBSN 01/21 DB hdl 23.11 +0.46 19.36 23.44 662K 450K 21.94
Target Hit. Took part of the 19.5% stock, 104% option gain as WBSN popped moderately higher Friday. Better volume with this bigger upside. Still continuing the unrelenting ascent started the beginning of February, and just seeing where it stops. Looks like it could carry forward even more Monday, but we will see.
WCRX 03/02 Cup 28.07 +1.02 27.61 31.94 1.2M 1.8M 25.68
Buy Not Issued. Thought about getting in but just held off. Very solid action with the bounce up on better volume, but will have to see how things start off next week. If it backslides any and bounces early in the week, we may still get our entry.
XTEX 01/29 Pennant 10.81 -0.04 10.01 11.95 254K 525K 9.91
Current. Higher intraday, but slid back to finish a little lower with this doji. Not the prettiest testing over the past few days, but it is getting the job done. Will see if it continues fading early next week, and then watch for some kind of bounce up with the rising 10 day EMA (10.32). If it can do that, we will let it continue.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
BUCY 02/22 BearRev 65.82 +1.34 61.15 56.25 2.1M 4M 62.11
Current. Jumped modestly higher with this doji, but as it was a lower volume move we left it on. There is a resistance level at 66ish so we will see if BUCY can stall at this level and turn back. Key to do so at this level.
BWLD 03/01 BearFla 44.51 +1.15 43.27 40.04 316K 500K 44.65
Buy Not Issued. Rallied over the 50 day EMA (43.81) but no volume as it filled part of the gap. Not great for the downside, but if it can reverse and close below 44 then we can still play it to the downside. Will watch it closely early next week.
CAT 03/03 ABCD Dw 59.23 +0.78 57.74 54.36 6.6M 12M 59.77
Buy Not Issued. Gapped up on low volume and still in the ABCD pattern. Just going to adjust the buy point to be ready just in case as it is bumping the resistance range, the bottom of which is marked by the Wednesday intraday high (59.93). Will see if it can indeed make that turn back down to get us looking at an entry.
CUB 03/02 BearFla 36.29 +1.07 34.41 31.35 188K 200K 35.44
Buy Not Hit. Gapped and then ran higher on very strong volume to break up the downside play. Have to drop it.
KOL 03/03 ABCD Dw 37.90 +1.32 36.64 32.55 523K 900K 37.62
Buy Not Issued. This is another one that rallied with stronger volume. Not working in the pattern so dropping it.
MON 02/04 BearFla 72.50 -1.65 75.56 70.15 11M 6M 72.11
Current. Showed that doji on Monday and then bounced for several sessions up to the 18 day EMA (74.42) and those February lows. Really like this Friday move as it sold away from the resistance on stronger volume, and then could not manage any rebounding to speak of. This is what we wanted to see, and now we give MON a chance to fall to last week's low at 70.50 and watch for a reaction.
PFWD 02/19 BearFla 12.60 +0.35 11.78 10.04 848K 650K 12.21
Buy Not Issued. Broke apart the bear flag pattern with the stronger Friday bounce. Have to drop it as it is not a setup we want to play.
SPY 03/02 ABCD Dw 114.25 +1.60 111.84 108.77 176M 195M 112.85
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher and continued to run as the market bounced. Have to drop this one for the time being.
STLD 03/03 ABCD Dw 17.53 +0.35 17.27 14.78 4.1M 8.5M 17.88
Buy Not Hit. Showed a low volume gap higher to a doji Friday. Just continued the slow gains of the week, and the move still held STLD in the ABCD Dw pattern. Will just continue watching in the event it does make the fall.
TS 03/02 BearFla 43.56 -0.19 43.44 39.88 3.5M 2.2M 44.54
Buy Not Hit. Gap and rollover Thursday, and then starting to slip beneath the 50 day EMA (43.69) Friday. Looking better as TS softens up at this resistance level, and now we can see if it drops next week. At a good level to buy, so will be watching this one carefully.
VSEA 03/04 ABCD Dw 31.09 +0.09 30.77 28.04 309K 825K 31.84
Buy Not Hit. Gentle upside early in the week moved VSEA to the 50 day EMA (31.54) and then it stalled there. Like this action with that turn lower Thursday, and now just waiting on it after this Friday side step. Going to watch early next week to see if VSEA can resume the move down to give up the 18 day EMA (30.84). If it can do that and hold, it looks good for a buy.
End part 2 of 3
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