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us stock market, trading system
Begin part 2 of 3
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CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 07/08 Rolling 219.08 +0.13 138.55 149.91 15M 23M 207.91
Current. Opened modestly higher, but soon faded back to start the week flat. Just a rest after that gap and surge we saw Friday, so nothing wrong as it pauses. Will see how things pan out over the next several days, and if things can take off again from this level.
AAPL 04/15 Test 20 219.08 +0.13 119.69 132.77 15M 25M 207.91
Current.
ABVT 02/19 Flag 62.90 +0.95 63.51 69.95 123K 175K 59.89
Current. After four days of testing last week ABVT jumped Monday, though volume did not show up until late. Still looks good if it can continue out of the flag, but do want to keep in mind that earnings are Wednesday.
AET 02/18 BullRev 31.22 -0.16 29.94 34.91 2.1M 8.2M 29.77
Current. Very low volume lateral step as AET closed with a doji Monday. A short pause after that Monday bounce and then decent upside from last week so leaving it be. Seeing if it tests to support at the 50 day EMA (30.34) and bounces or just continues higher from this level.
AMED 01/30 ABCD Up 59.00 -1.06 57.05 67.95 944K 1.5M 57.24
Current. A short fade back to start the week, but still managing to hang onto the 18 day EMA (58.79) support. Not a bad place to stick as the market pauses, and still in good position to start bouncing. Just giving it a few sessions to start doing that.
ANN 02/05 Flag 18.57 +0.07 15.12 17.65 1.3M 3.2M 17.11
Current. Showed solid upside last week, so no problem as it started this week with the lateral step. A low volume doji Monday, so could very well fade back to the 10 day EMA (17.46) before bouncing again. Have to give this one a few days to see how it plays out, though it is working along nicely for now.
ARO 03/04 PreSplt 25.53 -0.03 25.21 28.45 1.8M 2.6M 23.45
Buy Not Hit. Higher and lower intraday before settling to flat with the doji. Not what we want for the buy and still looking for that test back. Want to see ARO closer to 25 and holding before we pick it up.
ASH 01/27 Asc Tri 50.82 -0.38 42.69 49.89 1.6M 1.5M 47.88
Current. A pretty decent bounce to end last week, so not getting worked up with this short Monday fade lower. ASH could test to the 10 day EMA (49.05) and bounce, but would be better to see it resume the upside as it has tested to there recently. Really will have to see this one over the next couple of days as the market rests after the run higher last week.
ATI 02/18 ABCD Up 49.41 +0.72 45.34 51.91 2.2M 3M 46.31
Current. Volume increased to average as ATI jumped higher to start the week. Not a bad way to kick things off as many others faded, but still not showing huge power under the January high (52.01 open). Still, showing signs of life so we give it room to play and will see what it can do.
ATW 02/16 Rolling 36.81 +0.61 34.21 39.45 774K 1.3M 32.03
Buy Not Issued. Eased higher with average volume, but still not buying at this level. Have to give this one time to see if this one will test with the market and where it will hold. If it can reach lower enough and bounce, then we can look for the buy.
BWA 02/24 Asc Bse 37.75 +0.10 38.69 44.88 2.7M 1.8M 36.31
Current. Not able to do much after the Friday gap and rollover, but did manage a very modest bounce up from the 18 day EMA (37.52). As BWA did hold the support we will see if it can start to rebound up. If it does not start to bounce right away, it may have to fall to firmer support with the 50 day EMA (36.18) before bouncing.
CEDC 03/04 Asc Tri 34.44 +0.35 34.05 39.94 396K 1.1M 32.08
Current. Not a huge move higher, but still continuing the upside after that strong Friday bounce. Volume also fell off slightly, but as CEDC held all the gain into the close, it does not look ready to back down. Just let it play out over the next few sessions to see if it pauses with the rest of the market, or if it continues higher to challenge the January highs at 34.50ish.
CGA 03/04 ABCD Up 16.05 +0.50 15.54 17.98 463K 875K 14.74
Current. Volume edged higher as CGA started the week off with moderate jump up. Nothing huge, but is still working in the right direction to hold over the 10 day EMA (15.05). This one is not making the break yet, but it is not in danger either. Thus, we give it time and see if it starts to make a move.
CMG 01/26 Test BO 111.50 +0.87 98.45 110.00 363K 550K 105.78
Current. Soft step higher after closing back from the better intraday high. Not the best way to continue the Friday bounce up, but ok to pause afte the solid upside from earlier last week. If CMG starts to test any, we will look and first see how it can hold up with the 10 day EMA (108.22).
CMI 02/24 Flag 60.02 -0.68 56.82 64.85 2.1M 3M 57.69
Current. Bounced to end last week, but slipped right back down to start things Monday. Still in a nice uptrend, but more lateral action now is possible as the 10 day EMA (58.60) rises to provide support. Going to give CMI a couple more sessions and then see if it can show any life at this light support level.
CNMD 02/04 ABCD Up 23.31 +0.07 22.89 26.45 168K 265K 22.11
Nice bounce off the intraday low, but could not make any headway into the close. Nice upside last week so can see if CNMD will pause now, but if it continues higher Tuesday we will let it move to 23.80ish and then see if it pauses at that resistance level.
CTCM 03/06 Flag 16.51 +0.09 16.61 19.94 355K 650K 15.38
Buy Not Issued. Solid testing back in the flag pattern last week and then bounced decently Friday. Volume was higher to start the week, but as CTCM could not continue the upside we held off the buy. Can still move in if the run higher resumes, but will let it test a couple more sessions if need be.
CY 02/27 Flag 12.13 +0.01 11.98 14.22 2.7M 4.5M 11.49
Current. Nice bounce off the intraday low at the 18 day EMA (11.82) to close with a doji. This move just continued the lateral action we saw last week as CY works along under the February peak. Will let it gather its strength at this level and see if it can begin the next leg higher soon.
DNDN 01/21 ABCD Up 35.43 +0.13 29.54 33.48 2.6M 3M 32.31
Current. Volume eased just barely lower as DNDN again stepped laterally with the doji. Holding up nicely after that Thursday gap higher, but we will have to watch if that holds. DNDN could fade more to fill the gap and then bounce, but not going to complain if it catches its second wind and turns higher again without testing.
EAT 02/08 Test BO 19.37 +1.10 16.81 19.91 3.4M 2.8M 17.98
Current. Stronger, above average volume as EAT clicked higher off the 10 day EMA (18.27) support. Great action to break EAT out of the February lateral move along 18ish, and this closed the stock over the near resistance from the August '09 peak (18.33). Now we see if the move sticks and if it will make that further push to hit our initial target.
EJ 03/06 Flag 20.73 +1.91 20.41 23.65 2M 1.2M 18.42
Entered today. Bounced out of the flag pattern Friday, and gave us the buy as it exploded higher to start the week. Held the entire move into the close and looks strong after this big volume move.
F 02/23 Asc Tri 12.93 -0.07 11.77 14.22 79M 95M 11.98
Current. Slightly down intraday before bouncing to finish with a doji. This one is working along very nicely at this level, though it does look set to fade towards the 10 day EMA (12.38) now. Will see if it gets that fade, and how it reacts to that light support level.
FIRE 02/22 Flag 26.76 -0.09 24.94 28.00 160K 400K 23.89
Current. Pretty solid gain last week even though it repeatedly closed down from the intraday highs, but just a side step Monday. Also showing a slight fade back off the intraday high Monday with this doji, and FIRE does look like it will cool down for a couple of sessions. Like many others, we will see if it can pull back to the 10 day EMA (25.50) and show a bounce there.
FNSR 02/13 DB hdl 13.30 +0.22 11.75 13.97 867K 1.2M 11.97
Current. Not much going on with this one as it showed a soft bounce up. Volume was just under average, but FNSR is still just working easily higher along the 10 day EMA (12.76). Giving this one space and will see if it can continue higher along the light support.
GLD 03/06 DB hdl 109.88 -0.93 111.23 117.48 13M 20M 109.65
Buy Not Issued. Faded Monday so we were not buying, but still like this test back towards the 18 day EMA (109.33) support. Also holding the short February up trendline, and we are watching for the bounce from this level. Then, like all others, we see if the upside move can hold before picking it up.
GMCR 02/01 Test BO 92.44 +4.70 86.12 99.88 2.2M 2M 86.43
Current. Volume surged Monday as GMCR broke higher off the 10 day EMA (86.93). Tested to end things last week, but like how this jump pushed GMCR over the February peak (87.60). Solid action when many paused, and giving it a chance to resume the upside Tuesday.
HCSG 03/01 Cup hdl 22.38 -0.12 22.49 25.94 130K 250K 21.22
Buy Not Issued. Short gap up and then slid back to close near the 10 day EMA (22.27). Not the action we want to see for a buy, but the test back to this light support is not hurting anything after the lateral action last week. Just want to see if it can hold and take the bounce to catch our interest.
HOLX 02/04 Test BO 17.52 +0.11 16.51 19.91 2.3M 5M 16.88
Current. Tested all last week and then showed that Friday bounce. Not a huge move Monday, but continued that upside and still looks set moving off this support level. Seeing how it continues Tuesday.
HUM 02/05 ABCD Up 47.95 -0.19 47.69 54.55 1.4M 3.5M 45.44
Current. Very slight fade back Monday with the below average volume. Nothing more than a continuation of the February lateral move with this action so we let it play. Has not shown its hand yet, but will continue to watch this one throughout the week to see if anything can spark it higher.
ILMN 02/10 ABCD Up 38.67 -0.15 36.53 40.97 1M 4M 35.97
Current. Small intraday move lower, but bounced right back up to finish with a doji. This move continues the testing we saw last week and now it is nearing the 10 day EMA (37.89). Looks set to move, and should do so in the next couple of sessions if it is going to.
ISRG 01/28 Test BO 355.97 -2.43 335.64 374.75 221K 700K 342.44
Current. A small move down Monday, but held onto the 10 day EMA (353.16) with this doji. This one did show solid upside last week, but then came back to test that move. Will give it a chance to hold this light support and see if it bounces.
JOYG 02/13 Test 20 56.24 +0.39 49.05 55.00 3.5M 4M 52.41
Current. Gentle drift higher Monday as it showed a doji. Looks solid still after gapping in the middle of last week, and has not shown it will come back to fill yet. Can still do that, but if it just takes off again from this level, there is nothing wrong with that. Will let it pause for a few sessions, and see what it does then.
KSU 02/25 Cup 35.55 +0.10 35.28 39.94 651K 1.4M 33.77
Current. Lower volume lateral step with this doji over the 10 day EMA (34.78). This is a continuation of the two weeks of horizontal trading so nothing new. This one is set to jump, but have to give it a chance to do so.
MDZ 02/25 Cup hdl 8.27 +0.01 8.44 10.35 306K 900K 7.85
Buy Not Issued. Higher intraday, but rolled back to close flat so we did not buy. Still testing along the 18 day EMA (8.20), but hasn't taken the bounce yet. Ready to move in if it can do so, however.
MFW 03/06 ABCD Up 34.41 -0.96 35.65 42.38 76K 165K 33.69
Buy Not Hit. Higher Friday, but fell right back down to the 50 day EMA (34.57) Monday. Still can look for the buy, but have to see if it continues to set up over the next couple of sessions. Going to wait and see if MFW can turn higher and hold the gains before we move in.
MR 02/02 Test 50 38.07 +0.28 36.94 41.95 832K 1.4M 37.11
Current. Gapped lower last week, and right now is just continuing the lateral action with this doji at the 18 day EMA (37.60). Will let MR continue to hold this support level, and see if it starts to rebound after the market takes its breather.
MRVL 03/06 Asc Bse 20.27 -0.13 20.63 24.88 11M 18M 19.19
Buy Not Hit. Tested last week before that Friday bounce but went ahead and followed that up Monday with the fade back. Still in good shape as the downside was on lower volume, and just seeing how it reacts over the 10 day EMA (19.76). Will be ready to move in if it can start to show life at this level.
NETL 02/05 Test BO 57.94 +1.89 50.68 56.94 859K 750K 54.44
Current. Bounced with stronger, above average volume to start the week. This upside did close NETL past the prior high from last week, though it was not a clean break past so we have to see if that holds. In all, NETL looks solid, but have to see how it plays out if the market continues to pause.
NFLX 02/05 Test BO 68.68 +1.03 61.42 69.97 866K 2.2M 65.55
Current. Gentle upside Monday with light trade. Not a big move up to challenge that high from last week (69.70), but still continuing the steady upside. As it is doing its job for now we just leave it and see if that continues.
NKTR 01/29 Test BO 14.89 -0.05 11.88 13.97 1.4M 1M 13.54
Current. Big break higher last Wednesday and then just continued to drift higher throughout the week. Tried to follow suit Monday, but could not hold the intraday move higher. This one is due for a test, so will see how it fades to the 10 day EMA (13.74) and watch for a reaction there.
NLST 02/18 ABCD Up 4.20 0.00 4.18 6.45 510K 3.5M 3.87
Current. Stepped laterally with this doji over the 50 day EMA (4.07) to continue the testing. Acting just as it should, and this one is set to bounce from the support. Giving it time to see if it will.
PCLN 02/24 Flag 240.18 +4.84 226.14 247.22 1.3M 1.2M 231.91
Current. Good looking test last week and now seeing the appropriate bounce up on Monday. Acting just as we want it to over the 10 day EMA (232.70) after the test back and now seeing if it continues.
PCLN 02/11 Dbl btm 240.18 +4.84 210.99 229.91 1.3M 13M 231.91
Current.
PDCO 02/13 Test 50 30.66 -0.11 29.57 33.89 903K 1.3M 29.81
Current. Stepped laterally with this Monday doji over the 10 day EMA (30.38). Lower volume move as PDCO pauses, and giving time to rest at this level. Ok to see how it acts, and will watch to see if a bounce can break this one over the January high at 30.75.
PDS 03/02 ABCD Up 8.51 -0.06 8.38 9.98 1.4M 2M 7.94
Current. Pretty solid upside last week, but started Monday with a gap and fade back to close lower. Lower volume downside so not too concerned, but will see how it pauses over support from the February high (8.37). If it can hold there and start back higher, then there is no problem in letting this one run.
PLXS 02/02 Test BO 36.10 -0.07 32.22 39.94 130K 425K 34.12
Current. Stepped laterally with this tight doji over the 10 day EMA (35.58). This one is moving sluggishly at this level as it has stepped horizontally for the past couple of weeks. Will see if it can break out of this range, but if more volume does now show, PLXS will have difficulty doing that.
PNRA 01/26 Test BO 78.53 +0.49 71.97 79.50 530K 650K 74.89
Current. Short upside, but not much of a move after that big Friday break higher. Still like this action and think it could be more of a continuation move, but we will see. If it continues, great. If it fades as the market looks like it will do, we want to see how PNRA holds up.
RIMM 02/17 Flag 73.39 +3.89 70.98 88.91 28M 22M 70.04
Current. This is what we were looking for: a break higher on stronger, above average volume. After working laterally at a key area for several weeks RIMM has bounced and broken through. Now we see if it tests the move down towards 71ish, or if it can continue higher right away Tuesday.
RIMM 01/13 Pennant 73.39 +3.89 66.11 79.94 28M 22M 70.04
Current.
RMD 02/10 Test BO 59.18 -0.32 55.08 61.89 327K 6.2M 57.38
Current. Slight fade to start the week, but this move just continued last week's lateral action. RMD is still in good shape, and is setting up nicely over the 10 day EMA (58.39) to bounce again. We just have to watch it for a couple sessions, and see if the market jumps to start things off.
SAPE 02/27 Flag 9.83 +0.37 9.12 10.95 1.4M 1.5M 9.22
Volume swelled to above average as SAPE bounced higher Monday. Not exactly what we were looking for after the slow drift higher last week, but will see if this bounce sticks. Can still test, but after this move it does look like there is more upside left.
SHLD 02/19 Flag 101.87 +0.92 95.61 104.89 1M 2.4M 96.36
Current. After two weeks of lateral action, SHLD started to break higher in the middles of last week. Just continued the upside Monday, though SHLD might be ready to slow now. Have to see if the market pauses as that could signal the same with SHLD, but we have also seen the juggernaut this one can be. Will see which way things turn.
SHLD 02/04 Test 50 101.87 +0.92 91.31 104.89 1M 2.4M 96.36
Current.
SINA 02/16 Dbl btm 41.95 +1.02 38.06 43.85 1.3M 1.4M 39.43
Current. Volume was lower, but still above average as SINA continued higher for the third straight sessions. This one does look quite strong, though with the falling volume it may be running out of juice. Will see how far it continues, and then what kind of test it takes.
SJT 02/09 ABCD Up 21.40 +0.13 21.33 24.94 142K 350K 20.23
Current. Slight upside Monday to continue working laterally along the 18 day EMA (20.97). Not a bad pause, but do want to see how SJT starts to work to the next key level at 22. If it can run to there and break through, then things get interesting.
SOA 01/28 Rev HS 15.46 +0.29 14.16 17.94 1.1M 1.8M 14.18
Current. Bounced Friday, and continued the upside nicely Monday. Volume was not as big so the move may not have great staying power, but will see how it continues Tuesday. Nothing wrong with a test if it does start to do that.
SSYS 02/27 Flag 27.35 +0.06 27.59 31.94 144K 300K 25.78
Current. Same as many others as SSYS worked laterally over the 18 day EMA (26.51). Still not much volume to speak of, but holding the light support as it needs to. Great place to start running, so seeing if it starts that next leg higher by the end of the week.
SYK 03/04 Cup hdl 55.05 +0.01 54.97 62.22 1.4M 2.4M 52.44
Current. Lower volume and not much happened at all with this Monday doji. Did not really budge either direction intraday, but that is nothing new for this Monday. Just a pause between the more exciting action so will see how long SYK pauses and then if it gets started again.
TEN 02/22 Cup hdl 21.89 +0.01 20.20 23.98 766K 1.8M 19.92
Current. Story of the day as TEN stepped laterally with this doji. After the moderate upside last week, TEN could test now towards the 10 day EMA (21.26). Will see if it does that, and how it bounces once there. Looks good overall.
TEVA 01/29 Test 50 60.49 -1.17 57.59 64.32 6.5M 6M 59.48
Current. This one was more volatile than others Monday with the higher volume drop to the 10 day EMA (60.36). Did manage to stick to the light support, but this was not the typical action of the day. If it continues, we see if it holds at the 18 day EMA (59.70), but would be nice to see a hold at this level Tuesday.
TEX 02/11 Rolling 22.68 -0.04 19.34 23.77 2.1M 2.8M 21.87
Current. Solid upside last week, but just started off Monday with this small lateral step. Closed the day with a lower volume doji to really follow along with the rest of the market as it paused. This one is still positioned to run, but if it takes its time at this level we will give it a few days.
VLTR 02/27 Flag 23.69 -0.51 22.11 26.42 299K 400K 22.04
Faded back Monday, but still working along for the fifth day at this level. This is actually nice to see, as we now get to watch how VLTR reacts with the rising 10 day EMA (23.23). A bounce there could send this one on its next leg higher, but if it continues to test, we look for a bounce with the firmer 18 day EMA (22.56).
WBSN 01/21 DB hdl 23.46 +0.35 19.36 23.44 452K 450K 21.94
Current. Can't slow this one down. Volume was lower, but still above average as WBSN took another moderate step higher. Has not shown it is slowing yet, so letting it ride and will see how it continues. Will see when it does start to slow/finish off the intraday high, and then we look at taking gain.
WCRX 03/02 Cup 26.96 -1.11 27.61 31.94 1.1M 1.8M 25.68
Buy Not Issued. Not buying this one as it fell back to the 50 day EMA (26.54) Monday. Ok to let it hold this support, though, and see how it bounces. Ready still to move in with upside that sticks.
WDC 03/06 Rolling 39.60 +0.35 39.78 45.95 5M 6M 37.93
Buy Not Issued. Gentle upside to start the week, but not enough to give us the buy. Will see how it holds at this support level with the January and February lows, and ready to buy if it can start to bounce.
XTEX 01/29 Pennant 10.65 -0.16 10.01 11.95 374K 525K 9.91
Current. Really like this testing. Lower intraday to the 10 day EMA (10.38) and then bounced back to finish up with a doji. Tested all of last week as well, and now looks ready to bounce. Just giving it a chance to do so.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
BUCY 02/22 BearRev 66.12 +0.30 61.15 56.25 1.6M 4M 62.11
Current. Gapped up but on lower volume and rolled back to close. Did close in the green, but given the action we left this one on. Will see how the indices pause over the next session or two, and if they start to test we see if that takes BUCY lower. Still wary of a bounce, but leaving if for Tuesday.
BWLD 03/01 BearFla 46.49 +1.98 43.27 40.04 652K 500K 44.65
Buy Not Issued. Time to drop this one as it gapped and ran higher to break up the play.
CAT 03/03 ABCD Dw 58.91 -0.32 57.74 54.36 4.8M 12M 59.77
Buy Not Issued. Shuffled lower Monday, but a lower volume move so we were not moving in. CAT is pausing at this resistance level with the February high, but have to see that it can really fall before we buy. Will look for more weakness Tuesday to get this one into better shape.
MON 02/04 BearFla 72.02 -0.48 75.56 70.15 7.4M 6M 72.11
Current. More downside Monday with volume holding above average. Like the weakness MON is showing under the 10 day EMA (73.15), and it looks ready to continue lower now after bouncing up to resistance last week. Letting this play continue to work for us.
STLD 03/03 ABCD Dw 17.96 +0.43 17.69 15.11 6.2M 8.5M 18.31
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher, but gapped to a doji and still holding in the pattern. Can see if STLD fills down Tuesday, and then see if the downside pressure takes holds to give us the buy. May be wise to see how the market plays out over the next couple of sessions, as it could bounce after this short pause and that would kill the downside.
TS 03/02 BearFla 44.13 +0.57 43.44 39.88 2.7M 2.2M 44.54
Buy Not Hit. Gapped up and then rolled back to close. Still a move higher, but does looks weak as it plays around the 50 day EMA (43.70). Will see if it keeps showing weakness at the 50 day, and ready to move in if it does break down.
VSEA 03/04 ABCD Dw 31.10 +0.01 30.77 28.04 248K 825K 31.84
Buy Not Hit. Stepped laterally along the 18 day EMA (30.87), but still wedged under the 50 day EMA (31.53) resistance. Looks good in the pattern, but do have to wait to see if it actually does break lower. If it does fall, we see if the move sticks and then can buy.
End part 2 of 3
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