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us stock market, top stock pick
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLES
You can view the continuing play table in three different formats.
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 07/08 Rolling 273.85 +3.68 138.55 149.91 26M 23M 262.88
Current. Gapped up and held it, moving higher on a day not many were. 3m iPads thus far, 2x expectations by analysts so that is definitely a help. Now we see if the stock can continue to sit on top of the April highs (271.88 open) for support and bounce.
AAPL 04/15 Test 20 273.85 +3.68 119.69 132.77 26M 25M 262.88
Current.
AKAM 05/06 Flag 44.35 -0.92 38.14 44.75 4.6M 4.5M 42.11
Current. Gapped up to start, but again slid back to finish in the red. Did get back to the 10 day EMA (44.22) and hold it, so will see if it can stick it Wednesday. If it does, great, but if it continues to slide we watch what it can do at the next support with the 18 day EMA (43.09).
AKAM 04/05 Flat 44.35 -0.92 32.84 39.89 4.6M 4.5M 42.11
Current.
ARO 05/22 Test 20 29.34 +0.19 29.18 33.44 2.9M 3M 28.97
Current. Well off the highs to finish with a doji, but held up nicely right near the 18 day EMA (29.30). Not a bad little pullback the past week and now we see if it can hold in this range over the 50 day EMA (28.83). Just giving it time at this support to see if it can bounce back.
ASH 06/11 Trnd Rv 54.17 -2.62 56.34 63.94 1M 2M 52.68
Current. Important test at this support with the 10 and 18 day EMA, as well as the 50 day EMA (54.14), all right here. Put the stop just below the recent intraday low at 52.88 and have to watch closely to see what it does now.
BIDU 06/10 Test 50 75.68 -0.68 72.46 83.94 12M 18M 71.22
Current. Short gap up, but could not hold it and it slid to finish negative on the day. This one managed to hold a gain (though was well off its highs) Monday, and is now filling that short gap. Will let it get to the nearby 10 day EMA (74.07) and see if it can bounce there.
CAGC 06/11 Rolling 12.09 -1.21 12.70 15.42 896K 1.4M 11.88
Current. Not looking as good now as it slid to finish below the 10 and 18 day EMA (12.59, 12.70). It is holding a little support now with the pre gap point from a couple weeks back, as well as a late December low (11.92). Also holding at that May intraday low near 12, so will see if it can go ahead and stick now. If it can, we let it bounce back, but do need to mind the stop.
CHK 06/10 Trnd Rv 23.66 -0.83 24.40 28.54 16M 23M 23.92
Exited. Turned lower away from the 200 day SMA (25.21) Monday, but had managed to hang on at the 10 day EMA (24.32). Not the case Tuesday, and just fell too far Tuesday so had to shut it down.
CI 06/08 DB hdl 34.21 -1.00 34.44 39.91 4.2M 5M 33.91
Current. Thumped back down with bigger volume Tuesday, hanging on at the 50 day EMA (34.09). Do like this hold at support, but now want to see that it continues that Wednesday. Getting near our stop point, so want to watch this one to make sure it hangs on at this range and then can start to rebound.
CLF 06/16 DB hdl 55.88 -2.01 58.28 69.94 4.7M 10M 54.31
Buy Not Issued. Not moving in as it slipped back on us, giving up the 50 day EMA (56.98). Not great to see, but it is still holding the 10 and 18 day EMA (55.79, 55.25), as well as that Friday closing level. So, waiting a little longer and will see if it bounces to get back on track.
CMG 05/10 Flag 145.15 -6.44 138.71 158.42 775K 775K 144.54
Current. Faded a little on us Monday, but really cooled down Tuesday. Just below the 18 day EMA (146.73) now, but it did hold the main support at 145 with the April and May peaks. Want to see that it can hold it again Wednesday as the stop is just below there. If this one can't start to firm up we have to be very careful.
CMG 01/26 Test BO 145.15 -6.44 98.45 110.00 775K 550K 144.54
Current.
CMI 06/10 Pennant 72.21 -2.76 71.98 81.44 3M 4M 71.08
Current. Down with the rest of the market, sticking over the early June high and 18 day EMA (71.22). Will see if it can stick to this point as there is not a ton of room to work with until hitting our stop. If it can slow down any and looks ready to turn back higher, we will just let it run.
CNC 06/07 DB hdl 22.41 -1.02 23.88 27.94 660K 950K 22.41
Buy Not Issued. This one turned back too quickly Tuesday, giving up key support on the way down. Have to drop it for now.
DLM 06/14 Flag 14.48 -0.13 15.44 18.55 2.3M 2.2M 14.39
Buy Not Issued. Small gap down, tapped up at the 50 day EMA (14.68), and then slid to close with a doji. Still holding the range it needs to, but do want it to bounce back over the 50 day soon. Will see if it can do that in the next couple of days to get this one back on track.
DLTR 05/29 PreSplt 62.05 -1.00 60.89 67.75 1.2M 1.6M 61.89
Current. Up at first, but rolled back as the market rolled back. Looks like it will make that fade towards the 50 day EMA (61.00) again now. Has held up at this support recently so likely it bounces there. Just have to decide if we want it to get that low with the stop nearby.
DTG 06/10 Pennant 43.57 -0.89 45.57 52.24 558K 1.7M 42.54
Buy Not Issued. Not a day to buy it as it plopped back on us, but holding key 50 day EMA (43.26) support now. Also holding the early June low, and at a great place to bounce. Just have to wait and see if it can do that to keep the play in shape.
EMS 06/14 Test 20 55.91 -0.22 56.06 61.78 442K 388K 53.32
Current. Tried to bounce again, but again fell off the highs to form a doji. Not great, but just moving with the market, and is over support so we leave it. Will watch a little longer to see if it can hold this range and then stick the bounce up.
FFIV 06/05 Test 50 73.17 -1.05 69.57 78.95 1.5M 1.6M 70.92
Current. Another one that tried to bounce, but faded off its highs to show a doji. Sitting right up on top of the May highs at 72.50ish still but waiting to see if it can keep that up. Great if it does, but if not we watch how it holds up near the 18 day EMA (71.20) with a fade back.
GLD 05/24 Test 18 121.45 +1.06 117.32 122.24 13M 38M 120.54
Current. Gold was basically flat, but GLD still showed a modest little bounce higher. Held up nicely over the 10 day (120.84) and in position to turn higher even more Wednesday. Just leaving it alone to see if it does that, or if it slides again back to the support.
GTI 06/15 Asc Bse 16.00 -0.70 17.18 20.94 1.1M 2.3M 15.98
Buy Not Issued. Gapped down and then fell further into the close. Not what we wanted to see, but it is still set up as it holds over the 50 day EMA (15.69) support. Just have to wait for a day or so and see how it does at this level. If it can hold up and bounce back, we keep looking for our entry.
HNT 06/08 Cup hdl 26.84 -0.67 26.10 29.75 1.8M 2.1M 26.38
Current. Looked ready for a step back, but this was a bigger step than you would like to see. Did manage to hold up at the 10 day EMA (26.84), but with the bigger volume on the downside we have to see how it holds up. Do have the rising 18 day EMA (26.19) to use, but will have to see if HNT can get more control with the downside to decide how to play it.
ICE 06/21 Flag 119.41 -2.07 123.68 139.74 667K 1.4M 119.78
Buy Not Hit. Short gap down, holding the 50 day EMA (9.69) and 200 day SMA (9.72) with the doji. Nice little pullback overall, and now we wait to see how it reacts Wednesday. If it can hold, we watch for the bounce back to give us the buy.
ILMN 05/11 ABCD Up 43.91 -0.67 42.74 47.95 851K 2M 42.74
Current. Has worked horizontally for over a week now, but did take a little step back Tuesday. Pretty controlled action with the lower volume fade, so for now just watching what it can do. It has bounced up from the 18 day EMA (43.46) already in June, so will see if it does that again in another couple days.
IRBT 05/06 Flag 20.52 -0.39 19.22 21.94 102K 220K 20.11
Current. Nice start higher, but slid back with the rest of the market to finish down. Not great, but not terrible as it did hold up over the 18 day EMA (20.36). It held that support all of last week and bounced from there, so we are seeing if it will do it again. If it starts to slide below that point, then we have to watch it.
IWM 05/24 ABCD Up 64.75 -1.36 65.48 73.95 71M 100M 64.21
Current. Not liking this move as it tapped up at the 50 day EMA (66.70) and then started to sell away from there. Holding at that early May intraday low, but really not looking too great as it still closed at session lows. This one needs to firm up soon to stay in shape so have to watch it closely Wednesday to make sure it does that.
JOYG 06/20 Rev HS 55.36 -1.08 56.23 63.62 2.1M 4M 53.77
Buy Not Issued. Slid on us Tuesday so we weren't buying, but it is still in good position as it sits over the 10 day EMA (55.01). A great place to bounce from, just have to give it time to see if it actually does that. If it can, we watch for it to hit our buy and stick.
JPM 06/16 Rolling 38.33 -0.54 39.13 44.77 42M 50M 37.12
Current. Up at first but slid back with the market to finish lower on the session. Nothing new for this Tuesday, so for now we are just watching it as it is not very far into the rolling play. Want to see that it can hold up in this range over our stop point to keep us happy.
KWR 06/20 DB hdl 28.88 +0.32 28.56 34.94 199K 200K 26.72
Buy Not Issued. Tried to bounce Monday just couldn't stick it most of the move. Did give us a little gap up Tuesday that held to finish with a doji. Not bad, and still in shape for a buy. It actually looked better than most Tuesday, and now just waiting for a small fade and bounce back to give us a better entry.
LNCR 06/01 PreSplt 32.35 +1.59 32.13 35.95 5.9M 1M 31.20
Current. Big gap up, shot higher, and then faded to close with a doji. It was well off its highs, but it held the gap for a very solid gain. This is a home health stock. A sign the market is getting a bit defensive again? For now it is doing a fine job so letting it run.
NEM 04/14 Flag 59.52 +0.04 55.48 62.95 6.3M 10M 58.91
Current. Quick turn back Monday, but held flat Tuesday, showing a doji. It did indeed hold that short Thursday gap up point from last week so that is nice, but still could fade more. Have to wait and see if it holds here, or if it slides to the May (58.85 open) and earlier June highs (58.33). Pretty key support level so important to see strength there.
NETL 06/15 Rev HS 28.75 -1.22 29.88 34.89 1.1M 2M 27.79
Buy Not Issued. Not buying it as it was down for the third straight session, but still watching it. The stock is nearing more serious support with the 50 day EMA (54.63) so we are watching closely how it does. It bounced nicely off that one test of it in early June, so looking for the same this time around. If it can hold the support and bounce, we keep looking for our entry.
NETL 05/19 Dbl btm 28.75 -1.22 28.98 34.89 1.1M 2M 27.53
Current.
NFLX 05/11 ABCD Up 116.43 -2.56 104.89 122.00 4M 3.2M 115.44
Current. Short gap up and fade back towards the 18 day EMA (116.62) Tuesday. Nice little hold at that support level and now we see if it can stick. If it can, great. If the stock continues to fade, then we have to start watching it.
NTRI 05/17 Test BO 23.80 +0.93 22.28 28.89 823K 2M 20.69
Current. Always a bit defensive, and that would explain this solid Tuesday step higher. Finished off intraday highs, but is butting up right against the May peak (23.87 open) now. Will see if it can continue higher again Wednesday, but it is ok if it takes a day of Wednesday.
ORBK 06/05 DB hdl 11.60 -0.30 12.02 13.94 104K 125K 11.18
Buy Not Issued. Second day down, still not giving us that entry. We were ready to pick it up if it could have just held a gain Monday, but that was not the case. Now we see how it holds and bounces from the 18 day EMA (11.62) towards our buy point.
OSIS 06/01 DB hdl 29.25 -0.21 27.05 31.55 174K 275K 27.68
Current. Soft step back, closing with a doji this Tuesday. Nothing too surprising with this fade, and just seeing how it works down now. It likely gives a little more of a test towards the 10 day EMA (28.51) and that April gap down point (28.70 open) and then bounces. We will see though.
PAY 06/11 Test 20 19.94 -0.40 21.11 23.94 1.4M 2M 19.41
Current. Slipped on us with volume up to average. Not too bad, though, as the stock did hang on above the 18 day EMA (19.74). Just giving it a chance to hold this point and bounce back to keep the play in shape. Though, a reach to the 50 day EMA (19.48) would not be bad either if the stock holds that level.
PII 06/16 Flag 58.44 -1.60 59.88 71.00 380K 650K 57.48
Buy Not Hit. A very shallow flat pattern had formed over the past several sessions, but a bit of a bigger move down Tuesday. Nothing to worry about as it is holding over the 50 day EMA (57.75), and move the buy point to accommodate for this. Now seeing if it will give us the bounce back we need.
PNRA 05/27 Dbl btm 80.01 -2.40 81.58 88.54 649K 755K 81.76
Exited. Gap and rollover Monday, then continued quickly lower Tuesday. Just could not hold up where it needed to so we had to shut it down.
PVH 06/20 Flag 51.05 -2.52 55.95 66.88 959K 1.8M 54.08
Buy Not Issued. Sold away from the 50 day EMA Monday, and could not recover it Tuesday. As it showed even more downside we are dropping it.
ROST 05/21 ABCD Up 55.27 -1.12 52.87 58.91 1.6M 3.2M 55.11
Current. Stepped laterally for just over a week, then started to slid Friday. Has continued down for two days this week to get back near the 50 day EMA (54.63). Also have March highs and the early May pre-gap point there so an important level to hold. If the stock cannot bounce back from that point we look at shutting it down.
SAPE 06/15 Asc Tri 10.49 -0.22 10.83 12.94 721K 1.5M 10.01
Current. Slipped again to continue this short pullback from the past several sessions. Not the best action with the big turn off the highs, but it was on lower volume and managed to hold the 50 day EMA (10.42). Also right at the April and May highs, so we see if SAPE can firm up and bounce, or if it gives a little more fade first.
SNDK 05/25 Pennant 47.08 -0.96 45.45 49.89 11M 12M 45.77
Current. Down again, but not that big of a deal as it settles over the late May/early June highs, and the 18 day EMA (46.27). Seeing how it does now at this support. Great if it holds, but it could slip a little closer towards 45 to hit the up trendline from the February, May, and early June lows.
SNDK 04/29 Flag 47.08 -0.96 39.14 49.94 11M 13M 45.77
Current.
SSYS 06/11 Trnd Rv 24.77 -0.51 25.44 29.94 65K 250K 23.94
Current. Not a pretty gap and rollover Monday, but a pretty controlled fade Tuesday. Sticking right at the 50 day EMA (24.50) like we want, so give it longer to see if it can bounce right back up.
TIE 06/10 BO 19.68 -0.75 19.09 21.94 3.7M 4.5M 19.22
Current. Gapped up to a doji Monday, but slid back Tuesday to the 10 day EMA (19.53). Not a bad little hold at this light support, but as it finished right at the lows we have to see if it keeps to it Wednesday. Do have a little more room to play with before hitting our stop point, but will wait and see how it holds up Wednesday.
TRN 06/20 DB hdl 20.22 -1.18 21.87 26.98 681K 1.4M 20.76
Buy Not Issued. Worked along the 50 day EMA pretty solidly for a few days, but sold away from that point Tuesday. Have to drop it now.
UA 06/06 DB hdl 35.90 -0.77 34.17 39.89 722K 1.2M 34.22
Current. Second day down, now sticking nicely at the 10 day EMA (35.61) and over the April highs. A great place for the stock to hold so seeing if it will do that for us. If it does continue to slide there is support at the 18 day (34.80), but we will wait and see what it does.
URI 06/15 Test 50 11.52 -0.71 12.72 14.69 1.4M 2.1M 11.64
Buy Not Issued. Second day down, finishing below the 50 day EMA (11.78) Tuesday. Not great, but just moving with the market and still holding over some recent lows. Will watch it just a little longer to see if it can firm up and bounce for us.
USO 06/10 Rolling 35.00 -0.33 34.74 38.18 7.7M 16M 34.11
Current. Just a modest rest under the 50 day EMA (35.83) as oil takes a break. Still set to move up to the top of its range, so will watch it at this level for a few sessions then see if it can get started again.
UTI 06/21 Rev HS 24.00 -1.08 25.31 29.95 137K 225K 23.57
Buy Not Hit. Big gap and rollover to flat Monday, then slipped again Tuesday. Held up at the 50 day EMA (23.83), but have to wait and see if it can stick again Wednesday. Would be great if it can, then we can look to buy it with a bounce back.
VIT 06/11 Dbl btm 23.85 -0.11 22.08 25.95 417K 700K 21.89
Current. Not able to move much higher, but really good relative strength as it held flat with the doji. Has shown good relative strength of late so just watching it to see if it can keep improving.
WBMD 06/22 Flag 47.20 -0.34 48.42 54.95 112K 450K 46.44
Buy Not Hit. A short step back, showing a nice doji over the 18 day EMA (46.87). Still a very good flag pattern so have to watch it closely in case it bounces. Ready to pick this one up when it can start higher.
WBSN 06/16 Test 20 20.83 -0.19 20.78 24.11 486K 650K 19.34
Buy Not Issued. Up at first, but faltered under the 50 day EMA (21.47) and then rolled back to finish lower. Still in good position though as it is settled over the 18 day EMA (20.75), and will see how it moves higher from here for a buy.
WHR 06/20 Pennant 97.94 -5.59 104.79 118.31 1.5M 2.2M 98.44
Current. Gapped up to a doji Monday, but plopped back down below the 50 day EMA (99.00) Tuesday. Not great but we will watch it to see if it can retake the 50 day in a day or so with a bounce back. If it does continue to fall, though, have to be very careful.
WRLD 05/20 ABCD Up 39.56 -0.04 37.18 44.89 175K 500K 37.09
Current. Nice action as it held flat with the doji, finishing well off the intraday highs and lows. Nice relative strength as it stepped laterally Tuesday, so seeing if it can start higher from here. Do have a little room to let it test if needed though.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
CVS 06/14 BearFla 31.40 -0.38 31.73 27.71 12M 12M 33.12
Buy Not Issued. Gapped down, filled, and then rolled back to finish with a doji. Nice jump down to continue the downside so just letting it continue to fall. If this one can bounce back to the 10 day EMA (32.04) and fail, then we can look at moving into more positions.
CVS 05/29 BearFla 31.40 -0.38 33.80 30.65 12M 12M 31.64
Current.
DIA 06/14 Rollove 102.93 -1.52 103.09 98.11 12M 17M 104.89
Entered today. Gap and rollover Monday, then sold down quickly Tuesday. Moved below the 200 day SMA (103.30) so we picked it up as a hedge to the downside. Many upside plays were looking solid but are in question after the Tuesday action. With that, we moved in to the downside as it presented a buy.
HAL 06/14 BearFla 25.99 -1.06 25.54 21.24 18M 24M 27.31
Buy Not Hit. Nice. Up to the 50 day EMA (27.13) Monday, but gave it up with a nice turn lower Tuesday. Looking good and now just need it to keep falling to hit our buy. If it can do that and hold it, we can consider moving in.
PCLN 05/29 BearFla 188.95 -0.30 189.64 177.65 1.2M 1.9M 183.54
Current. Well off the highs to show a doji at the 10 day EMA (188.89). Looking weak at this point, but when many others fell we would have liked to see this one show more downside to completely fill that gap from earlier in June. Giving it more time to fall now, but still have to be careful in case it bounces on us.
SPY 06/21 Rollove 109.57 -1.84 109.89 106.00 238M 28M 112.68
Entered today. Gap and rollover Monday, then continued lower Tuesday to close below the 200 day SMA (111.13). Moved into this one as a hedge to the downside also. Now seeing if it can keep falling.
TEX 05/29 HdShldr 21.18 -0.88 20.81 17.44 1.9M 2.7M 20.82
Stalled at the 50 day EMA (22.40) Monday, but a really nice fall away from that point Tuesday. Looking a lot better for the downside now as it gave up the 200 day SMA (21.49), and just waiting to see if it holds it. If it can, we see if it continues to the downside to get us looking at moving in.
End part 2 of 3
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