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Investmenthouse Newsletter
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INVESTMENT HOUSE.COMTM |
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Free Weekend Newsletter
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Table Of Contents
1) MARKET SUMMARY
2) PRE-SPLIT PLAY
3) TECHNICAL PLAY
4) COVERED CALL PLAY
5) IPOs
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The following Investment Newsletter is provided by the InvestmentHouse.com family of websites which include StockSplits.net, CoveredCall.Com and TechnicalTraders.com. |
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Investing Q & As
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1) MARKET SUMMARY When in doubt, dump it.
- Market closed Monday.
- Market rocked by news overload.
- Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 sell on stronger volume, but outside the big names, the damage was not widespread.
- ‘Mixed’ economic reports leave investors confused.
- Subscriber Questions - Team Trades Click Here to read the full text of our Weekend Market Summary. Topics this weekend include: The Economy, The Markets, This Week's Economic Calendar; What To Expect This Week In The Markets and our popular Team Trades column.
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2) STOCK SPLITS
Be sure to read our Stock Splits Manual. Playing stock splits can be very profitable, but it takes know-how. Our stock split service focuses on three main types of plays: 1) pre-announcement (where we forecast an upcoming split prior to the company making the announcement); 2) pre-split (these plays are made in the days leading up to the actual split day); and 3) post-split plays (plays made after the actual stock split where the stock is showing continued or renewed strength). We play pre-split plays as short-term plays. We get in when the technical indicators show us things look right, grab as much as we can, and get out, always being conscious of resistance and support. These stocks are highly volatile at this time, and can turn on you quickly. Don’t let good profits disappear. Watch for turns, especially when a stock trades in a wide range and finishes off its high. That is a sign these stocks often give you that they are running out of steam. We usually get out and ask questions later. We can always get back in. We like to play in the money calls, preferably two strike prices in the money as this usually gives us a greater delta (the percent an option will mover versus the stock’s movement). We prefer deltas of 75 or better. This means if the stock moves 1 point, the option should move three-fourths of that point. That means up or down. Remember, wait to see the stock start to move up. Don't just blindly make a play and don’t try to guess tops and bottoms. We can look at indicators to give us a clue as to what will happen, but we need the stock to confirm it for us.
Here's a pre-split play to watch and our current analysis.
BOBJ (Business Objects--$75.88; -0.18; optionable): Splits 3:2 effective March 12. Company Profile
STATUS: Software. Held up pretty well, gapping back down near its 18 day MVA (72.88) before pushing back up a bit. Volume was very low at 394,200 (average 612,000), and holding up on a day like Friday is a good sign. We will see if the stock can make another move up toward the 200 day MVA (82.41), which turned the stock back on its last move. Buying is very strong. PLAY: A move up from here, with stock and/or March $70 calls to buy (BBJ CN-very low open interest).
Chart by StockCharts.com
Stock Split Report: We have been following American Eagle Outfitters (AEOS) in anticipation of a run into its February 26 split, and the stock has not disappointed. Since adding the stock to our Stock Split Report, it has broken out and climbed over $12, a whopping 25% move, and the past week alone we have seen a run of over $6, or almost 12% as the stock again closed Thursday at a new high.
Click here for more information on our Stock Split Report!
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3) TECHNICAL PLAY
FAF (First American Corp--$33.82; +0.31; optionable (FAF)): Insurance Company Profile STATUS: Moved up from the 10 day MVA (33.09), support on the test of the breakout from the pennant pattern (buy point was 33.01). Volume was lower (237,400; avg. 346,136), but the small move up regardless suggests the stock is ready to make a move up in the right conditions. Reached a breakout high of 35.49. Great money flow, and relative strength broke out higher. BUY POINT: On a move up from here on rising volume for new and additional positions. POSITION: Stock and/or April $30 calls to buy (FAF DF).
Chart by StockCharts.com
Technical Traders Report: We started coverage on American Standard (ASD) in the Technical Trader Report on January 20 when the stock was testing its recent breakout. The stock continued its consolidation until breaking out again February 2, running up the next 5 days, earning subscribers a percentage gain of over 110%.
Click here for more information on our Technical Traders Report!
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4) COVERED CALL PLAY
BHI (Baker Hughes) is currently trading at $40.86. The April $40 Calls (BHIDH) are trading at $3.90. That provides downside protection of 9.5% and a return of about 8% in about a month and a half if BHI is above $40 on expiration Friday in April.
Company Profile
Chart by StockCharts.com
| 5) IPOs
Another week has passed. The Nasdaq has dropped again. The IPO market has shrunk again. It's probably for the best that the markets will be closed on Monday, because that way there will be only four days during which things can fall apart further.
That's the kind of surrender psychology that is supposed to mark a market bottom. If so, it's about time; the IPO market couldn't get much slower. Last week saw exactly one IPO come to market, and that's also how many companies are on schedule for the week ahead.
(This IPO story is continued on our website in the IPO Forum.)
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Good Investing! See you right here next week! Your Friends at InvestmentHouse.com |
| For return calculations on our covered call, credit spread or put plays Click Here.
| The foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinions of Eric J. Aafedt of Online Investment Services, LP., or Jon Johnson of Split Ventures, Ltd. This information is not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on the related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Eric J. Aafedt or Jon Johnson may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on the related web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors. Eric J. Aafedt and Jon Johnson do not receive compensation in any manner from any of the companies that are discussed in this newsletter. |  | Copyright © 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001 by Online Investment Services, LP. - All Rights Reserved |
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