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Free Weekend Newsletter

Table Of Contents

1) MARKET SUMMARY

2) PRE-SPLIT PLAY

3) TECHNICAL PLAY

4) COVERED CALL PLAY

5) IPOs


The following Investment Newsletter is provided by the InvestmentHouse.com family of websites which include StockSplits.net, CoveredCall.Com and TechnicalTraders.com.

    
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1) MARKET SUMMARY

Early rise gives way to afternoon collapse.

- All of the bulls Friday morning run for cover after lunch.
- Greenspan stands by his decisions.
- Setting up for a bear market rally or another disappointment?
- Money runs from the market, a potentially positive sign.
- Be ready to play the upside and the downside some more.
- Subscriber Questions
- Team Trades

Click Here to read the full text of our Weekend Market Summary. Topics this weekend include: The Economy, The Markets, This Week's Economic Calendar; What To Expect This Week In The Markets and our popular Team Trades column.

2) STOCK SPLITS

Be sure to read our Stock Splits Manual. Playing stock splits can be very profitable, but it takes know-how.

Our stock split service focuses on three main types of plays:

1) pre-announcement (where we forecast an upcoming split prior to the company making the announcement); 2) pre-split (these plays are made in the days leading up to the actual split day); and 3) post-split plays (plays made after the actual stock split where the stock is showing continued or renewed strength).

We play pre-split plays as short-term plays. We get in when the technical indicators show us things look right, grab as much as we can, and get out, always being conscious of resistance and support. These stocks are highly volatile at this time, and can turn on you quickly. Don’t let good profits disappear. Watch for turns, especially when a stock trades in a wide range and finishes off its high. That is a sign these stocks often give you that they are running out of steam. We usually get out and ask questions later. We can always get back in. We like to play in the money calls, preferably two strike prices in the money as this usually gives us a greater delta (the percent an option will mover versus the stock’s movement). We prefer deltas of 75 or better. This means if the stock moves 1 point, the option should move three-fourths of that point. That means up or down.

Remember, wait to see the stock start to move up. Don't just blindly make a play and don’t try to guess tops and bottoms. We can look at indicators to give us a clue as to what will happen, but we need the stock to confirm it for us. Here's a pre-split play to watch and our current analysis.

NYCB (New York Community Bancorp--$39.44; +0.25; no options): Splits 3:2 effective 3-30-01.
Company Profile
STATUS: Since breaking from a cup-with-handle in February the stock has pulled back and formed a tight, lateral consolidation over the breakout point (its December high of 37.81). The stock showed is fifth consecutive doji at its 18 day MVA (39.15) Friday, with volume spiking well up above recent levels at 244,600 (average 217,500), signaling a possible move. The recent high on the breakout was 42.19. Strong money for and relative strength.
PLAY: A move over 40 on increased volume, with stock.


Chart by StockCharts.com

3) TECHNICAL PLAY

OEI (Ocean Energy Inc--$19.39; +1.36; optionable (OEI)):
Company Profile
STATUS: What a great uptrend this stock has been in over the last year. After a recent breakout from a short double-bottom pattern in January, the stock has tested and is moving back up on strong volume, the first solid upside move since the breakout. Getting ready to break to a high. Great buying and money flow. Relative strength has broken out ahead of price.
BUY POINT: Aggressive: Up from here on continued strong volume. February high is 19.87.
POSITION: Aggressive: Stock and/or May $15 or $17.50 calls to buy (OEI EC or EW).


Chart by StockCharts.com

4) COVERED CALL PLAY

CVS (CVS Corp.) is currently trading at $60.40. The Apr $60 Calls (CVSDL) are trading at $4.60. That provides downside protection of 7.5% and a return of about 8% in about a month and a half if CVS is above $60 on expiration Friday in April.
Company Profile


Chart by StockCharts.com

5) IPOs

AFC Enterprises (ticker: AFCE) opened at 19 ½, well above the $17 per-share IPO price. The stock peaked up 22% before easing back and managed to post a solid 19% gain to close at $20.38.

Investors eager to get away from tech stocks, grabbed up shares of AFC which owns chicken chains Popeyes and Church's as well as Cinnabon and Seattle's Best Coffee.

(This IPO story is continued on our website in the IPO Forum.)

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Good Investing! See you right here next week!

Your Friends at
InvestmentHouse.com

For return calculations on our covered call, credit spread or put plays Click Here.

The foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinions of Eric J. Aafedt of Online Investment Services, LP., or Jon Johnson of Split Ventures, Ltd. This information is not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on the related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Eric J. Aafedt or Jon Johnson may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on the related web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors. Eric J. Aafedt and Jon Johnson do not receive compensation in any manner from any of the companies that are discussed in this newsletter.

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