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trade stock, stock recommendation
Begin Part 2 of 2
THE PLAYS:
Good movers: Super moves continue to pile up as the stocks on the report continue to perform very well. ALN; AMZN; ARTI; CREE; EXPE; QCOM; VZ
IGEN (Igen International--$38.65; +1.13; optionable): Scientific & technical instruments
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/i/igen.html
STATUS: Cup w/handle. A solid move Friday started a breakout attempt from the 6.5 month base that could also be called a double bottom w/handle given the two bottoms in July and October. The move is even more interesting given the breakout over the 200 day MVA, the test, and now the sharper move up once again. Money flow remains vyer solid ahead of the move and relative strength has broken out and looks ready for more.
Volume: 237.987K Avg Volume: 195.999K
BUY POINT: $38.81 Volume=300K Target=$45 Stop=$35.97
POSITION: GQ CG - Mar. $35c (68 delta) and/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ci/igen.html
VSEA (Varian Semiconductor--$27.31; -0.25; optionable): Chip equipment
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/v/vsea.html
STATUS: Reverse head and shoulders. VSEA is still deep in its correction, but has formed a reverse head and shoulders, coming off the 18 day MVA to complete the right shoulder. Now it needs a breakout from the pattern to take it up to the 200 day MVA. Price/volume action is very good moving up off the bottom of the pattern, and money flow is is already racing ahead of the move. This is a trade at first as we look for a move up to the 200 day MVA (32.44).
Volume: 916.212K Avg Volume: 1.046M
BUY POINT: $28.03 Volume=1.4M Target=$33 Stop=$25.96
POSITION: UES BE - Feb. $25c (66 delta, low OI) and/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ci/vsea.html
WBSN (Websense--$24.76; +0.21; optionable): Internet software
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/w/wbsn.html
STATUS: Breakout over the 200 day MVA (21.48). Internet stocks continue to show dramatic improvements off of their lows. They are still deep in the bases, but they are making very good comebacks; may not be long term holds, but they are providing great returns. Thursday WBSN broke out over the 200 day MVA on a great volume surge. Friday it managed a bit more of a gain on continued above average volume. Money flow is screaming ahead, price/volume action is strong, and accumulation is positive at 8 accumulation weeks to 7 distribution weeks. It may test back a bit toward 22.50 after the strong move, but it did that Thursday and started right back up. Looks ready to go.
Volume: 1.134M Avg Volume: 748.01K
BUY POINT: $24.94 Volume=1.2M Target=$29.94 Stop=$23.19
POSITION: DQH DX - April $22.50c (68 delta, low OI) and/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ci/wbsn.html
WOOF (VCA Antech--$16.00; -0.25; no options): Animal hospitals and diagnostic labs
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/w/woof.html
STATUS: Testing the breakout from a cup w/handle. Appropriately named, WOOF jumped up out of its 4.5 month base Thursday, but found no traction Friday as it tested back on much lower, below average volume. Super accumulation in the base at 5 accumulation weeks to 2 distribution weeks. WOOF was a new issue in late 2001, and it looks ready to break to a new high here. Love new issues moving to new highs.
Volume: 92.7K Avg Volume: 110.726K
BUY POINT: $16.25 Volume=175K Target=$19.48 Stop=$15.11
POSITION: Stock (no option chain)
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ci/woof.html
CONTINUING PLAYS:
Looking good and ready to move again.
KRON
SFAM
SNDK
STCL
VZ
CENT
PNRA
HNR
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
$OEX 11/01 BO 463.72 +2.58 457.5 485 11M 0 449
Current. Edged back up Friday on lower volume. Immediate resistance is at the November high at 472. If it cannot clear that we will take what we have, but we suspect it will make the breakout.
ABFS 10/24 Test BO 29.78 -0.51 31.05 37 213K 475K 28.88
Current. Holding near the 18 day MVA on below average volume, ABFS is forming the handle to its year long base.
ADI 11/06 Test BO 28.94 -0.52 26.5 32.45 5.1M 5.8M 26.97
Current. Downgraded Friday and traded back down to the 18 day MVA on the low but managed to rebound for a fractional loss as volume jumped. Good recovery.
ALN 11/09 Test BO 8.45 +0.3 7.28 9.75 889K 200K 7.25
Current. Surging higher again on continued strong volume.
AMLN 10/19 Test BO 17.16 -0.53 18.75 20.45 464K 750K 17.16
AMLN 09/18 cup hdl 17.16 -0.53 13.55 20.25 464K 750K 17.16
Current. Testing support at 17 on low volume, AMLN needs to hold here or risk a test of the 50 day MVA at 16.
AMZN 10/21 cup hdl 22.21 +1 20.32 24.38 12M 10M 21.45
Current. Several good volume sessions and AMZN is moving very well.
ARTI 11/02 Cup 16.54 +0.44 14.85 17.75 232K 150K 15.15
Current. Making another great move on very strong, above average volume.
AVID 10/30 cup hdl 16.88 -0.12 15.65 18.51 159K 177K 16
Current. Tight lateral consolidation ready for more.
BER 11/13 cup hdl 36.06 -0.64 37.55 44 628K 306K 35.65
Buy not hit. Dropped Friday on bigger volume.
BG 11/07 Test BO 25.5 -0.15 25.35 30 123K 425K 24.25
Buy not issued. Holding above the 10 day MVA on below average volume. Looking for a stronger volume move.
BIO 11/07 Dbl btm 44.01 +1.41 46.09 53 116K 225K 42.86
Buy not hit. Trying to come back.
BLUD 10/10 BO 22.44 -1.41 21.4 24.24 669K 650K 21.85
Exited with a trailing stop.
BSX 10/19 Test BO 39.75 +0.7 37.75 45.75 2.1M 3.3M 37.65
Current. Up on some better volume.
BSX 09/12 cup hdl 39.75 +0.7 30.94 40 2.1M 3.3M 37.65
Current. Still letting it run.
CDWC 10/31 cup hdl 53.77 -0.37 53.81 62 1.5M 2.8M 51.74
Current. Some resistance at 54, but showing good action.
CENT 10/15 Test BO 20.2 +0.2 18.55 22.25 278K 192K 19.05
Current. Great volume surge Friday. Gave back much of the move but looks ready.
COH 10/22 cup hdl 31.5 +0.42 30.25 36.35 741K 1.5M 29.85
Current. Back up to resistance at 32 on low volume.
CREE 11/07 Test BO 21.15 +0.81 19.15 22.48 4.5M 3.9M 18.25
Current. Super, super move on volume.
CVD 11/05 Test BO 23.25 +0.5 23.65 28 305K 581K 21.75
Current. Another solid price move, but needs more volume.
DELL 11/04 cup hdl 29.82 -1.12 30.55 36 57M 36M 28.41
Current. Tested the 18 day MVA on the low and then rallied back to close at the 10 day MVA on some massive volume on the earnings. Think it will continue up from here.
ECL 10/30 cup hdl 49.79 +0.19 49.11 56.55 525K 1M 46
Buy not issued. Just not generating the volume though was up Friday.
EXBD 11/11 cup hdl 33.49 +0.57 34.65 40 242K 528K 32.22
Buy not hit. Rising up off the 200 day MVA.
EXPE 11/02 cup hdl 74.45 +1.98 70.55 84 2.5M 3.2M 70.45
Current. Risign again off the 18 day MVA but not much volume Friday.
FOX 11/05 cup hdl 25.2 +0.18 27.15 32.45 3.2M 1.5M 25.25
Current. Working its way back up off the 50 day MVA on continued above average volume as it tries to overcome the announcement of the shelf offering. Resistance at 26. If fails there, will look at closing it.
GYMB 09/18 cup hdl 20.01 +0.01 19.64 22.45 617K 586K 18.27
Current. Good volume Friday but GYMB could not get over resistance at 20.
HLYW 10/14 Test BO 18.02 -0.25 19.45 22 759K 1.2M 18.09
Current. Held at the 18 day MVA on below average volume. Needs to hold here and start back up.
HNR 10/17 Test BO 6.82 -0.08 6.38 7.75 63K 288K 6.35
Current. Holding the 10 day MVA on low volume with a doji as it continues to bounce up the 18 day MVA.
HTCH 11/13 BO 25.02 -0.37 25.65 30.75 744K 351K 23.85
Buy not issued. Testing back on the big Wednesday move and showed a doji Friday. May be ready.
HYSL 11/06 Test BO 28.84 +0.29 28.11 33.75 438K 636K 25.94
Current. Up fractionally on low volume.
IBM 11/11 Test 50 80.01 -0.71 78.45 82.45 11M 12M 77
Current. A doji that tapped the 10 day MVA on the low and rebounded for a small loss. Volume moved up. Needs to clear 81.50 on continued volume.
IGEN 11/16 DB hdl 38.65 +1.13 38.81 45 238K 300K 35.97
New.
KLAC 11/05 Test BO 38.02 +0.4 37.86 45 18M 20M 35.21
Current. Great move Thursday, and still looks ready to take out the November high at 39.70. An add to at that point.
KLAC 10/19 BO 38.02 +0.4 33.05 38 18M 1.9M 34.94
Current.
KR 11/09 Put 14.2 +0.37 13.98 12 4.1M 6M 15.01
Low volume test of the 18 day MVA. Could be ready for another ride lower.
KRON 11/13 BO 39.73 -0.26 40.12 47.94 143K 450K 37.31
Buy not hit. Testing back with a tight doji on very low volume. Looks ready to march up again.
LBIX 10/14 cup hdl 3.65 -0.08 3.22 4.35 93K 145K 3.32
Current. Down to the 10 day MVA on below average volume. Look for it to hold here and start up.
LXK 10/29 cup hdl 63.75 -0.02 61 72 1.4M 2.2M 59.96
Current. Tested the 10 day MVA and started up to hold flat. Still in very good shape.
MVL 11/04 BO 8.7 +0.1 8.74 10.75 388K 400K 7.88
Current. Good volume Thursday, now needs to clear 9.
MXIM 11/09 Test BO 37.45 -0.01 34.25 41.25 14M 12M 33
Current. Held steady Friday on continued above average volume.
NBIX 10/08 Rv H&S 46.65 -1.35 44.85 51.75 1.1M 1.1M 44.94
Current. Tested back after Thursday's good move, unable to maintain the momentum. Just going to hold on for now.
NTST 11/14 Test BO 5.83 +0.05 5.96 7.45 74K 100K 5.54
Buy not hit. Big volume surge Thursday as it holds over the 10 day MVA.
NXTL 11/12 Test 50 13.38 +0.2 12.15 16.15 22M 4.5M 11.94
Current. Up again Friday but on much lower volume. Needs to pick up some more buy power.
ODSY 10/30 cup hdl 35.48 +0.28 36.31 42 153K 328K 35
Exited as it was not going anywhere.
PNRA 11/07 cup hdl 34.25 +1.61 34.38 39.75 924K 1.2M 31.97
Current. Great move Friday on volume, and still in good shape for more positions here.
PPD 11/14 Test BO 27.08 +2.18 24.55 29.55 1M 450K 22.83
Buy not issued. PPD did not come back and we waited too long for it to make its move and it ran away from us. Now we are watching for test of the move to take positions.
QCOM 11/07 Test BO 39.44 +1.24 34.78 40 29M 18M 36.25
Current. Another super move on heavy volume.
QLGC 11/07 Test BO 40.55 +0.7 41.4 50 14M 25M 39
Current. Up over the 200 day MVA though volume is lower.
QLGC 08/17 CCall 40.55 +0.7 36.48 0 14M 12M 37
Current. Still letting it ride as there is still too much value in the options at this point to close it out.
QQQ 11/02 BO 26.44 +0.34 25.96 28 69M 90M 24.55
Current. Up again but not much volume. At the point it needs to make the break.
RGIS 11/14 cup hdl 29.61 -0.21 30.35 33 270K 525K 28.23
Buy not issued (error in the Thursday report). New buy point out of the handle.
RGIS 10/26 cup hdl 29.61 -0.21 29.75 33 270K 525K 28.35
Current.
RGIS 10/03 cup hdl 29.61 -0.21 28.84 33 270K 525K 28.35
Current.
RINO 10/24 Test BO 16.01 +0.18 17.35 20.75 236K 225K 16.06
Current. More volume Friday on a big doji. Needs to hold above 15.50 and then move up.
RINO 08/28 cup hdl 16.01 +0.18 13.8 20 236K 300K 16.06
Current.
SFAM 11/02 BO 6 +0.09 6.09 9 685K 400K 5.42
Current. Up again on some very strong volume. Looks ready to run again.
SHFL 11/02 Cup 20.45 +0.19 23.8 28.55 266K 375K 22.13
Exited.
SLE 10/26 Test BO 23.37 +0.3 23.11 27.55 2.6M 3.8M 22.05
Current. More volume Friday as SLE started up trying to get ready for the breakout.
SNDK 10/30 cup hdl 21.25 +1.06 21.76 26.25 2.2M 3M 20.24
Buy not hit. Good volume, good move, looks ready.
STCO 11/04 Test 18 12.61 +0.13 12.95 15.95 20K 135K 11.95
Buy not hit. Looks ready as well in the continued very tight consolidation. When it moves it should scream.
STE 10/07 BO 26.27 +0.18 25.24 29.4 193K 711K 25.35
Exited with a trailing stop.
STE 09/28 BO 26.27 +0.18 23.95 28.75 193K 711K 25.35
Exited with a trailing stop.
STN 10/05 cup hdl 18.71 +0.13 17.62 21.45 276K 600K 17.65
Current. Up fractionally on continued below average volume. Needs to generate some buy interest.
UTHR 11/12 DB hdl 16.25 -0.22 16.25 20.25 119K 295K 14.94
Buy not issued. Tested back with a doji on lower volume. Will see if volume comes in this week. Looks good.
VAR 10/25 A Wedge 49.41 +0.66 47.5 54.55 308K 550K 47.75
Current. Moving up on lower volume.
VAR 09/16 A Wedge 49.41 +0.66 43.96 50.55 308K 550K 47.75
Current.
VRTS 08/19 CCall 16.75 -1.5 19.76 20 25M 8.5M 17.45
Current. SEC problems but a great recovery.
VSEA 11/16 Rv H&S 27.31 -0.25 28.03 33 916K 1.4M 25.96
New.
VZ 10/10 Test 50 39.31 +1.01 34.75 42 7.8M 10M 37.35
Current. Over the 200 day MVA on rising though still below average volume. Looks as if VZ is starting its next run after this test.
WBSN 11/16 BO 24.76 +0.21 24.94 29.94 1.1M 1.2M 23.19
New.
WCN 11/11 Test BO 36.65 +0.47 37.25 44.55 153K 425K 34.64
Buy not hit. Starting up off the 18 day MVA but needs some volume.
WEDC 10/19 BO 9.32 +0.05 9.45 12 107K 142K 9.15
Current. Looks ready with another doji at the 10 and 18 day MVA on rising volume.
WFR 11/14 cup hdl 7.6 -0.39 8.05 9.94 289K 325K 7.25
Buy not issued. Tested the good move on lower volume.
WOOF 11/16 cup hdl 16 -0.25 16.25 19.48 93K 175K 15.11
New.
Good Investing!
Jon L. Johnson and your IH Alerts Team
All of the foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinion of Online Investment Services, LP. or its paid consultants and are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on our related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Partners in Online Investment Services, LP. or its paid consultants may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on our web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors.
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