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stock split, stock research
Begin Part 2 of 2
THE PLAYS:
Tonight we look at some best plays to give the staff some time for New Year's Eve with the family.
In each report we prepare full write-ups for those that look ready to move. If the move has been made already we discuss the play in the summary table. The purpose is to focus on the next good movers.
CONTINUING LEADER PLAYS
Upside:
Play Date: 12/05/2002
AME (Ametek--$38.49; +1.07; optionable): Industrial electrical equipment
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/a/ame.html
STATUS: Double bottom w/handle. AME started up in its handle Tuesday, jumping on strong, above average volume afer showing strong volume Monday. Looks solid and ready to breakout.
Volume: 195K Avg Volume: 125.59K
BUY POINT: $38.71 Volume=225K Target=$46.45 Stop=$36
POSITION: AME FG - June $35c (73 delta, no OI) and/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/ame.html
Play Date: 12/21/2002
CVD (Covance--$24.59; +0.49; optionable): Business research services
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/c/cvd.html
STATUS: Testing the 18 day MVA. Ready for a new high, CVD is one of the leaders in the market. Tuesday it got another shot of above average volume as it readied for the new high. Looks very solid here, moving laterally over the 10 day MVA.
Volume: 551K Avg Volume: 390.59K
BUY POINT: $24.75 Volume=581K Target=$29.74 Stop=$22.88
POSITION: CVD ED - May $20c (68 delta, low OI) and/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/cvd.html
Play Date: 12/28/2002
HTLD (Heartland Express--$22.91; +0.34; optionable): Trucking
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/h/htld.html
STATUS: Cup w/handle. Starting to move up in the handle to a 6-month base, HTLD received another good jolt of volume Tuesday as it traded up to 23.39 on the high. Looks ready to make the move, sporting excellent accumulation at 8 up weeks on rising volume to just 3 down weeks on rising volume.
Volume: 152.189K Avg Volume: 155.227K
BUY POINT: $23.28 Volume=240K Target=$27.94 Stop=$22.05
POSITION: QHK FD - June $20c (73 delta, no OI) and/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/htld.html
Play Date: 12/31/2002
SINA (Sina.com--$6.5; +0.25; no options): Internet services
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/s/sina.html
STATUS: Testing the 10 day MVA. SINA pulled back right to the 10 day MVA (6.25) and showed a doji Tuesday toward the close. That was what we wanted to see and we issued a buy alert for additional positions. It moved up a bit more to the close, and we really like the position. These stocks are racing up and now pulling back to test the short term MVA as they should.
Volume: 1.114M Avg Volume: 835.454K
BUY POINT: New: 6.55 (orig. $6.25) Volume=950K Target=$8.25 Stop=$5.81
POSITION: - Stock (no option chain)
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/sina.html
Downside:
Play Date: 12/18/2002
ESRX (Express Scripts--$48.04; -0.49; optionable): Mail order prescriptions
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/e/esrx.html
STATUS: Continuing downtrend. Rammed into the 18 day MVA again and then rolled back over. Sitting right on 48 where it needs to break down. Looks like it is going to do it for some new positions.
Volume: 938.508K Avg Volume: 1.725M
BUY POINT: New: $47.94 (orig. $48.02) Volume=1.5M Target=$44 Stop=$49.05
POSITION: XTO NJ - Feb. $50p (-51 delta)
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/esrx.html
PRE-ANNOUNCEMENT PLAYS
Play Date: 12/21/2002
SYK (Stryker--$67.12; +0.33; optionable): Medical supplies and instruments. Forecast to announce a split early 2003. We are still pinpointing a date.
Background: Last announced a 2:1 split in March 2003 at a price of $65.
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/s/syk.html
STATUS: Reverse head and shoulders. Starting to move Tuesday on some rising, average volume. The move took SYK to a new closing high, and we are looking for more after the New Year's break.
Volume: 682.6K Avg Volume: 750.5K
BUY POINT: $67.53 Volume=1.2M Target=$77.62 Stop=$62.84
POSITION: SYK FM - June $65c (70 delta) and/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/syk.html
WATCHLIST/ CONTINUING
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
$SOX 12/07 Test 50 289.24 -0.67 335.15 385 0 0 313.94
Current. Doji portends a move higher ofr a better exit point.
ACS 12/21 DB hdl 52.65 +0.19 52.05 60 975K 2.4M 49.45
Current.
AGU 12/30 A Wedge 11.31 -0.04 11.55 13.85 196K 357K 10.74
New.
AIG 12/18 Put 57.85 +0.44 58.55 54 5.5M 7M 59.15
Current.
ALN 12/07 Test BO 9.47 +0.27 9.86 11.85 205K 412K 9.17
ALN 11/09 Test BO 9.47 +0.27 7.28 9.75 205K 200K 9.25
Current.
AME 12/05 DB hdl 38.49 +1.07 38.71 46.45 195K 225K 36
Buy Not Hit.
AMZN 10/21 Cup hdl 18.89 -0.36 20.32 24.38 5.6M 10M 21.75
Current.
ANT 12/11 Put 24 -0.01 22.45 20 350K 200K 23.55
Current.
APOL 12/28 Cup hdl 44 -0.74 45.61 54.75 1.1M 3.5M 42.42
Buy Not Hit.
ASKJ 12/26 Cup hdl 2.56 +0.09 2.89 3.88 139K 305K 2.44
Buy Not Hit.
ATRS 12/30 BO 15.92 +0.13 14.81 18 224K 200K 13.77
Current.
ATRS 11/23 A Wedge 15.92 +0.13 14.05 18 224K 200K 13.07
Current.
AVCT 12/28 Test 50 22.22 +0.35 23.08 27 360K 750K 21.46
Buy Not Hit.
BCGI 12/19 Test 50 12.71 -0.59 13.75 16.55 201K 250K 12.65
Buy Not Issued.
BRCM 08/17 CCall 15.06 -0.19 19.2 19.8 5.9M 9M 17.25
Current.
BSTE 12/11 A Wedge 34.02 -0.98 34 41.25 513K 900K 33.22
Current.
BSX 10/19 Test BO 42.52 +0.18 37.75 45.75 1.7M 3.3M 41.94
Current.
BYS 11/18 Test BO 26 -0.11 25.45 30.45 9.8K 194K 25.65
Current.
COLM 11/13 DB hdl 44.42 -0.18 41.96 48.45 318K 389K 44.25
Current.
CURE 12/30 Cup hdl 17.25 -0.15 18.22 21.85 222K 176K 17.74
Buy not hit.
CVD 12/21 Cup hdl 24.59 +0.49 24.75 29.74 551K 581K 22.88
Buy Not Hit.
CVD 11/05 Test BO 24.59 +0.49 23.65 28 551K 581K 23.35
Current.
ESPD 12/19 Test BO 16.94 +0.02 17.81 21.45 385K 675K 16.11
Buy Not Issued.
ESRX 12/18 Put 48.04 -0.49 48.02 44 939K 1.5M 49.05
Current.
EXPD 11/09 Cup hdl 32.65 -0.44 32.08 38 614K 750K 32.45
Current.
EXPE 11/30 A Wedge 66.93 +0.12 78.25 88 1.7M 3.2M 72.77
Current.
FAST 12/14 Cup hdl 37.39 -0.06 38.55 43 1.1M 995K 36.45
Current.
FIC 12/26 DB hdl 42.7 +0.49 44.51 48 470K 575K 40.55
Buy Not Hit.
FNF 11/26 Test BO 32.83 -0.47 33.25 38.25 564K 875K 30.92
Buy Not Hit.
FRX 10/29 Test BO 98.22 -0.38 99.55 115 1.1M 3.1M 103
GG 09/19 Cup hdl 12.72 +0.12 11.98 14.45 1.5M 2.4M 11.97
Current.
GTK 10/31 Cup hdl 27.86 -0.55 26.15 30 713K 900K 28.04
Exited.
HSIC 12/09 Put 45 -0.64 44.15 40 324K 667K 46.05
Buy Not Issued.
HTLD 12/28 Cup hdl 22.91 +0.34 23.28 27.94 152K 240K 22.05
Buy Not Hit.
IDXC 12/02 Cup hdl 17.03 -0.57 17.65 21.25 171K 163K 16.85
Current.
IGEN 12/19 Test BO 42.85 -0.07 43.05 49.55 196K 450K 42.05
Current.
IGEN 11/16 DB hdl 42.85 -0.07 38.81 45 196K 300K 41.75
Current.
INFY 12/21 Test BO 69.55 -0.43 76.05 92 47K 165K 71.35
Buy Not Hit.
LSTR 12/19 A Wedge 58.41 +0.55 56.42 62.42 139K 220K 56
Current.
MATK 12/04 Test BO 25.16 +0.85 23.39 27.94 332K 300K 24
Current.
MLHR 12/28 Put 18.4 +0.12 17.94 15.85 231K 425K 19.05
Current.
MRK 12/21 Test 50 56.61 -0.2 58.05 67 4M 9.5M 55.94
Buy Not Hit.
MRK 12/07 Test BO 56.61 -0.2 59.15 67 4M 9.5M 55.94
Current.
MSFT 12/04 Test 18 51.7 -1.05 56.61 62.75 29M 67M 54.45
Exited.
NBIX 10/08 Rv H&S 45.66 -0.49 44.85 51.75 587K 1.1M 45.45
Current.
NTII 12/22 Test BO 5.7 -0.05 6.74 8.25 16K 90K 6.18
Buy Not Hit.
PENN 12/14 Put 15.86 +0.03 16.55 14 290K 300K 17.65
Current.
PNRA 11/07 Cup hdl 34.8 -0.31 34.38 39.75 445K 1.2M 34.12
Current.
PPD 11/14 Test BO 26.2 +0.02 25.51 30.55 335K 450K 26.25
Current.
PSUN 12/05 BO 17.69 -0.06 28.05 33 1.2M 1.5M 25.95
Current.
QCOM 12/21 Test 50 36.39 -0.41 39.15 48 7.1M 18M 36.41
Buy Not Hit.
QCOM 12/04 Test 18 36.39 -0.41 40.85 50 7.1M 18M 37.99
Current.
QCOM 11/07 Test BO 36.39 -0.41 34.78 42 7.1M 18M 38.14
Current.
QLGC 11/07 Test BO 34.51 -0.52 41.4 50 7M 25M 39.88
RHD 11/30 Cup hdl 29.31 -0.03 30.17 25.94 149K 267K 28.06
Buy Not Hit.
ROST 12/12 Test 50 42.39 +0.49 45.85 52.75 1.1M 1.6M 42.64
Buy Not Hit.
SCIO 12/03 Cup hdl 32.58 -0.02 33.05 39.65 432K 1.6M 30.74
Buy Not Issued.
SINA 12/31 Test BO 6.5 +0.25 6.25 8.25 1.1M 950K 5.81
Current. Tested the 10 day MVA and started up, so we issued an entry alert.
SINA 12/04 Test BO 6.5 +0.25 5.58 7.21 1.1M 950K 6.48
Current.
SYK 12/21 Rv H&S 67.12 +0.33 67.53 77.62 683K 1.2M 62.84
Buy Not Hit.
TEVA 11/09 Test BO 38.61 +1.29 36.85 42.51 2.5M 1.8M 37.35
Exited.
TSCO 10/16 Test BO 37.6 -0.9 39.05 46.85 265K 235K 42.05
Current.
UNTD 11/30 Test BO 15.94 +0.29 16.25 19.65 523K 1M 15.55
Current.
UOPX 12/07 Test BO 35.84 -0.12 36.74 42 137K 278K 34.17
Current.
URBN 12/22 Put 23.57 +0.87 23.36 20.22 248K 500K 24.65
Current.
VAR 12/18 Rv H&S 49.6 +0.04 50.25 58 422K 700K 48.05
Current.
VRNT 11/23 Cup hdl 20.18 -0.37 15.85 21.55 313K 113K 19.94
Current.
VSAT 12/17 Test 18 11.54 -0.31 12.26 15.45 178K 320K 11.35
Buy Not Issued.
WERN 11/30 Cup hdl 21.53 +0.14 22.75 27.35 492K 550K 21.16
Buy Not Hit.
WFMI 12/14 Test BO 52.73 -0.48 53.65 64 565K 975K 52.05
Current.
WFMI 10/28 Cup hdl 52.73 -0.48 50.11 57.51 565K 975K 52.05
Current.
WGO 12/28 Put 39.23 -0.37 39.49 36 272K 270K 41
Current.
Good Investing!
Jon L. Johnson and the Stock Split Report Staff.
All of the foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinion of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants and are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on our related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Partners of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on our web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors.
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stock split
stock research
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