|
|
stock research, stock recommendation
Begin Part 2 of 2
THE PLAYS:
Revisited:
Play Date: 12/21/2002
CVD (Covance--$24.59; +0.49; optionable): Business research services
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/c/cvd.html
STATUS: Testing the 18 day MVA. Ready for a new high, CVD is one of the leaders in the market. Tuesday it got another shot of above average volume as it readied for the new high. Looks very solid here, moving laterally over the 10 day MVA.
Volume: 551K Avg Volume: 390.59K
BUY POINT: $24.75 Volume=581K Target=$29.74 Stop=$22.88
POSITION: CVD ED - May $20c (68 delta, low OI) and/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ci/cvd.html
Play Date: 12/28/2002
ROIAK (Radio One--$14.43; +0.44; optionable): Radio broadcasting
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/r/roiak.html
STATUS: Rolling. Started up in the rolling range, moving up on stronger, average volume. Again, ROIAK is moving in a range from 14 to near 18, rolling up and down in roughly 3-week cycles (per leg) over the past 3.5 months. Ready to move in.
Volume: 570.852K Avg Volume: 640K
BUY POINT: $14.55 Volume=650K Target=$17.49 Stop=$13.53
POSITION: UFK DV - April $12.50c (no OI) and/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ci/roiak.html
Play Date: 12/31/2002
SINA (Sina.com--$6.5; +0.25; no options): Internet services
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/s/sina.html
STATUS: Testing the 10 day MVA. SINA pulled back right to the 10 day MVA (6.25) and showed a doji Tuesday toward the close. That was what we wanted to see and we issued a buy alert for additional positions. It moved up a bit more to the close, and we really like the position. These stocks are racing up and now pulling back to test the short term MVA as they should.
Volume: 1.114M Avg Volume: 835.454K
BUY POINT: New: 6.55 (orig. $6.25) Volume=950K Target=$8.25 Stop=$5.81
POSITION: - Stock (no option chain)
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ci/sina.html
Play Date: 10/19/2002
UPL (Ultra Petroleum--$9.9; +0.3; optionable): Independent oil & gas
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/u/upl.html
STATUS: Cup w/handle. UPL has now formed the handle to its 6-month base. Tuesday volume leaped higher, moving well above average as it did as UPL nears a breakout and a new buy point. Accumulation in the base is very good at 5 up weeks on rising volume to 2 down weeks on rising volume.
Volume: 428.6K Avg Volume: 241.5K
BUY POINT: New: Breakout 10.15 (orig. $9.22). Volume=345K Target=$12.20 (orig. 11.15) Stop=$8.57
POSITION: UPL CU - Mar. $7.50c (76 delta) and/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ci/upl.html
Downside:
Play Date: 12/14/2002
CEPH (Cephalon--$48.66; -0.13; optionable): Drugs
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/c/ceph.html
STATUS: Put. Tried the 200 day MVA right at 50 and then rolled over and closed slightly lower when the overall action was mostly bullish. Looks ready to fall, but needs to get below 48 for more positions.
Volume: 970.642K Avg Volume: 2.106M
BUY POINT: New: $47.96 (orig. $49.19) Volume=2M Target=$45.51 Stop=$50.65
POSITION: CQE NJ - Feb. $50p (-46 delta)
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ci/ceph.html
CONTINUING PLAYS:
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
$SOX 12/07 Test 50 289.24 -0.67 335.15 385 0 0 313.94
Current. Doji portends a move higher ofr a better exit point.
ADTN 12/10 Test 18 32.9 -0.16 32.05 38.45 492K 800K 30.35
Current.
AFCO 12/07 Test BO 19.99 -0.26 20.85 25 217K 225K 18.79
Buy Not Hit.
AIG 12/18 Put 57.85 +0.44 58.55 54 5.5M 7M 59.15
Current.
ALN 12/07 Test BO 9.47 +0.27 9.86 11.85 205K 412K 9.17
ALN 11/09 Test BO 9.47 +0.27 7.28 9.75 205K 200K 9.25
Current.
AMZN 10/21 Cup hdl 18.89 -0.36 20.32 24.38 5.6M 10M 21.75
Current.
ANT 12/11 Put 24 -0.01 22.45 20 350K 200K 23.55
Current.
APOL 12/28 Cup hdl 44 -0.74 45.61 54.75 1.1M 3.5M 42.42
Buy Not Hit.
ATRS 12/30 BO 15.92 +0.13 14.81 18 224K 200K 13.77
Current.
ATRS 11/23 A Wedge 15.92 +0.13 14.05 18 224K 200K 13.07
Current.
AVID 12/07 Test 18 22.95 +0.5 21 25 986K 500K 20.15
Current.
AVID 10/30 Cup hdl 22.95 +0.5 15.65 25 986K 177K 20.15
Current.
AVP 11/25 Cup hdl 53.87 +0.41 52.94 61 705K 1.8M 52.75
Current.
BCGI 12/19 Test 50 12.71 -0.59 13.75 16.55 201K 250K 12.65
Buy Not Issued.
BER 11/13 Cup hdl 39.61 -0.17 38.4 45 157K 306K 38.35
Current.
BSX 10/19 Test BO 42.52 +0.18 37.75 45.75 1.7M 3.3M 41.94
Current.
CAI 12/30 Put 35.64 +0.59 34.74 32 372K 517K 35.55
Buy not hit.
CEPH 12/14 Put 48.66 -0.13 49.19 45.51 971K 2M 50.65
Current.
CURE 12/30 Cup hdl 17.25 -0.15 18.22 21.85 222K 176K 17.74
Buy not hit.
CVD 12/21 Cup hdl 24.59 +0.49 24.75 29.74 551K 581K 22.88
Buy Not Hit.
CVD 11/05 Test BO 24.59 +0.49 23.65 28 551K 581K 23.35
Current.
DANKY 12/17 Cup hdl 4.25 -0.03 4.62 5.65 220K 560K 4.25
Buy Not Hit.
ECL 10/30 Cup hdl 49.5 -0.2 49.11 56.55 469K 1M 48.15
Current.
ESPD 12/19 Test BO 16.94 +0.02 17.81 21.45 385K 675K 16.11
Buy Not Issued.
ETM 12/28 Put 46.92 +0.41 45.75 42 301K 325K 46.78
Current.
EUNI 12/30 Cup hdl 5.68 -0.12 6.33 7.88 193K 204K 5.68
Buy not hit.
EXPE 11/30 A Wedge 66.93 +0.12 78.25 88 1.7M 3.2M 72.77
Current.
GTK 10/31 Cup hdl 27.86 -0.55 26.15 30 713K 900K 28.04
Exited.
HAR 11/21 Test 18 59.5 +0.63 61.6 70 239K 488K 59.85
Current.
HLTH 12/12 Cup hdl 8.55 +0.16 8.85 11.35 2.3M 3.1M 8.23
Buy Not Hit.
HSIC 12/09 Put 45 -0.64 44.15 40 324K 667K 46.05
Buy Not Issued.
HTLD 12/28 Cup hdl 22.91 +0.34 23.28 27.94 152K 240K 22.05
Buy Not Hit.
IBM 12/04 Test 50 77.5 +1.25 84.94 94.94 7.9M 12M 78.99
Exited.
IBM 11/11 Test 50 77.5 +1.25 78.45 88 7.9M 12M 82.24
Exited.
IDBE 12/16 DB hdl 6.68 +0.18 6.65 8.55 44K 165K 6.15
Current.
IDXC 12/02 Cup hdl 17.03 -0.57 17.65 21.25 171K 163K 16.85
Current.
IGEN 12/19 Test BO 42.85 -0.07 43.05 49.55 196K 450K 42.05
Current.
IGEN 11/16 DB hdl 42.85 -0.07 38.81 45 196K 300K 41.75
Current.
LMLP 12/07 Cup hdl 13.75 +0.15 10.75 12.96 79K 135K 12.25
Buy Not Issued.
LMLP 11/23 Cup hdl 13.75 +0.15 9.75 14.25 79K 135K 12.97
Current.
MATK 12/04 Test BO 25.16 +0.85 23.39 27.94 332K 300K 24
Current.
MDCO 12/05 Test BO 16.02 +0.71 17.05 20.55 394K 800K 15.35
Buy Not Hit.
MERQ 12/11 Test BO 29.65 -0.51 31.55 38 1.3M 5M 29.94
Current.
MLHR 12/28 Put 18.4 +0.12 17.94 15.85 231K 425K 19.05
Current.
MSFT 12/04 Test 18 51.7 -1.05 56.61 62.75 29M 67M 54.45
Exited.
MSN 12/21 Test BO 4.97 +0.31 5.92 7.45 122K 150K 5.19
Buy Not Hit.
MSN 12/04 Cup hdl 4.97 +0.31 4.85 6.35 122K 150K 4.51
Current.
MSN 11/23 Cup hdl 4.97 +0.31 4.15 5.68 122K 150K 4.51
Current.
MVL 11/04 BO 8.98 +0.25 8.74 10.75 295K 400K 8.35
Current.
NBIX 10/08 Rv H&S 45.66 -0.49 44.85 51.75 587K 1.1M 45.45
Current.
NSCN 12/22 Pennant 16.84 +0.34 17.24 21.24 580K 1.8M 16.03
Buy Not Issued.
NTES 12/19 Test BO 11.45 -0.06 12 14.45 715K 550K 11.12
Current.
OVER 12/26 Cup hdl 27.31 -0.51 30.05 36 885K 2.5M 27.95
Buy Not Hit.
PFGC 12/09 Put 33.95 +0.28 33.97 31.75 190K 475K 34.75
Current.
PNRA 11/07 Cup hdl 34.8 -0.31 34.38 39.75 445K 1.2M 34.12
Current.
PPD 11/14 Test BO 26.2 +0.02 25.51 30.55 335K 450K 26.25
Current.
QCOM 12/21 Test 50 36.39 -0.41 39.15 48 7.1M 18M 36.41
Buy Not Hit.
QCOM 12/04 Test 18 36.39 -0.41 40.85 50 7.1M 18M 37.99
Current.
QCOM 11/07 Test BO 36.39 -0.41 34.78 42 7.1M 18M 38.14
Current.
QLGC 11/07 Test BO 34.51 -0.52 41.4 50 7M 25M 39.88
QLGC 08/17 CCall 34.51 -0.52 36.48 0 7M 12M 37
Current.
RIMM 12/22 Put 13.12 +0.03 12.94 9.95 376K 1.7M 14.04
Buy Not Issued.
RINO 10/24 Test BO 17.39 +0.14 17.35 20.75 241K 225K 16.95
Current.
RINO 08/28 Cup hdl 17.39 +0.14 13.8 20 241K 300K 16.95
Current.
ROIAK 12/28 Rv H&S 14.43 +0.44 14.55 17.49 571K 650K 13.53
Buy Not Hit.
SAY 12/12 Cup hdl 12.85 -0.09 13.48 16.98 90K 255K 12.54
Buy Not Hit.
SCIO 12/03 Cup hdl 32.58 -0.02 33.05 39.65 432K 1.6M 30.74
Buy Not Issued.
SINA 12/31 Test BO 6.5 +0.25 6.25 8.25 1.1M 950K 5.81
New. Issued the alert intraday.
SINA 12/04 Test BO 6.5 +0.25 5.58 7.21 1.1M 950K 6.48
Current.
STK 12/26 Cup hdl 21.42 +0.15 23.21 27.88 636K 1.2M 21.59
Buy Not Hit.
SYK 12/21 Rv H&S 67.12 +0.33 67.53 77.62 683K 1.2M 62.84
Buy Not Hit.
UNTD 11/30 Test BO 15.94 +0.29 16.25 19.65 523K 1M 15.55
Current.
UPL 10/19 A Wedge 9.9 +0.3 9.68 11.75 429K 345K 9.35
Current.
URBN 12/22 Put 23.57 +0.87 23.36 20.22 248K 500K 24.65
Current.
UTHR 11/12 DB hdl 16.7 -0.15 17.65 21.45 179K 295K 16.21
Current.
VAR 12/18 Rv H&S 49.6 +0.04 50.25 58 422K 700K 48.05
Current.
VRNT 11/23 Cup hdl 20.18 -0.37 15.85 21.55 313K 113K 19.94
Current.
VRTS 08/19 CCall 15.62 -0.41 19.76 20 7M 8.5M 17.45
Current.
VZ 12/04 Cup hdl 38.75 -0.23 41 47.5 5.6M 11M 38.13
Buy Not Hit.
VZ 11/23 Cup hdl 38.75 -0.23 41 45 5.6M 11M 38.25
Current.
VZ 10/10 Test 50 38.75 -0.23 34.75 42 5.6M 10M 37.96
Current.
Good Investing!
Jon L. Johnson and your IH Alerts Team
All of the foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinion of Online Investment Services, LP. or its paid consultants and are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on our related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Partners in Online Investment Services, LP. or its paid consultants may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on our web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors.
|
stock research
stock recommendation
|
