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trading system, trade stock
THE PLAYS
Good movers Friday: APH; BCR; BLTI; CVH; IDBE; LEXR; LU; TWTC; WFII
Best Plays:
1) AOS: Excellent and orderly breakout test.
2) CCU: Strong money flow leading the way.
3) EXTR: Excellent test of the 200 day MVA breakout.
4) SLAB: Breaking down on rising volume.
5) CY: Very nice breakout test underway.
6) MERQ: Still solid in the pattern.
7) PENN: Very nice 18 day MVA test.
NEW PLAYS:
Play Date: 05/17/2003
AOS (A.O. Smith--$31.37; -0.08; no options): Electric motor and water heater equipment
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/a/aos.html
STATUS: Testing the breakout. AOS formed a 3-month cup with handle from January to mid-April, breaking out at that time and rallying higher. It started its second leg higher six sessions back and then spent last week in an orderly test of that move, sliding back to hold above the 10 day MVA (31.03). Friday it showed a hammer doji as volume jumped back above average. AOS sported solid 7 to 2 accumulation in its base (7 up weeks on rising volume to 2 down weeks on rising volume) and is showing excellent money flow. Relative strength broke out with the stock. Very nice test and we are looking for the price to rally with the volume. Very nice.
Volume: 147.7K Avg Volume: 90.597K
BUY POINT: $31.65 Volume=136K Target=$37.65 Stop=$30.25
POSITION: - Stock (no option chain)
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ct/aos.html
Play Date: 05/17/2003
CCU (Clear Channel Communications--$40.68; +0.18; optionable): Broadcast radio
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/c/ccu.html
STATUS: Cup w/handle. CCU is moving in a 4-month base showing solid 5 to 2 accumulation. It is currently moving through a week-long handle that is testing the 10 day MVA (39.89) on the low as volume trails off. The lower intraday lows helps shake out the remaining weak holders, and the lower volume shows there are not many sellers. Money flow is outstanding as CCU makes the lateral move. Friday volume started to rise as CCU moved up off the 18 day MVA to post a modest gain. Price/volume action looks soli as it starts its move higher. Very nice action.
Volume: 4.022M Avg Volume: 4.598M
BUY POINT: $41.26 Volume=6.9M Target=$47.45 Stop=$39.25
POSITION: CCU JH - Oct. $40c (60 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ct/ccu.html
Play Date: 05/17/2003
EXTR (Extreme Networks--$5.33; -0.02; optionable): Internet software
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/e/extr.html
STATUS: Testing the 200 day MVA. After moving in a trading range from 3.75 to 4.75 the past 4 months, EXTR blasted higher early last week, clearing the 200 day MVA (5.09) on huge volume and then coming back late in the week to test that move. Friday EXTR held the 200 day MVA on a gap lower but rallied back for a modest loss. Accumulation is solid at 6 up weeks on rising volume to 4 down weeks on rising volume. Money flow has shot up ahead of the stock price and is still leading the way higher. EXTR is one of those internet stocks we used to trade regularly in the heyday. Looks ready to start the move higher, but we want to see the volume turn up as it does.
Volume: 4.195M Avg Volume: 2.987M
BUY POINT: $5.45 Volume=4.5M Target=$7.42 Stop=$5.07
POSITION: EXJ IA - Sept. $5c (65 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ct/extr.html
Play Date: 05/17/2003
QLGC (Qlogic--$46.21; -0.27; optionable): PC Data storage components
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/q/qlgc.html
STATUS: Testing the breakout. QLGC broke out of a 5-month reverse head and shoulders pattern in late April, and rallied up to 47.50 Tuesday. It has since eased back to the 10 day MVA, tapping that support level on the Friday low (45.91) on lower, below average volume. It showed a doji at that level, i.e., the open and close prices were almost identical. That shows buyers and sellers evenly matched after the sellers were ahead on the pullback. Dojis can signal a change of momentum/direction, especially when they occur over support. Looking for a bounce higher on much stronger volume to enter positions.
Volume: 3.846M Avg Volume: 7.395M
BUY POINT: $46.78 Volume=8M Target=$54 Stop=$44.65
POSITION: QLC JI - Oct. $45c (60 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ct/qlgc.html
Downside:
Play Date: 05/17/2003
SLAB (Silicon Labs--$26.82; -1.57; optionable): Semiconductors
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/s/slab.html
STATUS: Put. SLAB has gone from looking pretty decent to really hurting in just a few short weeks. It double topped at 31 and tanked to the 50 day MVA at 28. Friday it dumped lower on rising, above average volume. The stock is under distribution and money flow is tanking. SLAB may try a rebound to test the 50 day MVA before falling further; that is our favorite entry point on the downside play as it is the same as a test on an upside breakout as it proves up the weakness. Still, given the fall we are willing to take some positions on a further drop and then if it bounces, complete the position when it rolls back over.
Volume: 1.389M Avg Volume: 1.127M
BUY POINT: $26.58 Volume=1.1M Target=$24 Stop=$28.06
POSITION: QFJ SF - July $30p (-66 delta)
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ct/slab.html
CONTINUING PLAYS:
Play Date: 04/02/2003
ADBE (Adobe Systems--$35.94; -0.44; optionable): Application software
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/a/adbe.html
STATUS: Testing the 18 day MVA. ADBE is still showing a good test of the 18 day MVA (35.92) with its third doji at that level the past three sessions. This follows a breakout of its cup with handle base in March. A very nice test, and we are looking for a higher volme rally off this level.
Volume: 2.077M Avg Volume: 3.755M
BUY POINT: New: $36.95 (orig. $34.12) Volume=4.8M Target=$41 Stop=$35.42
POSITION: AEQ GF - July $30c (69 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ct/adbe.html
Play Date: 05/17/2003
CY (Cypress Semiconductor--$9.8; 0; optionable): Semiconductors
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/c/cy.html
STATUS: Testing the breakout. New buy point for a current play. CY exploded out of a 4.5 month cup with handle base in April Rallied to 11, and is now testing that breakout. It has pulled back to hold just over the 18 day MVA (9.60) on mostly lower volume. In the Friday selling CY showed a very tight doji on below average volume, holding over the 18 day. After a pullback on a nice run this can indicate a move back up. CY is holding the breakout and support at the 18 day. Excellent money flow. Looking for a bounce back up from here on some sharply higher volume.
Volume: 1.547M Avg Volume: 2.244M
BUY POINT: $10.06 Volume=2.3M Target=$12.12 Stop=$9.36
POSITION: CY IB - Sept. $10c (56 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ct/cy.html
Play Date: 05/14/2003
HTCH (Hutchinson Technology--$27.56; -0.15; optionable): PC data storage devices
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/h/htch.html
STATUS: Ascending Triangle. Still trying to make the breakout from its 5.5 month base. HTCH tested down to the 10 day MVA on the Friday low (26.65) and then rallied back on rising, above average volume. Accumulation is solid at 6 up weeks on rising volume to 4 down weeks on rising volume. Another triangle that has formed after a cup base, and that action sets a good foundation by shaking out the weak holders. Friday may have been the last quick test toward 26 we were looking for. Now we look for a high volume breakout from the pattern.
Volume: 535.059K Avg Volume: 554.518K
BUY POINT: $27.78 Volume=802K Target=$33.35 Stop=$25.84
POSITION: UTQ HE - Aug. $25c (74 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ct/htch.html
Play Date: 05/06/2003
HYSL (Hyperion Solutions--$31.16; -0.04; optionable): Application software
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/h/hysl.html
STATUS: Cup with handle. HYSL started the break higher Thursday on rising, above average volume, moving up and out of the handle of its 3.5 month base showing solid 5 to 3 accumulation and strong money flow. Friday HYSL held basically steady on lower volume in a down market. Looking for more upside on strong volume.
Volume: 405.688K Avg Volume: 705.755K
BUY POINT: New: $31.55 (orig. $30.83) Volume=1M Target=$37 Stop=$29.88
POSITION: WQE HF - Aug. $30c (57 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ct/hysl.html
Play Date: 05/14/2003
LU (Lucent Technologies--$2.36; +0.09; no options): Telecom processing equipment
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/l/lu.html
STATUS: Cup w/handle. Friday LU started the breakout on stronger volume from its 4-month base showing solid 5 to 1 accumulation (5 up weeks on rising volume to 1 down week on rising volume). Excellent money flow is leading the way. LU is still a buy on a further volume rise.
Volume: 63.167M Avg Volume: 42.627M
BUY POINT: New: $2.41 (orig. $2.32) Volume=60M Target=$3 Stop=$2.17
POSITION: - Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ct/lu.html
Play Date: 05/12/2003
MERQ (Mercury Interactive--$37.32; -0.12; optionable): Technical and system software
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/m/merq.html
STATUS: Cup w/handle. Still in the very nice 5-month base sporting 3 to 1 accumulation and excellent money flow. MERQ moved laterally Thursday and Friday, continuing the lateral move testing the strong breakout Monday. Looking for a continuation of the move on rising volume, preferably above average.
Volume: 2.342M Avg Volume: 4.646M
BUY POINT: $37.68 Volume=6.8M Target=$44.25 Stop=$35.04
POSITION: RQB GG - July $35c (70 delta) or RQB JT - Oct. $27.50c (56 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ct/merq.html
Play Date: 05/03/2003
NBIX (Neurocrine Biosciences--$49.19; -0.01; optionable): Biotechnology
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/n/nbix.html
STATUS: Cup w/handle. Wednesday NBIX rallied out of its 5-month base as the solid 4 to 2 accumulation and strong money flow. Thursday and Friday it ran out of steam, testing the 10 day MVA on the Friday low (47.99) and rebounding to close flat. It looks as if NBIX is going to snug up closer to the 10 day MVA before making its next move, but the action is excellent and we want to pick it off for new positions after it tests the 10 day once again and then rallies on rising volume.
Volume: 315.206K Avg Volume: 376.772K
BUY POINT: New: Test of 48ish, then 48.65 on the way back up. From here if no test: 49.72 (orig. $48.20) Volume=600K Target=$54.25 Stop=$45.96
POSITION: UOT HI - Aug. $45c (64 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ct/nbix.html
Play Date: 05/07/2003
PENN (Penn National Gaming--$21.78; -0.38; optionable): Gaming
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/p/penn.html
STATUS: Breakout test. This is a very nice 2-week test of the breakout from early April. PENN formed a very nice 6.5 month base ahead of this breakout. Good 7 to 4 accumulation in the base. Again, a very nice test and we are looking for a strong volume bounce up from here.
Volume: 508.194K Avg Volume: 415.846K
BUY POINT: $22.75 Volume=576K Target=$26.94 Stop=$21.05
POSITION: UQN GD - July $20c (74 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ct/penn.html
Play Date: 05/07/2003
PWN (Cash America--$11.3; -0.18; no options): Pawn shops
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/p/pwn.html
STATUS: Testing the breakout. PWN is on its second test of the short term MVA after the April breakout, falling back to the 10 day MVA (11.26) late in the week. Friday volume jumped above average as it tested the 10 day and held. Money flow is strong, accumulation is solid. Looking for a solid volume move back up from this test.
Volume: 106.6K Avg Volume: 83.995K
BUY POINT: $11.42 Volume=117K Target=$13.75 Stop=$10.62
POSITION: - Stock (no option chain)
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ct/pwn.html
Play Date: 05/10/2003
UIS (Unisys--$10.72; +0.24; optionable): Information technology software
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/u/uis.html
STATUS: Cup w/handle. Toward the end of the week UIS became more volatile, dipping below the 18 day MVA (10.57) Thursday on rising volume. Then Friday it bounced back over the 10 day on even stronger volume. This looks as if it is a final shakeout in the handle to its 5.5 month base showing excellent 8 to 3 accumulatoin and outstanding money flow running up ahead of the price even on this dip.
Volume: 2.478M Avg Volume: 1.147M
BUY POINT: $11.05 Volume=1.6M Target=$13.25 Stop=$10.38
POSITION: UIS JB - Oct. $10c (67 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/ct/uis.html
WATCHLIST/ CONTINUING:
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ADBE 04/02 Test BO 36.25 -0.24 34.12 41 2.2M 4.8M 35.42
Current. Nice doji on the 18 day MVA.
ADSK 03/25 Cup hdl 16.45 -0.48 16.3 19.45 1.5M 1.8M 15.72
Current. Good move up given back in a day. Needs to hold at 16.25.
ADTN 04/15 Cup hdl 45.12 -0.75 40.88 46.95 1M 1.2M 42.12
Current. Nice test back after the strong move.
ALGN 04/29 Test 50 8.66 -0.06 7.45 9.25 298K 378K 7.05
Current. Moving laterally after the strong move.
ALT 05/07 Cup hdl 4.43 +0.28 4.4 5.45 505K 188K 4.06
Current. Nice break higher on volume.
APH 04/26 Test BO 46.08 -0.07 44.75 51.75 193K 150K 43.88
Current. Looks ready for another move as volume jumped.
APOL 04/12 A Wedge 55.97 -0.14 52.75 59 1.3M 2.7M 54.25
Current. Nice doji at the 10 day MVA on lower volume.
APOL 02/18 A Wedge 55.97 -0.14 46.25 52.88 1.3M 22M 54.25
Current.
ARTI 04/29 Cup 22.85 -0.25 20.35 24 362K 350K 19.88
Current. Testing the breakout on lower volume.
BBA 04/05 Cup hdl 9.68 +0.22 6.05 7.55 370K 329K 8.05
Current. Another move higher.
BCR 05/10 A Wedge 65.12 +0.32 64.4 73.75 187K 477K 62.25
Current. Took a breather after a strong move.
BLTI 02/10 Test BO 11.46 +0.26 7.2 9.5 594K 300K 11.25
Current. Rallied on some stronger volume so we stayed with the position.
BPOP 04/03 Cup hdl 38.54 -0.18 35.25 40.45 122K 200K 36.48
Current. Good move Tuesday, took a breather Wednesday.
CAH 04/09 Put 57.95 -0.08 55.96 52 2.6M 3.5M 54.74
Current.
CBRL 05/01 Cup hdl 32.92 +0.05 32.78 37.65 285K 1.1M 30.49
Buy Not Issued.
CHINA 05/03 Test BO 4.99 +0.09 5.25 6.35 1.1M 1.1M 4.74
Current. Still working laterally over the 18 day MVA.
CNCT 03/03 Test BO 18.01 -0.02 15 17.94 135K 210K 16.94
Current. Still holding the 10 day MVA as it works higher.
CVH 03/31 BO 39.83 +0.36 38.25 44.92 618K 815K 37.65
Buy Not Issued.
CY 03/04 Flat 9.8 -0.17 6.7 8.65 2.4M 2.3M 9.48
Current.
CYPB 05/05 Cup 3 -0.13 3.55 4.38 216K 95K 3.22
Current. Holding the 18 day MVA on lower volume so let it ride for another session.
ELAB 03/06 Cup hdl 31.99 +0.92 24.06 28.88 249K 325K 29.75
Current. Gapped higher on rising volume.
EPIC 05/08 FlyPlat 3.45 0 3.15 4 250K 145K 2.74
Current. Taking a rest after the super surge higher.
ETN 05/03 Cup hdl 80.28 -0.85 82.65 90.94 381K 838K 79.88
Buy Not Issued. Has lost some of its allure though it is holding the handle at 80. Will give it to the weekend.
FDX 03/24 Cup hdl 61.77 -1.04 57.85 66 1.9M 2.2M 59.75
Current. Strong move, then giving it back on strong volume. Still continues in the uptrend, however.
FFIV 04/23 A Wedge 16.51 +0.28 15.3 18.32 622K 750K 14.05
Current. Still working higher on solid volume.
FLIR 05/08 PreSplt 51.57 +0.59 51.7 58.75 259K 401K 49.65
Current. Still holding at the 18 day MVA, but is not making the jump that it looked to be starting.
FLSH 05/12 Rv H&S 10 +0.11 9.2 10.96 512K 195K 8.56
Current. Took a day off after the strong break higher.
GPRO 04/05 Dbl btm 36.72 +1.43 26.5 30.75 675K 521K 32.65
Current. Nice move higher on rising volume.
GRMN 11/06 Cup hdl 47.78 -0.07 22.34 37.45 545K 198K 42.45
Current.
GS 04/26 Cup hdl 74.95 0 76.9 82 3.4M 5M 75.22
Current. Trying to hold 74.
HIL 05/03 BO 9.28 +0.53 7.45 8.96 523K 250K 7.65
Current. Nice break higher on strong volume.
HTCH 05/14 A Wedge 27.19 -0.2 27.78 33.35 587K 802K 25.84
New.
HYSL 05/06 Cup hdl 30.47 -0.18 30.83 37 388K 1M 28.67
Buy Not Issued. Still in the pattern and looks good.
IDBE 04/16 Rv H&S 9.65 +0.33 8.17 11 233K 376K 7.94
Current. Nice gap higher on volume.
IGLD 04/21 Cup 4.92 -0.76 4.3 6.45 833K 543K 4.75
Current. Thudded down to the 18 day MVA on volume. Danger.
JPM 04/01 Test BO 30.49 -0.23 24.96 28.55 7.5M 1.2M 28.88
Current. Working laterally over the 10 day MVA on lower volume. Looking for the next rally to send it higher.
KLAC 04/02 Test 50 41.54 -1.21 39.4 45.48 11M 13M 40.65
Current. Down to the 18 day MVA in the chip selling. It has used that level as support on the entire move higher.
KOSP 05/13 Test BO 23.07 +0.57 22.94 27.48 302K 400K 21.33
Buy Not Issued.
LEXR 04/30 FlyPlat 5.96 +0.22 5.06 7 1.4M 1.2M 4.97
Current. Up again on above average volume.
LLTC 03/20 Cup hdl 35.45 -0.85 34.97 40.48 7.4M 7M 34.55
Current.
LU 05/14 Cup hdl 2.18 +0.03 2.32 3 48M 60M 2.16
New.
LXK 03/24 Cup hdl 74 +0.2 66.92 75 952K 2M 71.94
Current. Holding he 10 day MVA.
MED 04/28 Cup hdl 9.32 +0.07 8.7 10.42 166K 145K 8.09
Current. Took a breather.
MEDI 05/06 Test 18 34.95 +0.08 35.55 41 2.3M 5M 33.15
Current. Two lower volume sessions over the 18 day MVA.
MERQ 05/12 Cup hdl 36.59 -0.21 37.68 44.25 2.8M 6.8M 35.04
Buy Not Hit. Nice handle, testing the 10 day MVA on the low.
MOBE 04/24 Cup 1.83 -0.05 1.88 2.38 94K 110K 1.75
Current. Holding the 18 day MVA.
MVL 03/03 BO 19.7 +0.22 11.82 21 718K 675K 17.55
Current. Still working up the 10 day MVA after filling the gap.
MXIM 04/18 Rv H&S 38.18 -1.19 40.12 45 10M 1.2M 38.65
Current. Down to the 50 day MVA in the chip selling. Rallied back after undercutting it some so we let it run another session to see if it can continue the rebound.
NBIX 05/03 Cup 49.57 +2.34 48.2 54.25 608K 600K 45.96
Current. Nice volume move. Nice.
NENG 05/05 Cup hdl 2.18 +0.04 2.08 3.44 290K 232K 1.98
Current. Tapped the 18 day MVA and started back up on rising, above average volume.
NSCN 04/23 Cup hdl 22 +0.02 21.17 25.42 2.3M 2.5M 19.69
Current. Took the day off on lower volume.
NSM 04/18 Cup hdl 23.53 -0.51 19.55 24.88 4.8M 3.8M 19.35
Current. Strong move higher is now pulling back on lower volume.
NTN 05/07 Test BO 1.97 -0.02 1.95 2.75 102K 183K 1.81
Current. Holding up on lower volume.
NVDA 05/08 Cup hdl 20.36 -0.02 17.55 21.25 8.1M 11M 16.32
Buy Not Issued.
NWK 04/28 DB hdl 7.84 0 7.11 9.45 165K 256K 6.98
Current. Volume up again as NWK tries to continue the break higher.
PENN 05/07 Test BO 22.09 -0.62 22.75 26.94 709K 576K 21.05
Buy Not Issued.
PKI 03/04 Test BO 11.66 +0.64 9.16 12 1.1M 1M 10.05
Current. Up again on excellent volume.
PWN 05/07 BO 11.53 -0.12 11.42 13.75 97K 117K 10.62
Buy Not Issued. Still working up the 10 day MVA, but never gave the breakaway move. Need to let it form up some more, maybe with another test lower.
QLGC 03/15 Test BO 46.26 -1.18 38.85 45 5.2M 11M 42.22
Current.
QLGC 11/07 Test BO 46.26 -1.18 41.4 50 5.2M 25M 42.22
REDF 04/21 BO 5.95 -0.15 4.35 7.25 343K 300K 5.18
Current. Nice 10 day MVA test.
RESP 04/07 Test 18 37.75 -0.55 38.55 44.45 192K 243K 37.25
Buy Not Issued.
REY 04/26 Test BO 28.62 -0.03 29.06 34.65 189K 391K 27.75
Buy Not Issued. Looks ready to start the next leg higher.
REY 06/19 Cup hdl 28.62 -0.03 31.15 37.38 189K 430K 28.97
RMD 05/03 Test BO 36.29 -0.51 37.75 43.75 151K 322K 35.92
Buy Not Issued. Holding the 18 day MVA on below average volume.
ROOM 04/26 Cup 83.58 -0.62 68.75 75 408K 1.7M 63.94
RTIX 04/23 Cup hdl 10.8 -0.04 10.45 12.55 226K 150K 9.88
Current. Continuing the move higher.
SMTC 05/10 A Wedge 17.58 +0.06 17.55 21 686K 1.9M 16.26
Current. Started the move but is not making the breakaway with all of the chip news.
SSYS 03/01 Cup hdl 29.1 +1.5 12.25 15.45 976K 110K 21.88
Current. And yet another volume move higher.
STK 04/28 Cup hdl 26.24 +0.04 25.65 31 586K 1M 23.88
Buy Not Issued.
TWTC 05/13 A Wedge 4.2 +0.22 4.08 5.85 733K 522K 3.62
Current. Nice continuation move though it finished off the intraday high.
UBET 05/05 BO 3.45 -0.01 3.43 4.49 483K 425K 3.19
Buy Not Hit.
UCOMA 03/31 Cup hdl 4.94 +0.74 3.35 4.48 5M 875K 4.05
Target Hit. Huge break higher on strong volume.
UIS 05/10 Cup hdl 10.8 -0.07 11.05 13.25 1.1M 1.6M 10.38
Buy Not Hit. Still working on a nice handle.
UNTD 04/26 Test 18 21.52 -0.43 20.45 24.4 734K 1.9M 20.65
Current. Took the day off.
UNTD 03/15 Dbl btm 21.52 -0.43 17.28 20.75 734K 1.2M 20.65
Current.
WCS 05/12 Flat 26.89 +0.11 26.12 31.35 256K 510K 25.24
Buy Not Hit. Still solid.
WFII 04/30 Cup 8.65 -0.08 7.55 9 308K 261K 8.12
Current. Still moving up the 10 day MVA.
YHOO 12/11 Test 50 27.09 -0.13 17.32 25 12M 20M 23.94
Current. Strong move early in the week and took a break with the market Wednesday.
Good Investing!
Jon L. Johnson and your Technical Traders Report Team
All of the foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinion of Online Investment Services, LP. or its paid consultants and are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on our related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Partners in Online Investment Services, LP. or its paid consultants may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on our web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors.
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