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Begin part 3 of 3
Play Date: 11/13/2003
HAR (Harman Intl.--$124.20; -0.17; optionable): High end audio equipment. Splits 2:1 on 12-5-03
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/h/har.html
STATUS: Test breakout. HAR jumped off 120 Wednesday and rallied to the 10 day MVA (124.60), but that is all it could muster. It showed a doji at that point on strong trade. Not that great of a technical indication, but this stock has so much strength it can push right through that level. Momentum, but that is what pre-split plays are made of.
Volume: 379.5K Avg Volume: 317.049K
BUY POINT: $125.25 Volume=325K Target=$133.55 Stop=$122.88
POSITION: HAR AE - Jan. $125c (50 delta)
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/har.html
Play Date: 11/09/2003
KSWS (K-Swiss--$42.9; -0.9; optionable): Athletic shoes and apparel. Splits 2:1 on a date to be announced.
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/k/ksws.html
STATUS: Testing the breakout. KSWS fell back to the 18 day MVA (42.73) Friday after a decent move up off of that level during the week. Volume was very low on the pullback. Holding at this point also keeps the breakout intact, holding over the left side of the pattern at 42. Need to see more volume as it moves back up off the 18 day this week.
Volume: 55.498K Avg Volume: 184.056K
BUY POINT: New: $43.28 Volume=225K Target=$49.85 Stop=$42.22
POSITION: SWU AH - Jan. $40c (77 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/ksws.html
POST-SPLIT
Play Date: 09/16/2003
IGT (International Game Technology--$33.12; +0.12; optionable): Video poker, etc.
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/i/igt.html
STATUS: Testing the 18 day MVA. IGT is making a relationship with the 10 day MVA (32.93), holding that level the past four sessions on low volume. This move is testing the strong run higher, holding at near support. Looking for another run higher off of this near support level.
Volume: 1.439M Avg Volume: 2.52M
BUY POINT: New: 33.55 (orig. $29.05) Volume=4.7M Target=$39 (orig. positions $34.55) Stop=$32.75
POSITION: IGT AY - Jan. $27.50c (49 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/igt.html
WATCHLIST/ CONTINUING
LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: A Wedge=Ascending triangle/wedge; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; PreAnn=Pre-Announcement split; PreSplt=Pre-split; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; DWedge=Descending triangle/wedge; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
^OEX 11/06 A Wedge 519.01 -3.98 523.15 545 401K 650K 518.55
Current. More volatile with 525.69 at the high and 517.77 at the low. Thudded down to close below the 18 day MVA on slightly below average volume. Still in the pattern
ACV 08/04 Test 18 61.74 -0.34 58.45 67.45 230K 400K 62.31
Exited. Exited with a trailing stop as stock fell to close below the 18 day MVA on average volume.
ACV 07/19 BO 61.74 -0.34 54.8 65.85 230K 400K 62.31
Exited.
APA 11/06 Test 50 72.31 +0.64 70.38 75.55 1.6M 1.8M 70.21
Current. Continue to move up the 10 day MVA on stronger above average volume.
APPB 10/13 BO 37.26 -0.74 37.55 44.95 327K 750K 36.84
Current. Thudded down to close below the 10 day MVA on below average volume. Still in good shape.
BHE 10/27 Test 50 34.94 -1.69 32.68 37.28 591K 550K 34.28
Current. Fell to close below the 10 day MVA on stronger, but average volume. Tested the 18 day MVA intraday and rebounded. May test down further.
BLUD 10/21 A Wedge 32.01 -0.23 31.22 35.85 101K 320K 31.02
Current. Continue to move up the 10 day MVA on very low volume.
BSX 10/23 Test 50 34.65 -0.07 33.4 37.5 2.3M 4M 34
Current. Tested the 10 day MVA and rebounded showing a tight doji on very low volume. Beginning to again move up the 10 day MVA.
BSX 09/29 Test 50 34.65 -0.07 32.72 34.73 2.3M 4.5M 34
Current.
BWC 11/13 DB hdl 19.49 -0.47 20.08 24.12 109K 155K 19.19
Buy Not Issued. Tapped 20.32 but gave it back and more on lower, but still above average volume. Managed to retain some of yesterday's great move. Still in uptrend and moving up the 10 day MVA.
CATS 10/27 Test BO 7.36 -0.11 7.58 9.12 42K 145K 7.05
Buy Not Issued. Gapped up at the open, but gave it all back to close on the 10 day MVA on very low volume. Still in the pattern.
CEDC 10/25 Test 18 33.11 -3.59 34.25 40.88 912K 282K 36.88
Current. Gapped down to the 50 day MVA and held, so allowing
it a chance to bounce for a better exit. It may take
a few sessions, but stocks often bounce to test the
gap lower before resuming the fall. A better exit.
CHS 10/04 Dbl btm 37.49 -0.86 34.62 41.53 822K 1.8M 37.11
Current. Pull back to close on the 10 day MVA on below average volume. Still in the pattern.
CLE 11/11 Test BO 41.82 -0.45 41.75 48 282K 500K 40.62
Buy Not Issued. Pull back on below average volume. Still in good shape.
CLEC 10/30 Cup hdl 5.7 +0.45 5.54 6.94 196K 96K 5.15
Gapped down to open below the simple 50 day MVA and rallied for an explosive move on stronger above average volume.
CMNT 11/06 DB hdl 10.74 -0.06 10.75 13.55 383K 800K 9.99
Buy Not Issued. Very volatile with 11.24 at the high and 10.56 at the low showing a tight doji on below average volume.
COCO 09/20 DB hdl 62.6 -0.9 59.42 69 787K 1.1M 61.32
Current. Gapped up at the open, but gave it back on stronger average volume.
COH 09/20 PreSplt 37.7 -0.15 30.06 34.55 1.7M 1.2M 35.88
Current. Gapped up at the open and moved higher only to give it back on slightly above average volume. Stock continues to move up the 10 day MVA.
COO 11/01 DB hdl 42.85 -0.35 44.06 50.88 288K 550K 41.95
Buy Not Issued. Pull back to close on the 10 day MVA on higher volume. The stock has not made the move we were looking for so will drop, but will keep our eye on it.
CPTV 08/26 Cup hdl 11.82 -0.98 6.5 8.12 226K 200K 11.65
Current. Thudded down to close just above the 18 day MVA on stronger above average volume. may test down further.
CRA 11/13 Rv H&S 13.3 -0.49 13.94 16.75 663K 809K 13.23
Buy Not Hit. Thudded down to hold at the 10 day MVA on slightly above average volume. Tested the 18 day MVA intraday and rallied. May test down further.
CRAI 11/10 DB hdl 31.94 -0.11 33.32 40 53K 109K 41.38
Buy Not Issued. Thudded down to hold the 10 day MVA on higher, but below average volume. Still in the pattern.
CRIS 11/10 Cup hdl 5.34 +0.09 5.64 7.05 510K 885K 5.15
Buy Not Issued. Tested the 10 day MVA and rallied on below average volume.
DCGN 09/20 Test BO 8.96 +0.46 4.32 5.38 1.2M 315K 7.29
Current. Great move up as the stock climbs the 10 day MVA on stronger above average volume.
DG 08/12 Cup hdl 21.83 -0.09 22.72 26.45 1.8M 2.9M 21.13
Tapped the 10 day MVA intraday and rolled over on stronger above average volume.
DIOD 11/04 Cup hdl 28.9 -2 26.08 31.25 163K 75K 25.94
Buy Not Issued. Tested the 10 day MVA and rallied on lower, but strong volume. Still moving up the 10 day MVA.
DJO 09/11 Cup 23.74 -1.26 14 16.45 223K 100K 21.63
Current. Tapped 26.17 at the day's high, but gave it all back on stronger volume surge. Managed to retain a portion of yesterday's move. May test down further.
EASI 10/14 A Wedge 47.45 -0.2 44.06 50 209K 287K 45.44
Current. Continue to move up the 10 day MVA on below average volume.
EBAY 08/02 PreSplt 54.38 -1.85 53.78 60 7.8M 9M 53.94
Current. Thudded down to close above support at 54 on below average volume. May test down further.
EBAY 03/08 BO 54.38 -1.85 40.04 46 7.8M 8M 53.94
Current.
ECIL 10/02 Test BO 6.01 -0.24 4.3 5.22 254K 300K 5.65
Current. Pull back to give back most of yesterday's move on much lower volume. Still in uptrend.
EMBT 10/06 Flat 15.79 +0.23 11.24 13.38 418K 350K 14.48
Current. Continue to move up the 10 day MVA on above average volume.
EMBT 07/26 Cup hdl 15.79 +0.23 9.33 11.12 418K 400K 14.48
Current.
ET 09/18 Cup hdl 10.36 -0.43 10.8 12.94 4.7M 7M 10.36
Current. Thudded down to close below the 18 day MVA on stronger, but average volume. Needs to hold here and rebound.
FDX 11/06 BO 76.9 -0.18 77.72 90 1.1M 1.8M 75.94
Current. Narrow trading range showing a tight doji on below average volume. Continue to move up the 10 day MVA.
FOSL 11/12 DB hdl 28.53 -0.68 28.75 33.55 145K 369K 27.85
Current. Tapped 29.76 at the day's high, but gave it back and tapped 28.26 at the day's low on very low volume.
FOSL 11/01 DB hdl 28.53 -0.68 28.17 33.55 145K 369K 27.85
Current.
GGP 10/14 FlyPlat 80.4 +0.4 75.12 86.25 187K 275K 78.95
Current. Continue to move up the 10 day MVA on below average volume.
GPRO 11/12 Cup hdl 29 -1.21 30.85 36.95 1.3M 1.1M 28.67
Current. Thudded down to close just above the 10 day MVA on average volume. Still in good shape.
GRMN 11/09 Cup hdl 49.38 -1.7 52.62 60.62 252K 690K 48.98
Buy Not Hit. Plunked down to hold at the 18 day MVA on below average volume. The stock has not made the move we were looking for so will drop, but will keep our eye on it.
HAR 11/13 Test 18 124.2 -0.17 125.25 133.55 380K 325K 122.88
Buy Not Hit. Tested the 18 day MVA and rebounded showing a tight doji on the 10 day MVA on stronger above average volume. Ready to make next move up.
HSIC 11/09 Flat 65.33 -1.07 64.02 73.62 401K 494K 64.05
Buy Not Issued. Pull back on stronger above average volume as stock continues to move up the 10 day MVA.
IGT 09/16 Rv H&S 33.12 +0.12 29.05 34.55 1.4M 4.7M 32.75
Current. Narrow trading range showing a tight doji on below average volume. Moving laterally on the 10 day MVA.
JAH 09/06 Cup hdl 42.45 -0.26 38.39 45.75 122K 270K 41.12
Current. Pull back on higher volume. Continue to move along the 10 day MVA.
KEI 11/05 Cup hdl 16.71 -1.06 18.37 22.05 58K 150K 17.45
Exited. Exited as the stock tanked below the 18 day MVA on higher volume.
KLAC 11/06 Dbl btm 57.07 -2.03 61.06 73 7M 12M 58.45
Buy Not Issued. Stock tanked just above the simple 50 day MVA on below average volume.
KSWS 11/09 Test BO 42.9 -0.9 43.28 49.85 55K 225K 42.22
Buy Not Issued. thudded down to close just above the 18 day MVA.
LM 05/06 Cup hdl 81.05 -3.77 58.5 67.78 1.1M 610K 82.92
Exited. Exited with a trailing stop as stock thudded below the 18 day MVA on strong volume surge.
MDCC 11/12 DB hdl 19.27 -0.73 19.82 23.78 51K 87K 18.72
Buy Not Issued. Stock fell to hold just above the 10 day MVA on high volume. Still in good shape.
MDS 11/09 Cup 13.9 -0.09 14.28 17.21 126K 120K 13.63
Current. Tapped 13.50 at the day's low and made a fierce rally on above average volume. May test back further.
MIK 11/04 A Wedge 48 -0.06 49 58.74 550K 873K 47.78
Current. Tapped 48.75 at the high, but gave it back showing a doji on the 18 day MVA on average volume. Needs to hold here.
MIPS 11/01 A Wedge 5.81 -0.1 5.22 6.55 106K 291K 5.62
Current. Pull back on very low volume. Still in good shape.
MOBE 09/15 Cup hdl 11.5 -0.24 8.7 10.88 332K 810K 11.05
Current. Pull back on very low volume. Still in uptrend and moving up the 10 day MVA.
MSCC 10/28 Rv H&S 21.71 -1.04 20.58 24.72 175K 480K 21.21
Buy Not Issued. Gapped up at the open, but gave it all back on below average volume.
NSM 09/17 BO 41.17 -1.43 35.35 42 3.3M 5M 41.72
Current. Thudded down to hold at the 18 day MVA on slightly higher, but still below average volume. Needs to hold here.
NVLS 11/11 Test BO 42.24 -1.97 43.95 52 6.4M 8.5M 43.97
Current. Thudded down to close just above the 18 day MVA on below average volume. Needs to hold here and rebound.
ORLY 08/19 Flat 41.87 -0.62 39.48 47.05 283K 350K 42.05
Current. Fell to close below the 18 day MVA on stronger, but average volume. Needs to hold here.
PIR 11/09 Test BO 25.65 -0.07 25.7 30.62 451K 1.6M 25.05
Current. Narrow trading range showing a doji on low volume. Making a lateral move above the 10 day MVA on below average volume.
PLXT 11/03 A Wedge 9.26 -0.62 8.81 10.96 196K 222K 9.02
Current. Fell to close below the 10 day MVA on high, but average volume. May test down further.
QCOM 11/05 Test BO 47.4 -0.3 48.12 57.25 7.3M 14M 45.72
Buy Not Issued. Tapped 48.63 at the day's high, but gave it back on stronger, but below average volume. Still in the pattern.
RI 09/30 Cup hdl 29.1 -0.26 27.72 33 463K 750K 28.44
Pull back on lower, but slightly above average volume. Still in uptrend and moving up the 10 day MVA.
ROST 11/11 Rv H&S 52.74 -1.1 54.25 65 594K 1.2M 52.34
Buy Not Issued. Tapped 55.04 at the high, but gave it back to close below the 10 day MVA on below average volume. Tested the 18 day MVA and rallied. Still in good shape.
SBUX 07/30 Cup 32.06 -0.93 30.35 36.75 5M 6M 31.55
Current. Pull back to hold the 10 day MVA on stronger above average volume. May test down further.
SBUX 07/01 Cup 32.06 -0.93 26.3 30.94 5M 6M 31.55
Current.
SCSS 11/11 Test 50 27.84 -0.73 29.22 35 337K 1M 28.96
Buy Not Hit. Thudded down to hold at the simple 50 day MVA on below average volume. Needs to rebound from here or will look to drop.
SINA 10/24 Test 50 34.43 -1.55 41.55 50 5.8M 15M 39.42
Exited. Exited with a trailing stop as stock tanked below support at 35.
SINA 09/09 Cup 34.43 -1.55 36.15 41 5.8M 12M 37.55
Exited.
SINA 08/18 Test 50 34.43 -1.55 32.2 38.25 5.8M 10M 37.55
Exited.
SOHU 10/24 Dbl btm 31.14 -0.95 37.69 45 1.9M 9M 34.85
Current. Moved down further on low volume. Looking for a relief bounce for possible exit from play.
SONS 11/13 A Wedge 9.1 -0.26 9.48 11.55 7.4M 6.8M 8.77
Buy Not Issued. Tapped 9.80 at the high, but gave it back and then some on much lower, but still above average volume. Still in good shape.
STLW 11/04 DB hdl 6.53 -0.17 6.37 7.95 32K 132K 6.34
Current. Gapped up at the open and went up to tap 6.89 at the high, but gave it all back on very low volume.
SYK 09/20 Flat 81.3 -0.9 78.97 90.25 478K 1.1M 80.99
Current. Volatile session with 80.90 at the low (18 day MVA) and 82.53 at the high. Pull back to hold the 10 day MVA on below average volume. Still in the pattern.
TARO 10/08 Cup hdl 65.94 +0.87 61.51 73 266K 501K 64.88
Current. Move up to close above the 10 day MVA on below average volume. Tapped 66.67 intraday, but could not hold the entire gain. Still in the pattern.
TIWI 10/16 Cup hdl 7.79 +0.13 5.57 7 348K 350K 7.55
Current. Narrow trading range showing a doji on very low volume. Making a lateral move on the 10 day MVA.
TSCO 07/29 Test BO 40.81 -0.43 28.06 31.44 409K 494K 39.94
Current. Pull back to close below the 18 day MVA on higher, but still well below average volume. Tapped 42.21 at the day's high, but could not hold the gain. Needs to hold here.
TSCO 07/05 Test 50 40.81 -0.43 26.62 30 409K 500K 39.94
Current.
TSCO 06/03 Rv H&S 40.81 -0.43 23.42 27.62 409K 603K 39.94
Current.
TSCO 04/24 Cup hdl 40.81 -0.43 21.88 26 409K 603K 39.94
Current.
TSCO 04/03 Rv H&S 40.81 -0.43 19.3 22.19 409K 577K 39.94
Current.
TVIA 11/04 Cup hdl 2.67 +0.36 2.62 3.34 604K 219K 2.38
Current. Explosive move on strong volume surge.
TXCC 11/11 Test 18 3.21 0 3.38 4.42 506K 2.2M 3.12
Buy Not Issued. More volatile with 3.33 at the high and 3.15 at the low on very low volume showing a doji on the 10 day MVA. May be ready to make move up.
TXN 10/23 Test BO 28.83 -1.36 27.65 33.18 13M 18M 29.48
Exited. Exited the stock as it tanked below the 18 day MVA on stronger above average volume.
ULGX 11/13 DB hdl 5.63 -0.01 5.94 7.45 69K 130K 5.32
Buy Not Hit. Volatile sessionw tih 5.89 at the high and 5.50 at the low showing a doji on slightly higher, but below average volume. Moving up the 10 day MVA.
UOPX 11/03 Test 50 71.2 -0.17 71.12 84 147K 315K 69.85
Current. Tapped 74.07 at the day's high, ut gave it all back on much lower, volume surge.
UOPX 10/25 Test 50 71.2 -0.17 68.95 82 147K 315K 69.85
Current.
URBN 10/18 Rv H&S 36.04 -1.62 33.61 40 1.4M 953K 34.98
Current. Pull back on stronger above average volume. Stock continues to move up the 10 day MVA.
VAR 10/28 Cup hdl 67.27 +0.3 64.5 74.25 629K 1.1M 65.42
Current. Stock continues to move up the 10 day MVA on slightly higher, but average volume.
VARI 11/03 Cup hdl 39.11 -0.56 39.21 46.88 192K 260K 38.38
Current. Tapped 40.18 at the high, but gave it back and more on below average volume. Still in uptrend.
VRSN 11/03 Rv H&S 16.14 -0.71 16.78 20.15 2.4M 5.5M 16.35
Exited. Stock tanked below the 18 day MVA on below average volume.
VRTS 10/04 Test 50 36.56 -1.54 35.77 42.88 5.5M 1M 37.25
Exited. Exited with a trailing stop as stock tanked below the 18 day MVA on higher, but still below average volume.
XLNX 11/12 DB hdl 34.63 +0.06 34.78 41 9.2M 11M 33.55
Current. Volatile with 35.20 at the high and 34.13 at the low showing a doji on stronger above average volume. May be ready for next move up.
XLNX 11/01 DB hdl 34.63 +0.06 32.68 38.68 9.2M 11M 33.55
Current.
ZMH 08/09 Test BO 63.8 -0.3 51.12 59.55 1.1M 3M 62.78
Current. Narrow trading range showing a tight doji on below average volume. May be ready for next move up.
Good Investing!
Jon L. Johnson and the Stock Split Report Staff.
All of the foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinion of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants and are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on our related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Partners of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on our web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors.
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