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Begin part 3 of 3
TARO: Forecast date is 2-17-04 before the open. Looking for the breakout move to let us enter the play.
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: A Wedge=Ascending triangle/wedge; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; DWedge=Descending triangle/wedge; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ABGX 02/12 Cup hdl 16.04 -0.49 16.88 20.25 1.8M 1.8M 15.65
Buy Not Hit. Gapped up at the open, but reversed on much lower, but still above average volume. Still in good shape.
ABTL 01/31 Rv H&S 12.3 -0.83 12.83 15.45 403K 775K 12.44
Current. Continue to pull back testing the 18 day MVA and rallied on low volume. Testing the break out.
ADIC 02/11 Test 50 13.22 -3.95 18.12 21.88 11M 1.2M 17.22
Buy Not Hit. Stock tanked below the 200 day MVA on very strong volume surge on news of revenue concern. The stock has not made the move we were looking for so will drop, but will keep an eye on it.
AGN 01/13 Cup hdl 87.26 +0.45 84.46 94 521K 1.2M 85.94
Current. Bounced off the 10 day MVA on low volume. Moving up the 10 day MVA after testing the break out.
ANPI 01/22 Dbl btm 27.44 -0.01 26.06 29.89 703K 528K 26.88
Current. Tested the 18 day MVA and rallied on stronger volume. Stock is beginning to make a lateral move.
APH 02/05 Test 50 65.62 -1.28 65.25 72 181K 200K 65.34
Thudded down holding below the 18 day MVA on much stronger, but average volume. May test back to support at 65.
APOL 01/24 Test 18 77.37 -1.09 73.25 82 795K 3M 75.38
APOL 12/01 DB hdl 77.37 -1.09 70.72 82 795K 2.9M 75.38
Current. Tapped 75.44 at the high, but gave it all back on low volume. Still in an uptrend.
APOL 11/22 DB hdl 77.37 -1.09 66.54 82 795K 2.9M 75.38
Current.
ASKJ 01/04 Test 50 21.66 -0.74 20.88 24.95 1.6M 3.7M 21.92
Current. Pull back holding just above the 50 day MVA on stronger, but still below average volume. Testing the break out. Held above support at 21.64. May test back to the 50 day MVA.
BCR 12/17 Rv H&S 94.82 +0.51 80.93 92.95 299K 500K 91.92
Current. Continue to move up the 10 day MVA on low volume. Needs to break through resistance at 95.
BRL 02/03 Rv H&S 79.02 +0.13 78.38 89.55 370K 1.1M 76.62
Tested the 10 day MVA and rallied on low volume. Making a lateral move.
BRNC 02/05 A Wedge 3.35 +0.05 3.55 4.65 44K 112K 3.24
Current. Tested the 18 day MVA and rallied showing a tigh doji just above the 10 day MVA on very low volume. Moving up after testing the break out.
CALM 01/29 Cup hdl 37.24 +1.69 36.62 43.75 633K 650K 35.38
Current. Tested the 18 day MVA and rallied up the 10 day MVA on much stronger, but still below average volume.
CENT 01/22 Test BO 33.83 -0.16 33.05 39 90K 200K 32.94
Current. Pull back showing a tight doji on low volume. Still in good shape.
CHT 01/22 Cup hdl 16.5 -0.06 15.75 18.92 164K 1.1M 16.05
Current. Pull back on low volume. Still in uptrend.
DGX 01/06 Test BO 82.74 -0.38 73.88 84.85 806K 1.2M 82.18
Current. Gapped down showing a doji just above the 18 day MVA on lower, but still above average volume. Still in good shape.
DIOD 02/12 Test 18 22.5 -1.01 24.25 29.12 48K 180K 23.08
Buy Not Hit. Pull back holding below the 18 day MVA on low volume. Needs to hold here and rebound or will look to drop.
DNA 01/03 Test BO 98.25 +0.64 95.44 102 1.4M 3M 95.88
Current. Gapped down at the open and rallied on low volume Moving up the 10 day MVA.
DVA 01/21 A Wedge 44.89 +0.76 40.12 46 523K 504K 43.88
Current. Nice move up the 10 day MVA on lower, but still above average volume.
EBAY 08/02 PreSplt 68.6 -0.61 53.78 60 5.4M 9M 66.72
Current. Pull back testing the 10 day MVA and rallied on below average volume. Still in uptrend.
EBAY 03/08 BO 68.6 -0.61 40.04 46 5.4M 8M 66.72
Current.
ELAB 01/22 BO 58.75 -0.17 59.98 68 109K 499K 57.55
Current. Pull back on low volume showing a tight doji on the 10 day MVA. Testing the break out.
ETN 01/31 Test 18 119.08 +0.07 116.88 123.5 579K 900K 177.65
Tested the 10 day MVA and rallied showing a tight doji on stronger, but still below average volume. Making a lateral move.
FIC 02/10 Cup hdl 61.56 -0.1 62.22 71.55 415K 1M 59.88
Buy Not Issued. Tested the 10 day MVA and rallied showing a tight doji as the stock continues with lateral move.
FOSL 01/20 DB hdl 28.3 -0.29 29.92 35 97K 300K 28.72
Pull back on very low volume. Needs to hold here and rebound or will look to drop.
GCOM 02/12 Cup hdl 6.35 -0.14 6.74 8.12 166K 175K 6.27
Buy Not Issued. Gapped up at the open, but reversed tapping 6.19 at the low and rallied on low volume.
GPRO 11/12 Cup hdl 36.15 -0.36 30.85 36.95 825K 1.1M 36.32
Current. Pull back holding below the 18 day MVA on rising volume. Testing the break out off the 50 day MVA.
IDXX 02/02 DB hdl 50.66 -1.72 50.22 58 129K 500K 50.28
Pull back holding below the 10 day MVA on much lower, below average volume. Still in good shape.
IGT 09/16 Rv H&S 37.58 -0.4 29.05 34.55 974K 4.7M 36.92
Current. Pull back testing the 10 day MVA and rallied on low volume. Continue to move up the 10 day MVA.
IRM 01/17 Test BO 43.57 +0.16 43.67 52.12 217K 492K 42.38
Current. Making a lateral move on below average volume.
JADE 02/03 DB hdl 4.98 -0.07 5.68 7.12 104K 242K 5.28
Buy Not Hit. Gapped up at the open, but gave it back holding the 18 day MVA on low volume.
LEA 01/10 Cup hdl 64.24 -0.67 65.26 76.55 504K 680K 63.98
Buy Not Issued. Continued to pull back on higher, but average volume. Held above support.
LM 02/07 FlyPlat 92.32 -0.72 92.24 102 272K 550K 90.12
Current. Pull back on low volume. Still in uptrend pattern.
LXK 12/30 Rv H&S 83.76 -0.94 85.95 94 840K 2M 82.12
Buy Not Issued. Pull back testing the 18 day MVA and rallied on average volume. Still in good shape.
MBG 11/18 Cup hdl 48.5 -0.15 44.3 53 372K 1.8M 47.65
Current. Pull back testing the 10 day MVA and rallied on low volume. Still in good shape.
MBT 01/03 Cup 102.1 -1.88 88.39 99.95 146K 412K 99.25
Current. Pull back on low volume as stock continues to move up the 10 day MVA.
MSCC 01/29 Test BO 30.7 -0.5 30.95 35.68 446K 700K 29.65
Current. Pull back testing the 18 day MVA and rallied on average volume. Still in the pattern.
MVIS 02/11 Cup 8.87 -0.18 9.15 11 179K 200K 8.51
Current. Gapped up at the open, but reversed on lower, but still above average volume. Still in uptrend pattern.
NFLX 01/29 Test 18 35.54 -1.76 36.39 40 4.3M 5M 35.42
Current. Pull back holding the 18 day MVA on low volume. Still in good shape.
NMGA 01/24 A Wedge 57.75 -0.21 55.39 63.75 81K 254K 56.22
Continue to move up the 10 day MVA on low volume.
NSIT 02/03 Test 50 22.07 -0.5 22 26 749K 730K 21.73
Current. Pull back testing the 10 day MVA and rallied on lower, but still above average volume. Beginning to make a lateral move.
NYB 02/07 Test BO 43.37 +0.03 42.15 46.15 1.1M 1.5M 40.32
Buy Not Issued. Making a lateral move showing a tight doji on average volume.
OLGC 02/05 Rv H&S 7.83 -0.32 8.46 10.15 446K 500K 7.82
Exited. Stock continued to tank below the 18 day MVA on rising volume.
OSI 02/07 Test 50 45.52 +0.06 45.12 51 368K 650K 41.96
Buy Not Issued. Beginning to make a lateral move on below average volume.
OTEX 01/05 Flat 29.92 -0.56 21.33 25.48 479K 650K 28.61
Current. Pull back on low volume. Still in uptrend.
PWAV 02/07 Cup hdl 10.51 -0.3 10.48 12.72 2M 5M 10.17
Current. Pull back testing the 10 day MVA and rallied on low volume. Continue to test the break out.
RARE 02/12 Cup 27.4 -0.5 28.06 32.25 367K 400K 26.56
Buy Not Hit. Pull back on lower, but still above average volume. Still in good shape.
SBUX 07/30 Cup 36.7 -0.28 30.35 36.75 3.4M 6M 36.08
Current. More volatile with 36.44 at the low and 36.82 at the high, Pull back showing a doji on the 10 day MVA on stronger above average volume. Doji can indicate a change in pattern
SBUX 07/01 Cup 36.7 -0.28 26.3 30.94 3.4M 6M 36.08
Current.
SEAC 01/24 Test BO 19.46 -0.30 19.77 23.58 290K 600K 19.22
Current. Pull back testing the 18 day MVA and rallied on low volume. Still in good shape.
SLAB 01/31 Cup hdl 57.95 -0.84 51.12 58 979K 1.9M 48.76
Current. Pull back on low volume. Still in uptrend pattern.
SNUS 01/13 Test BO 7.72 +0.32 7.69 9.22 147K 175K 7.18
Current. Great move up on slightly above average volume.
SONC 01/10 Test BO 33.62 -0.49 33.68 41 242K 562K 32.62
Buy Not Issued. Pull back holding the 10 day MVA on rising volume. May test back to the 18 day MVA.
SPAB 02/10 A Wedge 3.2 0 3.48 4.35 175K 451K 3.19
Buy Not Hit. Continue with lateral move showing a doji on the 10 day MVA on low volume.
SPPI 01/21 Rv H&S 9.08 -0.04 10.02 12.12 123K 281K 8.96
Current. continue to pull back on below average volume as stock tests the break out from the 50 day MVA
STJ 01/13 Cup hdl 74 -1.7 64.68 75 1.7M 2.2M 72.44
Current. Pull back testing the 10 day MVA and rallied on average volume. Still in uptrend.
STRA 01/31 Test 18 112.85 -2 113.55 125 33K 125K 111.98
Buy Not Issued. Pull back holding below the 18 day MVA and holding above support on very low volume. Still in good shape.
SYK 12/29 A Wedge 90.19 -0.12 88.75 100 301K 745K 89.11
Current. making a lateral move on low volume.
SYMC 02/05 FlyPlat 40.64 -0.02 40.94 46.88 3.9M 6M 39.31
Current. Tested the 10 day MVA and rallied as the stock makes a lateral move on average volume.
TASR 02/10 Test BO 59.37 -0.23 45.88 54.55 13M 1M 56.75
Current. Beginning to make a lateral move on much lower, but still strong volume.
TELK 02/10 FlyPlat 25.39 -0.54 26.32 31.55 272K 729K 24.48
Buy Not Issued. Pull back on low volume testing the break out.
TIVO 01/31 Cup 11.25 -0.87 11.16 13.35 3M 4.5M 10.88
Current. Pull back holding below the 10 day MVA on much stronger, but still below average volume. Still in good shape.
TOL 01/27 Cup hdl 40.92 -0.18 42.62 51 548K 1.2M 40.42
Buy Not Hit.
TSCO 01/24 Cup 42.5 -0.5 45.22 55 210K 719K 42.05
Buy Not Hit. Pull back on lower volume. Continue to move up after testing the break out.
TSCO 07/29 Test BO 42.5 -0.5 28.06 31.44 210K 494K 41.55
Current. Pull back holding the 10 day low volume. Still in good shape.
TSCO 07/05 Test 50 42.5 -0.5 26.62 30 210K 500K 41.55
Current.
TSCO 06/03 Rv H&S 42.5 -0.5 23.42 27.62 210K 603K 41.55
Current.
TSCO 04/24 Cup hdl 42.5 -0.5 21.88 26 210K 603K 41.55
Current.
TSCO 04/03 Rv H&S 42.5 -0.5 19.3 22.19 210K 577K 41.55
Current.
ULTI 02/09 Cup hdl 11.91 -0.08 11.38 13.62 329K 120K 10.91
Current. Pull back tapping 11.50 at the low and rallied showing a doji on much lower, but still strong volume. Continue with its uptrend.
UOPX 11/03 Test 50 82.45 -0.8 71.12 84 85K 315K 79.55
Current. Pull back on very low volume. Still in uptrend pattern.
UOPX 10/25 Test 50 82.45 -0.8 68.95 82 85K 315K 79.55
Current.
VANS 02/02 DB hdl 12.85 +0.09 13.06 15.62 43K 250K 12.15
Buy Not Issued. Tested the 10 day MVA and rallied showing a tight doji on low volume. Moving up after testing the break out.
VAR 10/28 Cup hdl 83.1 -0.49 64.5 74.25 403K 1.1M 80.92
Current. Pull back testing the 10 day MVA and rallied on low volume. Still in good shape.
VIP 01/03 Test BO 75.52 +0.52 73.34 85 656K 615K 74.05
Current. Tested the 10 day MVA and rallied showing a doji on stronger above average volume. Still in the pattern.
VRNT 02/02 Cup hdl 26.64 -0.57 26.48 31.78 64K 250K 26.02
Current. Ease back testing the 10 day MVA and rallied. Still in uptrend.
VTIV 01/03 A Wedge 11.3 +0.12 9.69 11.68 129K 238K 10.88
Current. Beginning a lateral move on low volume showing a doji.
WGO 01/17 Flat 69.4 -4.62 73.38 79 522K 325K 72.21
Exited. Stock tanked below the 18 day MVA on stronger above average volume.
WMS 11/21 Dbl btm 28.42 -0.57 25.83 31.22 242K 650K 28.38
Current. Thudded down holding the 18 day MVA on stronger, above average volume. May test back to 28.
WWCA 01/29 Test BO 26.68 +0.53 23.06 27.72 6.5M 2M 24.86
Current. Gapped down at the open and rallied for a nice move up the 10 day MVA on stronger above average volume. Came off the day's high of 27.40.
ZGEN 02/07 DB hdl 17.89 -0.2 18.48 22.22 205K 200K 17.82
Buy Not Hit. Pull back holding just below the 18 day MVA showing a tight doji on stronger above average volume. Doji may indicate a change in pattern.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
^OEX 02/04 Put 565.92 -3.51 558 546 0 1.3M 561.25
Current. Continued to move down holding at the 10 day MVA on low volume. Making the pullback anticipated. Will have to break thru the 18 day MVA to continue it.
AVID 02/05 Put 41.25 -0.23 44.45 40.35 419K 600K 42.12
Continue to move down the 10 day MVA on below average volume.
CTX 02/09 Put 99.81 -0.45 97.5 91.94 1M 1.5M 99.98
Current. Moved down holding the 10 day MVA on low volume. Needs to break through resistance at the 10 day MVA on low volume.
HUM 02/04 Put 21.67 -0.16 21.65 20 1.3M 1.9M 22.26
Current. Gapped up to open on the 50 day MVA, but turned over and continued to move down the 10 day MVA on stronger, but average volume.
RBK 02/12 Put 37.59 -0.16 37.62 35.62 883K 700K 38.55
Buy Not Issued. Really looked at this one in the last hour as it recovered. Decided to move in Monday if market still weak.
Good Investing!
Jon L. Johnson and the Stock Split Report Staff.
All of the foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinion of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants and are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on our related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Partners of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on our web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors.
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