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stock split, stock recommendation
Begin part 2 of 2
THE PLAYS
In each report we prepare full write-ups for those plays that look ready to move. Those that have made the move or are still setting up are discussed in the continuing play table. The purpose is to focus on those stocks that are set to move.
Good movers Monday: BR; IDXX; LXK; SOX
NEW PLAYS: This section includes plays from all sections other than pre-announcements. Those are contained in the pre-announcement section.
Leader plays: May not turn into split plays but look very good.
Play Date: 03/15/2004
GLDN (Golden Telecom--$33.79; -1.00; no options): Russian wireless telecom
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/g/gldn.html
STATUS: Breakout test. GLDN surged out of a 6.5 month cup with handle base to start the month, rallying to 37.50 on strong trade. Accumulation in the pattern was solid at 5 to 3 (5 up price weeks on rising volume to 3 down price weeks on rising volume). That shows money moving into the stock during the pattern. In the recent selling GLDN has come back to test the breakout, holding over the 18 day MVA (33.66) on the close. Tests of breakouts are a favorite entry point as they show buyers moving in after the initial run. We wait until it shows a volume move back up through the buy point to enter.
Volume: 181.058K Avg Volume: 105.136K
BUY POINT: $35.25 Volume=200K Target=$43 Stop=$33.42
POSITION: - Stock (no option chain)
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/gldn.html
Play Date: 03/15/2004
OCR (Omnicare--$44.44; -0.31; optionable): Drug stores
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/o/ocr.html
STATUS: 50 day MVA test. OCR is making its fourth test of the 50 day MVA (44.12) since breaking out of its 13 week flat base in September. Solid money flow and excellent relative strength. Looking for another 50 day MVA bounce on strong volume. The 50 day MVA is a strong support level and we are looking for a volume bounce up off of this level.
Volume: 446K Avg Volume: 495.5K
BUY POINT: $44.88 Volume=743K Target=$49.38 Stop=$43.94
POSITION: OCR FV - June $42.50c (72 delta)
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/ocr.html
CONTINUING PLAYS
* * SPREADSHEET DOWNLOAD * * *
The following link is to a spreadsheet download of the continuing play table. It will allow subscribers to sort the data for your personal investment use. This is a service to our subscribers only, and no other use of the information is authorized. Simply click on the link, enter your username and password, and download the spreadsheet!
http://stocksplits.net/ssr/table.php
You will need your password. If you need help click on this link and our automated system will email it to you immediately once you fill in your email address:
http://www.investmenthouse.com/rescue/rescue.php3
LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: A Wedge=Ascending triangle/wedge; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; DWedge=Descending triangle/wedge; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AGN 01/13 Cup hdl 85.8 -1.17 84.46 94 587K 1.2M 87.21
Trailing Stop.
ALVR 03/01 A Wedge 14.8 -0.85 15.59 18.48 1.1M 1.2M 15.48
Current.
APOL 01/24 Test 18 81.57 +0.8 73.25 82 2.4M 3M 78.12
APOL 12/01 DB hdl 81.57 +0.8 70.72 82 2.4M 2.9M 78.12
Current.
APOL 11/22 DB hdl 81.57 +0.8 66.54 82 2.4M 2.9M 78.12
Current.
APPB 03/13 Test BO 39.46 -0.7 40.55 46.78 184K 739K 39.35
Buy Not Hit.
ARO 03/11 Test 50 34.11 -0.87 34.97 39.52 696K 989K 33.96
Current.
ATVI 02/24 Test BO 20.12 -0.28 20.65 23.75 1.1M 2.3M 19.88
Buy Not Issued.
BCR 12/17 Rv H&S 94.13 +0.12 80.93 92.95 321K 500K 93.88
Current.
BMET 02/28 Test 50 37.84 -0.41 40.22 47 1.5M 2M 38.88
Buy Not Hit.
BR 02/28 Test 50 60.93 +1.02 59.88 63.78 1.6M 1.5M 60.12
Current.
CAKE 02/28 BO 47.31 -0.59 48.35 56 381K 650K 47.35
Current.
CALM 01/29 Cup hdl 37.65 +1 36.62 43.75 301K 650K 35.42
Current.
CDWC 03/06 Test BO 67.77 -1.33 72.55 82 898K 1.2M 70.35
Buy Not Hit.
CEC 02/21 Cup hdl 56.4 -1.6 52.44 57.35 242K 272K 56.26
Current.
CEGE 03/09 Test BO 13.75 -0.66 15.28 18 598K 750K 14.28
Buy Not Hit.
CHS 02/24 Test BO 45.35 -0.67 46.22 53.15 1.2M 1.1M 44.04
CHT 01/22 Cup hdl 16.92 -0.54 15.75 18.92 618K 1.1M 17.06
Current.
CLKS 02/26 Cup hdl 2.61 +0.01 2.57 3.22 61K 301K 2.48
Current.
CLZR 03/13 Test BO 26.41 -0.59 27.42 32 139K 308K 25.72
Buy Not Hit.
COH 02/28 DB hdl 40.1 -0.53 41.66 47.88 988K 2.5M 40.96
Current.
DCOM 02/28 Flat 31.26 -0.32 32.17 37 111K 200K 30.45
Buy Not Hit.
DNA 03/13 Test BO 105.15 -2.55 108.12 118 2.5M 4M 104.95
Buy Not Hit.
DNA 01/03 Test BO 105.15 -2.55 95.44 102 2.5M 3M 107.12
Current.
EAR 02/14 Dbl btm 2.3 -0.11 2.64 3.22 306K 601K 2.64
Exited.
EAT 03/09 Test BO 37.55 -0.65 39.06 46.88 442K 950K 37.88
Buy Not Hit.
EBAY 03/06 Flat 67.82 -1.31 71.78 82.25 6.2M 10M 68.15
Current.
EBAY 08/02 PreSplt 67.82 -1.31 53.78 60 6.2M 9M 67.48
Current.
EBAY 03/08 BO 67.82 -1.31 40.04 46 6.2M 8M 67.48
Current.
ENCY 03/08 Cup 9.51 -0.49 10.78 12.95 608K 917K 9.94
Buy Not Hit.
EVCI 02/18 Test BO 9.71 -0.24 8.68 10.39 92K 228K 10.04
Current.
FOSL 03/13 Test BO 33.2 -0.3 33.82 39 188K 310K 32.35
Buy Not Hit.
HAR 03/13 Test 50 75.2 -2.6 78.35 90 536K 883K 76.96
Buy Not Hit.
HOV 03/11 Cup hdl 87.7 -0.8 88.75 99 671K 1.4M 85.22
Buy Not Issued.
HUG 03/02 Flat 51.52 -1.43 50.62 58.25 192K 314K 50.38
IDXX 02/02 DB hdl 56.02 +1.51 50.22 58 647K 500K 51.94
IGT 09/16 Rv H&S 39.95 -0.46 29.05 34.55 1.9M 4.7M 40.38
Current.
INTV 03/08 Flat 14.2 -0.15 13.91 16.85 650K 500K 13.28
Current.
JOSB 03/13 Test BO 37.98 -1.17 39.48 45.45 376K 500K 36.72
Buy Not Issued.
LM 02/07 FlyPlat 89.6 -2.17 92.24 102 250K 550K 89.94
Current.
LXK 12/30 Rv H&S 86.76 +0.99 83.65 94 2.1M 2M 82.94
Current.
MBG 11/18 Cup hdl 53.31 -0.57 44.3 53 784K 1.8M 52.42
Current.
MBT 01/03 Cup 106.65 -2.85 88.39 99.95 204K 412K 108.65
Current.
MIK 02/21 Cup hdl 46.51 -0.78 48.44 55.72 252K 815K 46.22
Buy Not Issued.
NCEN 03/06 A Wedge 49.1 -0.26 51.52 61 869K 1.2M 48.24
Buy Not Issued.
NIHD 03/09 Test BO 101.96 -1.25 105.25 115.28 122K 554K 103.88
Buy Not Hit.
NMGA 01/24 A Wedge 55.05 -2.2 55.39 63.75 250K 254K 57.22
NUS 03/02 Test 50 19.92 -0.48 21.08 25.15 121K 455K 19.91
Current.
OSI 02/07 Test 50 47.64 -0.88 48.68 51.96 280K 650K 47.68
Current.
PD 03/11 Test 50 79.24 -2.4 82.48 90 2.6M 3M 78
Buy Not Issued.
PDCO 03/09 Flat 68.9 -0.48 70.12 81 575K 759K 66.65
Buy Not Issued.
PG 03/13 Test BO 102.52 -1.6 104.92 115 3.9M 4.2M 103.25
Buy Not Hit.
PSUN 03/06 Test 50 23.09 -0.62 25.04 30 1.3M 2.4M 24.15
Buy Not Hit.
QCOM 02/25 Test BO 62.82 -0.2 63.03 72 11M 11M 61.15
Current.
SBUX 07/30 Cup 37.02 -0.58 30.35 36.75 3.7M 6M 37.32
Current.
SBUX 07/01 Cup 37.02 -0.58 26.3 30.94 3.7M 6M 37.32
Current.
SLAB 01/31 Cup hdl 52.91 -1.71 51.12 58 671K 1.9M 54.22
Current.
SONC 01/10 Test BO 35 -0.84 36.15 42 179K 562K 34.88
Buy Not Issued.
SPAB 02/10 A Wedge 3.85 -0.15 3.49 4.35 74K 451K 3.96
Current.
STJ 01/13 Cup hdl 73.53 -1.32 64.68 75 1.4M 2.2M 74.55
Current.
STN 03/11 Test BO 39.41 -0.47 39.66 45.75 201K 550K 38.08
Buy Not Issued.
SYK 12/29 A Wedge 87.99 -1.44 88.75 100 658K 745K 89.11
Current.
SYMC 02/05 FlyPlat 43.59 -1.05 40.94 46.88 4.8M 6M 42.05
Current.
TASR 02/10 Test BO 55.18 -0.61 45.88 54.55 3M 1M 53.45
Current.
TOL 01/27 Cup hdl 46.32 +0.56 42.71 51 1.2M 1.2M 44.68
Current.
TSCO 01/24 Cup 40.71 -1.39 45.22 55 196K 719K 42.05
Buy Not Hit.
TSCO 07/29 Test BO 40.71 -1.39 28.06 31.44 196K 494K 42.65
Current.
TSCO 07/05 Test 50 40.71 -1.39 26.62 30 196K 500K 42.65
Current.
TSCO 06/03 Rv H&S 40.71 -1.39 23.42 27.62 196K 603K 42.65
Current.
TSCO 04/24 Cup hdl 40.71 -1.39 21.88 26 196K 603K 42.65
Current.
TSCO 04/03 Rv H&S 40.71 -1.39 19.3 22.19 196K 577K 42.65
Current.
TTI 03/02 Test 50 26.44 -0.91 27.22 31.55 89K 193K 25.64
Buy Not Issued.
TTP 03/01 Test 50 4.77 -0.38 4.59 5.55 477K 342K 4.68
Current.
ULTI 02/09 Cup hdl 13.01 0 11.38 13.62 189K 120K 12.58
Current.
UOPX 11/03 Test 50 81.34 -0.39 71.12 84 173K 315K 80.55
Current.
UOPX 10/25 Test 50 81.34 -0.39 68.95 82 173K 315K 80.55
Current.
VAR 03/03 Flat 85.55 -1.69 88.11 100 616K 750K 84.97
Current.
VAR 10/28 Cup hdl 85.55 -1.69 64.5 74.25 616K 1.1M 84.97
Current.
VIP 01/03 Test BO 85.03 -3.37 73.34 85 429K 615K 85.12
Current.
WRLS 02/19 A Wedge 15.52 -1.04 16.45 19.45 70K 300K 16.45
Exited.
XTO 03/11 Test BO 31.65 +0.68 31.25 33.28 862K 1.2M 30.65
Buy Not Issued.
YAKC 03/04 Test 50 15.42 -0.42 15.75 19.65 197K 150K 14.65
Buy Not Issued.
ZBRA 03/06 Test 50 68.38 -1.91 70.88 84 192K 517K 69.42
Buy Not Hit.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
$SOX 02/23 H&S 471.74 -13.36 492.24 475 0 0 475.25
Target Hit. Took a decent 11% gain, but hardly what we wanted on
the play. SOX undercut its recent lows, but w/lower
volume market is setting up for another bounce and
like to be better positioned after that bounce.
AZO 03/10 Put 82.5 -0.52 84 81.28 785K 1.1M 83.66
Current.
Good Investing!
Jon L. Johnson and the Stock Split Report Staff.
All of the foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinion of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants and are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on our related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Partners of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on our web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors.
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stock split
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