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stock split, stock recommendation
Begin part 2 of 2
THE PLAYS
Good movers Monday: CALM; TASR; BWA
In each report we prepare full write-ups for those plays that look ready to move. Those that have made the move or are still setting up are discussed in the continuing play table. The purpose is to focus on those stocks that are set to move.
NEW PLAYS: This section includes plays from all sections other than pre-announcements. Those are contained in the pre-announcement section.
Leader plays: May not turn into split plays, but solid technical patterns.
Play Date: 03/22/2004
LTD (The Limited--$19.29; -0.13; optionable): Apparel stores
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/l/ltd.html
STATUS: 50 day MVA test. We have been watching LTD in this pullback from a nice break higher in February where it peaked at 21. It faded back on mostly lower volume, then volume spiked Friday as it started off the 50 day MVA (18.95). Monday it slipped a bit with the market, but after hours it raised its guidance for March sales and Q1 estimates. Looking to pick this solid stock up as it makes the volume move higher.
Volume: 3.206M Avg Volume: 2.573M
BUY POINT: $19.68 Volume=3.9M Target=$23.62 Stop=$18.88
POSITION: LTD HD - Aug. $20c (43 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/ltd.html
Post-Split:
Play Date: 03/22/2004
SBUX (Starbucks--$37.20; +0.41; optionable): Expensive coffee
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/s/sbux.html
STATUS: 50 day MVA test. A great winner in the market (stock and coffee) as it keeps posting stronger sales in more markets. It has slipped back to the 50 day MVA (36.46) this month in the market selling, working back on lower, mostly below average volume. Volume has moved up the past two sessions, back above average as it gapped to the 50 day Monday and then posted a gain on solid trade. Looks ready to resume the move up after this test.
Volume: 4.484M Avg Volume: 3.022M
BUY POINT: $37.52 Volume=4.5M Target=$45 Stop=$36.25
POSITION: SQX GU - July $37.50c (49 delta) or SQX GG - July $35c (80 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/sbux.html
CONTINUING PLAYS
* * SPREADSHEET DOWNLOAD * * *
The following link is to a spreadsheet download of the continuing play table. It will allow subscribers to sort the data for your personal investment use. This is a service to our subscribers only, and no other use of the information is authorized. Simply click on the link, enter your username and password, and download the spreadsheet!
http://stocksplits.net/ssr/table.php
You will need your password. If you need help click on this link and our automated system will email it to you immediately once you fill in your email address:
http://www.investmenthouse.com/rescue/rescue.php3
LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: A Wedge=Ascending triangle/wedge; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; DWedge=Descending triangle/wedge; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ALVR 03/01 A Wedge 12.86 -1.64 15.59 18.48 2.8M 1.2M 15.48
Exited.
APOL 01/24 Test 18 83.57 -0.54 73.25 82 1.5M 3M 80.22
APOL 12/01 DB hdl 83.57 -0.54 70.72 82 1.5M 2.9M 80.22
Current.
APOL 11/22 DB hdl 83.57 -0.54 66.54 82 1.5M 2.9M 80.22
Current.
APPB 03/13 Test BO 38.79 -0.33 40.55 46.78 277K 739K 39.35
Buy Not Hit.
ARO 03/11 Test 50 33.73 -1.4 34.97 39.52 688K 989K 34.22
Current.
ATVI 02/24 Test BO 13.7 -0.39 13.76 15.84 1.3M 2.3M 13.25
Buy Not Issued.
BCR 12/17 Rv H&S 93.39 -1.05 80.93 92.95 390K 500K 93.88
Current.
BMET 02/28 Test 50 38.11 -0.11 40.22 47 2M 2M 38.88
Buy Not Hit.
BR 02/28 Test 50 60.68 -0.12 59.88 63.78 1.9M 1.5M 60.48
Current.
CAKE 02/28 BO 43.89 -0.96 48.35 56 1M 650K 47.35
Exited.
CALM 01/29 Cup hdl 40.5 +1.5 36.62 43.75 762K 650K 37.72
Current.
CDWC 03/06 Test BO 65.8 -0.99 70.12 82 1M 1.2M 67.72
Buy Not Hit.
CEC 02/21 Cup hdl 35.42 -0.53 34.96 38.23 297K 272K 36.68
Current.
CHS 02/24 Test BO 42.25 -0.69 46.22 53.15 1.4M 1.1M 44.04
CHT 01/22 Cup hdl 16.3 -1.2 15.75 18.92 846K 1.1M 17.06
Current.
CLKS 02/26 Cup hdl 2.46 -0.1 2.57 3.22 295K 301K 2.48
Current.
CLZR 03/13 Test BO 13.01 -0.89 14.15 16.98 259K 308K 13.22
Current.
CMRG 03/18 Cup hdl 9.3 +0.1 9.38 11.22 300K 585K 8.72
Buy Not Issued.
COH 02/28 DB hdl 39.43 -0.88 41.66 47.88 932K 2.5M 40.96
Current.
DCOM 02/28 Flat 20.19 -0.41 32.17 37 433K 200K 30.45
Buy Not Hit.
DGX 03/20 Cup hdl 81.59 -0.76 85.97 100 769K 973K 81.72
Buy Not Hit.
DNA 03/13 Test BO 102.14 -2.71 108.12 118 3.1M 4M 104.95
Buy Not Hit.
DNA 01/03 Test BO 102.14 -2.71 95.44 102 3.1M 3M 105.12
Current.
DWCH 03/16 Test BO 10.45 +0.08 10.92 13.15 92K 175K 10.16
Buy Not Hit.
EAT 03/09 Test BO 36.8 -0.11 39.06 46.88 542K 950K 37.88
Buy Not Hit.
EBAY 03/06 Flat 66.04 -2.26 71.78 82.25 10M 10M 68.15
Current.
EBAY 08/02 PreSplt 66.04 -2.26 53.78 60 10M 9M 67.48
Current.
EBAY 03/08 BO 66.04 -2.26 40.04 46 10M 8M 67.48
Current.
ENCY 03/08 Cup 9.26 -0.69 10.78 12.95 402K 917K 9.94
Buy Not Hit.
EVCI 02/18 Test BO 11.49 +0.39 8.68 10.39 319K 228K 10.04
Current.
FINL 03/16 Test 50 33.13 -1.14 34.48 39.85 362K 661K 33.58
Buy Not Issued.
FOSL 03/13 Test BO 33.27 -0.61 33.82 39 157K 310K 32.35
Buy Not Issued.
GLDN 03/15 Test BO 33.1 -0.44 35.25 43 139K 200K 33.42
Buy Not Hit.
GTK 03/18 Test 50 55.6 -1.54 58.08 66.78 625K 904K 56
Buy Not Hit.
HAR 03/13 Test 50 73.75 -3.3 78.35 90 772K 883K 76.96
Buy Not Issued.
HOV 03/11 Cup hdl 85.41 -0.53 88.75 99 839K 1.4M 85.22
Buy Not Issued.
HUG 03/02 Flat 50.15 -1.07 50.62 58.25 193K 314K 50.62
IDSA 03/16 Test BO 28 -0.82 29.22 35 304K 2M 27.17
Buy Not Issued.
IDXX 02/02 DB hdl 54.22 -0.54 50.22 58 196K 500K 53.54
IGT 09/16 Rv H&S 40.32 -1.08 29.05 34.55 1.9M 4.7M 40.38
Current.
INTV 03/08 Flat 14.91 +0.1 13.91 16.85 516K 500K 13.94
Current.
JAH 03/16 Test 18 33.09 -0.92 35.64 42 183K 301K 33.94
Current.
JOSB 03/13 Test BO 35.35 -2.08 39.48 45.45 463K 500K 36.72
Buy Not Issued.
KFY 03/18 Cup hdl 14.4 -0.56 14.46 17.35 695K 300K 13.52
Current.
LM 02/07 FlyPlat 88.36 -1.64 92.24 102 351K 550K 89.94
Current.
LXK 12/30 Rv H&S 88.47 -0.23 83.65 94 1.5M 2M 86.12
Current.
MAMA 03/16 Test BO 10.63 +0.1 10.04 13.12 6.3M 6M 9.32
Current.
MBG 11/18 Cup hdl 52.7 -0.55 44.3 53 1.3M 1.8M 52.92
Current.
MBT 01/03 Cup 114.15 -3.01 88.39 99.95 309K 412K 110.68
Current.
MIK 02/21 Cup hdl 47.25 -0.46 48.44 55.72 576K 815K 46.22
Buy Not Issued.
NCEN 03/06 A Wedge 48.62 -1.24 51.52 61 533K 1.2M 48.24
Buy Not Issued.
NIHD 03/09 Test BO 97.92 -4.47 105.25 115.28 272K 554K 103.88
Buy Not Hit.
NMGA 01/24 A Wedge 52.25 -1.61 55.39 63.75 182K 254K 57.22
NUS 03/02 Test 50 19.48 -0.87 21.08 25.15 216K 455K 19.91
Current.
OCR 03/15 Test 50 42.82 -0.73 44.88 49.38 672K 743K 43.94
Buy Not Issued.
OSI 02/07 Test 50 46.9 -0.13 48.68 51.96 302K 650K 47.68
Current.
PD 03/11 Test 50 81.1 -2.24 83.32 91 1.9M 3M 82.34
Current.
PDCO 03/09 Flat 66.11 -0.57 70.12 81 566K 759K 66.65
Buy Not Issued.
PG 03/13 Test BO 103.97 -0.06 104.92 115 3.7M 4.2M 103.25
Buy Not Issued.
PSUN 03/06 Test 50 22.6 -0.53 25.04 30 1.4M 2.4M 24.15
Buy Not Hit.
QCOM 02/25 Test BO 62.31 -2.05 63.03 72 13M 11M 63.12
Current.
RVI 03/20 Test BO 6.9 -0.08 7.12 8.98 31K 155K 6.72
Buy Not Hit.
SBUX 07/30 Cup 37.2 +0.41 30.35 36.75 4.3M 6M 37.32
Current.
SBUX 07/01 Cup 37.2 +0.41 26.3 30.94 4.3M 6M 37.32
Current.
SLAB 01/31 Cup hdl 50.12 -1.23 51.12 58 1.9M 1.9M 54.22
Current.
SONC 01/10 Test BO 33.66 -0.34 35.04 43 185K 562K 33.72
Buy Not Issued.
SPAB 02/10 A Wedge 3.74 -0.03 3.49 4.35 53K 451K 3.68
Current.
STJ 01/13 Cup hdl 71.12 -2.59 64.68 75 2.6M 2.2M 74.55
Current.
STN 03/11 Test BO 39.59 -1.21 39.66 45.75 305K 550K 38.08
Buy Not Issued.
SYK 12/29 A Wedge 87.09 -2.25 88.75 100 850K 745K 89.11
Current.
SYMC 02/05 FlyPlat 41.14 -1.66 40.94 46.88 7.7M 6M 42.48
Current.
TASR 02/10 Test BO 62.49 +2.89 45.88 54.55 6.9M 1M 55.02
Current.
TOL 01/27 Cup hdl 44.47 -0.43 42.71 51 747K 1.2M 44.68
Current.
TSCO 01/24 Cup 38.54 -0.34 45.22 55 478K 719K 42.05
Buy Not Hit.
TSCO 07/29 Test BO 38.54 -0.34 28.06 31.44 478K 494K 42.65
Current.
TSCO 07/05 Test 50 38.54 -0.34 26.62 30 478K 500K 42.65
Current.
TSCO 06/03 Rv H&S 38.54 -0.34 23.42 27.62 478K 603K 42.65
Current.
TSCO 04/24 Cup hdl 38.54 -0.34 21.88 26 478K 603K 42.65
Current.
TSCO 04/03 Rv H&S 38.54 -0.34 19.3 22.19 478K 577K 42.65
Current.
TTI 03/02 Test 50 25.6 -0.83 27.22 31.55 127K 193K 25.64
Buy Not Issued.
TTP 03/18 Test 18 4.84 -0.36 5.28 6.59 159K 300K 4.91
Buy Not Issued.
TTP 03/01 Test 50 4.84 -0.36 4.59 5.55 159K 342K 4.72
Current.
UHCO 03/20 Test BO 11.86 -0.06 12.25 14.72 301K 315K 11.39
Buy Not Hit.
ULTI 02/09 Cup hdl 13.95 -0.05 11.38 13.62 124K 120K 13.02
Current.
UOPX 11/03 Test 50 82.03 -1.09 71.12 84 99K 315K 80.55
Current.
UOPX 10/25 Test 50 82.03 -1.09 68.95 82 99K 315K 80.55
Current.
VAR 03/03 Flat 84 -3.01 88.11 100 893K 750K 85.62
Current.
VAR 10/28 Cup hdl 84 -3.01 64.5 74.25 893K 1.1M 85.62
Current.
VIP 01/03 Test BO 88.82 -3.63 73.34 85 388K 615K 87.54
Current.
WMI 03/17 A Wedge 28.61 -0.88 30.25 36.32 1.9M 2.8M 28.13
Buy Not Hit.
WWCA 03/20 Pennant 23.27 -1.72 26.12 31.35 1.3M 2.5M 24.68
Buy Not Hit.
XTO 03/11 Test BO 24.67 -0.29 25.68 29.58 762K 1.2M 24.44
Buy Not Issued.
ZBRA 03/06 Test 50 66.69 -2.48 70.88 84 275K 517K 69.42
Buy Not Issued.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AZO 03/10 Put 84.56 +0.88 84 81.28 1.1M 1.1M 83.66
Current.
BWA 03/20 Put 82 -2.41 83.12 80.05 578K 255K 85.25
Current.
Good Investing!
Jon L. Johnson and the Stock Split Report Staff.
All of the foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinion of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants and are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on our related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Partners of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on our web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors.
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stock split
stock recommendation
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