|
|
stock split, stock recommendation
Begin part 2 of 2
THE PLAYS
Good movers Monday: AVO; BR; CECO; EPIX; MBG; STN; STRA; ZMH
NEW PLAYS:
New Leader Plays: May not turn into a split play but a solid stock.
Play Date: 05/03/2004
TBL (Timberland--$65.10; +2.38; optionable): Shoes and clothing
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/t/tbl.html
STATUS: Breakout test. This is a leader that can turn into a pre-announcement for us. TBL reported strong results and gapped higher a week back, moving out of a nice 10 week cup base. Accumulation was an excellent 3 to 0, and volume shot higher as the stock broke out. It has come back, held the breakout over 62.50 (18 day EMA 63.21), and then started back up Monday on stronger, above average volume. Excellent money flow surging ahead of price. Looks ready to continue the move. This pattern follows the early February breakout from a 6.5 month base. Nice base on base pattern.
Volume: 531.3K Avg Volume: 391.818K
BUY POINT: $65.42 Volume=588K Target=$74 Stop=$62.88
POSITION: TBL HM - Aug. $65c (54 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/tbl.html
Downside: Still not loading up to the downside plays, but the relief bounce is starting so we are looking at some more.
Play Date: 05/03/2004
ENR (Energrizer Holdings--$43.77; +0.47; optionable): Batteries
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/e/enr.html
STATUS: Put. Broke through the 50 day EMA (45.03) last week and has spent the past three sessions rallying back up to test the breakdown, but volume has backed down lower and lower as it bounces. That is a typical low volume bounce, and we are looking for it to fail at the 50 day and then roll back over on some rising trade.
Volume: 475.8K Avg Volume: 358.136K
BUY POINT: $44.48 Volume=500K Target=$42 Stop=$45.25
POSITION: ENR RI - June $45p (-64 delta)
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/enr.html
CONTINUING PLAYS
* * SPREADSHEET DOWNLOAD * * *
The following link is to a spreadsheet download of the continuing play table. It will allow subscribers to sort the data for your personal investment use. This is a service to our subscribers only, and no other use of the information is authorized. Simply click on the link, enter your username and password, and download the spreadsheet!
http://stocksplits.net/ssr/table.php
You will need your password. If you need help click on this link and our automated system will email it to you immediately once you fill in your email address:
http://www.investmenthouse.com/rescue/rescue.php3
LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: A Wedge=Ascending triangle/wedge; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; DWedge=Descending triangle/wedge; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAP 05/01 Test BO 43.56 +0.41 43.68 50 702K 625K 42.65
Entered today.
ACV 03/23 PreSplt 48 +0.84 45.48 53 330K 700K 46.12
Current.
AGN 04/15 Test 50 89.1 +1.05 88.22 100 1.2M 1M 87.62
Current.
ALOG 04/29 Cup hdl 47.9 +0.35 50.28 57.85 87K 159K 48.05
Buy Not Hit.
AMT 04/27 Test BO 13.09 +0.64 13.12 16 2M 4M 12.44
Buy Not Issued.
APOL 01/24 Test 18 92.55 +1.55 73.25 82 2.3M 3M 90.95
APOL 12/01 DB hdl 92.55 +1.55 70.72 82 2.3M 2.9M 90.95
Current.
APOL 11/22 DB hdl 92.55 +1.55 66.54 82 2.3M 2.9M 90.95
Current.
APPX 03/27 A Wedge 42.43 +0.17 44.72 50.25 1.6M 1.4M 41.51
Current.
ARIA 05/01 Test BO 12.06 +0.7 12.12 14.55 930K 1.4M 11.27
Buy Not Issued.
AVO 03/30 Flat 33.1 +1.56 24.98 29.42 1M 334K 29.88
Current.
BCR 04/29 Test BO 107.17 +0.9 107.25 120 325K 600K 103.22
Buy Not Issued.
BCR 04/16 Test BO 107.17 +0.9 98.93 115 325K 522K 104.96
Current.
BCR 12/17 Rv H&S 107.17 +0.9 80.93 92.95 325K 500K 104.96
Current.
BIIB 04/17 Cup 59.51 +0.51 60.49 72.88 4.3M 7.5M 58.04
Current.
BIO 05/01 Cup hdl 58.53 -0.07 60.22 67.45 56K 156K 59.18
Buy Not Hit.
BKST 04/17 FlyPlat 19.57 -0.32 18.52 21.32 159K 145K 19.02
Current.
BMET 04/03 Dbl btm 39.38 -0.12 40.72 47 1.7M 2.6M 38.38
Buy Not Issued.
BR 03/30 Dbl btm 69.49 +2.22 63.15 68.15 1.8M 1.7M 66.04
Current.
CECO 04/28 Test BO 67.85 +3.87 65.15 75 3.5M 3M 63.42
Current.
CNC 04/27 Cup hdl 33.3 -0.2 34.68 40 179K 166K 32.25
Buy Not Hit.
COH 04/27 Test BO 43.75 +1.15 45.48 53 1.4M 2M 43.25
Buy Not Hit.
COH 02/28 DB hdl 43.75 +1.15 41.66 47.88 1.4M 2.5M 42.05
Current.
CRDN 04/28 Test BO 29.39 +0.68 32.55 37 1.1M 1.2M 30.18
Current.
CRL 04/24 FlyPlat 45.88 -0.12 46.83 55 599K 495K 45.12
Current.
CWTR 04/27 FlyPlat 19.79 -0.8 23.12 27.75 113K 170K 21.82
Buy Not Hit.
DGX 03/20 Cup hdl 85.94 +1.59 86.32 100 624K 973K 82.98
Current.
DHR 04/27 Flat 93.48 +0.96 96.22 104 938K 1.1M 89.48
Buy Not Hit.
DIOD 04/20 Cup hdl 21.87 +0.16 24.62 29.38 100K 145K 22.94
Current.
DNA 04/29 Test BO 122.45 -0.35 123.25 133.45 2.3M 4M 118.25
Buy Not Issued.
DNA 03/13 Test BO 122.45 -0.35 110.79 120 2.3M 4M 119.78
Current.
DNA 01/03 Test BO 122.45 -0.35 95.44 102 2.3M 3M 119.78
Current.
DRTE 04/20 Flat 16.81 -0.28 18.09 21.45 374K 325K 18.48
Current.
EAT 03/09 Test BO 38.9 +0.44 39.06 46.88 575K 950K 37.88
Buy Not Issued.
EBAY 03/06 Flat 81.85 +1.82 71.78 82.25 8.3M 10M 78.02
Current.
EBAY 08/02 PreSplt 81.85 +1.82 53.78 60 8.3M 9M 78.02
Current.
EBAY 03/08 BO 81.85 +1.82 40.04 46 8.3M 8M 78.02
Current.
ECOL 04/01 Dbl btm 10.05 -0.15 9.89 11.32 64K 150K 10.22
Current.
ENCY 03/08 Cup 9.92 -0.13 11.45 13.62 449K 917K 10.68
Current.
EPIX 04/19 Cup hdl 25.99 +1.42 24.58 29.52 516K 300K 23.48
Current.
ERES 04/29 Test 18 32.31 +0.83 32.95 37.92 872K 1.3M 31.18
Buy Not Issued.
ESRX 03/24 Cup hdl 77.2 -0.14 77.43 87.88 875K 1.4M 77.08
Current.
EVCI 05/01 Test 50 11.7 -0.52 12.52 15 173K 400K 11.64
Buy Not Hit.
EVCI 02/18 Test BO 11.7 -0.52 8.68 10.39 173K 228K 11.94
Current.
FOSL 04/01 FlyPlat 24.62 +0.26 23.52 26.97 389K 310K 24.48
Current.
FWRD 04/24 Cup hdl 33 -0.28 34.38 41.25 186K 175K 32.88
Buy Not Hit.
HSY 04/29 Test BO 89.92 +1.03 89.58 98.75 384K 708K 87.48
Entered today.
HUG 05/01 Test BO 56 +0.11 56.88 65 204K 314K 54.88
Buy Not Hit.
HUG 03/02 Flat 56 +0.11 54.12 62 204K 314K 56.88
IDXX 02/02 DB hdl 62.23 +0.97 50.22 58 337K 500K 59.58
IEX 05/01 Test BO 47.66 +0.41 47.78 53 158K 218K 46.32
Buy Not Issued.
KFY 03/18 Cup hdl 15.37 +0.39 14.46 17.35 295K 300K 15.42
Current.
LTD 03/22 Test 50 20.96 +0.32 21.16 25.15 2M 3.9M 20.48
Current.
LXK 12/30 Rv H&S 90.81 +0.35 83.65 94 1.2M 2M 92.88
Current.
MAMA 04/23 Test 18 11.24 -1.68 14.28 17.35 3.8M 6.3M 12.81
Exited.
MBG 11/18 Cup hdl 58.87 +1.42 44.3 53 1.4M 1.8M 59.32
Current.
MIK 02/21 Cup hdl 49.51 -0.52 50.41 57.52 470K 815K 50.48
Current.
MSSN 04/27 Test BO 4.06 -0.08 4.74 5.75 296K 615K 4.41
Buy Not Hit.
NSM 04/22 Test 50 39.49 -1.3 46.18 53.12 7.5M 6M 44.88
Current.
ORLY 04/26 Dbl btm 44.55 -0.35 45.62 52 379K 450K 43.45
Current.
OSIS 04/17 Test BO 22.71 -0.04 24.68 29.62 362K 312K 22.88
Buy Not Issued.
POOL 05/01 Test BO 40.52 +0.31 41.38 48 375K 300K 38.88
Buy Not Issued.
QCOM 04/17 Test 50 63.98 +1.52 66.35 79 7.6M 14M 66.12
Current.
RMD 04/13 Cup hdl 49.26 -0.02 47.84 54.55 189K 382K 48.12
Current.
RS 04/03 Cup hdl 34.88 +1.86 36.24 42 369K 255K 35.38
RVI 03/20 Test BO 7.61 +0.04 7.78 9.65 36K 155K 7.24
Buy Not Issued.
SBUX 03/22 Test 50 39.15 +0.23 39 47 2.3M 4.5M 38.12
Current.
SBUX 07/30 Cup 39.15 +0.23 30.35 36.75 2.3M 6M 38.12
Current.
SBUX 07/01 Cup 39.15 +0.23 26.3 30.94 2.3M 6M 38.12
Current.
SCSC 04/09 Cup hdl 55.03 -0.2 56.36 65 128K 175K 52.41
Current.
SPAB 02/10 A Wedge 4.53 +0.03 3.49 4.35 149K 451K 4.35
Current.
STJ 04/15 Cup hdl 76.15 -0.11 75.66 88 925K 2.2M 75.88
Current.
STJ 01/13 Cup hdl 76.15 -0.11 64.68 75 925K 2.2M 75.88
Current.
STN 03/11 Test BO 47 +1.92 42.49 49 623K 550K 46.12
Current.
STRA 05/01 Test BO 129.78 +4.17 127.25 130 171K 165K 122.22
TSCO 01/24 Cup 38.02 -0.93 45.22 55 505K 719K 42.05
Buy Not Hit.
TSCO 07/29 Test BO 38.02 -0.93 28.06 31.44 505K 494K 42.65
Current.
TSCO 07/05 Test 50 38.02 -0.93 26.62 30 505K 500K 42.65
Current.
TSCO 06/03 Rv H&S 38.02 -0.93 23.42 27.62 505K 603K 42.65
Current.
TSCO 04/24 Cup hdl 38.02 -0.93 21.88 26 505K 603K 42.65
Current.
TSCO 04/03 Rv H&S 38.02 -0.93 19.3 22.19 505K 577K 42.65
Current.
UBET 04/01 Cup hdl 4.75 +0.25 4.43 5.54 356K 325K 5.62
Current.
UOPX 05/01 Test 50 86.51 -0.57 90.25 103 304K 285K 89.12
Buy Not Hit.
UOPX 11/03 Test 50 86.51 -0.57 71.12 84 304K 315K 89.05
Current.
UOPX 10/25 Test 50 86.51 -0.57 68.95 82 304K 315K 89.05
Current.
URBN 03/29 Flat 46.35 +0.18 49.85 56.68 655K 725K 46.68
Current.
WFMI 04/20 Cup 79.5 -0.49 79.58 91 619K 1M 78.22
Current.
YHOO 04/07 Cup hdl 52.3 +1.77 55.18 62.75 14M 15M 54.48
Current.
ZBRA 03/06 Test 50 74.39 +1.1 73.48 86.55 426K 517K 70.65
Buy Not Issued.
ZMH 04/17 Rv H&S 82.08 +2.23 82.09 94.48 1.3M 170K 79.38
Current.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
PSTIE 04/13 Put 11 +0.3 10.62 8.05 57K 275K 11.42
Buy Not Hit.
Good Investing!
Jon L. Johnson and the Stock Split Report Staff.
All of the foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinion of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants and are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on our related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Partners of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on our web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors.
|
stock split
stock recommendation
|
