stock split, stock recommendation

Begin part 2 of 2

THE PLAYS

Good movers: STZ; VLO

New Pre-Split Plays:

Play Date: 04/18/2005
FTO (Frontier Oil--$40.46; +1.6; optionable): Oil and gas refining and marketing. Splits 2:1 on a date to be named.
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/f/fto.html
STATUS: Test 18 day EMA. FTO has been on a long run after breaking out in late January. It has moved higher using the 18 day EMA (39.15) as support. Volume jumped this month as FTO gapped higher and rallied to 45. It has come back with the rest of the energy stocks the past two weeks, filling the gap and holding Friday at the 18 day EMA. Monday it bounced off that level on continued strong, above average volume. Solid money flow is holding up very well. Getting a bit long in the run so we are looking for a continued bounce to take the stock up to the recent high. We will get what we can on this pre-split, and when it shows some trouble we will sell it because after this run and the gap higher it is getting winded.
Volume: 636.2K Avg Volume: 376.272K
BUY POINT: $40.88 Volume=525K Target=$45 Stop=$39.05
POSITION: FTO GH - July $40c (62 delta)
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/fto.html

New Leader Play:

Play Date: 04/18/2005
AYE (Allegheny Energy--$21.92; +0.43; optionable): Electric utilities
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/a/aye.html
STATUS: Test 50 day EMA. Hardly glamorous, but utilities are performing well. AYE broke out from a 16 week flat base in early March, came back to test the 50 day EMA (20.64), and surged higher once more to 23. During the recent selling it pulled back to test the breakout, falling all the way to the 50 day EMA intraday Monday. It rebounded and posted nice gain on the best volume since the breakout. Positive accumulation set up the breakout move. Money flow is strong and relative strength is breaking out once more. Looking to step back in on a continued move higher. It can move well for a utility.
Volume: 2.468M Avg Volume: 943.363K
BUY POINT: $22.25 Volume=1.2M Target=$26.75 Stop=$21.37
POSITION: AYE GD - July $20c (81 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/aye.html

CONTINUING PLAYS

* * SPREADSHEET DOWNLOAD * * *

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http://stocksplits.net/ssr/table.php

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http://www.investmenthouse.com/rescue/rescue.php3

LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE

DATE: date play first appeared on report.

PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);

PIVOT=Buy point

Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.

Vol=Volume for the most recent session.

TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.

Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.

PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).

Upside Plays

Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop

AMHC 04/12 Test BO 35.02 -0.41 36.62 42.55 849K 713K 35.22
Buy Not Issued.

APPX 03/29 Asc Tri 56.02 +0.9 54.91 62.45 492K 975K 54.38
Current.

BCR 04/02 Test 18 68.91 +0.06 69.45 77 395K 882K 68.55
Current.

CHD 03/12 Test 18 36.11 +0.26 36.75 42.85 211K 393K 35.68
Current.

CI 04/16 Cup hdl 86.97 -3.06 91.65 100 2M 1.6M 89.25
Buy Not Hit.

CNMD 03/29 Cup hdl 30.62 -0.1 30.88 34.98 237K 300K 30.55
Current.

DVA 04/09 Flat 41.78 +0.19 42.57 48 576K 1.1M 41.58
Buy Not Issued.

ESRX 04/05 DB hdl 85.4 +0.13 87.81 94 1M 1.2M 84.38
Buy Not Issued.

ESRX 03/17 Test BO 85.4 +0.13 83.35 94 1M 900K 85.03
Current.

FO 04/16 Test BO 85.95 -1.08 87.55 99 778K 908K 85.65
Buy Not Hit.

GOOG 04/14 Cup hdl 186.97 +1.97 195.35 210 6.5M 13M 189.95
Buy Not Hit.

GPN 04/13 Test BO 63.33 +1.43 64.05 72 345K 300K 62.38
Buy Not Hit.

HSY 04/14 Test 50 61 -0.27 62.45 69.95 640K 1.1M 61.44
Buy Not Issued.

HYTM 04/14 Asc Tri 8.25 -0.05 8.55 10.25 69K 155K 8
Buy Not Hit.

JAH 04/06 DB hdl 47.15 +0.63 47.87 54 401K 460K 46.39
Current.

JOSB 04/16 FlyPlat 34.5 +0.42 34.95 40.45 642K 675K 33.38
Entered today.

MATR 03/30 Cup hdl 30.04 +0.09 31.58 37.55 86K 353K 29.78
Current.

OPTN 03/10 Test BO 14.08 -0.01 13.59 15.64 489K 335K 13.86
Current.

PDCO 04/16 Test 18 50.51 -1.17 52.12 56.25 1.2M 1.1M 50.89
Buy Not Issued.

PFCB 04/12 Test BO 58.4 -0.31 58.88 67.45 572K 582K 57.64
Buy Not Issued.

PIXR 04/09 Test BO 92.93 -1.46 94.58 105.55 893K 600K 92.88
Buy Not Issued.

STZ 04/16 Test BO 57.06 +1.51 57.11 63.88 956K 940K 54.98
Entered today.

UNH 04/11 Test BO 91.17 -2.1 96.72 105 5.7M 3.8M 93.29
Current.

USNA 04/14 Test 50 45.94 -0.29 46.42 52 206K 425K 44.78
Buy Not Hit.

VLO 03/31 Test 18 70.19 +2.58 75.98 86 8.4M 5.5M 77.05
Current.

XRAY 04/16 Cup hdl 54.99 +0.05 56.22 62 354K 700K 54.98
Buy Not Hit.

Good Investing!
Jon L. Johnson and the Stock Split Report Staff.

All of the foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinion of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants and are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on our related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Partners of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on our web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors.

stock split
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