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trade stock, stock split
Begin part 2 of 2
Full report issues Thursday
THE PLAYS
Good movers: AAPL; CRDN; DNA; ISRG; WIRE; ATK
New Post-Split Plays:
Play Date: 10/26/2005
DADE (Dade Behring Holdings--$36.20; +0.53; optionable): Diagnostic substances
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/d/dade.html
After Hours: $36.20
STATUS: Reverse head and shoulders. Volume swelling the past week and moving above average Tuesday and Wednesday as DADE clears the 50 day EMA and SMA (35.55, 35.98). Solid 4 to 2 accumulation in the base (4 up price weeks on rising volume to 2 down price weeks on rising volume) as DADE sets up for a break higher to take it to a new all-time high. Strong money flow is surging higher. Relative strength is ready to move breakout ahead of the stock, a bullish indication.
Volume: 888.529K Avg Volume: 728.645K
BUY POINT: $37.22 Volume=1.1M Target=$42.85 Stop=$35.48
POSITION: JDQ BU - Feb. $37.50c (48 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/dade.html
Play Date: 10/26/2005
HCC (HCC Insurance Holdings--$28.35; +0.36; optionable): P & C Insurance
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/h/hcc.html
STATUS: Ascending base. HCC split in mid-July, launched higher to end that month, and then fell into the current 12 week base formed along the 50 day EMA (27.25) as HCC sets up for the breakout to another new all-time high. A strong market leader, and insurance is moving into market leadership. Nice bump in volume Wednesday as HCC rallied toward the breakout. Relative strength is making the breakout ahead of price a good indication the stock is going to follow.
Volume: 700.2K Avg Volume: 571.208K
BUY POINT: $28.75 Volume=857K Target=$33 Stop=$27.38
POSITION: HCV BV - Feb. 26.625c (65 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/hcc.html
CONTINUING PLAYS
* * SPREADSHEET DOWNLOAD * * *
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http://stocksplits.net/ssr/table.php
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http://www.investmenthouse.com/rescue/rescue.php3
LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 10/17 Test 50 57.03 +0.93 54.52 62.95 23M 30M 54.89
Current. Continue with the uptrend for a nice gain on rising, but average volume.
ACL 10/08 PreAnn 133.5 -0.19 126.38 142.45 523K 725K 132.38
Current.
ADSK 10/05 Test 18 46.39 +0.14 45.62 54.55 2.9M 4.1M 44.44
Current. Meeting some resistance here as stock came off the day's high of 47.06 on slightly above average volume. Continue with uptrend.
APC 10/25 PreAnn 90.21 -1.69 92.45 102.95 3.2M 2.4M 90.11
Buy Not Issued.
ATVI 10/18 PreSplt 15.53 -0.62 16.28 19.42 1.7M 3.4M 15.51
Current. Pullback holding the 18 day MVA on below average volume. May test back to 15.36.
BCSI 10/22 Cup hdl 46.67 -0.03 45.75 54.95 265K 543K 42.55
Buy Not Issued. Tapped 48.23 at the intraday high, but gave it back on low volume. Volume not there to enter the play. Stock needs to pullback.
BRL 10/01 Cup hdl 56.38 -1.62 56.31 64.95 1.1M 1M 56.05
Current.
BRO 10/13 PreAnn 54.34 +0.78 51.29 57.88 410K 413K 53.28
Current.
CHS 10/10 DB hdl 37.71 -0.93 38.75 46.45 1.8M 2.9M 36.88
Buy Not Issued. Pullback testing the 18 day MVA intraday on rising, but average volume. May continue to test back to 18 day MVA (37.50)
CLE 10/06 DB hdl 25.35 -0.44 26.02 30.98 328K 550K 25.52
Current.
CMTL 10/20 Test 50 40.22 -1.26 41.05 48.95 385K 694K 39.65
Entered today. A solid morning fell apart in the afternoon w/CMTL
fading back to 18 day EMA on close. Volume faded in
afternoon selling so no dumping but needs to hold here.
CRDN 10/15 Test BO 42.24 +1.49 40.01 46.95 1.1M 800K 40.89
Current. Nice move up the 10 day MVA on stronger above average volume. Came off the day's high for 43.45.
DNA 04/28 Test BO 89.52 +1.15 70.42 81 5M 8.2M 87.21
Current. Another great move up the 10 day MVA on stronger above average volume. Came off the day's high of 90.57
DVA 10/03 PreAnn 48.3 +0.08 48.98 55.95 544K 550K 48.32
Current.
ESRX 10/13 Test 50 62.07 -0.81 62.44 70.92 2.3M 2.1M 63.21
Current. Surging $4 after hours ($66) on some very strong earnings.
FAST 10/25 PreSplt 69.47 -0.61 70.32 75 472K 918K 68.22
Buy Not Issued.
FLO 10/06 Cup hdl 28.41 -0.62 28.04 32.21 216K 339K 28.15
Current. Pullback on lower below average volume. May continue to pullback to 10 day MVA (28.25)
GENZ 10/25 PreAnn 71.59 +0.06 72.89 83.78 2.1M 4M 69.69
Buy Not Hit. Tapped 72.57 at the intraday high, but gave some of it back on average volume. Meeting resistance at 72.
GILD 09/10 Cup hdl 46.79 -1.18 47.19 53.95 3.2M 4.2M 47.22
Current. Tapped 48.60 at the intraday high, but gave it back holding the 18 day MVA on below average volume. May continue to test back to 46.60.
GPN 10/06 PreSplt 83.85 -0.33 79.97 89.45 402K 475K 83.22
Current. Tapped 85.44 at the intraday high, but gave it back on average volume. May test back to the 10 day MVA (83.40)
GPN 09/13 PreSplt 83.85 -0.33 69.72 75.85 402K 350K 83.24
Current.
GTK 10/12 Test BO 31 -0.79 32.24 27.95 990K 1.7M 31.05
Current.
HAR 10/06 PreAnn 100.91 -3.13 104.51 119.95 326K 1.1M 103.22
Current.
HIBB 10/22 Cup hdl 25.34 -0.07 25.05 29.45 246K 612K 23.45
Buy Not Issued.
HOLX 10/05 PreSplt 58.17 +1.17 54.61 63.75 519K 483K 56.22
Target Hit. Took some interim option gain after rallied to prior
high and then started to fade back.
HYSL 10/25 Cup hdl 47.4 -0.27 49.55 58.55 365K 874K 47.22
Buy Not Hit. Pullback tapping47.20 at the intraday low and rallied back on very low volume. Still forming the handle.
INGR 10/15 Asc Bse 46.57 -0.42 46.31 53.55 277K 435K 44.74
Buy Not Issued.
IRIS 10/22 Test BO 23 -0.09 21.74 24.99 167K 290K 20.88
Current. Pullback on average volume. Beginning to level off holding the gain.
IRIS 10/13 Test BO 23 -0.09 20.44 24.95 167K 304K 20.88
Current.
ISRG 09/27 PreAnn 90.2 +18.21 72.05 89.85 4.9M 1.5M 69.05
Massive gap to the target. Not likely to get better
than that near term.
JCOM 10/22 Cup hdl 43.48 -1.04 42.55 50.95 647K 750K 40.11
Buy Not Issued. Pullback on lower, but above average volume. Stock needs to continue with low volume pullback.
LLL 10/20 PreAnn 78.8 -2.28 81.65 91.95 1.7M 1.1M 80.21
Buy Not Issued.
MRVL 10/01 PreAnn 45.49 -0.87 46.65 53.65 2.6M 3.5M 45.05
Current. Tapped 46.90 at the intraday high, but gave it back on lower below average volume. May continue to test back to 10 day MVA (45.25)
NTES 10/24 Test 50 79.49 -1.9 84.35 97.55 1.3M 1.4M 78.42
Entered today. Excellent early action and trade and then beat back
down in the afternoon in a whipsaw. Then BIDU announced
earnings & NTES was down to 78 after hrs. Will see
if it can hold the 50 day EMA (78.50).
PGR 10/18 PreAnn 112.36 +0.54 110.23 118 526K 1.2M 109.11
Current.
PPDI 10/13 PreAnn 62.45 +0.43 62.55 71.95 352K 556K 60.55
Buy Not Issued. Plunging lower after hours, dropping $7. That pretty much does it in as a play for now.
RL 10/08 PreAnn 51.38 -0.54 52.78 60.95 810K 1.1M 50.44
Buy Not Issued.
RMD 10/22 Test 50 39.57 +0.64 38.61 44.75 524K 798K 36.88
Buy Not Issued.
RS 10/13 PreAnn 54.88 0 50.89 58.55 329K 403K 48.68
Buy Not Issued.
SBUX 10/15 PreSplt 27.67 -0.22 26.85 29.66 4.1M 3.2M 26.88
Current.
STJ 10/18 Asc Tri 47.52 -0.75 48.65 54.95 1.8M 2.5M 47.11
Current.
SWN 10/24 PreAnn 72 +0.3 71.65 85.95 4.3M 2.6M 67.89
Current. Gapped up at the open, but gave much of it back on stronger above average volume. May continue to test back to 71.25.
TECH 10/18 PreAnn 57.08 -0.16 56.85 64.32 135K 510K 55.22
Current.
TEVA 10/06 Test BO 38.32 -0.15 36.12 41.32 5.4M 5M 37.55
Current.
UNH 10/08 Test BO 53.98 -1.96 56.32 64.95 9.1M 6M 56.15
Current. Just when it looked to be recovering from Tuesday CVH
earnings, WLP gives vague guidance. Giving UNH a day
to recover the 50 day EMA (54.11).
UPL 10/24 PreAnn 52.55 -0.15 53.22 64.85 3.2M 2.6M 50.48
Current. Tapped 55 at the intraday high, but gave it back on strong volume testing the 10 day MVA at the intraday low. Still in good shape.
VTIV 10/12 Cup hdl 25 -0.71 26.48 32.25 277K 714K 24.63
Buy Not Hit. Pullback holding the 50 day MVA on lower below average volume. Looking for stock to rebound from here.
WBSN 10/19 Cup 59.04 +5.27 54.88 63.45 2.9M 832K 52.91
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher and never looked back after the strong earnings news.
WFMI 09/03 PreAnn 138.78 -1.08 132.58 147 1.1M 1.5M 136.89
Current.
WIRE 10/01 FlyPlat 21.99 +0.48 16.92 20.25 617K 170K 20.89
Current. Continue with the uptrend for a nice gain on lower, but strong volume.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ATK 10/22 Put 69.28 -1.36 69.32 67.35 256K 270K 69.78
Entered today. Gapped down and continued for a great move down the 10 day MVA on strong volume.
CX 10/15 Put 50.15 +0.65 48.68 46.57 1.4M 1.8M 49.32
Buy Not Issued. Bounced on low volume holding at some resistance. Still in down trend.
Good Investing!
Jon L. Johnson and the Stock Split Report Staff.
All of the foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinion of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants and are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on our related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Partners of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on our web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors.
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