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us stock market, stock recommendation
Begin part 3 of 3
THE PLAYS:
Good Movers: CELL; CLF; HAL; HOLX; NBR; SLB; SNDK; SU; UPL
New Post-Split Plays:
Play Date: 01/23/2006
SRZ (Sunrise Assisted Living--$35.51; -0.63; optionable): Long-term care facilities
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/s/srz.html
STATUS: Test 18 day EMA. SRZ formed a 6 week cup base over the 50 day EMA (34.32) and broke higher last week on strong trade. Solid 3 to 0 accumulation in the base (3 up price weeks on rising volume to 0 down price weeks on rising volume) shows all buying as SRZ takes a breather and sets up the next run as it continues its march up the 50 day EMA. Strong money flow complements the accumulation. It has come back to test the 18 day EMA (35.08) in the recent selling, holding near support and rebounding off that level Monday to close above the 10 day EMA. Good action and looking for SRZ to continue its upside move and deliver yet another breakout.
Volume: 304.6K Avg Volume: 376.45K
BUY POINT: $36.25 Volume=565K Target=$41.95 Stop=$34.98
POSITION: SRZ GG - July $35c (55 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/srz.html
New Leader Play:
Play Date: 01/23/2006
DTAS (Digitas Inc.--$13.57; +0.57; optionable): Global marketing services
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/d/dtas.html
After Hours: $13.56
STATUS: Test 50 day EMA. DTAS has moved to a 5 year high after the late November breakout from a 20 week base. It has made a series of hops up the 18 day EMA (13.40) then rallied to 14.50 in early January. If faded back on mostly lower volume and then volume spiked last week. It really jumped Monday as DTAS gapped higher and rallied through the 10 and 18 day EMA. Looking for this to continue as DTAS resumes the breakout move. Money flow is surging higher ahead of price, looking strong. Top marks in fundamentals to go along with the nice pattern.
Volume: 2.34M Avg Volume: 809.581K
BUY POINT: $13.71 Volume=1.2M Target=$16.57 Stop=$12.97
POSITION: DQB FV - June $12.50c (65 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/dtas.html
Continuing Post-Split Plays:
Play Date: 01/21/2006
GPN (Global Payments--$50.89; +0.79; optionable): Payment systems for international clients
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/g/gpn.html
STATUS: Flying plateau. Volume moved up nicely Monday, back above average as GPN probed higher off of the 10 day EMA (50.17). It hit 51.44 on the high but faded. Still looks good in the pattern, ready to make the move. To recap: GPN is working laterally in a tight range above the 10 day EMA, holding its gains to the late December breakout from a 7 week flat base. It has rallied up the 10 day EMA since with a big break higher in January. It got ahead of the 10 day and stalled out waiting for it to catch up. Volume jumped back up Thursday to average; in the Friday market selling volume dropped back well below average as GPN tested and held the 10 day. Strong market leader in fundamentals as well as technical pattern. Strong money flow is leading higher and relative strength has continued its breakout move. Minding its own business as the market sells, setting up for the next rally higher.
Volume: 838.4K Avg Volume: 729.848K
BUY POINT: $51.33 Volume=1.1M Target=$59.95 Stop=$49.68
POSITION: GPN EJ - May $50c (54 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/gpn.html
Play Date: 01/19/2006
VIVO (Meridian Biosciences--$24.32; +0.38; optionable): Diagnostic substances
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/v/vivo.html
After Hours: $24.32
STATUS: Breakout test. Volume jumped again Monday as VIVO gapped higher out of the blocks. It could not drive higher in the weak market action, but it looks very good as it continues to show excellent action in a sloppy market. Looking for a continued break higher Tuesday on continued solid trade. To recap: Volume jumped Thursday as VIVO showed a big hammer doji at the 10 day EMA and then dropped off Friday in the market selling; it is doing its own thing. This follows the early January breakout from a 10 week cup with handle base, and the breakout took VIVO to a new all-time high. Solid pattern and a very good, orderly, tight test on low volume. Now VIVO looks set to follow the strong money flow higher.
Volume: 373.493K Avg Volume: 280.795K
BUY POINT: New: $24.57 (orig. $24.25) Volume=400K Target=$28.95 Stop=$22.88
POSITION: ZUG DX - Apr. $22.50c (64 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/vivo.html
CONTINUING PLAYS
* * SPREADSHEET DOWNLOAD * * *
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http://stocksplits.net/ssr/table.php
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http://www.investmenthouse.com/rescue/rescue.php3
LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 01/07 PreAnn 77.67 +1.58 77.37 92 38M 30M 83.48
Current. Rallied to the 10 day EMA (79.56) intraday but faded
to close below the 18 day MA (78.21). Easily holding
above 75 support but want to see it make the recovery
move this week.
ACI 01/10 PreAnn 85.47 -0.46 84.92 100 969K 2.8M 43.54
Current. Gapped down showing a doji on the 10 day MVA on lower below average volume. May continue to test back to 85.
AGN 01/21 PreAnn 112.86 +0.79 113.39 125 1.2M 2M 111.42
Buy Not Issued.
AGN 10/27 PreAnn 112.86 +0.79 89.25 102 1.2M 1.2M 111.89
BOOM 12/21 FlyPlat 34.52 +0.76 32.23 38.62 449K 2.1M 33.39
Current. Tapped 33.60 at the intraday low and rallied back showing a tight doji on low volume. Meeting some resistance at 35.12
BOOM 11/30 Test 50 34.52 +0.76 24.75 29.75 449K 2.1M 33.39
BRL 12/28 Asc Bse 64.57 -0.28 63.75 72.88 734K 1.1M 64.21
Current. Gapped up at the open, but gave it back holding the 18 day MVA on rising, but average volume. May continue to test back to 64.
CDIS 01/03 Test BO 41.64 -2.69 39.42 45.55 5.7M 2M 42.38
Current. Announced purchase of RES and suffered some selling,
driving it to the 18 day EMA on the low (41.11). Giving
it some time to digest the news & see if it can continue
the strong uptrend.
CELG 01/17 PreSplt 67.5 +0.23 68.55 78.85 2.9M 3.2M 65.48
Buy Not Issued.
CELL 01/17 Cup hdl 20.65 +0.6 20.83 24.94 611K 1.3M 19.63
Current.
CLF 01/14 PreAnn 94.24 +2.61 98.12 110 394K 799K 93.18
Current.
CRDN 12/19 Test 50 51.2 -1.42 46.47 53.95 904K 1.1M 49.45
Current. Gapped up at the open, but gave it back testing the 10 day MVA intraday on above average volume. May test back to 50.56
CRM 01/10 Test BO 39.9 -0.03 38.96 45.95 894K 2.4M 39.65
Current. Pullback on lower below average volume. May test back to 39.15
CTSH 01/07 PreAnn 49.47 -0.49 52.15 59.98 1.2M 2M 50.89
Current.
DAKT 12/17 PreAnn 30.84 -0.45 30 34.45 40K 150K 30.57
Current. Ease back testing the 18 day MVA intraday and rallied back on low volume. May continue to test back to 18 day MVA (30.61)
DBRN 01/21 PreAnn 40.81 +0.76 40.62 47.75 792K 1.1M 38.68
Buy Not Issued.
DRI 12/29 PreAnn 38.99 +0.12 40.35 46.48 752K 1.3M 38.74
Current.
EOG 01/07 PreAnn 84.57 -0.24 79.25 91.45 3.1M 4.5M 82.44
FTO 01/12 PreAnn 43.96 -0.14 42.12 50 1.1M 2M 40.21
Buy Not Issued.
GIL 01/21 PreAnn 45.14 +0.05 45.95 53.85 215K 207K 44.12
Buy Not Hit.
GILD 01/04 PreAnn 56.39 -1.17 56.58 66.95 3.9M 7.2M 56.74
Current. Tested support at 56 and rebounded on below average
volume so letting it make the test. Needs to hold and
show us the bounce this week.
GPN 01/21 FlyPlat 50.89 +0.79 51.33 59.95 838K 1.1M 49.68
Buy Not Issued.
GRP 01/03 Test BO 50.75 +0.88 45.51 52.95 2.1M 1.7M 48.65
Current. Continue to move up the 10 day MVA on lower, but above average volume breaking through some resistance at 50.
HAL 01/17 PreAnn 77.01 +1.51 71.93 82.89 10M 8M 75.15
Current. Another nice move up the 10 day MVA on lower, but strong volume.
HOLX 12/19 DB hdl 43.02 +0.77 39.33 45.85 1.6M 1.2M 40.92
Current. Tapped 41.87 at the intraday low and rallied back as stock continues with the uptrend on very strong volume.
ISRG 12/19 Test 18 129.58 +1.5 116.25 126 736K 1.2M 126
Tested the 18 day MVA intraday and rallied back on lower below average volume. Meeting some resistance at 130.
JCOM 01/11 DB hdl 48.27 -0.44 49.12 56.55 548K 769K 47.04
Current.
JEC 12/10 PreAnn 71.67 +0.75 66.75 75.95 458K 610K 71
KWK 01/19 Cup hdl 46.46 +0.06 46.88 55 716K 1.6M 43.88
Current.
LCAV 12/15 PreAnn 51.61 +0.03 50.28 61.32 350K 1M 50.89
Current.
LUK 11/07 Cup hdl 48.8 +0.72 44.86 52.95 381K 396K 48.04
Trailing Stop. Sold on higher volume early but then reversed and closed just below resistance at 49. Basically shook us out
of the position. The pattern is still pretty solid
after that recovery.
MATR 12/13 PreAnn 40.38 +0.14 41.36 46.98 144K 392K 39.48
Current.
MRVL 01/14 PreAnn 62.98 +0.57 66.04 76.75 4.1M 6.1M 61.55
Current. Showing a tight doji on the 10 day MVA on average volume. Moving up after testing the 18 day MVA.
MRVL 01/03 PreAnn 62.98 +0.57 58.97 66.95 4.1M 4.5M 61.55
Current.
MSCC 01/05 Test BO 29.12 0 29.14 33.95 706K 900K 29.48
Current. Showing a doji on the 18 day MVA on rising, but below average volume. Doji may indicate a change in pattern to the upside.
NBR 01/03 PreSplt 81.46 +1.34 79.26 88.95 3.7M 2.5M 78.48
Current. Tested 18 day MVA and rallied back for a nice move on lower, but not strong volume making a 52 week high.
NFX 01/21 DB hdl 52.03 +0.35 52.65 60.95 861K 1.9M 50.78
Buy Not Hit.
NIHD 01/12 Test 18 48.02 +0.07 47.21 55.95 1.2M 2.1M 46.71
Current. Meeting some resistance at 48
NOV 01/05 PreAnn 74.26 +0.93 69.37 79.45 1.9M 3M 72.42
Current.
PPDI 01/19 PreAnn 62.95 -0.85 64.88 74.65 374K 561K 62.31
Buy Not Hit.
QSII 01/12 Test 50 78.27 -3.16 83.88 95.55 426K 414K 79.75
Buy Not Issued. Stock has not made the move we were looking for so will drop.
RIO 01/19 PreAnn 47.18 +0.72 48.27 55.95 2.3M 2.8M 45.97
Buy Not Issued. Tested the 10 day MVA intraday and rallied back on below average volume. Meeting some resistance at 48.
RJF 01/21 PreAnn 39.11 +0.26 39.48 45.45 389K 427K 38.35
Buy Not Issued.
SLB 01/14 PreAnn 126 +3.75 109.45 125.45 11M 6M 124.24
Current.
SNDK 01/14 Test BO 72.59 +4.2 73.72 89.45 17M 21M 69.65
Current. Nice move off the 18 day MVA on stronger above average volume. Meeting some resistance at 76.95.
SNDK 12/20 DB hdl 72.59 +4.2 60.69 72.38 17M 20M 69.65
Current.
STJ 01/06 Test 50 53 +0.4 52.92 61.45 1.9M 3.1M 52.89
Current. Moving up after testing the 18 day MVA on stronger, but average volume. Meeting some resistance at 54.
SU 01/03 PreAnn 75 +2.33 64.88 73.95 3.9M 3.5M 72.88
Current.
SWN 12/22 Asc Tri 43.42 +0.41 37.92 45.55 2M 8M 41.45
Moving up the 10 day MVA on low volume.
TECH 01/09 PreAnn 57.98 -0.32 59.84 69.95 241K 379K 58.18
Current. Gapped down tapping 56.56 (simple 50 day MVA) intraday and made a fierce rally back holding just under the 18 day MVA on rising, but average volume. Should be ready to rebound from here.
UPL 01/03 PreAnn 69.6 +1.53 58.57 69.95 2.1M 3M 67.11
VIP 01/11 Asc Tri 48.69 +0.2 49.43 56.88 608K 900K 47.65
Current. Tapped 47.56 at the intraday low and rallied back on average volume. Moving up after testing the 18 day MVA.
VIVO 01/19 Test BO 24.32 +0.38 24.25 28.95 373K 400K 22.88
Buy Not Issued. Gapped up at the open on stronger above average volume. If stock continues the move tomorrow with strong volume will be a buy.
WIRE 01/07 PreAnn 24.72 -0.06 26.23 31.31 246K 502K 24.88
Current. Pullback tapping 24 at the intraday low and rallied back showing a doji on average volume. Should be ready to bounce from here.
WRES 01/12 Cup hdl 17.54 +0.3 17.73 21.38 198K 676K 16.57
Current. Bounced off the 10 day MVA on low volume. Meeting some resistance at 17.72.
XTO 01/03 PreAnn 48.35 +0.17 46.08 52.99 3.2M 5.2M 44.62
Buy Not Issued.
Good Investing!
Jon L. Johnson and the Stock Split Report Staff.
All of the foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinion of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants and are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on our related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Partners of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on our web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors.
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us stock market
stock recommendation
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