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stock split, stock recommendation
Begin part 3 of 3
Full report issues Tuesday.
THE PLAYS:
New Post-Split Plays:
Play Date: 02/13/2006
WIRE (Encore Wire--$29.75; +1.49; optionable): Industrial electrical equipment
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/w/wire.html
STATUS: Test breakout. Big gap higher last week on strong earnings took WIRE out of its 13 week ascending base. It reversed intraday and came back to test, showing a nice tight doji Friday on lower volume. Monday it was back up on rising volume once more. Strong 5 to 2 accumulation (5 up price weeks on rising volume to 2 down price weeks on rising volume) shows plenty of buying to launch WIRE higher. Surging money flow. Relative strength breakout. Looking for a further solid move to start the play.
Volume: 602.616K Avg Volume: 346.097K
BUY POINT: $30.32 Volume=485K Target=$36.38 Stop=$28.25
POSITION: EJO HF - Aug. $30c (53 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/wire.html
Continuing potential pre-announcement:
Play Date: 01/30/2006
CHS (Chicos Fas--$44.85; -0.3; optionable): Apparel stores
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/c/chs.html
STATUS: Nice test of the strong volume move last week, showing a nice tight doji Monday over the 10 day EMA (44.38) as the market remained weak. Showing excellent strength in a weak market, ready to make a move out of its 12 week base and an all-time high. Solid.
Volume: 1.068M Avg Volume: 1.863M
BUY POINT: $45.21 Volume=2.9M Target=$53.32 Stop=$43.98
POSITION: CHS EI - May $45c (50 delta) &/or Stock
http://www.investmenthouse.com/cs/chs.html
CONTINUING PLAYS
* * SPREADSHEET DOWNLOAD * * *
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http://www.investmenthouse.com/rescue/rescue.php3
LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMX 02/11 Asc Bse 32.55 -1.06 34.38 39.95 3.9M 5.6M 32.95
Buy Not Hit. The stock has not made the move we were looking for so will drop.
ANF 02/08 Cup hdl 68.23 -0.53 70.65 81.95 1.6M 3.4M 67.45
Buy Not Hit. Pullback holding the 10 day MVA on lower below average volume. Still forming the handle.
ATW 01/26 PreAnn 90.36 -1.38 98.11 110.35 253K 546K 97.48
Current.
BIO 01/28 PreAnn 65.31 -1.19 68.48 78.85 101K 115K 65.88
Buy Not Hit.
CELG 01/17 PreSplt 69.13 -0.53 68.55 78.85 1M 3.2M 68.45
CELL 01/17 Cup hdl 28.08 +2.78 20.83 24.94 3.6M 1.3M 26.55
Current.
CHRW 01/31 DB hdl 41.62 -0.34 42.03 49.98 549K 1.4M 39.95
Current. Pullback on low volume. May continue to fill the gap. May test back to 10 day MVA (40.88)
CHS 01/30 Flat 44.85 -0.3 45.21 53.32 1.1M 2.9M 43.98
Buy Not Issued. Gapped down showing a doji on lower below average volume. Still in the pattern.
CNI 02/07 PreSplt 88.68 -1.44 90.45 101.95 804K 800K 90.22
Current. Pullback on lower, but above average volume. May continue to test back to 18 day MVA (87.50)
COH 02/11 DB hdl 35.33 -0.14 36.88 42.95 2.6M 4.1M 35.15
Buy Not Hit.
CTSH 01/07 PreAnn 54.55 -0.7 52.15 59.98 1.5M 2M 53.95
Current.
DBRN 02/07 PreAnn 42.7 -1.13 45.88 52.95 390K 1.1M 43.88
Buy Not Hit.
DBRN 01/21 PreAnn 42.7 -1.13 42.72 49.55 390K 1.1M 43.88
Trailing Stop. Can sell some $45 or even $40 strike call options against stock positions, let it make the test, & when holds,
buy them back & look at more upside positions.
DIOD 01/26 Test 18 36.71 -0.54 35.65 41.85 189K 518K 35
Current.
DRI 12/29 PreAnn 41.47 -0.51 40.35 46.48 992K 1.3M 40.89
Current.
DTAS 01/23 Test 50 13.47 -0.12 13.91 16.77 439K 1.2M 12.82
Current. Pullback on below average volume. Moving up after testing the 50 day MVA.
DVA 01/24 PreAnn 55.48 +0.21 56.21 64.75 378K 816K 55.98
Current.
ESRX 01/27 Flat 91.63 -0.28 92.24 103.45 1M 3.3M 88.65
Current.
FFIV 02/04 Cup hdl 60.5 -0.94 62.65 76.95 333K 1.7M 58.77
Buy Not Issued. The stock has not made the move we were looking for so will drop.
FTO 01/12 PreAnn 41.48 -0.96 46.18 54.55 1M 2M 43.91
Current.
GIL 01/21 PreAnn 48.32 -1.89 45.95 53.85 192K 207K 49.22
GME 02/11 Test BO 40.19 -0.29 41.11 48.95 481K 2M 39.89
Buy Not Hit. Pullback holding the 18 day MVA on low volume. Still in the pattern. Should be ready to rebound from here.
GVA 01/28 PreAnn 42.53 +0.18 40.85 48.88 559K 337K 39.22
Buy Not Issued.
HOLX 12/19 DB hdl 49.39 -0.29 39.33 45.85 361K 1.2M 49.89
Current. Pullback testing the 18 day MVA intraday and rallied back on low volume. Still in good shape.
HRS 02/02 Flat 47.7 -0.11 47.91 55.35 522K 900K 46.21
Current.
IMGC 02/02 PreSplt 44.67 +0.34 42.37 49.95 150K 450K 42.88
Current. Continue with the uptrend on low volume.
ITG 02/09 PreAnn 44.55 -0.02 45.25 53.95 376K 700K 43.15
Buy Not Hit.
JEC 12/10 PreAnn 80.94 -1.68 66.75 75.95 514K 610K 80.55
JOSB 02/09 PreSplt 52.26 -0.52 53.55 61.75 264K 695K 51.85
Buy Not Hit.
LM 01/26 PreAnn 128.49 -2.89 132.95 149.95 592K 1.4M 129.21
Buy Not Issued.
LUFK 02/04 PreAnn 52.65 -3.01 66.57 79.38 249K 359K 64.65
Exited.
MATR 12/13 PreAnn 42.86 +0.46 41.36 46.98 89K 392K 41.25
Current.
MRVL 02/01 PreAnn 63.33 -3.82 67.28 78 7.9M 6.1M 66.38
Exited. As noted in alert, can sell some call options against
stock position & repurchase when completes pullback.
MRVL 01/14 PreAnn 63.33 -3.82 66.04 76.75 7.9M 6.1M 68.22
Exited.
MRVL 01/03 PreAnn 63.33 -3.82 58.97 66.95 7.9M 4.5M 68.22
Trailing Stop.
NIHD 01/12 Test 18 45.95 -1.45 47.21 55.95 875K 2.1M 48.44
Exited.
NVDA 02/06 Test 18 44.05 +0.15 45.78 53.95 2.3M 6.1M 43.65
Buy Not Hit.
PNRA 02/04 PreAnn 72.58 -0.24 71.72 82.55 504K 801K 68.55
Buy Not Issued. Gapped down showing a doji on average volume. Needs to continue to pullback.
POOL 02/11 Asc Bse 39.57 -0.16 40.12 48 134K 285K 38.77
Buy Not Hit.
PPDI 01/19 PreAnn 67.02 +0.72 64.88 74.65 436K 561K 67.35
QLGC 02/07 PreSplt 40.6 -0.44 40.25 46.35 1.1M 2.2M 38.89
Buy Not Issued. Ease back on lower below average volume. May continue to test back to 10 day MVA. Volume not there to enter the play. If stock makes its breakaway move on strong volume will still be a buy.
RARE 02/09 PreAnn 31.8 -0.76 32.65 37.65 149K 401K 31.45
Buy Not Issued.
RJF 01/21 PreAnn 43.39 -0.16 40.15 45.57 151K 427K 42.55
Current.
SNDK 01/14 Test BO 59.33 -1.91 73.72 89.45 7.1M 21M 71.55
Current. Continue to pullback on low volume meeting some support here. Looking for a rebound from here. Stock is just making a low volume Pullback.
SNDK 12/20 DB hdl 59.33 -1.91 60.69 72.38 7.1M 20M 71.55
Current.
STT 01/25 Asc Bse 59.25 -0.87 61.11 70.32 1.1M 1.6M 58.48
Current. Pullback below the 18 day MVA on lower below average volume. May continue to test back to support at 58.95
TKC 01/28 Test BO 16.96 -0.39 16.89 20.98 256K 630K 16.11
Buy Not Issued.
TRID 02/06 Test 18 24.41 -0.44 26.22 31.72 605K 2.5M 24.22
Current. Continue to test the breakout. Pullback holding the 18 day MVA on low volume. Should be ready to bound from here.
TRID 01/24 Test BO 24.41 -0.44 22.88 27 605K 2.2M 24.25
VIVO 01/19 Test BO 21.94 -0.64 25.74 30.35 547K 400K 24.02
Exited.
VSEA 02/02 PreSplt 51.11 -1.15 52.75 59.65 453K 1.4M 50.39
Buy Not Issued. Ease back on low volume. May continue to test the 18 day MVA (50.48)
WFT 01/25 Test BO 41.78 +0.23 43.25 49.95 3.2M 5.5M 43.39
Current. Moving up after testing the breakout on average volume. Needs to break through the 18 day MVA (42.48)
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
BAC 02/11 Put 43.7 -0.22 43.54 41.72 8.3M 14M 44.21
Entered today. Gapped down showing a tight doji on low volume. May bounce up to the 10 day MVA (43.83), before turning over.
FOXH 02/09 Put 28.02 +0.07 27.85 24.75 139K 765K 28.55
Buy Not Issued. Making a lateral move along the 10 day MVA on low volume.
SPY 02/11 Put 126.41 -0.23 126.22 124.45 48M 65M 126.97
Buy Not Issued. Moving down holding the 50 day MVA on lower below average volume. Needs to break through 50 day MVA here.
Good Investing!
Jon L. Johnson and the Stock Split Report Staff.
All of the foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinion of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants and are not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on our related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolio of Partners of Online Investment Services, LP or its paid consultants may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on our web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors.
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stock split
stock recommendation
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