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us stock market, trend trading stock
Begin part 2 of 3
New plays and full write-ups contained in part 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 10/12 DB hdl 91.66 -0.14 75.55 88.00 31M 32M 88.65
AAPL 08/21 Cup hdl 91.66 -0.14 68.12 78.00 31M 40M 88.65
Current. Struggled below 93 again, closing flat as it works laterally the past week. Note volume rallied the past 4 sessions as it caps strong Nov run. Indicates money is leaving & would need a breakout to change near term character. If weakens, protect options.
ADS 11/27 Test 18 64.71 +1.06 63.64 72.95 1.3M 950K 62.72
Current.
ADS 10/26 Test BO 64.71 +1.06 61.17 69.95 1.3M 1.3M 62.42
Current. Another nice move on an excellent volume surge. Hit
a new high intraday but could not hold it in that very
late afternoon market fade. Still trending higher up
the 10 & 18 day EMA.
AEOS 11/11 FlyPlat 45.18 -1.77 48.23 55.65 7.5M 3.2M 46.98
Current. Has the eagle landed? Had a tough session on the retail
sales report but managed a close at the 50 day EMA.
This is where the rubber meets the road on this one.
AKAM 11/11 DB hdl 48.87 +0.27 50.81 60.95 2.7M 7.5M 48.04
Current. Holding the move off the 50 day MA as it makes higher lows in its 8 week ascending base. Volume has backed off this week, however, so it is likely not going to make a significant break just yet without another modest pullback.
AKAM 10/21 Test 50 48.87 +0.27 47.20 55.95 2.7M 7M 48.04
Current.
AMT 11/29 Asc Bse 37.87 -0.36 38.58 43.95 5.9M 3.4M 36.95
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher but nothing backing the move even though
volume was very nice. It was up and down to the 18
day EMA, then back up. Needs to show us that towering
breakaway move.
AMX 11/29 Asc Bse 44.47 -0.09 44.89 53.95 4.3M 4M 42.95
Buy Not Hit. Solid session, showing a doji that tapped the 18 day
EMA on the lwo and rebounded. Nicely set up to move higher.
ATVI 11/04 PreAnn 17.00 +0.42 16.40 19.65 6.3M 5M 16.35
Current. Nice break higher on above average volume after the
Tues & Wed test of that support. Excellent action.
BBY 11/16 Rev HS 54.97 -0.18 55.63 63.95 4.3M 5M 54.05
Current. Tapped the 50 day EMA on the low and then rebounded
sharply to close basically flat. Still getting its
feet back under it for a run at the April and October
high at 58.
BIDU 11/07 Asc Bse 115.78 +3.80 91.15 101.95 3M 2M 111.45
Current. We said it was volatile and thus we gave it some rope
on this last test. It bounced off the 18 day MA Monday
and is surging back up every since.
BRCM 11/18 Test 20 32.83 -0.05 35.42 41.95 19M 20M 34.15
Current. Slipped a bit more but held support at 32.50 as volume moved to average. It is bunching up at this level with buyers holding it up at support. Starting to look like a bonce back up & we will still look at more positions as it makes the move higher.
BRCM 09/25 Test 50 32.83 -0.05 30.96 35.68 19M 17M 35.55
Current.
CBG 11/06 Test BO 32.93 +0.27 29.65 35.95 2.6M 2.4M 31.57
Current. Gapped higher but not a strong move as volume faded
below avg. Still in a solid uptrend and holding closes
above the 10 day MA.
CELG 11/27 Test 18 55.73 -0.24 55.57 63.95 3.8M 4.4M 53.95
Current. Took the day off after the solid price bounce Wednesday.
Still looking solid for more upside as more big money
turns toward biotech and healthcare in general.
CERN 11/02 Rev HS 48.02 +0.38 49.50 56.95 420K 600K 47.95
Current. Nice hold at the 50 day EMA the pat three sessions,
moving higher off this support. Good test and now needs
to show the move higher. Another leader in the right
sector to do well as the market struggles a bit.
CMTL 11/07 Cup hdl 35.52 -0.36 37.38 44.95 176K 275K 35.95
Current. Tapped the 50 day EMA on the low again as it did last
Friday, trying to make a higher low here once more.
Needs to make the move as the pattern is getting a
bit toppy looking.
COH 09/25 Test BO 43.21 +0.30 35.05 40.48 3.7M 5M 41.24
Current. Nice move up the 10 day EMA continues as volume rallied
to average as it made the move. Solid trend higher
up this near support, moving to a new all-time high.
CRM 11/06 Cup hdl 39.00 -0.15 42.40 49.95 1.7M 3M 41.95
Current. Still struggling below the 50 day EMA. This is where
it has to make its move. Again, a move to 42 that can
not break thru is a point where we likely have to close
it out.
CTRP 11/18 Test BO 55.52 +0.54 56.72 67.95 129K 600K 54.95
Buy Not Issued.
CTRP 10/28 Test 50 55.52 +0.54 51.00 61.45 129K 577K 57.32
Current. Another volatile Chinese stock, but rebounding a bit
more Thurs though volume remained very low. Nice hold
and still looking at a continuation of the early November
run.
CTSH 11/02 Test 50 81.56 +1.40 76.60 87.95 1.5M 2M 79.32
Current. Broke to a new all-time high. No complaints.
DRQ 11/29 Rev HS 42.33 +0.23 42.52 50.88 840K 925K 30.95
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but traded up and down all session.
It couldn't make up its mind so we made ours up not
to move in until Dril can startdrilling higher.
FFIV 10/13 DB hdl 74.81 -0.09 58.00 69.95 777K 1.5M 71.88
Current. Clsoed basically flat after trading up and down on
lower volume. Still in its nice trend up the 10 day EMA.
FMD 11/28 PreSplt 74.84 +0.54 74.68 85.85 1.1M 1M 72.11
Current. What was the first marblehead? What is a first marblehead?
Modest gain on rising, above avg volume, but not enough
to really get things moving.
GLDN 11/10 Test BO 40.62 -1.12 39.30 46.32 216K 245K 39.04
Current. Not such a golden move, but volume was lower as GLDN
gave back some of the strong volume Wed move. Still
in a nice trend higher.
GME 10/21 Test BO 56.05 +0.85 53.00 60.45 1.5M 1.7M 53.95
Current. Nice break off the 10 day EMA on rising, above avg
volume that is continuing the nice trend higher.
HET 11/17 Cup hdl 78.70 -0.22 78.15 87.32 2.8M 3M 77.11
Current. Doji on very low volume after the strong Monday break
higher. Good rest to regroup and continue on with the
breakout. Let it ride, etc.
ICE 10/19 Test 18 98.25 +1.15 83.64 94.95 2.8M 2.4M 97.45
Current. Recovered some of the lost ground from Wednesday, but
after moving up thru the 10 day MA it did all it could
to hold that levl on the close. Still more of a normal
pullback in a continuing uptrend at this juncture.
JWN 11/28 Test BO 49.02 -1.39 49.94 58.95 7.4M 3M 48.38
Current. Volume surged as JWN gapped lower on the same store
sales disappointed. It held the 19 day EMA on the low,
however, and rebounded to recoup some of the loss.
Will see if it can shake it off and continue the move.
LH 10/21 Test 50 70.80 +0.81 68.80 78.75 943K 1.5M 69.45
Current. Finally a break above 70. Volume did not run higher
but LH tends to move on lower volume so we will let
it continue higher.
LOGI 11/28 Test 18 29.56 +0.06 28.82 34.38 309K 445K 28.38
Current. Gapped lower but rebounded to hold flat and maintain
the solid Wed move higher up the 10 day EMA.
LRCX 11/18 Test BO 52.60 -0.06 54.55 62.95 4.9M 4.8M 54.21
Current. Trading basically flat, holding support at 32 as volume rises further above average. That can indicate it is gaining some buyers here, but it is going to have to show the move back up & counteract a couple of sessions of distribution.
LRCX 10/21 Test BO 52.60 -0.06 50.00 57.98 4.9M 4M 54.78
Current.
LVS 10/28 Cup hdl 91.56 -1.45 76.60 88.95 1.2M 3.1M 89.95
Current. Continues working laterally above the 10 day EMA on
lower volume as it consolidates its strong early November
move. Refusing to give up the gains as it sets up for
the next move.
MA 11/11 Test BO 101.75 +2.55 94.25 104.95 4.1M 3M 100.75
Current. Tested lower once more near the 18 day EMA and then
rebounded to post a nice gain. Good test, good recovery,
ready to charge ahead once more into the holiday season.
MON 11/21 DB hdl 48.07 +0.75 48.44 55.55 3.8M 5.4M 46.85
Current. Surged to 49 on the high as volume rose near average,
but then gave just over half the move back. Still set
up well to give is a good run.
MTW 11/02 Test BO 60.24 +0.32 55.50 66.48 819K 1.3M 56.45
Current. Modest move on lower average volume as MTW continues
its move up the 10 day EMA after the nice breakout.
NBL 11/04 Cup hdl 53.50 +0.39 50.55 57.85 1.4M 1.7M 51.95
Current. Gapped higher, adding a bit more to the strong Tues
and Wed moves. At a new high; noble move, but needs
to show us more.
NVEC 11/11 Test BO 39.45 -0.53 42.75 51.95 390K 1.1M 40.95
Current. Trying to hang on near support at 40ish. Key point
for it to hold as it has set up a short double top
from late October highs and the high hit last week.
NVLS 11/18 Test BO 31.22 -0.33 31.80 37.98 5.7M 3.9M 31.54
Current. Holding the 18 day EMA as volume jumps above average.
Good position to bounce. Now it needs to show us the move.
OII 11/27 Cup hdl 43.61 +0.64 42.32 50.94 822K 1.7M 39.98
Buy Not Issued. Not much volume as it continues higher. Perhaps a test
will set up a higher volume move.
QLGC 11/28 Test BO 22.25 +0.03 22.45 26.95 2.1M 2.7M 21.44
Buy Not Issued.
QLGC 10/30 Test BO 22.25 +0.03 20.65 24.65 2.1M 3M 21.78
Current. Holding up at the 10 day EMA, putting in a higher low after bouncing off the 18 day EMA Tuesday. Set up well and we will wait and see if it can deliver.
SAY 11/13 Cup hdl 23.35 -0.02 23.11 27.72 636K 1.1M 22.68
Current. Gapped higher but no volume and faded back to flat
on the close. Very volatile the past week, and it is
important it holds near 23 and continues the breakout move.
SINA 11/21 Test BO 28.24 -0.02 28.89 33.88 648K 950K 27.45
Buy Not Issued. Very quiet action at the 18 day EMA as SINA quietly
continues setting up for its breakout.
SMSC 11/18 Test BO 31.87 -0.07 32.63 37.95 237K 450K 31.35
Current.
SMSC 10/03 Cup hdl 31.87 -0.07 29.21 34.75 237K 504K 31.89
Current. Still holding the 18 day EMA and support near 32. Volume
moved up toward average, and we are looking for that
to send it higher once more. Nice pattern, just waiting
for it to really deliver a breakaway move.
SMSC 09/16 Cup hdl 31.87 -0.07 30.05 34.75 237K 504K 31.89
Current.
SUPX 11/18 Asc Bse 46.92 +0.59 46.65 54.85 323K 445K 45.95
Current. Gapped higher on rising, above avg volume. Tested deeply
intraday but then rebounded for the gain. Good recovery
from the 18 day EMA test.
THQI 11/29 Test 50 32.55 +0.26 32.43 38.65 961K 2M 30.98
Current. Continued the move higher though volume fell well below
average following that strong Wednesday move.
UARM 11/14 Test 50 46.92 +0.74 46.69 53.95 592K 1.3M 46.48
Current. Held support at 46 and bounced back from the Wed selling
but no volume. Still trying to voercome that Tuesday
effective downgrade and thus far doing a decent job.
VSEA 11/11 Test 50 39.73 +0.23 39.55 44.88 816K 1.2M 39.95
Current. Trying to hang on near 40 and continue the move higher.
XTO 11/28 Rev HS 50.60 +0.31 49.44 58.95 5M 6M 48.65
Current. Gapped higher, rallied to 51.24 before stalling & fading for to a modest gain. Showed a tombstone doji on the close, indicating something of a pullback to rest after the move. Not getting too bent up over this given the strength on the breakout move.
End part 2 of 3
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us stock market
trend trading stock
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