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trend trading stock, trading system
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri=Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.) Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon Market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor Market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 10/12 DB hdl 91.32 -0.34 75.55 88.00 28M 32M 88.65
AAPL 08/21 Cup hdl 91.32 -0.34 68.12 78.00 28M 40M 88.65
Current. Tapped the 10 day EMA on the low and rebounded late with the rest of the market. Volume was lower but above average, capping a week of higher volume as it struggled to get over 93. Still some distribution here that we have to watch.
AKAM 11/11 DB hdl 47.71 -1.16 50.81 60.95 4.1M 7.5M 48.04
Current.
AKAM 10/21 Test 50 47.71 -1.16 47.20 55.95 4.1M 7M 48.04
Current. Faded to the 50 day EMA on rising but still below avg
volume. Managed to hold that support so we let it alone
for the week ahead.
ALXN 11/30 Test BO 42.93 -0.29 43.75 51.95 455K 800K 42.15
Buy Not Hit. Nice low volume as ALXN continued the test, easily
holding above the 18 day EMA. Looks solid.
AMT 11/29 Asc Bse 37.65 -0.22 38.58 43.95 2.1M 3.4M 36.95
Buy Not Hit. Slipped back with the market but made a good late recovery
to hold the 10 day EMA on the close on very low, below
avg trade.
ANAD 11/13 Cup hdl 9.48 -0.15 9.30 11.78 689K 1.4M 9.18
Current. Gapped higher to continue its climb up the 10 day EMA
but volume gapped lower and it did not have enough
to push it. Still nicely trending higher up the 10
day after teh breakout.
AOB 10/24 FlyPlat 10.54 +0.09 7.29 8.94 1.3M 700K 9.94
Current. Another move higher with a gap on the open, but it
could not hold much of the move into the close. No
complaints as AOB is in solid shape and a top leader.
ATPG 11/09 DB hdl 45.04 -0.21 45.44 53.88 655K 300K 44.88
Exited. Volume jumped as ATPG sold thru the 18 day EMA through
the morning. May have had some premature evacuation,
however, as it rebounded to hold the 18 day EMA on
the close.
AXTI 11/09 FlyPlat 5.05 -0.13 5.45 6.98 340K 171K 5.11
Current. Gapped lower, fell to the 50 day EMA but then rebounded
on strong trade as it announced a 1.4M share offering.
Given the reason for the drop and the rebound, we let
it ride into next week.
BOBJ 11/07 Cup hdl 38.65 -0.17 38.00 45.65 1.5M 3M 37.68
Current. All things considered, a good move as BOBJ held the
10 day EMA on the close on low volume, continuing its
lateral move.
BRCM 11/18 Test 20 32.34 -0.49 35.42 41.95 17M 20M 34.15
Exited.
BRCM 09/25 Test 50 32.34 -0.49 30.96 35.68 17M 17M 35.55
Trailing Stop. It will likely rebound at some point this week but
though we would pick it up off a further test of the
50 day EMA.
CBG 11/06 Test BO 32.81 -0.12 29.65 35.95 2.6M 2.4M 31.57
Current. Tapped the 10 day EMA on the low and rebounded to close
flat and on below avg trade. Still in the solid trend
up the 10 day MA.
CELG 11/27 Test 18 56.27 +0.54 55.57 63.95 3.5M 4.4M 53.95
Current. Modest gain on lower below average trade, but a good
week as CELG founde th e18 day EMA, held, and started
back up. Expecting a lot more from it as relative strength
started breaking out again on Friday.
COH 10/21 Cup hdl 42.63 -0.58 36.11 41.95 3.3M 4.5M 41.24
Current. Finished Friday a bit lower but up on the week, still
moving higher in its trend up the 10 day EMA.
CRM 11/06 Cup hdl 38.35 -0.65 42.40 49.95 1.3M 3M 41.95
Current. Watched htis one all day as it was trading below the 50 day EMA but above support at 38. Toppy pattern, but likely to bounce form here and at least test 40 to 41. If it stalls at that level & starts to roll over, time to get out of Dodge.
CRZO 11/28 Rev HS 33.39 +0.16 32.45 38.85 413K 500K 31.95
Current. A bit wild, tapping the 10 day EMA intraday as oil
was up, then down, then back up. Good recovery for
a modest gain by the close.
CTRP 11/18 Test BO 53.66 -1.86 56.72 67.95 221K 600K 54.95
Buy Not Issued.
DIGE 11/04 Cup hdl 51.06 +0.02 49.08 56.75 2.8M 600K 49.55
Current. Great break higher from its lateral range on Wednesday
and then stalled to end the week. Volume exploded Friday
as it was added to the SP600 small cap index. Well
all right then. Still a very nice trend up the 18 day EMA.
DRQ 11/29 Rev HS 43.54 +1.21 43.00 50.98 1M 925K 41.22
Entered today. Excellent surge higher on rising, above avg volume.
Nice breakout.
EMC 11/21 DB hdl 13.18 +0.07 13.17 15.85 32M 30M 12.65
Current. Gapped higher but traded up and down, managing to hold
a small gain into the close. Nice break higher this
week on some good volume.
FTEK 11/13 Test BO 22.78 -1.60 23.85 28.98 666K 350K 22.48
Current. Good move Wednesday and Thurs, then a gap lower Friday
to the 18 day EMA on strong volume. Downgraded by
GS but held its range. Was jsut getting its feet under
it and now it has to hit restart.
GME 10/21 Test BO 55.58 -0.47 53.00 60.45 1.5M 1.7M 53.95
Current. Faded modestly Friday but held the 10 day EMA on the
low and thus its nice trend higher.
GME 10/11 Cup hdl 55.58 -0.47 49.84 58.95 1.5M 2.1M 53.95
Current.
HET 11/17 Cup hdl 78.85 +0.15 78.15 87.32 1.7M 3M 77.11
Current. Ended the week moving laterally after teh strong Tuesday
breakout.
HOC 10/10 Dbl btm 54.40 +0.39 46.82 54.50 586K 1.2M 52.11
Current. Continued higher with a modest move on very low volume.
Strong breakout Wednesday and drifting higher since.
IAAC 11/27 Test BO 35.75 +0.65 34.00 39.65 152K 425K 33.31
Current.
IAAC 11/14 Asc Bse 35.75 +0.65 30.69 36.85 152K 425K 36.85
Current. Strong bounce off the 10 day EMA early in the week
and then sliding out sideways to close it out. Still
a solid trend higher.
ICE 10/18 Test 18 95.08 -3.17 83.64 94.95 2.6M 2.4M 97.45
Current. Below avg volume as ICE hands on at the 18 day EMA,
testing the strong break higher midweek.
IM 10/25 DB hdl 20.29 -0.09 20.84 24.95 846K 1.5M 20.44
Current. Tapped the 50 day SMA on the low and rebounded. Will
need to make the bounce this week.
INAP 11/15 Asc Bse 19.60 +0.15 18.25 21.98 369K 827K 18.62
Current. Solid move up early in the week on strong volume and
then finished things out with a sideways move, keeping
its excellent uptrend intact.
ININ 11/14 Test BO 16.79 -0.73 18.68 22.88 224K 300K 17.54
Current. Up and down to end the week but on lower trade and
holding above the 50 day EMA. Want to see the move
higher this week ore we close it out.
ISE 11/18 Test 50 52.36 -0.82 53.05 62.95 913K 1M 52.95
Current. Closed the week out with a modest loss that left it
easily above the 19 day EMA and still ready to move higher.
JWN 11/28 Test BO 47.81 -1.21 49.94 58.95 3.6M 3M 48.38
Current. Toughs session, gapping below the 18 day EMA but recovering
off the intraday low. Will give it a bit of time this
week to rebound back through 48 with a bit of authority.
LQDT 11/14 Test BO 17.90 -0.21 19.03 22.86 290K 200K 19.94
Current. Sold off down to the 50 day EMA but then rebounded
to post a modst lost. Volume jumped as it tested adn
rebounded. Needs to break through the 19 level on this
move to break up a potentially toppish pattern.
LRCX 11/18 Test BO 51.59 -1.01 54.55 62.95 4.7M 4.8M 54.21
Current. Fell down close to the 50 day EMA on the low but rebounded
nicely. Needs to keep the rebound going into this week.
A leader that got pushed around a bit, but on a rebound
on strong volume we will look at even more positions.
LRCX 10/18 Test BO 51.59 -1.01 49.75 57.45 4.7M 5.7M 54.78
Current.
LSI 11/28 Cup hdl 10.56 -0.10 10.96 13.22 5.7M 7.7M 10.44
Buy Not Hit. Tapped the 18 day EMA on the low and rebounded to close
flat. Good shakeout and still looking for the breakout
from this solid pattern that held up very well in a
weaker tech market to end last week.
LVLT 11/30 Test 50 5.45 +0.11 5.55 7.74 33M 38M 5.17
Buy Not Hit. Continued the Thursday move but stalled out just below
the buy point. Still set to make the break higher.
MA 11/11 Test BO 101.17 -0.58 94.25 104.95 3.5M 3M 100.75
Current. Finished the week testing the 10 day EMA on the low
and rebounding to recover some losses. Still holding
the gains and ready to move.
MA 10/28 Flat 101.17 -0.58 73.14 87.75 3.5M 2.3M 100.75
Current.
NDAQ 11/28 Test BO 37.32 -2.83 40.95 48.95 8.7M 3M 38.82
Buy Not Hit. Downgraded and gapped lower. Tapped the 50 day EMA
on the low and recovered some ground, but the nice,
easy fade is no longer. Will see if it can recover;
a strong stock should rebound from a downgrade.
NUVA 12/01 Test 50 24.03 +1.03 23.85 28.45 679K 375K 22.95
Entered today. Bonus. Kept watching NUVA and it surged higher Friday on a second day of strong volume as it came off a test of the 50 day MA. Nice test of the October breakout from its 8 month base. Surging higher off the breakout test.
NUVO 11/20 DB hdl 19.17 -0.03 19.75 23.98 460K 500K 18.89
Buy Not Hit. Reached down to the 90 day MA on the low and rebounded
to flat on the session. Maybe this has finally shaken
out the sellers and is ready fo rthe breakout.
NVEC 11/11 Test BO 38.70 -0.75 42.75 51.95 447K 1.1M 40.95
Current. Low volume fade to the 50 day EMA to end the week.
Not necessarily a great move but looking to pick up
some more positions as NVEC jumps off the 50 day MA
this week.
NVEC 10/14 Test 50 38.70 -0.75 33.75 40.00 447K 580K 42.45
Current.
NYX 11/02 Cup hdl 96.60 -3.50 77.10 87.95 5.4M 2.4M 105.65
Current. Struggled again, fading back to the 18 day EMA, giving
up the Thursday rebound. Still set to continue higher.
OMCL 11/21 Test 50 18.82 +0.02 19.69 23.65 236K 325K 18.31
Buy Not Hit. Holding at the 18 day EMA, trying to make a break off
the 50 day EMA.
PFWD 11/08 Test BO 14.75 -0.20 15.03 17.94 187K 252K 14.89
Current. Finished the week still holding the 18 day MA in its test.
RNWK 10/05 Asc Tri 11.06 -0.45 11.67 13.98 2.5M 2.2M 11.11
Exited.
SAY 11/13 Cup hdl 23.20 -0.15 23.11 27.72 913K 1.1M 22.68
Current. Faded a bit to end the week, still holding the 10 day
EMA on the close. Got a bit volatile the past week
but helds its trend higher.
SINA 11/21 Test BO 28.12 -0.12 28.89 33.88 838K 950K 27.45
Buy Not Issued. Another doji at the 18 day EMA as volume moved up to
average. Getting ripe for the break higher.
SKX 11/30 FlyPlat 29.31 -0.19 29.75 35.45 502K 450K 27.95
Buy Not Issued. Tried to extned the Thursday move but didn't have the push.
SMSC 11/18 Test BO 31.00 -0.87 32.63 37.95 158K 450K 31.35
Current.
SMSC 10/03 Cup hdl 31.00 -0.87 29.21 34.75 158K 504K 31.89
Current. Tanked thru the 18 day EMA, tapping the 50 day EMA
on the low. Volume was very low and it managed a bounce
off the 50 day intraday. As it held the 50 day EMA
we it ride into next week.
STEC 11/15 Test 50 8.78 -0.22 9.15 10.98 392K 650K 8.51
Current. Fell to the 50 day SMA on very low volume. Maye this
shakeout will finally give it the upside it needs to
make the break higher.
THQI 11/29 Test 50 32.60 +0.05 32.43 38.65 1.4M 2M 31.11
Current. Good week, closing it out with a modest gain and a
new all-time high.
VCLK 11/01 Rev HS 24.01 -0.86 19.86 23.98 2.7M 2.4M 23.88
Current. Faded on lower, avg trade after that strong move on
the week. Solid uptrend remains in place.
VPHM 11/29 Flat 15.08 -0.33 15.16 20.22 2.5M 1.5M 14.21
Current. Solid week that saw a breakout and run higher. Finished
the week with just a modest giveback. Excellent move.
End part 2 of 3
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