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trend trading stock, trading system
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 10/12 DB hdl 91.32 -0.34 75.55 88.00 28M 32M 88.65
AAPL 08/21 Cup hdl 91.32 -0.34 68.12 78.00 28M 40M 88.65
Current. Tapped the 10 day EMA on the low and rebounded late with the rest of the market. Volume was lower but above average, capping a week of higher volume as it struggled to get over 93. Still some distribution here that we have to watch.
ADS 11/27 Test 18 64.95 +0.24 63.64 72.95 614K 950K 63.11
Current.
ADS 10/26 Test BO 64.95 +0.24 61.17 69.95 614K 1.3M 63.11
Current. Gapped higher and managed a positive close, but not
before tapping down to the 10 day EMA on the low. Still
a solid rise higher.
AEOS 11/11 FlyPlat 45.88 +0.70 48.23 55.65 4.4M 3.2M 46.98
Current. Managed to find some footing at the 50 day EMA (45.27)
and rebounded into the close. Volume was lower but
still above avg. Held the 50 day support so will see
if it can bounce into the split (12-19).
AKAM 11/11 DB hdl 47.71 -1.16 50.81 60.95 4.1M 7.5M 48.04
Current.
AKAM 10/21 Test 50 47.71 -1.16 47.20 55.95 4.1M 7M 48.04
Current. Faded to the 50 day EMA on rising but still below avg
volume. Managed to hold that support so we let it alone
for the week ahead.
AMAG 11/30 Test BO 59.10 +3.38 56.74 67.85 644K 350K 54.55
Entered today. Excellent break higher off the 10 day EMA on rising,
above average volume. Excellent.
AMT 11/29 Asc Bse 37.65 -0.22 38.58 43.95 2.1M 3.4M 36.95
Buy Not Hit. Slipped back with the market but made a good late recovery
to hold the 10 day EMA on the close on very low, below
avg trade.
AMX 11/29 Asc Bse 43.88 -0.59 44.89 53.95 3.9M 4M 42.95
Buy Not Hit. Sold a bit, but again held the 18 day EMA on the close
and on lower, average volume. Remains set up well for
the new breakout.
ATVI 11/04 PreAnn 17.14 +0.14 16.40 19.65 3.8M 5M 16.35
Current. Lower below avg volume, but continued the Thursday
move that saw ATVI jump off the 18 day EMA on strong
volume.
BBY 11/16 Rev HS 53.70 -1.27 55.63 63.95 6M 5M 54.05
Current. Not the best day for Best Buy as it sold back close to the 200 day MA intraday on some above avg volume. It checked up there and rebounded to close near the 50 day MA so let it alone given the ISM news and the rebound to the 50 day.
BIDU 11/07 Asc Bse 111.20 -4.58 91.15 101.95 3.3M 2M 111.45
Current. Faded back to the 10 day EMA on rising, above avg volume.
Given its volatility & the market circumstances we
left it for next week.
BRCM 11/18 Test 20 32.34 -0.49 35.42 41.95 17M 20M 34.15
Exited.
BRCM 09/25 Test 50 32.34 -0.49 30.96 35.68 17M 17M 35.55
Trailing Stop. It will likely rebound at some point this week but
though we would pick it up off a further test of the
50 day EMA.
CBG 11/06 Test BO 32.81 -0.12 29.65 35.95 2.6M 2.4M 31.57
Current. Tapped the 10 day EMA on the low and rebounded to close
flat and on below avg trade. Still in the solid trend
up the 10 day MA.
CELG 11/27 Test 18 56.27 +0.54 55.57 63.95 3.5M 4.4M 53.95
Current. Modest gain on lower below average trade, but a good
week as CELG founde th e18 day EMA, held, and started
back up. Expecting a lot more from it as relative strength
started breaking out again on Friday.
CERN 11/02 Rev HS 47.40 -0.62 49.50 56.95 505K 600K 47.95
Current. Fell back tot he 50 day EMA after bouncing off of it
Wednesday, but not bad action considering the market
on Friday, and it is either going to continued higher
from here toward a new all-time high or pack it in.
CMTL 11/07 Cup hdl 35.41 -0.11 37.38 44.95 162K 275K 35.95
Current. Spent the week testing the 50 day EMA, and Friday it managed to rebound and hold that level after it undercut that support on the low. Somewhat toppish here. Expecting a bounce, but if cannot clear 37 on the next serious run it will be best to exit.
COH 09/25 Test BO 42.63 -0.58 35.05 40.48 3.3M 5M 41.24
Current. Finished Friday a bit lower but up on the week, still
moving higher in its trend up the 10 day EMA.
CRM 11/06 Cup hdl 38.35 -0.65 42.40 49.95 1.3M 3M 41.95
Current. Watched htis one all day as it was trading below the 50 day EMA but above support at 38. Toppy pattern, but likely to bounce form here and at least test 40 to 41. If it stalls at that level & starts to roll over, time to get out of Dodge.
CTRP 11/18 Test BO 53.66 -1.86 56.72 67.95 221K 600K 54.95
Buy Not Issued.
CTRP 10/28 Test 50 53.66 -1.86 51.00 61.45 221K 577K 57.32
Current. Gapped down and fell below the 18 day EMA but held
above the lows of the week. It can bounce right back
and given the low volume we decided to let it hold
and rebound this week.
CTSH 11/02 Test 50 80.42 -1.14 76.60 87.95 1.4M 2M 79.32
Current. Gapped higher and looked strong, ready to continue
a three day win streak. It could not hold the move
to the close, however, but it was still a solid week,
one to be cognizant of.
DIOD 11/30 Test 50 41.09 -0.30 42.05 48.75 380K 550K 40.25
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher but didn't have the volume to make the
break through the September downtrend. Still set up
to make the move.
DRQ 11/29 Rev HS 43.54 +1.21 43.00 50.98 1M 925K 41.22
Entered today. Excellent surge higher on rising, above avg volume.
Nice breakout.
FFIV 10/13 DB hdl 74.03 -0.78 58.00 69.95 927K 1.5M 71.88
Current. Finished the week at the 10 day EMA, testing back on
below avg volume. The trend up the 10 day EMA, however,
remains in place.
FIC 11/30 Cup hdl 42.59 +0.97 42.44 48.78 1.4M 1.2M 40.98
Entered today.
FMD 11/28 PreSplt 76.45 +1.61 74.68 85.85 792K 1M 74.11
Current. The marble heads were moving again on Friday, moving
off the 10 day EMA as FMD heads into the split on 12-5.
GLDN 11/10 Test BO 39.66 -0.97 39.30 46.32 202K 245K 39.04
Current. Undercut the 18 day EMA on the low but rebounded to
hold that near support on the close. Still in its trend
higher.
GME 10/21 Test BO 55.58 -0.47 53.00 60.45 1.5M 1.7M 53.95
Current. Faded modestly Friday but held the 10 day EMA on the
low and thus its nice trend higher.
HET 11/17 Cup hdl 78.85 +0.15 78.15 87.32 1.7M 3M 77.11
Current. Ended the week moving laterally after teh strong Tuesday
breakout.
ICE 10/19 Test 18 95.08 -3.17 83.64 94.95 2.6M 2.4M 97.45
Current. Below avg volume as ICE hands on at the 18 day EMA,
testing the strong break higher midweek.
JWN 11/28 Test BO 47.81 -1.21 49.94 58.95 3.6M 3M 48.38
Current. Toughs session, gapping below the 18 day EMA but recovering
off the intraday low. Will give it a bit of time this
week to rebound back through 48 with a bit of authority.
LH 10/21 Test 50 70.84 +0.04 68.80 78.75 766K 1.5M 69.45
Current. Finally some significant upside from LH this week though
Friday was a flat session. Looks as if it is going
to start a trend up the 10 day EMA.
LOGI 11/28 Test 18 28.99 -0.57 28.82 34.38 420K 445K 28.38
Current. Big gap higher Wednesday but ran out of gas Friday,
fading back but easily holding above the 10 day EMA.
LRCX 11/18 Test BO 51.59 -1.01 54.55 62.95 4.7M 4.8M 54.21
Current. Fell down close to the 50 day EMA on the low but rebounded
nicely. Needs to keep the rebound going into this week.
A leader that got pushed around a bit, but on a rebound
on strong volume we will look at even more positions.
LRCX 10/21 Test BO 51.59 -1.01 50.00 57.98 4.7M 4M 54.78
Current.
LVS 10/28 Cup hdl 90.70 -0.86 76.60 88.95 1.5M 3.1M 89.95
Current. Ended the week at the 10 day EMA on low volume, continuing
the two week lateral move.
MA 11/11 Test BO 101.17 -0.58 94.25 104.95 3.5M 3M 100.75
Current. Finished the week testing the 10 day EMA on the low
and rebounding to recover some losses. Still holding
the gains and ready to move.
MON 11/21 DB hdl 47.72 -0.35 48.44 55.55 3.3M 5.4M 46.85
Current. Big gap higher to 48.97 but gave it all back and more.
Looks as if it wants to surge higher, but cannot get
any real traction. On the positive, it filled the Thursday
gap higher. Want to see it make its move this week.
MTW 11/02 Test BO 58.83 -1.41 55.50 66.48 792K 1.3M 56.75
Current. Gave back some of the strong Wednesday gain Friday,
but tapped the 10 day EMA on the low and held its nice
trend higher.
NBL 11/04 Cup hdl 52.99 -0.51 50.55 57.85 1.7M 1.7M 51.95
Current. Tested teh strong Wednesday breakout and then rebounded
to close modestly lower. Already has the test out of
the way.
NDAQ 11/30 Test BO 37.32 -2.83 40.95 48.95 8.7M 3M 38.82
Buy Not Hit. Downgraded and gapped lower. Tapped the 50 day EMA
on the low and recovered some ground, but the nice,
easy fade is no longer. Will see if it can recover;
a strong stock should rebound from a downgrade.
NVEC 11/11 Test BO 38.70 -0.75 42.75 51.95 447K 1.1M 40.95
Current. Low volume fade to the 50 day EMA to end the week.
Not necessarily a great move but looking to pick up
some more positions as NVEC jumps off the 50 day MA
this week.
NVLS 11/18 Test BO 32.34 +1.12 31.80 37.98 12M 3.9M 31.54
Current. Gapped higher on strong volume, hopping off the 18
day EAM after a downgrade Thursday. Very strong trade
as it moved higher.
QLGC 11/28 Test BO 22.27 +0.02 22.45 26.95 1.9M 2.7M 21.44
Buy Not Issued.
QLGC 10/30 Test BO 22.27 +0.02 20.65 24.65 1.9M 3M 21.78
Current. Bounced off the 18 day EMA after selling off Monday,
finishgin out the week with a lateral move at the 10
day EMA.
SAY 11/13 Cup hdl 23.20 -0.15 23.11 27.72 913K 1.1M 22.68
Current. Faded a bit to end the week, still holding the 10 day
EMA on the close. Got a bit volatile the past week
but helds its trend higher.
SINA 11/21 Test BO 28.12 -0.12 28.89 33.88 838K 950K 27.45
Buy Not Issued. Another doji at the 18 day EMA as volume moved up to average. Getting ripe for the break higher.
SMSC 11/18 Test BO 31.00 -0.87 32.63 37.95 158K 450K 31.35
Current.
SMSC 10/03 Cup hdl 31.00 -0.87 29.21 34.75 158K 504K 31.89
Current. Tanked thru the 18 day EMA, tapping the 50 day EMA
on the low. Volume was very low and it managed a bounce
off the 50 day intraday. As it held the 50 day EMA
we it ride into next week.
SMSC 09/16 Cup hdl 31.00 -0.87 30.05 34.75 158K 504K 31.89
Current.
SUPX 11/18 Asc Bse 46.32 -0.60 46.65 54.85 253K 445K 45.95
Current. Tapped the 18 day EMA on the low once more and recovered
once more. Still in nice position to make the move higher.
THQI 11/29 Test 50 32.60 +0.05 32.43 38.65 1.4M 2M 31.11
Current. Good week, closing it out with a modest gain and a
new all-time high.
UARM 11/14 Test 50 46.38 -0.54 46.69 53.95 618K 1.3M 46.48
Current. Faded to end teh week but held support at 46 once more
on very low, below avg volume. Made it through the
week intact in its lateral base despite a downgrade
on Tuesday.
VSEA 11/11 Test 50 39.82 +0.09 39.55 44.88 697K 1.2M 39.95
Current. Not bad action to finish the week, holding the 18 day
EMA in a lateral move. Not bad action given the chips
were down to end the week.
XTO 11/28 Rev HS 50.44 -0.16 49.44 58.95 3.4M 6M 48.65
Current. Strong surge higher midweek on strong volume. Finished
the week with a sell off intraday and then a recovery
on lower, below avg volume. Nice breakout and still
ready to move higher.
End part 2 of 3
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trend trading stock
trading system
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