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us stock market, stock option
Begin part 2 of 3
New plays, full write-ups contained in part 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 08/21 Cup hdl 86.31 +0.84 68.12 78.00 33M 40M 88.65
Current. Held the 50 day EMA and bounced on strong, above average
volume. It was time to buy back the calls sold and
ride the next bounce & see if we get some upside appreciation
or need to sell some calls again.
AEOS 11/11 FlyPlat 31.47 +0.12 32.16 36.88 4.1M 3.2M 30.57
Current. Tapped the 50 day on the low and rebounded for a modest
gain. Not the post-split surge we wanted but a nice
rebound & enough to let it run a bit more to see if
it gets some backing.
AKAM 11/11 DB hdl 56.03 +0.94 50.81 60.95 4.6M 7.5M 53.95
Current. Excellent actio, bouncing back off the 10 day EMA after
tapping back down to that level Monday on rising volume.
Like to see the test of near support hold and yield
a bounce.
AKAM 10/21 Test 50 56.03 +0.94 47.20 55.95 4.6M 7M 53.95
Current.
AMX 11/29 Asc Bse 43.58 -0.67 45.50 53.95 6M 4M 43.95
Current.
ATW 12/09 Cup hdl 51.06 +1.05 51.85 60.95 282K 475K 50.35
Current. Nice rebound off the 18 day EMA in response to the
Monday selling. Both sessions on below avg volume so
it was a wash but one that keeps the uptrend alive.
BA 12/16 Asc Tri 90.17 +0.61 91.05 100.00 2.6M 6.5M 89.22
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower below the 18 day EMA but recovered and
posted a gain, keeping the lateral consolidation alive
on very low, below avg volume.
BCR 12/07 PreAnn 85.43 +0.67 85.40 99.95 589K 500K 83.58
Entered today. Very solid action in a divided market, rallying out
of its base to a new all-time closing high on rising
volume. Just what we wanted to see.
BDX 12/09 PreAnn 71.67 -0.38 73.45 84.95 1.2M 1.4M 71.78
Buy Not Hit. Distributing 2 of the last three sessions, coming back
to tap the 50 day EMA on the Tuesday low and rebounding
modestly. Will let it make this test and see if it
was enough to shakeout the sellers and deliver a breakout.
BPO 12/16 PreAnn 38.44 -0.04 39.25 46.75 2.7M 695K 37.95
Buy Not Hit. Huge volume as BPO tapped the 50 day EMA on the low
and rebounded to close flat. Sure looks ready to brook
higher and cover some upside real estate.
CBG 11/06 Test BO 32.62 -0.15 29.65 35.95 1.4M 2.4M 32.32
Trailing Stop.
CELG 11/27 Test 18 59.62 +0.84 55.57 63.95 3.7M 4.4M 57.65
Current. Excellent break higher after tapping the 10 day EMA
intraday and bouncing. Continuing the nice uptrend.
CERN 11/02 Rev HS 47.92 +0.04 49.50 56.95 290K 600K 47.95
Current. Held the 50 day EMA again in that tight, narrow range.
It is setting up for a big break higher off of this level.
CLE 12/07 PreAnn 33.52 0.00 33.57 39.98 1.3M 2.2M 32.67
Entered today.
CMTL 11/07 Cup hdl 38.71 -0.11 37.38 44.95 249K 275K 38.05
Current. Doji with tail, tapping the 18 day EMA on th elow and
rebounding to close flat on rising volume. Nice test
and this looks to complete the pullback and clear the
way for a continued move higher.
COH 09/25 Test BO 43.05 +1.02 35.05 40.48 3.6M 5M 42.54
Current. Rebounded right back over the 18 day EMA on another
day of average volume. Needs to stall here to take
some life out of those calls we sold.
CRDN 12/05 DB hdl 54.53 +1.00 56.55 67.95 553K 845K 54.95
Buy Not Issued. Managed to recover and hold the 18 day EMA and the
November highs on the close. The recovery keeps it
in the pattern.
CTRP 12/09 Test BO 63.62 +0.36 58.50 69.95 360K 525K 61.45
Current. Not a huge session, but another upside move for CTRP,
bringing it to 4 straight. Lower trade, closing off
the high for the second session. May take a siesta here.
DBRN 12/07 Test BO 23.27 -0.19 23.88 28.95 644K 1.4M 22.68
Buy Not Hit. Making a full test of the late November surge higher,
so lowered the buy point to account for that. Still
strong money flow leading higher. The 200 day MA gives
it a good support level ot rebound from here.
EZPW 12/18 Test 18 15.89 -0.41 16.65 19.98 1M 2M 15.66
Buy Not Hit. Got a bit too EZ in its intraday pattern, falling to
the 50 day EMA on the low and rebounding for a modest
loss. Good recovery, keeping it near the November high
in teh pullback and still set up to make a break higher.
FDX 12/16 PreAnn 114.05 -1.06 116.15 130.94 2.3M 2.7M 113.95
Buy Not Hit. Got some cold feet ahead of earnings, selling below
the 50 day EMA on contineud above avg volume but managing
a rebound to close near that level to make the session
respectable. This move, however, gives it an H&S look.
FFIV 10/13 DB hdl 75.59 -0.61 58.00 69.95 976K 1.5M 73.75
Current.
FIC 11/30 Cup hdl 41.30 -0.44 42.44 48.78 347K 1.2M 41.55
Exited.
FMD 11/28 PreSplt 53.75 +0.83 49.75 57.25 951K 1M 51.95
Current. Volume was up as FMD continued higher off last week's
18 day EMA test. Just letting it trend higher for us.
GPRO 12/13 Cup 52.23 -0.49 53.85 61.55 331K 400K 51.48
Current. Gapped lower, sold to test the 18 day EAM, the rebounded
to close at the 10 day. Good test and rebound but now
it needs to continue that last week surge or we are
going to stick it with a probe of our own.
IBM 12/12 Test 18 96.00 +0.56 95.05 104.95 4.9M 8M 94.38
Current. Continuing higher though volume backed off to below
average. No big deal as the volume was up as it started
the move.
ICE 10/19 Test 18 108.80 +1.21 83.64 94.95 2.2M 2.4M 109.48
Current.
IIVI 12/18 Asc Bse 27.11 -0.32 27.55 32.98 163K 270K 26.22
Buy Not Hit. Gapped modestly lower then sold to test the 18 day
EMA beofre rebounding to post a modset loss. Wild ride,
but it gives us a better entry as it already has the
shaekout under its belt.
LEH 12/12 DB hdl 76.20 -0.89 78.11 89.95 3.4M 5.5M 75.65
Buy Not Hit.
LH 10/21 Test 50 73.04 +0.55 68.80 78.75 810K 1.5M 71.98
Current. Still moving higher, bouncing off the 10 day EMA after
the weeklong lateral test. No volume but with it moving
higher, no problem.
LRCX 12/16 Test 50 51.29 -2.16 54.65 62.95 4.1M 5.5M 51.95
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower and dumped to the 50 day EMA on the close
on rising, average volume. Will keep an eye on it and
see if it can rebound.
MON 11/21 DB hdl 51.18 +0.71 48.44 55.55 2.7M 5.4M 49.95
Current. Continuing higher after the Friday strong volume breakout.
Sweet. Another 2 point run and we can look at taking
some interim option gain.
MS 12/11 Asc Bse 81.70 +1.33 80.19 91.95 9.7M 5M 79.98
Current. Crushed earnings and gapped higher on strong volume.
Filled the gap intraday and recovered. Have to like
that as it gets that formality out of the way.
NIHD 12/14 Test BO 66.27 -0.37 69.35 79.75 2.4M 1.6M 67.05
Buy Not Issued. Tapped the 50 day EMA on the low and rebounded some.
Needs some work.
NVLS 11/18 Test BO 34.11 -0.43 31.80 37.98 5.9M 3.9M 32.95
Current. Modest loss Tuesday as chips struggled but easily holding
the uptrend above the 10 day EMA.
PLCE 12/16 PreAnn 65.66 -0.18 67.57 77.75 358K 900K 65.77
Buy Not Hit. Low volume continued as PLCE continued its pullback,
testing the Thursday break higher off the 90 day MA.
Trying to make a lower high here to set up the rebound.
PMTI 12/14 Test BO 51.45 -0.87 53.82 63.95 518K 722K 51.72
Buy Not Hit. Sold to the 18 day EMA where it held, but then was
under pressure after the close on a patent infringement
suit.
RATE 12/11 Test BO 37.95 -0.03 39.15 47.45 202K 495K 36.41
Buy Not Hit. Nice doji at support at 37.50, indicating RATE is ready
for the rebound. Looking for volume to surge as it
comes off this support.
SINA 11/21 Test BO 28.95 -0.03 29.00 33.98 641K 950K 28.45
Current. Moving laterally at the 18 day EMA, still putting together
the handle.
SVVS 12/05 Asc Bse 35.90 -0.26 33.74 39.95 203K 365K 35.45
Current. Continuing the low volume test of the strong Thursday
break higher. Nice doji Tuesday gets us ready for the
rebound.
SWS 12/12 PreSplt 35.26 +0.35 34.65 39.48 210K 200K 34.38
Current. Volume returned as SWS continued higher from the Monday
pullback. Nice trend up the 10 day EMA.
SYK 12/18 Test BO 55.33 +0.20 55.55 63.95 1.1M 1.4M 54.05
Buy Not Hit. Volume remained below average as SYK held above the
10 day EMA and started higher. Looks ready.
TALX 12/16 Asc Bse 27.22 +0.11 27.38 32.95 266K 325K 26.57
Current. A second doji following the Friday break higher. After
hours there were some trades up at 27.75 but not seeing
any news. Will see how it opens in the morning but
like the action.
THQI 11/29 Test 50 32.52 +0.38 32.43 38.65 751K 2M 32.72
Trailing Stop. Rebounced but no volume and could not clear the 18 day EMA.
URBN 12/05 Cup hdl 23.47 +0.09 24.75 29.95 2.8M 400K 22.98
Buy Not Issued. Undercut the 18 day EMA intraday but rebounded for
a modest gain, continuing the lateral consolidation.
VSEA 11/11 Test 50 41.56 -0.69 39.55 44.88 878K 1.2M 41.15
Current. Gapped lower but held the 18 day EMA with a doji. Not
great action but VSEA remains in its uptrend.
WFR 12/04 Cup 41.47 -0.81 43.54 51.45 3.3M 6.5M 41.88
Current. Sold for the 2nd day on below average volume but held
the 18 day EMA on the low and just setting up for the
next move higher.
WWW 12/16 PreAnn 28.30 0.00 29.55 35.48 250K 438K 28.77
Buy Not Hit. Doji at the 50 day EMA after selling back to that level
Monday. We will see if it can make the rebound and
continue the uptrend.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
CVD 12/12 Put 59.34 +0.03 59.84 58.00 476K 550K 59.48
Current. Tapped the target on the low. The option spread was
wide so we decided to wait a bit and let the pressure
narrow it. CVD instead rebounded for a modest gain.
Still a weak pattern, but now has to fall for us again.
EYE 12/09 Put 35.85 +0.22 35.72 34.18 646K 1.8M 36.32
Buy Not Issued. Rebounded to try the 10 day EMA once more. Good. That
gives us a better entry point when it turns down from
here again.
YHOO 12/07 Put 26.41 +0.11 26.45 25.00 19M 30M 26.55
Current. Held 26 and bounced but still below the 50 day EMA
and volume was low. Still no buyers and after this
bump higher it looks ready to continue the trend lower.
End part 2 of 3
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us stock market
stock option
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