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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 08/21 Cup hdl 81.52 +0.01 68.12 78.00 69M 40M 88.65
Current. Report that falsified documents re option expensing & Jobs hiring counsel sent the stock down almost $4. We bought back our Jan $90 calls for 0.55. The stock rebounded & closed flat. Still below 50 day MA but holding above 80 & just about filling Oct gap.
AKAM 11/11 DB hdl 54.52 +1.52 50.81 60.95 2.5M 7.5M 53.95
Current.
AKAM 10/21 Test 50 54.52 +1.52 47.20 55.95 2.5M 7M 53.95
Current. Nice hold at the 18 day EMA Tuesday & a solid, though low volume of course, bounce Wednesday. We were a bit worried about this one heading into 2007 being one of the best stocks in 2006. Thus far it is holding the last breakout quite well.
BA 12/16 Asc Tri 88.88 +0.09 91.05 100.00 2M 6.5M 89.22
Buy Not Hit. Still going nowhere, fading thru the 18 day EMA this
week as it continues its month-long decline. Not participating
in the rally but BA kind of makes its own wake when
it wants to.
BCR 12/07 PreAnn 83.73 +0.11 85.40 99.95 374K 500K 83.58
Current. Gapped higher over the 10 day EMA but could not hold
that move into the close, finishing w/just a fractional
gain. Trying to recover 84 & the resistance at that
level, struggling just a bit.
BEC 12/26 PreAnn 60.40 +0.09 61.08 70.45 891K 783K 59.48
Buy Not Hit. Modest bounce on no volume, just furthering its work
in the 8 week lateral consolidation that is part of
that larger year long base.
BPO 12/16 PreAnn 38.69 +0.41 39.25 46.75 544K 695K 37.95
Buy Not Hit. Volume was up Tues and Wed as BPO comes off the 50
day EMA. Interesting action and we will watch to see
if this gives it the push it needs to get moving to
start burning up some real estate.
CELG 11/27 Test 18 57.93 +0.16 55.57 63.95 2M 4.4M 57.65
Current. Still working up the 18 day EMA, rebounding off that
level Tuesday and then a modest gain Wed. Choppier
but holding true to the trend.
CLE 12/07 PreAnn 33.27 0.00 33.57 39.98 694K 2.2M 32.67
Current. Still working laterally in a very tight range over
teh 18 day EMA. Really pretty test of the gap. Looks
to be setting up for the next break higher so not getting
impatient with it.
CMTL 11/07 Cup hdl 39.11 +0.61 37.38 44.95 91K 275K 38.05
Current. Nice move off the 18 day EMA after a classic test.
Looking good heading toward year end.
COH 09/25 Test BO 43.31 -0.12 35.05 40.48 1.7M 5M 42.54
Current. Basically nowhere, holding the 10 day EMA on the close
as it continues higher but still has that choppy look
the past four weeks.
CRDN 12/05 DB hdl 58.66 +1.83 57.75 68.95 703K 845K 55.94
Entered today. Excellent breakout move, rallying out of its 10 month
base on solid volume for such a low volume session.
CTRP 12/21 Test BO 63.72 +0.35 63.88 73.48 162K 475K 61.22
Buy Not Issued.
CTRP 12/09 Test BO 63.72 +0.35 58.50 69.95 162K 525K 61.45
Current. Tapped the 10 day EMA on the low and posted a gain
on modest trade. Could have taken more positions but
decided to hold off. If it continues tomorrow we will
add some positions.
DBRN 12/07 Test BO 23.87 +0.49 23.88 28.95 450K 1.4M 22.65
Current. Bounced off the Tuesday test of the 18 day EMA after
testing that strong Friday jump off the 50 and 200 day MA.
EZPW 12/18 Test 18 16.50 +0.36 16.65 19.98 396K 2M 15.66
Buy Not Hit. Bounced off the 18 day EMA, holding the November high.
Looks ready to make the move. Strong stock in good
position to start a good rally.
FMD 11/28 PreSplt 54.84 +0.32 49.75 57.25 465K 1M 52.68
Current. Added a bit more to the solid Tuesday move, still working
its way up the 10 and 18 day EMA.
FRX 12/21 Cup hdl 50.94 +0.33 52.24 59.95 951K 3.5M 50.55
Buy Not Hit. Started a move off the 18 day EMA on rising though
very low volume. Still in the handle, still set up
for the breakout, still waiting for it.
GPRO 12/13 Cup 52.16 -0.15 53.85 61.55 246K 400K 51.68
Current. Gapped lower but held the 18 day EMA & tried the bounce.
Ended up showing a rising star doji on higher volume.
That indicates it is ready for a move higher.
HCP 12/20 Test BO 36.15 +0.40 36.55 43.85 971K 1.4M 35.32
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher on rising volume and held the gain. Looks
to be ready to follow that money flow higher.
HRS 12/26 Dbl btm 46.40 +0.40 46.48 54.45 606K 1.6M 44.89
Buy Not Issued. Moved higher but faded some late. Volume lower as it
was everywhere. Still ready to move higher.
IBM 12/12 Test 18 97.10 +1.54 95.05 104.95 4.5M 8M 95.45
Current. Gapped higher and rallied to the close on stronger
volume. Excellent.
IIVI 12/18 Asc Bse 27.76 +0.10 27.64 32.98 74K 270K 26.48
Current. Modest move higher on the heels of the solid Tuesday
move off the 10 day EMA. Solid but still want to see
the upside breakaway.
INFY 12/19 Test 50 54.72 +0.41 54.37 65.45 929K 2.6M 52.98
Current. Gapped higher to 55 but faded back on lower trade,
holding some of the session gains and the solid Tuesday
move.
JCP 12/19 PreAnn 78.40 +0.66 80.88 93.95 1.5M 3.2M 77.89
Buy Not Hit. Tapping the 50 day EMA on the low and rebounding for
a modest gain after thumping down on Tuesday. This
pattern is not as clear as it was, meaning it has to
show a strong upside break to get us to bite.
LEH 12/12 DB hdl 78.65 +1.16 78.38 89.95 2.1M 5.5M 76.65
Current. Gapped higher on rising but still below avg volume.
Has reached the October highs and this is where we
want to see the brothers work together and really make
its run.
LH 10/21 Test 50 73.89 +0.46 68.80 78.75 700K 1.5M 72.97
Current. After a pullback Tues, came back with a modest, and
hold on, a higher volume gain. If volume comes in LH
could really shift gears and give us a nice run as
it continues up the 10 day EMA.
LUK 12/19 Cup 28.76 +0.16 29.05 33.75 468K 625K 27.99
Current. Still working laterally as it consolidates that strong
move higher from last week. Nice pair of dojis the
past two sessions as the range narrows. Looks ready
but has to get the continuation move going.
MBT 12/26 Test 18 50.46 +2.31 49.35 58.95 1.4M 1.5M 47.97
Entered today. Excellent breka higher off the 18 day EMA test on a
shot of average volume, the strongest in over a week
and excellent for the low volume market. Nice, nice move.
MER 12/26 PreAnn 93.52 +1.29 93.35 103.95 3M 7M 90.77
Entered today. Volume was up as MER gapped higher, tested, and then
rebounded to clear the November high. Nice.
MON 11/21 DB hdl 52.91 +0.75 48.44 55.55 3M 5.4M 50.97
Current. AFter that pause to end last week MON is right back
at it this week with solid gains Tues and Wed with
volume jumping up close to average today. Nice. Growing
like a weed despite the Roundup.
MS 12/11 Asc Bse 81.92 +1.27 80.19 91.95 2.7M 5M 79.98
Current. Gapped higher, tested intraday, and then continued
to close at the high on rising though below avg volume.
Nice test of the 18 day and nice rising volume bounce.
NVLS 11/18 Test BO 34.77 +0.17 31.80 37.98 2.4M 3.9M 33.39
Current. Strong price move Tuesday and added a bit Wed on rising
but still low trade. Strong chip stock that continues
its rally up the 10 day EMA.
PLCE 12/16 PreAnn 63.96 +0.03 67.57 77.75 394K 900K 65.77
Buy Not Hit. Low volume continued as PLCE continued its pullback, testing the Thursday break higher off the 90 day MA. Trying to make a lower high here to set up the rebound.
RATE 12/11 Test BO 38.48 +0.09 39.15 47.45 258K 495K 36.41
Buy Not Hit. Volume was up again on Wed & though still below avg,
RATE looks as if it is ready to make the bounce. Need
to see it, but sure looks ready.
RNT 12/21 PreAnn 28.51 +0.55 28.15 32.95 117K 456K 27.31
Buy Not Issued. Could have entered but volume was low and it backed off after hitting the December high from 2 weeks back. Decided there was no rush to get into the rental business today so decided to hold off and see how it responds to the prior high.
SINA 11/21 Test BO 28.81 +0.20 29.00 33.98 273K 950K 28.45
Current. Recovered the 10 day EMA on the close, bouncing up
from last week's test. Good recovery and set up well
for the next upside run.
SVVS 12/21 Test BO 35.57 -1.45 36.99 43.98 593K 400K 35.45
Current.
SVVS 12/05 Asc Bse 35.57 -1.45 33.74 39.95 593K 365K 35.45
Current. Faded on news it was selling its content delivery network
services to LVLT. Got a good price but investors were
not sure what to make of it. Still holding the breakout
as it rebounded from its test of the 18 day EMA.
SWS 12/12 PreSplt 37.37 +1.45 34.65 39.48 191K 200K 35.95
Current. Excellent surge to a 6.5 year high on strong, above
average volume. What can you say but a super move.
SYK 12/18 Test BO 55.33 +0.41 55.55 63.95 598K 1.4M 54.05
Buy Not Hit. Still working laterally over the 10 day EMA, still
looking for the breakout move., still solid.
TALX 12/16 Asc Bse 27.59 -0.04 27.38 32.95 137K 325K 26.57
Current. Solid move Tuesday off the 10 day EMA and then a stall
Wed. Still holding the break higher, just needs to
get over 28 with some authority.
TRMB 12/19 PreAnn 52.09 +0.20 52.74 60.89 179K 500K 50.54
Current. Continuing the move off the 10 day EMA test from last
week, but not as vigorous a move as on Tuesday. Still
holding its break higher and now we want to see it
get some upside gas.
URBN 12/05 Cup hdl 23.34 -0.04 24.75 29.95 1.2M 400K 22.98
Buy Not Issued. Another doji at the 18 day EMA on low volume as it continues the pullback of the past three weeks. Still set up for the break higher, but investors are waiting on retail to see what the same store sales for December turn out to be.
VSEA 11/11 Test 50 45.94 +0.16 39.55 44.88 693K 1.2M 43.68
Current. Doji after the strong Tuesday move caps a nice week
long rally off the 18 day EMA test. Can look at taking
part of the option gain if it cannot push higher here
given the strong gains & doji, but a nice uptrend in place.
WCN 12/21 PreAnn 41.87 +0.35 41.75 48.00 173K 344K 40.57
Buy Not Issued. Moved higher and good enough to enter, but it was quite choppy all session so we held off. Still looking to move in if it can continue higher.
WWW 12/16 PreAnn 29.07 +0.36 29.55 35.48 119K 438K 28.77
Buy Not Hit. Second solid bounce higher off the 50 day EMA but still has to show us a breakout move.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
CVD 12/12 Put 59.40 +0.88 59.84 58.00 236K 550K 59.04
Current. Very low volume bounce that tapped the 18 day EMA and
stalled. Needs to fall here & continue the breakdown.
EYE 12/09 Put 35.51 +0.01 35.72 34.18 530K 1.8M 36.32
Buy Not Issued. Not making the breakdown though still working below
the 10 day EMA. Will drop for now but keep watching
it for the breakdown.
End part 2 of 3
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us stock market
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