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Begin part 2 of 3
Part 3 containing new plays will be forwarded later today.
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 08/21 Cup hdl 94.62 -1.18 68.12 78.00 47M 40M 93.45
Current. Nice moderate fade the past two sessions after the iPhone surge. Tapped the November high on the lows and bounced. That also filled the gap. May snug up a bit more to 93, but looking for it to hold there and bounce on a new run toward 100.
AKAM 01/03 Test 50 53.12 -0.47 53.55 61.35 2.3M 7.6M 52.38
Current. Rallied intraday quite nicely then faded back to flat
on low volume. Still set up nicely to continue higher.
AMAG 12/27 Test 18 63.79 +1.52 60.55 71.95 278K 425K 61.72
Current. Solid end to the week, jumping off the 18 day EMA and
approaching the Dec high near 70. Not a lot of volume
but it has not had much the whole move. Needs to show
us some trade to break up that Dec high, however.
AMT 01/08 Flat 39.79 +0.34 39.38 45.45 3.6M 3.5M 38.39
Current. Excellent volume as AMT continued higher in its breakout.
The telecom infrastructure & related plays are getting
money because of a perceived pickup in telecom activity
based upon the iPod.
ANST 12/26 Cup hdl 28.41 -0.58 28.36 33.95 208K 400K 27.95
Current. Faded back to the 10 day EMA on lower, below avg volume.
Was not able to continue the solid Thursday move, but
set up nicely to continue higher into new high territory.
ATI 01/11 Dbl btm 90.64 +0.23 90.88 99.90 1.6M 3.2M 88.45
Buy Not Issued. No volume as it posted a modest gain. Still looks solid
for the run to 100.
BAX 01/04 Rev HS 47.55 +0.45 47.22 54.45 1.9M 2.4M 46.04
Buy Not Issued. Broke higher on below avg volume Friday. Given the
low trade we decided to wait to see what Tuesday brings.
If it can continue higher that will be our cue to move in.
BCR 12/07 PreAnn 82.61 -0.42 85.40 99.95 397K 500K 83.58
Current. Faded back after the move higher, still holding above
the 50 day EMA. Looks very good for a rebound after
this higher low at key support.
BIDU 01/09 Cup hdl 124.70 -6.48 127.00 139.95 4.3M 4.5M 126.31
Current. Had a tough session after the nice mid-week move, falling
back to the 10 day EMA on the close, showing some rising
trade. This is where it needs to hold and continue
the move higher.
BPO 12/16 PreAnn 40.48 +0.48 39.29 46.75 480K 695K 39.32
Current. Rallied again though volume was lower it was quite
strong mid-week, getting the move off on good footing.
BRCM 01/04 Test 20 32.31 -0.06 34.38 42.95 5.1M 17M 32.36
Current. BRCM continues to bedevil. It faded back to the 200
day MA, gapping lower Friday but on below avg volume.
We expect it to hold here, and on a move back up thru
33 on volume we are looking to add positions.
BSC 01/06 Test 18 171.51 +0.86 163.10 179.00 1.5M 2M 168.11
Target Hit. Took part of the solid option gain (63%) as BSC gapped lower but then rebounded to put the finishing touches on a strong week. Given the week of gains it was worth banking some excellent gain made this week. Letting the rest of the positions run higher.
COH 09/25 Test BO 45.82 +0.20 35.05 40.48 2M 5M 43.98
Current. Not a lot of volume, but caught a bid last week and
cleared to a new all-time high as it continues to sashay
higher in its trend.
CRDN 12/05 DB hdl 54.00 -0.83 57.75 68.95 1.5M 845K 59.22
Current. Gapped lower and undercut the 50 day EMA but then rallied back to hold that level on the close. Bad week for CRDN as it broke higher but then had a gapping spree. Harsh drop, held at support, looking for a rebound toward 56.50 (18 day EMA).
CTRP 12/21 Test BO 64.73 +0.24 63.88 73.48 243K 475K 63.69
Current.
CTRP 12/09 Test BO 64.73 +0.24 58.50 69.95 243K 525K 63.69
Current. Excellent low volume pullback that is holding the 10
day EMA all week. Nice set up for the next strong breawk
higher.
EZPW 12/18 Test 18 16.12 -0.11 17.30 20.78 528K 2M 15.95
Current. Bounced off the 50 day EMA test Thursday but no volume
and took the day off on Friday. Nice point to make
a double bottom bounce.
FCFS 01/11 Test BO 23.82 +0.11 24.15 28.95 232K 500K 23.26
Buy Not Hit. Another doji at the 18 day EMA after filling the gap.
Set up to move. On the break higher we will look for
some fast first cash.
FFIV 01/04 FlyPlat 79.77 +1.32 77.45 91.95 930K 1.1M 76.11
Current. Volume moved up to average as FFIV posted a good session
as it continues to run higher up the 10 day EMA.
FRX 12/21 Cup hdl 53.73 +0.87 52.62 59.95 3.2M 3.5M 51.65
Current. Volume was even stronger as FRX continued the Thursday
move, breaking to a new 2 year closing high.
GME 01/09 Test 50 57.64 -0.38 56.68 65.45 670K 2M 53.95
Buy Not Issued. Stalled out at 58, the November high, on Friday. Low
volume move could not carry it through this resistance.
A test back and a new run on some better trade would
be more convincing.
GPRO 12/13 Cup 51.84 +0.73 53.85 61.55 372K 400K 51.68
Current. Good bounce off the 200 day SMA test on average volume Friday after a very strong volume doji Thursday at that level. Good shakeout last week and quite a but of buying volume. Looking for that to send it higher this week.
GS 01/08 Flat 213.99 +2.11 204.55 225.00 6.6M 4.9M 209.78
Current. Another nice, strong surge as GS enjoyed a super week
as it blasted out of its flat consolidation. Just letting
it run higher as it is showing no signs of slowing.
HCP 12/20 Test BO 39.38 +0.05 36.80 4395.0 938K 1.4M 37.95
Target Hit. After a super surge the past week HCP started showing some signs of slowing with a doji Thursday and a negligible Friday gain on lower, below avg volume. Took part of the solid 67% option gain given the action, but like it enough to let the rest or pause.
HRS 12/26 Dbl btm 51.20 +1.02 47.38 55.35 1.4M 1.6M 49.65
Current. What a week for HRS, surging higher yet again on rising, above avg volume. Ballistic rise, and if it continues this week we will watch for any slowing and bank some gain. Looks to have another session or two of upside here before it tests.
IBM 12/12 Test 18 99.34 +0.69 95.05 104.95 6.6M 8M 97.45
Current. After a super start to the week IBM faded back to the
10 day EMA and made moderate gains from there to finish
it out. Not bad action at all, still riding the 10
day EMA higher.
IIVI 01/10 Test BO 29.21 -0.05 29.48 34.95 108K 295K 27.98
Buy Not Hit. Moved laterally the entire week as the 10 day EMA rose
to meet it. Looking for that to send it higher in teh
week ahead.
IIVI 12/18 Asc Bse 29.21 -0.05 27.64 32.98 108K 270K 27.95
Current.
INFY 12/19 Test 50 58.06 +1.84 54.37 65.45 3.6M 2.6M 55.95
Current. Excellent breakout Thursday and Friday as INFY reported
solid results and is reaping the reward. So are we.
LEH 12/12 DB hdl 82.74 +1.63 78.38 89.95 5.5M 5.5M 79.95
Current. Outstanding week for LEH as it bolted off the 50 day
EMA on strong volume, closing on its high to end the
week. Letting it run given this very strong move.
LRCX 01/09 Test 50 54.54 +1.04 52.48 60.45 3.8M 5.5M 51.95
Current. Volume was up again Friday, rising on strong, above
average volume. Excellent surge this week.
MA 01/04 Cup 105.25 -0.25 101.11 119.75 1.8M 3.5M 102.15
Current. Finished the week moving laterally after the strong
surge Monday and Tuesday. Letting the 10 day EMA catch
up with it and then likely to continue the move higher.
MER 12/26 PreAnn 97.02 +0.74 93.35 103.95 4.7M 7M 93.98
Current. Lower average volume after the big trade Wed and Thurs,
but another solid move higher as MER continues its
breakout.
MON 11/21 DB hdl 51.15 +1.15 48.44 55.55 4.6M 5.4M 51.28
Current. After tapping at the 50 day EMA on the Wednesday low it rebounded nicely, with volume surging Friday as MON stretched the move. The upside volume topped the selling volume to start Jan. Looking at a few more positions on a continued move.
MS 12/11 Asc Bse 82.86 +0.49 80.19 91.95 4.2M 5M 80.89
Current. Solid move the last half of the week, coming off the
18 day EMA test. Volume was solid as well, fading slightly
as the week ended. Still in the nice trend up the 18
day EMA.
NICE 01/11 Test 50 31.78 -0.05 32.05 37.95 273K 350K 30.89
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower but then rebounded to close basically
flat on lower, avearge trade. Nice day off and will
be ready to move higher this coming week.
NVLS 11/18 Test BO 32.75 -0.49 31.80 37.98 3.8M 3.9M 33.57
Current. Faded all week, but held the 50 day EMA on the low.
Bounced but then sold back Friday on lower, below avg
volume. Looking for it to make another break higher
off of this support level.
PCAR 01/09 Test 50 68.68 +0.84 66.70 74.95 2.2M 2.4M 66.55
Current. Excellent move continues with volume jumping above
average as PCAR rallies to a new all-time high.
QLGC 01/06 Test 50 21.03 +0.40 22.37 26.95 3.8M 3.5M 21.38
Current. After the hard selling QLGC checked up near the 90
day MA and rebounded Friday on continued strong volume.
Will see how it handles resistance near 21.40.
RMD 01/11 FlyPlat 51.78 +0.96 52.05 59.95 396K 650K 50.68
Entered today. Gapped higher, continuing the solid Thursday move.
Volume was up but not blowout. we liked it enough to
start the play, however.
RNT 12/21 PreAnn 29.05 +0.14 28.15 32.95 115K 456K 27.78
Buy Not Issued. Low volume all week as RNT moved higher to the late
December high. Has not shown us the breakaway move yet.
SYK 12/18 Test BO 58.77 -0.18 55.67 63.95 3.8M 1.4M 57.22
Current. Excellent week as SYK broke higher on strong volume
mid-week. Friday it took the day off, and it is likely
to take another day or two before it continues the
breakout move.
TALX 12/16 Asc Bse 27.88 +0.37 27.38 32.95 110K 325K 26.68
Current. Well, the price started higher Friday but volume did
not. Still in excellent shape to make the break higher
form the 4 week lateral move above the 18 day EMA.
TECH 12/11 Test 20 58.35 +0.08 56.69 64.95 79K 300K 56.88
Current. Excellent week for TECH, jumping higher on a sharp
rise in volume. Posted a modest gain Friday as volume
fell off the table. Excellent action all around.
TJX 01/06 Rev HS 29.94 0.00 29.88 35.85 4M 5.1M 28.48
Buy Not Issued. Volume jumped above average as TJX again probed the
breakout. Faded back to flat on the close. It is tapping
at the breakout door. Want to see some more determination
as it makes the move.
TRMB 01/04 PreAnn 55.00 +0.23 53.88 61.55 491K 455K 52.98
Current. Excellent end to the week, surging higher Thursday on strong volume and adding a modest gain Friday on lower but still above avg volume. Nice trend higher that got a jumpstart this week after a good test of near support.
URBN 12/05 Cup hdl 25.89 +0.24 24.78 29.98 2M 400K 24.48
Current. Solid week, jumping off the 18 day EMA Tuesday on strong
trade and riding that momentum all week.
VIVO 01/06 PreAnn 27.37 +0.82 25.75 29.95 112K 220K 25.95
Current. Viva VIVO. Low volume Friday but that did not stop
VIVO from blasting higher as a follow up to its strong
Wed and Thurs gains. Solid trade on those sessions
so this was no sleeper move. Ready for a new all-time high.
VRSN 01/11 Test 50 24.52 -0.09 24.82 28.95 2.4M 4.5M 23.88
Buy Not Hit. Still working laterally along the 10 day EMA after
the test. I tis set up well to rally and fill that
downside gap from the summer of 2005.
VSEA 11/11 Test 50 45.93 -0.84 39.55 44.88 1.8M 1.2M 45.32
Current.
WFR 01/06 Cup hdl 45.32 -0.52 41.40 47.95 4.3M 5.5M 44.35
Current. After a week of gains WFR stalled out at 46. Thought
about taking some of the gain off the table, but decided
to wait given the day was weak overall for chips &
likely to get a rebound this week.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
TEK 01/06 Put 28.85 -0.02 28.40 27.05 383K 610K 29.11
Current. Doji below the 10 day EMA. Having a hard time, hardly
even trying to get through. Need to see it fade this
week and follow that weak money flow.
End part 1 of 3
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