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us stock market, trade stock
Begin part 2 of 3
New plays contained in part 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri=Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.) Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon Market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor Market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 01/13 PreAnn 89.07 -5.88 96.38 109.75 84M 50M 92.95
Exited.
AAPL 08/21 Cup hdl 89.07 -5.88 68.12 78.00 84M 40M 93.45
Trailing Stop. Believe it or not, AAPL is even lower after hours following
the IBM earnings report. Gapped down and fell thru
the near support. All of the good news is out & just
have to let it go thru this cycle adn set back up again.
ADS 01/16 DB hdl 63.86 -1.20 66.35 75.95 525K 1.3M 64.38
Buy Not Hit. Fell to the 50 day SMA on light trade. This is still
a solid pattern adn just going to watch it and let
it test and then see if it can show the breakout move.
AKAM 01/03 Test 50 53.12 -0.47 53.55 61.35 2.3M 7.6M 52.38
Current. Tapped the 50 day EMA on the low and rebounded to recoup
some lost ground. Volume was up but still below average.
Still trending up the 50 day MA and as long as it
does that we will let it alone.
AMAT 12/26 Rev HS 18.25 -1.15 18.92 19.21 51M 32M 18.78
Exited. Gapped lower on teh LRCX earnings and though it managed
to hold the 90 day MA on the low it now has to fill
two gaps and has a lot of overhead to deal with so
closed it out.
AMT 01/08 Flat 39.71 +0.07 39.38 45.45 3.6M 3.5M 38.57
Current. Holding up nicely above the 10 day EMA (39.08) though
the move has stalled some the past few days. Just a
nice pause for now.
ANST 12/26 Cup hdl 27.53 -0.78 28.36 33.95 172K 400K 27.95
Current. Fell through the 18 day but volume was below avg and
it held above the 50 day MA as it has doen during this
rally higher. Thus let it make the test and looking
for a bounce off this support to continue its same uptrend.
ATHR 01/04 Cup hdl 22.74 -0.99 23.05 28.21 2.3M 3.2M 23.48
Current. ATHR sold on the chip issues but it also held the 50 day SMA and volume was not out of control. Thus let it ride for the session to let it rebound of f the 50 day and see how it takes on the recent highs just over 24.
BEAV 01/10 Cup hdl 27.67 -0.92 28.81 34.45 732K 1M 27.48
Current. Sold back to the 18 day EMA on the low and managed
a small bounce. Low volume and still holding its breakout
so did not sweat this move that was simply a market
sympathy test.
BMC 01/10 Test BO 33.80 -1.20 35.31 40.95 1.7M 2.4M 33.95
Buy Not Issued.
BMC 12/16 Flat 33.80 -1.20 33.10 39.75 1.7M 2.5M 33.98
Current. Slipped below the 18 day EMA on the close but volume
was still below average so let it make this sympathy
move with the market today.
BRCM 01/04 Test 20 32.31 -0.06 34.38 42.95 5.1M 17M 32.36
Exited. Looked pathetic, unable to even attempt a bounce as
it faded below all near support.
COH 10/21 Cup hdl 45.05 -0.81 36.11 41.95 3.2M 4.5M 44.65
Current. Held the 18 day EMA on the low and rebounded to hold
the 10 day on the close. That keeps it in the uptrend.
Impressive.
CROX 01/08 Cup 48.36 -2.57 46.27 53.95 2.4M 2M 48.65
Target Hit. Took some interim gain on the early run higher. It then turned over and shed a chunk of gains but managed to close above the 10 day EMA. We will let it test and then look at loading up some more positions. Note the lower volume on the selling.
CSCO 01/04 FlyPlat 26.45 -0.53 28.43 32.95 80M 50M 27.94
Current. Breached the 50 day EMA on the close, but it was rebounding
late. That move kept us watching for a rebound to test
the 50 day MA Friday; that is the key tets ahead. If
it fails we fold it.
CYTC 12/11 Cup hdl 28.82 -0.14 27.84 32.95 1M 1.2M 28.40
Current. Ignored the rest of the marekt, setting up the handle
for the next break higher.
EFD 12/12 Cup hdl 26.69 -0.56 27.98 32.95 257K 215K 27.22
Current. Fell on rising volume, but unlike many stocks it held
its 50 day MA on the close. It has tapped and held
this support two other times on this run. Looking for
it to do the same here.
GE 12/28 Test BO 38.00 +0.02 37.88 43.75 42M 30M 37.15
Current. Held steady in the maelstrom ahead of its earnings
in the morning.
GME 01/09 Test 50 56.85 -0.71 58.48 67.35 686K 2M 55.95
Buy Not Issued. Holding the 10 day EMA on the close, still in excellent
shape to make this test, hold, and then continue higher.
HLTH 12/07 Saucer 12.85 +0.05 12.38 14.85 3.7M 5M 12.55
Current. Excellent action, holding the 10 day EMA and posting
a modest bounce on a weak market session.
HMSY 12/14 Asc Bse 17.81 -0.40 14.98 18.31 137K 331K 17.45
Current. Still holding up, working laterally on very low volume
as it tests the recent run higher, refusing to give
up any ground.
HRZ 01/16 Test 50 27.85 +0.11 27.55 36.00 200K 500K 25.88
Buy Not Issued. Nice test of the 50 day SMA intraday and then a recovery.
That is waht we wanted. On a continued move higher
from here we will move in.
IMA 01/17 Rev HS 39.24 -0.52 40.25 46.95 92K 350K 38.68
Buy Not Hit. An even better set up for the breakout from this neat
little pattern. Money flow continues higher ahead of
price. Nice.
INFY 01/03 Asc Bse 56.06 -1.34 56.13 65.65 1.4M 1.6M 55.95
Current. Faded but it was a sympathy fade as volume remained
very light and very below average as it held above
the 18 day MA. Still in excellent shape.
INTC 01/11 Cup 20.65 -0.39 22.25 25.74 101M 60M 21.15
Current. Held some support at 20.50 and rebounded to close at
the 90 day ma. Most of the damage is already done after
the earnings gap, so will see if it can rebound some
here to test that freefall.
LEH 12/20 DB hdl 82.30 -1.02 78.38 89.95 3.9M 5.5M 80.38
Current. Modest fade on lower volume as the financial sector
took it on the session as well but still holds an excellent
position.
LRCX 01/09 Test 50 46.22 -7.91 52.48 60.45 18M 5.5M 51.95
Exited. A medieval gutting after LRCX suggested the future
was not so strong. Gapped lower and could not recover
to hold the 200 day MA.
LTBG 01/10 Cup hdl 13.95 -0.30 14.38 17.48 164K 225K 13.95
Current. Tested lower but recovered to hold above the 18 day
EMA on continued lower volume.
LVLT 01/06 DB hdl 6.01 -0.23 6.12 7.65 46M 35M 6.22
Current. Fell lower but held the October and December highs
on the close. This is the lick log for LVLT. Volume
was lower on the move and that was a major factor in
the session.
LXK 01/11 Test 50 70.02 -1.23 71.95 82.95 1.6M 2.8M 69.65
Buy Not Issued. Yes it sold, but volume was still below average as
LXK continued to show great relative strength.
MA 01/04 Cup 102.49 -6.55 101.11 119.75 4.2M 3.5M 103.95
Current. MA is a high fligher and it got belted on Thursday but it held the 18 day EMA on the close and it is not really an area money is leaving (volume was lower than the Wednesday upside trade). If it holds here and bounces we want more.
MNST 12/11 Cup hdl 49.41 -1.38 48.14 56.78 2M 2.4M 48.98
Current. Faded, giving back some of the run this week but still
easily above the 10 day EMA (48.61) and in its uptrend.
MO 12/02 Test BO 87.95 -0.62 85.99 99.95 8.4M 14M 87.25
Current. Faded some but still held up well on continued average
trade. Just letting it work laterally and then make
the next break higher. Doing well regardless of what
the other sectros are doing.
MR 12/26 Test 50 23.40 -1.18 24.45 29.75 1.1M 1.1M 24.75
Current. Fell to the 50 day EMA as it continued the Wed dump lower, but it held the 50 day as it did in Dec after that trip lower, and we anticipate it is going to be bought here again. Right sector and it has backing. On a rebound we are looking for more as well.
MRVC 12/20 Cup hdl 3.83 -0.07 3.72 4.78 2.2M 2M 3.71
Current. Slipped lower again but volume was lower as well, much
lower than the Tues gap higher trade. Given that we
let it ride on this test of that gap. A hold at 3.75
and a rebound from there is an add-to point.
NHWK 01/06 Test BO 25.96 -0.91 26.36 31.75 226K 400K 24.97
Buy Not Issued. Faded to the 18 day EMA on the close on lower, below
avg volume. Still in nice shape and still ready to
continue the move.
NITE 12/06 DB hdl 18.43 -3.03 19.84 23.65 7.2M 2M 20.45
Trailing Stop. Good nite nurse. One of the financials that disappointed
on earnins and was whacked.
NTGR 01/13 Test BO 28.00 -1.78 29.78 35.72 1.9M 900K 28.28
Current. Knocked lower on strong trade but after undercutting
some support at 28 it rebounded to hold that level
on the close. Will give it a chance to rebound from here.
NUAN 12/14 DB hdl 11.46 -0.12 11.99 14.62 1.6M 4.5M 11.69
Exited.
NYX 01/13 Cup hdl 100.55 -5.00 105.85 124.95 11M 5.2M 101.55
Current. A nice lateral consolidation was rocked on high volume.
Held some support at 100 and will let it try to rebound
from here. Needs to hold near here.
PAY 01/13 Test BO 37.63 -0.07 37.56 44.95 1.2M 1M 35.95
Current. Held up very well in a weak market. Have to like this
and just left it alone.
QQQQ 01/06 Test 50 44.08 -0.83 44.08 45.69 189M 145M 44.69
Trailing Stop.
REGN 01/17 Cup hdl 21.88 -0.63 22.96 27.85 359K 860K 21.55
Buy Not Hit. Faded, but low volume and holding the 10 day EMA on
the low. Still a nice pattern and a good shakeout setting
up the breakout. Ah. Poetry.
SKX 11/30 FlyPlat 34.15 -0.29 30.16 35.88 357K 450K 33.89
Current. Nice test of the 18 day EMA on lower volume. SKX is
setting up for the next buy when it bounces off this
support. Retail is getting dollars thrown its way right
now after tech lost out.
SMOD 12/19 Test 18 12.02 -0.92 12.98 15.55 7.7M 212K 13.48
Current.
SNCR 12/28 Test 18 14.50 -0.70 14.95 18.32 929K 295K 15.95
Current. A newer issue and accordingly volatile. Managed to
bounce off some support at 14. Will give it to early
next week to do that but it has to hold in this general
area.
SNDA 12/26 Test 18 22.09 -0.83 21.66 25.99 540K 750K 21.47
Current. Faded on low volume after a couple of solid sessions.
Nice test that will give us another entry if it holds
here or at the 10 day EMA (21.62) and bounces.
SOHU 01/13 Test BO 25.79 -0.91 26.74 32.12 589K 850K 25.92
Current. Dove lower to the 18 day EMA, but held there on lower
though above avge volume. That keeps it above the November
high in teh pattern. This is where it needs to continue
higher.
STEC 01/08 Test 18 11.32 -1.24 12.22 14.84 1.8M 1.1M 11.78
Exited.
STEC 11/15 Test 50 11.32 -1.24 9.15 10.98 1.8M 650K 11.98
Trailing Stop. Made a lower high so we took the rest of the gain off
the table.
STX 01/11 Cup hdl 26.29 -1.09 27.44 32.95 9.2M 8M 26.18
Buy Not Issued. Volume was up as STX broke lower, reversing the breakout
attempt on Wednesday. Dropping for now to see how it
shakes out.
TWLL 01/08 Test 50 17.30 -0.42 17.32 20.79 303K 331K 16.98
Current. Faded modestly to the 50 day SMA on lower, average
trade. Still in excellent shape even if it is a chip
equipment stock.
VCLK 01/03 Test 18 24.31 +0.32 24.34 29.32 1.9M 3.5M 23.22
Current. Not bad action at all, ignoring the selling as it held
above near support, posting a modest gain.
VRNT 12/21 Rev HS 35.74 -0.78 34.78 40.68 215K 200K 32.98
Gapped lower but held the 10 day EMA. Right back where
it started from but still in the pattern. Will see
how it reacts here.
VSEA 12/09 Asc Bse 40.67 -5.41 45.13 51.95 5.5M 1.4M 45.32
Exited.
WFR 01/06 Cup hdl 44.81 -1.25 41.40 47.95 6.1M 5.5M 43.88
Target Hit. Took some interim gain off the table and then WFR slid
back some but compared to its relatives it was beautiful.
Still above support & the 10 day EMA at 44. Excellent
showing of strength.
WMS 01/09 DB hdl 38.00 -1.15 37.84 44.95 359K 450K 37.55
Current. Tanked to the 10 day EMA on rising, average trade.
This is where it needs to hold so it can continue the
new high run.
XING 01/16 Trnd Rv 14.99 +0.85 15.16 18.12 2.6M 1M 13.95
Entered today. Paid no mind to the market, continuing its higher volume
move on, well, higher volume.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
UTEK 01/06 Put 12.02 -0.06 12.37 11.31 357K 375K 12.65
Buy Not Issued. Just won't break lower. Want to see it rebound here
and test the 10 day EMA (12.24) once again and then
roll over. Showing a lot of tenacity for a chip equip
stock so we were hesitant to move in.
End part 2 of 3
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