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us stock market, trend trading stock
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri=Ascending triangle/wedge; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle/wedge; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
^SOXX 01/06 Test 20 0.00 -18.26 476.00 496.00 0 0 478.55
Exited. Imploded as investors found nothing to like in the
LRCX report and with INTC and AMD already reporting
unsavory results investors just bailed from the sector.
AKAM 01/03 Test 50 53.12 -0.47 53.55 61.35 2.3M 7.6M 52.38
Current. Tapped the 50 day EMA on the low and rebounded to recoup
some lost ground. Volume was up but still below average.
Still trending up the 50 day MA and as long as it
does that we will let it alone.
ALNY 01/17 Test BO 21.41 -0.63 22.65 27.45 304K 600K 21.18
Buy Not Hit. Tested back to the 50 day SMA on continued below avg
volume. Good point for it to hold and make a higher
low that sends it higher.
AMAG 12/27 Test 18 64.03 -0.52 60.55 71.95 270K 425K 61.72
Current. Ignoring all the other noice in the market, fading
back for a modest loss on continued below avg volume.
AMKR 01/06 Cup hdl 10.34 -0.45 11.30 13.69 4.2M 5.9M 10.51
Current. A chip but decided to hold onto it as it tested and
held its 18 day EMA on the close, keeping its good
pattern in tact. Needs to find some support in this
10ish range but again, still a solid pattern.
ASIA 01/10 Test BO 8.11 -0.25 8.68 10.78 451K 500K 7.94
Current. Nice below avg volume test of the of the last move
higher, tapping at the 10 day EMA on the low and bouncing
modestly. Still in a nice uptrend that was not shaken
by the Thursday market action.
ASMI 01/17 Flat 21.89 -0.13 21.92 26.31 274K 194K 20.08
Current. Gapped higher once more but could not hold the move
in the chip struggles, but considering the shellacking
the rest of the sector took this was mighty fing action.
ATHR 01/04 Cup hdl 22.74 -0.99 23.05 28.21 2.3M 3.2M 23.48
Current. ATHR sold on the chip issues but it also held the 50 day SMA and volume was not out of control. Thus let it ride for the session to let it rebound of f the 50 day and see how it takes on the recent highs just over 24.
ATI 01/11 Dbl btm 90.36 -1.18 90.88 99.90 2.4M 3.2M 88.45
Buy Not Issued. Still in solid position to breakout. Thurs it started
strong but could not keep the move alive, fading to
close at the 10 day EMA. Again, still a very solid
pattern and relatively unphased by the market selling.
BIDU 01/09 Cup hdl 121.38 -4.11 127.00 139.95 2.7M 4.5M 126.31
Current. Volatile as the wind as always. It was down Thursday
but it held some support at 120 and volume was still
below avg. Needs to hold this 120 level.
BMC 01/10 Test BO 33.80 -1.20 35.31 40.95 1.7M 2.4M 33.95
Buy Not Issued.
BMC 12/16 Flat 33.80 -1.20 33.10 39.75 1.7M 2.5M 33.98
Current. Slipped below the 18 day EMA on the close but volume
was still below average so let it make this sympathy
move with the market today.
BOBJ 12/16 Cup hdl 36.52 -0.76 40.65 48.88 2M 2.5M 38.65
Current. Sold lower again but volume was lower and it tapped
the 90 day SMA and held. Now it needs to deliver that
bounce back through 38.
BRCM 01/04 Test 20 32.31 -0.06 34.38 42.95 5.1M 17M 32.36
Exited. Looked pathetic, unable to even attempt a bounce as
it faded below all near support.
BSC 01/06 Test 18 169.23 -1.99 163.10 179.00 1.3M 2M 168.11
Current. Came back to the 10 day EMA on rising trade but that
is all. It is still in its strong uptrend above the
10 adn 18 day EMA.
BYD 01/17 Test BO 47.34 -0.73 48.86 54.96 886K 1.2M 46.78
Buy Not Hit. Fading back a bit further on continued light volume,
heading toward the 18 day EMA where we anticipate it
will find support.
COGO 01/13 Test 18 16.02 -2.44 19.45 23.45 1.8M 1M 18.42
Buy Not Hit. Well that is what you call a break of the trend. Dropping
(the play; it is obvious the stock is doing that).
COH 09/25 Test BO 45.05 -0.81 35.05 40.48 3.2M 5M 44.65
Current. Held the 18 day EMA on the low and rebounded to hold
the 10 day on the close. That keeps it in the uptrend.
Impressive.
CRAY 12/20 Test 50 13.01 +0.17 11.21 13.65 389K 596K 12.28
Current. Impressive showing of relative strenght as CRAY tapped
at the 10 day EMA on the low once again and then rebounded
for a modest gain. Excellent handle formation continues
with this move.
CTDC 01/16 Cup hdl 7.86 -0.24 8.64 12.11 168K 506K 7.72
Current. After giving up the intraday breakout CTDC is trying
to set up once more. Faded Thursday but easily held
in its pattern, ready to try again.
CTRP 12/21 Test BO 63.77 -1.00 63.88 73.48 362K 475K 63.69
Current. Cracked the 18 day EMA on the close but volume remained
below avg. A volatile stock and it held up superbly
in the weak market.
CTRP 12/09 Test BO 63.77 -1.00 58.50 69.95 362K 525K 63.69
Current.
FFIV 01/04 FlyPlat 75.05 -3.81 77.45 91.95 2.3M 1.1M 76.11
Current. Tough session as it dumped to 75 on high volume where
there is some support. Has to hold in this range.
GPRO 12/13 Cup 51.23 -0.95 53.85 61.55 297K 400K 51.68
Exited. Sold on higher volume back to the 200 day MA after
just bouncing from that level. Will see if it can reload
at this level; the pattern is still in decent shape
and the sector is right.
GS 01/08 Flat 209.68 -3.55 204.55 225.00 6.5M 4.9M 209.78
Current. Sold back as did most financials, but held above the
10 day EMA on the close so left it alone.
HCP 12/20 Test BO 38.87 +0.17 36.80 4395.0 1.8M 1.4M 37.95
Current. Gapped lower but then a furious recovery to close above
the 10 day EMA yet again as it continues its trend.
This action warrants closer scrutiny but like how it
came back.
HLTH 12/12 Saucer 12.85 +0.05 12.38 14.85 3.7M 5M 12.77
Current. Excellent action, holding the 10 day EMA and posting
a modest bounce on a weak market session.
HMSY 12/14 Asc Bse 17.81 -0.40 14.98 18.31 137K 331K 17.45
Current. Still holding up, working laterally on very low volume
as it tests the recent run higher, refusing to give
up any ground.
IBM 12/12 Test 18 99.45 -0.57 95.05 104.95 15M 8M 98.38
Current. This time around IBM could not light up the earnings
as in October. A nice uptrend was ripped after hours
w/IBM trading near 94. Will see if it can hold the
50 day EMA at 95 on Friday after a weak open.
IIVI 01/10 Test BO 28.82 -0.32 29.48 34.95 114K 295K 27.98
Buy Not Hit.
IIVI 12/18 Asc Bse 28.82 -0.32 27.64 32.98 114K 270K 27.95
Current. Still working laterally at the 10 day EMA on low volume,
holding up very well in the weak market, and still
set up to deliver the next break higher.
INFY 12/19 Test 50 56.06 -1.34 54.37 65.45 1.4M 2.6M 55.95
Current. Faded but it was a sympathy fade as volume remained
very light and very below average as it held above
the 18 day MA. Still in excellent shape.
JSDA 01/03 Test BO 13.22 +0.25 12.41 14.98 917K 550K 12.29
Current. Another upside session on strong volume but it closed
well off the high as it has trouble holding those big
early gains. Hard to complain as it continues the upside
breakout.
KNOL 01/09 Asc Bse 11.19 -0.12 11.38 13.95 225K 165K 10.58
Buy Not Issued. Tapped support on the low and recovered to close basically
flat. Still in great shape to post a new breakout.
KNOT 01/08 Test 50 28.71 -2.04 27.57 32.98 1.2M 625K 29.11
Current. Sold off on some sharp volume, but tapped the 18 day
EMA on the low and rebounded modestly. This stock is
volatile and gets pushed around some, but the trend
is holding even after the Thursday selling.
LEH 12/20 DB hdl 82.30 -1.02 78.38 89.95 3.9M 5.5M 80.38
Current. Modest fade on lower volume as the financial sector
took it on the session as well but still holds an excellent
position.
LRCX 01/09 Test 50 46.22 -7.91 52.48 60.45 18M 5.5M 51.95
Exited. A medieval gutting after LRCX suggested the future
was not so strong. Gapped lower and could not recover
to hold the 200 day MA.
MA 01/04 Cup 102.49 -6.55 101.11 119.75 4.2M 3.5M 103.95
Current. MA is a high fligher and it got belted on Thursday but it held the 18 day EMA on the close and it is not really an area money is leaving (volume was lower than the Wednesday upside trade). If it holds here and bounces we want more.
MAN 01/16 FlyPlat 75.73 -1.65 77.22 88.85 393K 1.1M 74.32
Buy Not Issued. Needed some more manpower to push it higher but even
without that the move was solid as it faded but held
teh 18 day EMA on low volume. Not bad action given
the market and still set up to continue the breakout.
MRVC 12/27 Cup hdl 3.83 -0.07 3.72 4.78 2.2M 2M 3.71
Current. Slipped lower again but volume was lower as well, much
lower than the Tues gap higher trade. Given that we
let it ride on this test of that gap. A hold at 3.75
and a rebound from there is an add-to point.
MS 12/11 Asc Bse 81.21 -1.17 80.19 91.95 4.1M 5M 80.89
Current. Had a tougher time than many of the big financials.
It closed just below the 18 day EMA on rising but still
just average volume. That keeps it in the trend. Needs
to hold in this general range and start the move back up.
MXIM 01/08 Test 20 31.52 -1.55 32.38 38.95 8M 6.5M 32.48
Current. Was hammered lower with the other chips, but it held
the 50 day SMA on the close. Giving a chance to bounce
from here, but it does need to bounce from here.
NITE 12/27 DB hdl 18.43 -3.03 20.37 24.41 7.2M 2M 20.45
Exited. Good nite nurse. One of the financials that disappointed
on earnins and was whacked.
NTGR 01/13 Test BO 28.00 -1.78 29.78 35.72 1.9M 900K 28.28
Current. Knocked lower on strong trade but after undercutting
some support at 28 it rebounded to hold that level
on the close. Will give it a chance to rebound from here.
NVLS 11/13 Cup hdl 30.19 -2.19 31.12 37.25 8.9M 3.9M 33.57
Current. Just nothing redeeming about the session.
NYX 01/13 Cup hdl 100.55 -5.00 105.85 124.95 11M 5.2M 101.55
Current. A nice lateral consolidation was rocked on high volume.
Held some support at 100 and will let it try to rebound
from here. Needs to hold near here.
PCLN 12/20 Asc Bse 43.15 -0.88 43.05 50.95 886K 1.4M 43.38
Current. Cracked below the 18 day EMA on the close but rallied
off the session lows and volume was still below average.
Needs to hold the line here and we gave it a day to
do that.
SNDA 12/26 Test 18 22.09 -0.83 21.66 25.99 540K 750K 21.47
Current. Faded on low volume after a couple of solid sessions.
Nice test that will give us another entry if it holds
here or at the 10 day EMA (21.62) and bounces.
SOHU 01/13 Test BO 25.79 -0.91 26.74 32.12 589K 850K 25.92
Current. Dove lower to the 18 day EMA, but held there on lower
though above avge volume. That keeps it above the November
high in teh pattern. This is where it needs to continue
higher.
SYK 12/18 Test BO 59.00 +0.51 55.67 63.95 2.2M 1.4M 57.22
Current. Holding up well as it moves laterally, ignoring the
weak market and setting up the next move higher.
TALX 12/16 Asc Bse 27.25 -0.30 27.38 32.95 427K 325K 26.68
Current. Closed at the 18 day EMA on a sharp jump in volume.
Nice hold in a weak market. We will see. Has to hold
this level.
TECH 12/11 Test 20 58.92 -0.28 56.69 64.95 140K 300K 57.55
Current. Modest loss in a nice trend higher. Nothing wrong with
this stock. Even the loss was on below avg volume.
TYL 01/13 Test 50 13.94 -0.23 14.78 17.89 138K 300K 13.75
Buy Not Issued. Dropping. Faded below 14. Will watch it to see if it
can form back up.
TZIX 01/17 Test BO 20.09 +0.99 19.38 23.48 2.1M 575K 18.48
Strong session on very strong volume, clearing the
6 week lateral move.
USM 12/26 Test 18 70.80 -1.18 69.68 79.75 125K 150K 70.11
Volume was up as it fell to the 18 day EMA. This is
where it needs to hold to keep the uptrend alive.
VCLK 01/03 Test 18 24.31 +0.32 24.34 29.32 1.9M 3.5M 23.22
Current. Not bad action at all, ignoring the selling as it held
above near support, posting a modest gain.
VRNT 12/21 Rev HS 35.74 -0.78 34.78 40.68 215K 200K 32.98
Gapped lower but held the 10 day EMA. Right back where
it started from but still in the pattern. Will see
how it reacts here.
VRSN 01/11 Test 50 23.61 -0.66 24.82 28.95 3.4M 4.5M 23.88
Buy Not Hit. Broke lower below the 50 day ema. Not going to fill
the gap just yet.
VSEA 12/09 Asc Bse 40.67 -5.41 45.13 51.95 5.5M 1.4M 45.32
Exited.
WFR 01/06 Cup hdl 44.81 -1.25 41.40 47.95 6.1M 5.5M 43.88
Target Hit. Took some interim gain off the table and then WFR slid
back some but compared to its relatives it was beautiful.
Still above support & the 10 day EMA at 44. Excellent
showing of strength.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
BEBE 01/17 Put 18.18 +0.18 17.88 15.85 760K 1.2M 18.32
Buy Not Hit. Tapped the 18 day EMA on the high and then faded to
close just over 18. Still looks ready to continues
its trend lower.
SFD 01/17 Put 24.71 -0.09 28.78 27.75 1.6M 1.4M 25.05
Buy Not Issued. Doji after reaching lower on some big volume. May try
to bounce to the 10 day EMA before turning back down.
That would be a perfect entry point.
TEK 01/06 Put 28.30 -0.08 28.40 27.05 446K 610K 28.82
Current. Tapped 28 on the low and rebounded but still looks
ready to just continue the slide down the 10 day EMA
even if it bounces some here.
UTEK 01/06 Put 12.02 -0.06 12.37 11.31 357K 375K 12.65
Buy Not Issued. Just won't break lower. Want to see it rebound here
and test the 10 day EMA (12.24) once again and then
roll over. Showing a lot of tenacity for a chip equip
stock so we were hesitant to move in.
End part 2 of 3
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us stock market
trend trading stock
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