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Begin part 2 of 3
**NOTE: Part 1 will be forwarded after part 2
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri=Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.) Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon Market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor Market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ADS 01/16 DB hdl 67.00 -0.10 66.39 75.95 674K 1.3M 65.44
Current. Still not making a move befitting the pattern, but after the bounce off the 50 day MA a little low volume sideways work is ok. Third straight doji as it tests that move; refuses to give up gains & that is a solid positive.
AKAM 01/03 Test 50 55.87 +0.73 53.55 61.35 3.7M 7.6M 53.88
Current. Another upside session, clearing the Jan high on a
bit better but still so-so volume. Just letting it
work for us here, looking for some more trade to break
it out over the 56.80 level marking the December highs.
AMT 01/08 Flat 39.78 +0.24 39.38 45.45 1.6M 3.5M 39.25
Current. Modest rebound from Monday test of 18 day EMA. Low
trade as it makes thi stest after a good early Jan
surge. This is a good place to hold & just being patient
& letting it make this test.
ANST 12/26 Cup hdl 28.40 +0.41 28.36 33.95 140K 400K 27.95
Current. Another upside session on low volume as ANST continues
working on the ascending base after a higher low at
the 50 day EMA. Solid pattern. Earnings mid-February.
ARXT 01/25 Cup hdl 45.08 +0.18 46.55 54.95 573K 506K 44.68
Buy Not Hit. More work on the handle, holding at the 10 day EMA after the Monday test of the 18 day looks to have set the bottom of this pullback. Now we need the move higher. Like how volume moved even higher above avg. Close. Earnings 2-7-07.
ATHR 01/04 Cup hdl 23.60 -0.43 23.05 28.21 5M 3.2M 23.48
Trailing Stop. Announced earnings and gapped lower. When it undercut the 10 day MA we took the money off the table. It ended up holding that levle & may post a new breakout from here. If it does we will look at it as a new play.
BEAV 01/10 Cup hdl 28.08 -0.05 28.81 34.45 521K 1M 27.48
Current. Holding steady in a tightening range on below avg volume
as BEAV prepares to break the dam & surge higher again.
Excellent action presaging the move. Earnings 2-5-07
before the open.
BMC 01/10 Test BO 34.42 +0.32 35.31 40.95 1.1M 2.4M 33.95
Buy Not Issued.
BMC 12/16 Flat 34.42 +0.32 33.10 39.75 1.1M 2.5M 33.98
Current. Continued modestly higher after gapping lower Monday.
Not a lot of trade but have to like how it recovered
off that key support. Earnings 2-8-07 after the close.
Holding its uptrend nicely.
CHDX 01/23 Cup hdl 24.26 -0.74 24.32 28.95 111K 200K 22.62
Current. Took a very low volume rest after that strong price
& volume move Monday. Just going to let it continue
working higher up the 10 day EMA.
CRM 01/24 DB hdl 42.95 +0.46 43.19 51.85 1.3M 1.5M 41.77
Entered today. Gapped higher on rising but still below avg volume.
Used that to start some positions & will add as it
shows more strength. Earnings mid-February.
CROX 01/20 Test BO 51.50 +0.27 49.00 58.95 1.7M 2.5M 47.77
Current. Rallied to 53 but could not hold it even though voluem
rose to above average. Third upside session off the
18 day EMA surge. A bit of cold feet at the new high
but letting it run for us regardless.
CROX 01/08 Cup 51.50 +0.27 46.27 53.95 1.7M 2M 48.65
Current.
DO 01/30 Cup hdl 83.17 +2.48 83.42 95.95 4.2M 5.7M 81.45
Entered today. Saw this strong price & volume move as DO came of a short handle to a 7 week cup base that is part of a larger 9 month cup w/handle. Had been watching it & issued the alert when saw the move. Still a buy on this break higher. Earnings 2-8-07.
GIGM 01/24 Cup 11.15 +0.15 11.27 13.75 517K 1.3M 10.55
Buy Not Hit. Still working laterally on low volume, forming the
handle to its nice 18 week cup. Nice action. Earnings
around 2-8 (foreign so info less sketchy).
HLTH 12/07 Saucer 14.08 +0.34 12.38 14.85 10M 5M 13.55
Current. Another surge on tremendous volume as HLTH continues
its run off the break higher a week back. Looking for
another session from this move on Wednesday & then
can lock in some gain.
HMSY 01/24 Test BO 19.33 +0.33 19.02 22.75 228K 333K 18.18
Current. Another gain on lower trade, but the Monday move was
on strong volume. Starting a new leg so going to het
this one run for another 2 or so points. Earnings are
in early February but no firm details on this yet.
HMSY 12/14 Asc Bse 19.33 +0.33 14.98 18.31 228K 331K 18.18
Current. Another gain on lower trade, but the Monday move was
on strong volume. Starting a new leg so going to het
this one run for another 2 or so points. Earnings are
in early February but no firm details on this yet.
ICE 01/23 Test 18 131.44 +1.56 133.00 151.00 2.9M 3.5M 131.95
Current. Gapped lower to the 18 day EMA, held, and is rebounding now, closing above the 10 day EMA. It is volatile as the March wind & it uses the 18 day as a bounce point. Looking to add positions as this bounce continues. Earnings 2-7-07 before the open.
ILMN 01/22 Cup 39.50 +0.08 41.52 49.88 1.1M 1.2M 39.28
Current. Still working along the 50 day EMA. Volume rose Tuesday
as ILMN tried to make the move higher. Earnings 2-1-07.
In October it gapped sharply higher out of the same
pattern on its earnings.
INFY 01/03 Asc Bse 57.57 +0.25 56.13 65.65 761K 1.6M 56.38
Current. Still holding the 10 day EMA on low volume, continuing
its trend higher but seeking more volume to send it higher.
ININ 01/29 Test 50 19.89 -0.27 20.52 24.65 112K 400K 19.08
Buy Not Hit. Still holding above the 50 day EMA on low volume, still set up to make the break higher.
JNJ 01/18 Cup 66.39 +0.24 68.08 78.45 7.2M 10M 66.12
Current. Rallied modestly to the 50 day EMA after holding the
90 day MA. Again, this is where it needs to make its
bounce.
KNOT 01/27 Test BO 30.06 -1.69 31.02 37.32 1.1M 825K 29.78
Current. As volatile as ever, giving back the Monday breakout,
but closing at the 10 day EMA. Volatile but as long
as it trends higher you have to let it make these moves.
Earnings mid-February.
LVLT 01/06 DB hdl 6.11 -0.03 6.12 7.65 32M 35M 6.22
Current. Still holding the 18 day EMA, trying to get its footing
to continue the break higher. Earnings are 2-8-07.
Given it is holding support we are letting it ride for now.
MA 01/20 Test BO 110.75 +1.01 107.09 121.00 1.2M 4.5M 107.89
Current.
MA 01/04 Cup 110.75 +1.01 101.11 119.75 1.2M 3.5M 107.89
Current. Continues its modest move up the 10 day EMA as volume
remains very low. Letting it trend higher up near support.
Earnings 2-9-07.
MDRX 01/18 Cup hdl 29.75 +0.03 29.09 34.75 723K 1.2M 28.55
Current. Some rising volume as MDRX tested toward the 10 day
EMA on the low and rebounded. Still holding the break
higher with this lateral move while the 10 day EMA
rises to meet it.Earnings 2-13-07 after the close.
MNST 12/11 Cup hdl 49.05 +0.61 48.14 56.78 509K 2.4M 48.98
Current. MNST has held the December highs intraday and the 18
day EMA on the close and is now moving higher off that
level. Still set up well for the breakout move. Earnings
2-1-07 before the open.
MO 12/02 Test BO 87.54 -0.52 85.99 99.95 11M 14M 87.25
Current. Faded to the 18 day EMA on the close as volume remained above avg. Key for it to hold here after failing to take out the early January highs on the Monday run then reversal. Earnings 1-31-07. We will find out soon if it can hold the line here.
MR 12/26 Test 50 25.12 +0.17 24.45 29.75 859K 1.1M 24.75
Current. Gapped higher on stronger though still slightly below avg volume. Nice continuation off the 50 day EMA test and looking better and better here as it takes aim on a new all-time high.
MRVC 12/20 Cup hdl 4.11 +0.07 3.72 4.78 2.6M 2M 3.88
Current. Another good move higher as MRVC resumes its upside
on some decent volume as well. Going to let it run
higher ahead of its 2-15-07 earnings.
NTGR 01/13 Test BO 27.26 -0.21 29.78 35.72 426K 900K 28.28
Current. Faded to the 50 day EMA on lwo volume. Still holding
that key suport and the Nov/Dec range. Let it make
this test but now it has to show us the rebound. Earnings
2-15-07 after the close.
NYX 01/13 Cup hdl 100.75 +0.65 105.85 124.95 4.6M 5.2M 101.55
Current. Still hugging the 50 day SMA on the lows as it works laterally at 100, setting up the next run higher. Earnings 2-2-07 before the open. Taht will definitely act as a trigger for the stock given its flat line moving into the number.
PAY 01/13 Test BO 39.92 -0.16 37.56 44.95 1.1M 1M 38.65
Current. Took the day off though volume surged back above average on the test lower & rebound back up. Still trending higher but has for the past 2 weeks. Slowing some & may try to test the 10 day before continuing higher. Earnings early March.
QGEN 01/25 Test BO 16.78 +0.29 16.27 19.22 219K 536K 15.77
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher once more but on very low volume. Very
gappy, making it hard to get in on. Earnings 2-12-07.
RJF 01/20 Asc Bse 31.36 +0.28 32.04 38.45 366K 500K 31.15
Exited. Started down again and we closed it. Managed a bounce
off the 90 day SMA so may still make the breakout.
Will keep watching it to see if it can make the break.
SKX 01/18 Test 18 34.65 -0.35 34.97 41.88 382K 650K 34.94
Current. Holding the 10 day EMA on the close as SKX gives back part of the Monday gain on lower volume. Still in good position to move higher, & if it holds the 10 day here it makes a higher low, a positive for a continued move higher.
SNCR 12/28 Test 18 15.22 +0.08 14.95 18.32 171K 295K 14.95
Current. Nice doji with a reach down to the 18 day EMA and a
rebound to hold the 10 day EMA on low volume. Nice
test of near support & ready to make a higher low and
contiues its move higher. Earnings 2-6-07 after the close.
SNDA 12/26 Test 18 22.50 -0.39 21.66 25.99 366K 750K 22.04
Current. Sold back but held the 10 day EMA on the close on low,
low volume. SNDA continues to trend higher along this
near support. Want it to show a higher low here and
continue the surge. Earnings 2-13-07.
SOHU 01/27 Test BO 27.02 -0.34 26.59 31.95 620K 865K 26.25
Current. Faded modestly and on lower volume after that strong
Monday breakout. Should hold above ealry January highs
(26.83) & resume the move. A test of that level & bounce
sets up a new buy.
TWLL 01/08 Test 50 17.15 -0.02 17.32 20.79 168K 331K 16.98
Current. Still in the tight range at the 18 day EMA on low volume.
It is about as set up as it can be for the next breakout.
Earnings 2-14-07.
VCLK 01/27 Test BO 26.40 +0.28 26.10 30.85 1.6M 2.8M 25.04
Current. Continuing to a new high though not a lot of trade
to push it. No issues with that, just letting it make
its move higher. Earnings 2-21-07.
VCLK 01/03 Test 18 26.40 +0.28 24.34 29.32 1.6M 3.5M 25.04
Current. Continuing to a new high though not a lot of trade
to push it. No issues with that, just letting it make
its move higher. Earnings 2-21-07.
WEBX 01/29 Trnd Rv 37.30 +0.36 37.25 42.75 1.1M 900K 35.57
Entered today. Volume jumped as WEBX jumped higher. It closed well
off the high but WEBX has garnered a lot of volume
of late. Reports earnings 1-31-07 after the close.
WFR 01/20 Test BO 52.73 -1.10 46.34 53.95 4.4M 6M 51.55
Slowed some, showing a doji on lower volume. Likely
just a pause after a strong break higher, but worth
taking part of the gain off the table as it did.
WMS 01/09 DB hdl 39.67 +0.45 37.84 44.95 291K 450K 39.89
Current. Nice hold of the 10 day EMA, reaching lower and recovering
it on the close for a modest gain. Excellent test and
ready t move higher from here. Earnings 2-5-07 after
teh close.
WNR 01/27 Cup hdl 27.64 +0.58 27.31 32.75 231K 750K 25.80
Buy Not Issued. Moved higher but just no volume pushing it. Have to
be somewhat skeptical of such moves.
XING 01/16 Trnd Rv 16.88 +0.30 15.16 18.12 1.8M 1M 15.97
Current. Gapped higher and rallied to 17.42 on the high before fading back for a small gain. After the strong run this pattern on the candlestick indicates a bit of a pullback as ti tests the Oct. high. Could form a handle & then surge once again. March earnings.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
CMVT 01/27 Put 19.94 +0.09 19.66 18.38 2.2M 4.6M 19.95
Buy Not Issued. Modest bounce up toward the 10 day EMA on low volume. Does nothing to change the downtrend except give us a better entry point as it turns over.
DGII 01/27 Put 12.71 0.00 12.48 11.39 91K 140K 12.94
Buy Not Issued. Dipped lower and rebounded to flat on continued below avg volume, closing just below the 10 day EMA. Still looking for it to fall from here. If it does we can jump on it.
NVDA 01/25 Put 30.76 +0.58 31.35 29.15 11M 12M 30.68
Current. Modest bounce off of some support at 30 but volume was much lower than the Friday and Monday selling volume. Earnings around 2-8-07. Looking for NVDA to turn back down after this lower volume bounce from the sharper selling.
NVLS 01/22 Put 30.41 +0.22 29.87 28.00 4M 6M 30.31
Buy Not Issued. Still below the 90 day SMA, still working laterally
and not breaking down but now moving up. We will just
sit & wait and let it show us the move & take it if
it gives it to us.
QQQQ 01/25 Put 43.63 +0.02 43.53 42.50 70M 120M 43.88
Current. Doji at the 50 day EMA (44.01) on low volume. Still
a very toppish pattern & still looking for the break
lower from here.
RNOW 01/29 Put 15.20 +0.20 14.88 13.38 354K 310K 15.44
Entered today. Turned lower but then rebounded on us. Volume was lower and below average. Still looking for a turn back down as RNOW continues its downtrend. Earnings 1-31-07 after the close.
SBUX 01/29 Put 34.56 0.00 34.44 32.92 14M 11M 34.88
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher on an upgrade ahead of the 1-31 earnings after the close. It reversed sharply off the high and closed flat on strong volume. SBUX' sales, despite a bump highe near year end, are starting to decline. Looking to enter as it falls.
SIRF 01/27 Put 23.88 +0.09 24.44 22.42 5.3M 2.2M 24.65
Running sharply higher after hours on earnings. Going
to drop it.
End part 2 of 3
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