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Begin part 2 of 3
NOTE: Part 1 will be forwarded following part 2.
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ADS 01/16 DB hdl 64.83 -1.60 66.39 75.95 1.3M 1.3M 66.28
Current. Managed to hold above the 50 day EMA (64.23) on the
tap low, rebounding to hold the 50 day SMA on the close.
Competing analyst calls. Tends to test the 50 day &
rally off that level.
AKAM 01/03 Test 50 58.18 +2.63 53.55 61.35 5.3M 7.6M 54.88
Current. Excellent breakout to a new all-time high from a neat
little 8 week double bottom w/handle. It as the NASD
2006 leader & weathered some selling by forming the
base. Then it breaks out. Strength on strength.
AMKR 01/06 Cup hdl 11.44 +0.39 11.30 13.69 4.3M 5.9M 10.58
Current. Nice price & volume break higher as AMKR clears the
January closing high. That sets the stage for a run
toward 13 over the next couple of weeks. Earnings 2-7-07
after the close.
AMT 01/08 Flat 40.04 +0.10 39.38 45.45 1.5M 3.5M 39.38
Current. Still moving laterally at 40 as the 10 & 18 day EMA push it up against that level. A good consolidation that has refused to give up its gains, a positive indication. Now it needs to make the break higher to resume the breakout. Earnings late February.
ANF 02/03 Test BO 80.37 -0.40 80.21 92.85 1.2M 2.6M 79.11
Buy Not Hit. Nice breakout test as ANF has come back to test & hold
80. It is a buy as it comes up off of this level and
continues the break to the new high.
ANST 12/26 Cup hdl 27.82 +0.05 28.36 33.95 171K 400K 27.95
Current. Still trying to get it in gear over the 50 day EMA
(27.45) as volume moves up to average. In position
but has to make the move. Earnings mid-February.
AOB 02/03 Asc Bse 13.27 -0.23 13.65 15.88 1M 2M 12.78
Buy Not Hit. Modest fade back to test the 10 day EMA intraday as
it sets up for a higher low here to push it out of
its 9 week ascending base and taking it to the next
all-time high.
BA 02/03 Test BO 90.72 +0.67 90.32 99.95 3M 5.8M 88.88
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher from the Friday pullback but was fading
most of the session after that early move so we held
off, letting it show that this test is through. If
it continues on strong volume it is a buy.
BIDU 01/09 Cup hdl 115.99 -3.62 127.00 139.95 2M 4.5M 126.31
Exited. BIDU did not bounce for us and though volatile it was
closing below the 50 day EMA so we exited.
BMC 01/10 Test BO 35.63 -0.10 35.48 40.95 1.8M 2.4M 34.28
Current.
BMC 12/16 Flat 35.63 -0.10 33.10 39.75 1.8M 2.5M 33.98
Current. Took a day off Monday after the excellent surge higher
last week off the 50 day EMA.
CLB 01/27 PreAnn 82.53 +1.01 81.48 98.88 490K 500K 79.42
Current. Working laterally right at the 50 day SMA as volume jumped higher Monday, coming in well above avg. Very nice set up for the break higher, and really like the high volume as it holds the line; that often indicates a spring upside is ready. Earnings 2-14.
CRM 01/24 DB hdl 47.13 +0.38 43.19 51.85 1.4M 1.5M 45.38
Current. Adding a day of modest gains to its strong move from
last week. Volume faded to average; getting a bit tired
but a nice breakout.
CROX 01/20 Test BO 56.61 +1.82 49.00 58.95 3.9M 2.5M 52.62
Current. Continued the surge higher with a high volume gap as
it received an upgrade raising the target to 80. Getting
a bit overheated on this segment of the move, but hard
to complain at all.
CROX 01/08 Cup 56.61 +1.82 46.27 53.95 3.9M 2M 52.68
Current. Continued the surge higher with a high volume gap as
it received an upgrade raising the target to 80. Getting
a bit overheated on this segment of the move, but hard
to complain at all.
CTRP 01/22 Test 18 69.25 +0.62 67.55 77.65 433K 550K 71.55
Current. Moded up some on rising, above avg trade, but still
traded in a wide range on the session. It is holding
over the early Jan highs on this test, a good point
for ti to reload and show us some upside.
CXW 01/27 Test BO 48.72 -0.35 49.47 56.95 287K 550K 47.88
Current. Hammer doji on the 10 day EMA as CXW tried to break
higher off this consolidation point after the mid-January
breakout. Sure looks ready to continue the break higher.
Earnings 2-8-07.
DADE 01/30 Test BO 43.05 +0.31 42.65 48.95 248K 965K 41.88
Current. Gapping higher and continuing the Friday move off the
10 day EMA test. Could use some more trade to push
it past the mid-January closing high at 43.15. Earnings
2-14-07.
DO 01/30 Cup hdl 84.20 -0.38 83.42 95.95 3.6M 5.7M 82.44
Current. Tried the run through 85 but again it was rebuffed,
fading on rising, above avg volume. Still high volume
on that late January run shows buyers are out there.
Needs to hold at the 10 day EMA (82.65). Earnings 2-8-07.
FRX 12/21 Cup hdl 57.06 -0.02 52.62 59.95 1.9M 3.5M 55.55
Current. Took the day off but after a fade recovered to close
flat on continued below avg volume. Just keeping the
move up the 10 day EMA going. Earnings were 1-16-07.
GENZ 02/01 PreAnn 65.53 -0.39 66.22 75.95 1.2M 3M 64.88
Buy Not Issued. Still at the 50 day EMA, thus far going nowhere. Earnings
2-14-07
GIGM 01/24 Cup 11.81 +0.13 11.48 13.95 488K 1.3M 11.22
Current. Still holding its strong last week surge, working laterally
on low volume as it sets up the next move. Excellent
action. Earnings around 2-8 (foreign so info less sketchy).
GS 02/01 Test 18 212.55 -0.88 212.88 231.90 3M 6.5M 209.55
Current. Modest loss to the 10 day EMA on very low volume as
GS works laterally over the 10 day EMA.
HCP 12/20 Test BO 41.17 +0.06 36.80 43.95 1.2M 1.4M 40.22
Current. Gapped higher but faded to flat on continued below
avg volume but just keeps on moving up the trend above
the 10 day EMA.
HMSY 01/24 Test BO 19.98 -0.08 19.02 22.75 361K 333K 18.95
Current. Doji on rising, above avg volume after a week of gains.
Showing a bit of selling after that surge but overall
in excellent shape. Earnings 2-28-07.
HMSY 12/14 Asc Bse 19.98 -0.08 14.98 18.31 361K 331K 19.04
Current. Doji on rising, above avg volume after a week of gains.
Showing a bit of selling after that surge but overall
in excellent shape. Earnings 2-28-07.
HWCC 02/03 Cup hdl 24.24 -0.59 25.25 29.95 297K 500K 23.55
Buy Not Hit. Gapped higher but then revsersed, unable to push that
solid move to end last week. Holding support and the
selling was on lower, below avg volume. Needs to hold
here and give us the breakout.
ICE 01/23 Test 18 143.60 +1.13 133.00 151.00 2.6M 3.5M 140.89
Current. Another gain but a volatile session as ICE continues
to run higher after breaking the ice last week. Earnings
2-7-07 before the open.
IIVI 01/10 Test BO 31.19 +0.83 30.66 36.35 421K 295K 29.74
Current. Excellent volume surge as IIVI broke to a new all-time
high. Have to love this break higher and continued
trend up the 10 day EMA. Earnings were 1-17-07.
IIVI 12/18 Asc Bse 31.19 +0.83 27.64 32.98 421K 270K 29.49
Current.
ILMN 01/22 Cup 35.19 -1.98 41.52 49.88 4.2M 1.2M 39.96
Current. Not giving us a break, gapping lower once more. Managed to hold the 200 day EMA on the close so we will let it hold & bounce from here to test the tail kicking. That will give us a better exit point if nothing else. Earnings were 2-1-07.
INFY 12/19 Test 50 59.00 +0.06 54.37 65.45 1.8M 2.6M 57.22
Current. Modest gain as INFY continues higher. Volume was up
close to average. Still want INFY to show us a big
surge after 'looking solid' for three weeks. Now it
is time for it to look 'stellar.'
ININ 01/29 Test 50 20.74 +0.79 20.78 24.95 284K 400K 19.33
Entered today. Got some volume and gave it the gas, bouncing off the
50 day EMA test and looks to be resuming the move.
KSS 01/31 PreAnn 72.01 -1.14 70.68 80.95 2M 3.5M 71.72
Current. Lower volume as KSS tested back from the Wed to Friday break higher last week. It is most likely going to form a handle over the next few sessions and then make the next break higher. That is the next buy point (likely a move over 73.20 but will update).
KSWS 02/01 Cup 32.50 -0.11 32.68 38.95 347K 250K 31.45
Buy Not Issued. Dipped down to 32 on the low (near the 50 day MA) &
rebounded flat on continued above avg volume. Still
set up very well to make the break higher.
KYPH 01/24 Rev HS 46.45 +0.33 46.65 54.95 680K 850K 44.98
Current. No volume though KYPH managed to post a gain after
a quick test of the strong Wednesday break higher.
Still solid and in place to continue its move higher.
LVLT 01/06 DB hdl 6.27 +0.18 6.12 7.65 33M 35M 6.22
Current. Getting a bit of spring in its step as LVLT jumps off
the 18 day EMA on some rising though still below average
volume. It has held the test well and is due for its
next move. Earnings are 2-8-07.
MA 01/20 Test BO 110.25 -0.71 107.09 121.00 991K 4.5M 108.97
Current.
MA 01/04 Cup 110.25 -0.71 101.11 119.75 991K 3.5M 108.97
Current. Gapped lower but held the 10 day EMA on ver low, below
average volume. There simply were not that many sellers
pushing MA lower as it tests near support in its continuing
uptrend. Earnings 2-9-07.
MBT 01/29 Test BO 55.26 +0.92 53.38 63.88 895K 2M 53.21
Current. Tightening up above the 10 day EMA and below 56 as
MBT looks ready to blast higher once more. A move
over 56 on volume is a new buy. Earnings late February.
MDRX 01/18 Cup hdl 29.96 -0.14 29.09 34.75 916K 1.2M 29.55
Current. Gapped lower but a solid recover to close just below
flat on lower though still above avg volume. Good recovery
and maintaining its uptrend. Important that it rebounds
further from this close. Earnings 2-13-07 after the close
MNST 01/22 Test BO 52.64 -0.27 51.46 58.94 899K 1.8M 51.22
Current. Modest loss after gapping higher following a week of
strong gains. After such a move a few days of rest
are normal.
MON 02/01 Test BO 54.30 -1.25 55.69 62.95 2.4M 4.2M 54.24
Current. Gave up the Friday bounce, falling to tap the 18 day
EMA on the low (54.04) on low volume. Held there and
indeed we are looking at more positions on a bounce
form here, preferably with some more volume this time.
MR 12/26 Test 50 25.66 +0.91 24.45 29.75 922K 1.1M 24.75
Current. Nice break higher off the 18 day EMA test on some rising,
average volume. Good break higher off of this test
in something of a double bottom w/handle base. Excellent
action. Earnings third week of February.
MS 01/31 Test 50 83.27 -0.77 83.68 99.75 3.3M 4.8M 82.32
Current. Testing the 10 day EMA on lower, below avg volume,
trying to make a higher low at this near support to
really give it the run higher.
NMX 02/03 DB hdl 131.62 -1.19 133.38 149.95 565K 1.5M 128.00
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower, tried to recover and did turn positive,
but it could not hold the move. Low volume. Just need
to be patient. It is young and still volatile.
NYX 01/13 Cup hdl 98.60 -0.90 105.85 124.95 3.2M 5.2M 101.55
Current. After that big doji Friday, a low volume fade while
NYX still holds easily above the 50 day EMA (97.45)
where it has held on the lows and bounced the past month.
OII 01/30 Test 50 40.66 +0.84 40.78 46.95 578K 1M 38.89
Entered today. Nice price break higher though volume remained overall
low.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 136.81 +3.99 135.96 154.89 11M 10M 131.21
Entered today. Strong burst higher on rising, above average volume
as RIIM continues its sturge off the 90 day MA.
RIO 01/30 Test BO 34.02 0.00 33.05 39.65 5.5M 9M 32.78
Current. Second day moving laterally at the 10 day EMA on lower
volume. Still taking a breather after that sharp break
higher.
RMD 01/11 FlyPlat 54.25 -0.01 52.05 59.95 730K 650K 52.78
Current. Gapped higher yet again, rallying to 56 on the high,
but it gave it all back. Still set to continue its
run higher. Earnings 2-6-07 after teh close. Very frisky
heading into earnings.
ROP 01/29 Test BO 53.07 +0.16 52.24 59.95 254K 500K 51.95
Current. Still moving higher on low volume. Not exactly where
we want to move in. Earnings 2-22-07.
RTI 01/31 Cup hdl 83.00 +0.44 82.22 98.75 652K 800K 77.32
Buy Not Issued. Still looking for a test of the breakout, but thus
far it refuses to give up the gains. Would prefer a
tap toward 80 and then a rebound from there.
SIMO 01/31 Test BO 21.07 +1.13 19.00 22.78 1.5M 550K 20.22
Current. Continuing the surge that started just before the earnings
release. Will tire a bit after such a strong run.
If we get another put we will look at taking some gain
off the table for the test.
SNCR 12/28 Test 18 16.19 +0.47 14.95 18.32 538K 295K 15.14
Current. Volume jumped back up above average as SNCR resumes the move, looking for that all-time high. Like these new issues after their first base or two. Earnings 2-6-07 after the close. Expecting some good results given the action.
SNDA 12/26 Test 18 22.01 -0.03 21.66 25.99 400K 750K 22.04
Current. Struggling to hold on at the 18 day EMA as the pattern
turns somewhat toppy. Have bo be careful here.
SOHU 01/27 Test BO 26.94 -0.01 26.59 31.95 990K 865K 26.25
Current. Strong volume as SOHU gapped lower but held the 10
day EMA and bounced. Nice recovery and it is still
set up to make the break higher.
SYK 01/20 FlyPlat 62.39 -0.02 59.73 68.75 878K 2.1M 60.68
Current.
SYK 12/18 Test BO 62.39 -0.02 55.67 63.95 878K 1.4M 60.98
Current. Still testing the strong run higher, fading modestly
on very low, below average volume. Will let it test
and then look at new positions if it looks right.
TWLL 01/24 Cup hdl 18.11 +0.41 17.70 21.45 506K 393K 17.18
Current. Continuing the break higher on very strong volume.
Excellent action: strong price breakout with volume,
low volume test, strong volume on the next rebound.
Earnings 2-14-07.
TZIX 01/17 Test BO 21.33 -0.15 19.38 23.48 466K 575K 20.65
Low volume fade to test the last break higher. Still
continuing up the 10 day EMA, trending higher.
VCLK 01/27 Test BO 25.49 +0.08 26.10 30.85 2.2M 2.8M 25.04
Current.
VCLK 01/03 Test 18 25.49 +0.08 24.34 29.32 2.2M 3.5M 25.04
Current. Still holding at the 10 day EMA though volume jumped
up to average as it gapped higher and then turned back
down. This is where it needs to hold. Earnings 2-21-07.
VIP 01/22 Dbl btm 87.48 +0.72 83.37 99.45 317K 765K 84.21
Current. Still working up the 10 day EMA but volume is not working
up with it. Letting it run here as long as it will.
Another good push and we can look at taking some gain.
Earnings late February.
WMS 01/09 DB hdl 40.11 -0.53 37.84 44.95 337K 450K 39.89
Current. Tested back on lower volume as WMS continues trending
higher up the 10 day EMA. Reported results after hours
and was basically flat.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AXP 01/25 Put 58.20 +0.04 57.50 55.40 3.2M 5.2M 58.15
Current. Doji at the 90 day MA after the slow rebound from the mid-January selling. This is where we want to see AXP make its next fade. The 18 day & 50 day EMA are pushing down on it so it is going to make its move in the next few sessions.
CMVT 01/27 Put 34.32 0.00 19.27 18.15 1.1M 4.6M 19.92
Current. Modest gain up to kiss the 10 day EMA (19.70) on low
volume. This is where it needs to fold the tent. Earnings
3-15.
GME 01/30 Dbl Top 53.00 -0.90 53.38 50.55 595K 1.4M 54.35
Buy Not Issued. Faded to the 90 day on very low, below avg volume.
It held the 90 day, barely, but given the very low
trade we were not going to enter this one. Want to
see it fall thru the 90 day (52.88) on some better trade.
NVDA 01/25 Put 32.37 +0.52 31.35 29.15 9.7M 12M 30.68
Current. Continued its low volume rise. It moved through the 18 day EMA (32.45) intraday but faded below that level on the close. Low volume at the 18 day EMA; if it is going to resume the downtrend it will do it here & we will look at new positions
SBUX 01/29 Put 34.02 -0.25 34.96 32.92 7.8M 11M 34.65
Current. Decent move lower on rising volume, but need to see
more of a downside breakaway move to really pump up
the options and crack this baby open.
End part 2 of 3
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