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Begin part 2 of 3
NOTE: Part 1 follows part 2 this evening.
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACH 02/01 Dbl btm 24.63 +0.18 24.68 29.65 429K 700K 23.05
Buy Not Issued. Cracked the buy point but that is about all as volume
fell way off pace, unable to drive ACH after that Friday
reach lower and rebound. Still has a ton of money flow
out ahead of it & looking for that to lead it higher.
ADS 01/16 DB hdl 64.83 -1.60 66.39 75.95 1.3M 1.3M 66.28
Current. Managed to hold above the 50 day EMA (64.23) on the
tap low, rebounding to hold the 50 day SMA on the close.
Competing analyst calls. Tends to test the 50 day &
rally off that level.
AKAM 01/03 Test 50 58.18 +2.63 53.55 61.35 5.3M 7.6M 54.88
Current. Excellent breakout to a new all-time high from a neat
little 8 week double bottom w/handle. It as the NASD
2006 leader & weathered some selling by forming the
base. Then it breaks out. Strength on strength.
AMT 01/08 Flat 40.04 +0.10 39.38 45.45 1.5M 3.5M 39.38
Current. Still moving laterally at 40 as the 10 & 18 day EMA push it up against that level. A good consolidation that has refused to give up its gains, a positive indication. Now it needs to make the break higher to resume the breakout. Earnings late February.
ANST 12/26 Cup hdl 27.82 +0.05 28.36 33.95 171K 400K 27.95
Current. Still trying to get it in gear over the 50 day EMA
(27.45) as volume moves up to average. In position
but has to make the move. Earnings mid-February.
APH 02/03 Cup hdl 67.76 +0.02 68.65 78.95 360K 1.2M 66.57
Buy Not Hit. Another low volume lateral move in a tight range as
APH sets up an excellent handle to its base. Getting
right for the breakout.
BA 02/03 Test BO 90.72 +0.67 90.32 99.95 3M 5.8M 88.88
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher from the Friday pullback but was fading
most of the session after that early move so we held
off, letting it show that this test is through. If
it continues on strong volume it is a buy.
BAX 01/04 Rev HS 49.99 +0.24 48.31 55.45 2.5M 2.4M 48.98
Current. Tested the 10 day EMA on the low and rebounded to post
a modest gain and keep the nice trend up the 10 day
near support moving along well. Earnings were 1-25.
BDX 01/16 PreAnn 77.35 +0.22 75.04 84.95 1.3M 1.5M 75.65
Volume jumped up above average as BDX continued its
lateral move, holding the gains after that strong move
to end January.
BEC 01/18 PreAnn 66.12 +0.77 61.67 70.45 872K 783K 64.25
Current. Another excellent session with BEC continuing its run
higher above the 10 day EMA on another day of solid,
above avg volume. Earnings 2-8-07 before the open.
BIDU 01/09 Cup hdl 115.99 -3.62 127.00 139.95 2M 4.5M 126.31
Exited. BIDU did not bounce for us and though volatile it was
closing below the 50 day EMA so we exited.
BNI 01/23 PreAnn 80.79 -0.63 80.30 95.45 1.9M 3M 79.94
Current. Could not sustain the solid move in transports, fading off the Friday doji but holding above the October and January high. A test is okay & it was on low volume, but it is just getting started so don't want to see it give back much more.
BPO 12/16 PreAnn 46.98 -0.15 39.29 46.75 594K 695K 45.48
Current. Tried to push the break just a bit higher but ran out of gas as volume fell further below avg. Still in its great uptrend above the 10 day EMA (45.60), but never got a big new surge of volume as it resumed the move higher so it may try a quicker test.
BSC 02/01 Test 50 165.06 -1.29 165.89 179.95 993K 1.8M 161.65
Buy Not Issued.
CELG 02/03 Test 50 54.85 -0.56 56.38 64.95 2.3M 500K 54.68
Buy Not Hit. Gapped a bit lower but on low volume, showing a doji
at the 50 day EMA. A good low volume test of the Break
higher last week but it needs to hold near here to
keep the move going.
CEPH 01/25 Cup hdl 74.02 -0.06 75.45 88.75 2.9M 2.3M 72.22
Buy Not Hit. Tapped at 75 on the high and faded back, continuing
work on the handle to its 11 week cup with handle pattern.
Earnings 2-12-07.
CHDX 01/23 Cup hdl 24.80 +0.62 24.32 28.95 224K 200K 23.97
Current. Gapping higher again as CHDX furthers its move off
of the 18 day EMA test. That keeps it trending higher
after the breakout and thi stest.
CLB 01/27 PreAnn 82.53 +1.01 81.48 98.88 490K 500K 79.42
Current. Working laterally right at the 50 day SMA as volume jumped higher Monday, coming in well above avg. Very nice set up for the break higher, and really like the high volume as it holds the line; that often indicates a spring upside is ready. Earnings 2-14.
CLE 01/18 Cup hdl 34.32 -0.17 34.88 40.95 1.1M 2.7M 33.65
Buy Not Issued.
CRM 01/24 DB hdl 47.13 +0.38 43.19 51.85 1.4M 1.5M 45.38
Current. Adding a day of modest gains to its strong move from
last week. Volume faded to average; getting a bit tired
but a nice breakout.
CROX 01/20 Test BO 56.61 +1.82 49.00 58.95 3.9M 2.5M 52.62
Current. Continued the surge higher with a high volume gap as
it received an upgrade raising the target to 80. Getting
a bit overheated on this segment of the move, but hard
to complain at all.
CTRP 01/22 Test 18 69.25 +0.62 67.55 77.65 433K 550K 71.55
Current. Moded up some on rising, above avg trade, but still
traded in a wide range on the session. It is holding
over the early Jan highs on this test, a good point
for ti to reload and show us some upside.
CTSH 01/27 PreAnn 92.95 +7.12 84.80 98.95 5.2M 2M 89.65
Target Hit. Took some interim gain off the table as CTSH gapped
higher & ran further on its earnings results. Super
action giving us a 9.8% stock & 68% option gain ($520/contract).
CXW 01/27 Test BO 48.72 -0.35 49.47 56.95 287K 550K 47.88
Current. Hammer doji on the 10 day EMA as CXW tried to break
higher off this consolidation point after the mid-January
breakout. Sure looks ready to continue the break higher.
Earnings 2-8-07.
DADE 01/30 Test BO 43.05 +0.31 42.65 48.95 248K 965K 41.88
Current. Gapping higher and continuing the Friday move off the
10 day EMA test. Could use some more trade to push
it past the mid-January closing high at 43.15. Earnings
2-14-07.
DO 01/30 Cup hdl 84.20 -0.38 83.42 95.95 3.6M 5.7M 82.44
Current. Tried the run through 85 but again it was rebuffed,
fading on rising, above avg volume. Still high volume
on that late January run shows buyers are out there.
Needs to hold at the 10 day EMA (82.65). Earnings 2-8-07.
EAT 01/13 Cup 32.68 +0.51 32.00 36.95 2.1M 2M 31.71
Current. Excellent volume on an excellent break out as EAT orders
up a new all-time high.
FRX 12/21 Cup hdl 57.06 -0.02 52.62 59.95 1.9M 3.5M 55.55
Current. Took the day off but after a fade recovered to close
flat on continued below avg volume. Just keeping the
move up the 10 day EMA going. Earnings were 1-16-07.
GENZ 02/01 PreAnn 65.53 -0.39 66.22 75.95 1.2M 3M 64.88
Buy Not Issued. Still at the 50 day EMA, thus far going nowhere. Earnings 2-14-07
GES 01/27 PreAnn 72.61 +0.06 72.48 83.45 441K 1M 70.38
Buy Not Issued. Tapped the 18 day EMA on the intraday low and recovered
to close flat at the 10 day EMA on below avg trade.
Nice test and giving it a great break point if it can
generate some volume. Earnings 2-14-07.
GS 02/01 Test 18 212.55 -0.88 212.88 231.90 3M 6.5M 209.55
Current. Modest loss to the 10 day EMA on very low volume as
GS works laterally over the 10 day EMA.
HCP 12/20 Test BO 41.17 +0.06 36.80 43.95 1.2M 1.4M 40.22
Current. Gapped higher but faded to flat on continued below
avg volume but just keeps on moving up the trend above
the 10 day EMA.
HMSY 01/24 Test BO 19.98 -0.08 19.02 22.75 361K 333K 18.95
Current. Doji on rising, above avg volume after a week of gains.
Showing a bit of selling after that surge but overall
in excellent shape. Earnings 2-28-07.
ICE 01/23 Test 18 143.60 +1.13 133.00 151.00 2.6M 3.5M 140.89
Current. Another gain but a volatile session as ICE continues
to run higher after breaking the ice last week. Earnings
2-7-07 before the open.
IIVI 01/10 Test BO 31.19 +0.83 30.66 36.35 421K 295K 29.74
Current. Excellent volume surge as IIVI broke to a new all-time
high. Have to love this break higher and continued
trend up the 10 day EMA. Earnings were 1-17-07.
IIVI 12/18 Asc Bse 31.19 +0.83 27.64 32.98 421K 270K 29.49
Current.
INFY 12/19 Test 50 59.00 +0.06 54.37 65.45 1.8M 2.6M 57.22
Current. Modest gain as INFY continues higher. Volume was up
close to average. Still want INFY to show us a big
surge after 'looking solid' for three weeks. Now it
is time for it to look 'stellar.'
JCI 01/13 PreAnn 95.80 +0.95 88.31 99.89 1.7M 1.7M 93.65
Current. We could be full of hyperbole and declare JCI was out
of 'control,' but we would not stoop to that cheap
humor. I tid gap up on stronger volume, the best in
3 weeks, as it continued its excellent 4-day surge.
JCP 01/22 Test BO 83.41 -0.29 83.15 99.75 1.6M 2.5M 82.28
Current. Fading another session after the strong Thurs break higher, moving back on low volume. Pretty routine test though JCP could not really extend that initial break higher. A hold and a bounce on rising trade is a buy point. Earnings 2-22-07
KSS 01/31 PreAnn 72.01 -1.14 70.68 80.95 2M 3.5M 71.72
Current. Lower volume as KSS tested back from the Wed to Friday break higher last week. It is most likely going to form a handle over the next few sessions and then make the next break higher. That is the next buy point (likely a move over 73.20 but will update).
KSWS 02/01 Cup 32.50 -0.11 32.68 38.95 347K 250K 31.45
Buy Not Issued. Dipped down to 32 on the low (near the 50 day MA) &
rebounded flat on continued above avg volume. Still
set up very well to make the break higher.
LVS 02/03 Test BO 104.09 +0.84 106.94 122.95 3.3M 4M 102.31
Buy Not Hit. Did not give us the buy and after hours LVS was struggling
lower by about $1.50.
MA 01/20 Test BO 110.25 -0.71 107.09 121.00 991K 4.5M 108.97
Current.
MA 01/04 Cup 110.25 -0.71 101.11 119.75 991K 3.5M 108.97
Current. Gapped lower but held the 10 day EMA on ver low, below
average volume. There simply were not that many sellers
pushing MA lower as it tests near support in its continuing
uptrend. Earnings 2-9-07.
MBT 01/29 Test BO 55.26 +0.92 53.38 63.88 895K 2M 53.21
Current. Tightening up above the 10 day EMA and below 56 as
MBT looks ready to blast higher once more. A move
over 56 on volume is a new buy. Earnings late February.
MER 01/31 Test 50 94.45 -0.21 94.74 112.95 4.1M 5.5M 92.95
Current. Lower but on lower volume as well, moving laterally
just below the 18 day EMA.
MON 02/01 Test BO 54.30 -1.25 55.69 62.95 2.4M 4.2M 54.24
Current. Gave up the Friday bounce, falling to tap the 18 day
EMA on the low (54.04) on low volume. Held there and
indeed we are looking at more positions on a bounce
form here, preferably with some more volume this time.
NX 01/23 Trnd Rv 38.46 -0.46 39.29 44.88 388K 500K 38.08
Current. Pretty test of the 10 day EMA (38.37) the past two
sessions. This is where it should hold and then rebound
as it continues its run higher.
NYX 01/27 Test 50 98.60 -0.90 102.44 122.00 3.2M 8M 99.21
Buy Not Hit.
PDX 01/20 Cup hdl 52.40 +0.21 51.74 59.95 213K 350K 49.72
Buy Not Issued.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 136.81 +3.99 135.96 154.89 11M 10M 131.21
Entered today. Strong burst higher on rising, above average volume
as RIIM continues its sturge off the 90 day MA.
RIO 01/30 Test BO 34.02 0.00 33.05 39.65 5.5M 9M 32.78
Current. Second day moving laterally at the 10 day EMA on lower
volume. Still taking a breather after that sharp break
higher.
RL 01/30 PreAnn 83.69 +0.16 82.09 93.95 933K 1M 81.02
Current. Gapped higher but could not hold the move, falling
to flat but on lower, average volume. Nice break higher
on volume and setting up to extend the move further.
2-7-07 earnings.
RMD 01/11 FlyPlat 54.25 -0.01 52.05 59.95 730K 650K 52.78
Current. Gapped higher yet again, rallying to 56 on the high,
but it gave it all back. Still set to continue its
run higher. Earnings 2-6-07 after teh close. Very frisky
heading into earnings.
ROP 01/29 Test BO 53.07 +0.16 52.24 59.95 254K 500K 51.95
Current. Still moving higher on low volume. Not exactly where
we want to move in. Earnings 2-22-07.
SOHU 01/27 Test BO 26.94 -0.01 26.59 31.95 990K 865K 26.25
Current. Strong volume as SOHU gapped lower but held the 10
day EMA and bounced. Nice recovery and it is still
set up to make the break higher.
SRCL 01/30 PreAnn 77.91 +0.35 76.75 86.95 144K 300K 74.77
Buy Not Issued. Low volume rise is not what we like to get involved
with in most cases. SRCL is higher but it has not shown
the kind of strength to convince us it is really ready
to hold the line on an earnings announcement.
STLD 01/18 Cup hdl 38.30 -0.89 34.73 41.55 1.6M 2.9M 37.89
Current. Testing the strong January move, fading to the 10 day
MA on rising though still below average volume. After
this test it is another buy.
SYK 01/20 FlyPlat 62.39 -0.02 59.73 68.75 878K 2.1M 60.68
Current.
SYK 12/18 Test BO 62.39 -0.02 55.67 63.95 878K 1.4M 60.98
Current. Still testing the strong run higher, fading modestly
on very low, below average volume. Will let it test
and then look at new positions if it looks right.
VIP 01/22 Dbl btm 87.48 +0.72 83.37 99.45 317K 765K 84.21
Current. Still working up the 10 day EMA but volume is not working
up with it. Letting it run here as long as it will.
Another good push and we can look at taking some gain.
Earnings late February.
VIVO 01/06 PreAnn 29.49 +0.17 25.75 29.95 139K 220K 28.78
Current. Still testing the strong move higher but holding the line at the 10 day EMA and bouncing Monday. That is what you want to see: strong volume upside, low volume test, holding the line at near support. More consolidation & it is a new buy.
VOL 02/03 Test 50 37.13 +0.24 37.42 42.97 767K 600K 35.08
Entered today. Not a blowout upside move but volume was up as VOL
continued higher on its bounce.
XTO 01/30 PreAnn 50.16 -0.39 50.48 57.95 3.1M 4.5M 48.33
Buy Not Issued. Still trying to make the break but after an early surge
it faded in the afternoon. It could afford to spend
another few sessions working laterally in a tight range
and then jump back up.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AXP 01/25 Put 58.20 +0.04 57.50 55.40 3.2M 5.2M 58.15
Current. Doji at the 90 day MA after the slow rebound from the mid-January selling. This is where we want to see AXP make its next fade. The 18 day & 50 day EMA are pushing down on it so it is going to make its move in the next few sessions.
CMVT 01/27 Put 34.32 0.00 19.27 18.15 1.1M 4.6M 19.92
Current. Modest gain up to kiss the 10 day EMA (19.70) on low
volume. This is where it needs to fold the tent. Earnings
3-15.
DGII 01/27 Put 12.53 -0.27 12.67 11.55 101K 140K 13.05
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower and looks ready to tank. We keep waiting for some sellers to buy some puts but they just are not. You need some open interests to at least set some parameters. Didn't want to be the guinea pig so did not move in.
NVDA 01/25 Put 32.37 +0.52 31.35 29.15 9.7M 12M 30.68
Current. Continued its low volume rise. It moved through the 18 day EMA (32.45) intraday but faded below that level on the close. Low volume at the 18 day EMA; if it is going to resume the downtrend it will do it here & we will look at new positions
SBUX 01/29 Put 34.02 -0.25 34.96 32.92 7.8M 11M 34.65
Current. Decent move lower on rising volume, but need to see
more of a downside breakaway move to really pump up
the options and crack this baby open.
End part 2 of 3
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