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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri=Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.) Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon Market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor Market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACH 02/01 Dbl btm 25.86 -0.06 25.33 29.97 428K 700K 24.97
Current. Very low trade as ACH paused for a 2nd session after
the strong upside move last week. Like how it is not
giving back any gains.
AH 02/07 BO 65.45 +0.52 65.42 73.85 425K 700K 63.48
Current. Adding some more ground to its Friday move though volume
really peeled back to below average as it continues
up the 10 day EMA.
AIR 02/06 DB hdl 29.90 -0.14 30.60 35.95 376K 680K 29.48
Current. Tested lower Monday, reaching below the 10 day EMA
intraday but rebounding to hold that level on the close.
Low volume and has filled that gap higher from last
Wednesday. Now it needs to move again.
AKAM 01/03 Test 50 55.10 -1.06 53.55 61.35 3.9M 7.6M 56.08
Trailing Stop. Took the rest of the gain off the table as it struggled for a second session. Despite the lower volume we did not like the up and down action as buyers & sellers fight it out. Decided to watch from the sidelines & move in at the next opportunity.
AMT 01/08 Flat 39.50 -0.42 39.38 45.45 1.5M 3.5M 39.38
Trailing Stop. Slid thru the 18 day EMA & we were not in the mood
to wait & see if it could reverse the move.
AMX 02/05 Rolling 47.00 +0.20 46.55 54.55 4M 6.5M 43.88
Buy Not Issued. Has tested & fill the gap from last Thursday and bounced
back up Monday though on very low trade. Not bad action
at all & it has set AMX up for the buy.
ANF 02/03 Test BO 80.26 -0.93 83.05 94.85 2.2M 2.6M 79.88
Current. Has come back to immediately test the Thursday break
higher. Has held 80 on this pullback, and this is where
it needs to make its stand given the quick retreat
after that solid move higher.
ANST 12/26 Cup hdl 28.54 +0.52 28.36 33.95 211K 400K 27.95
Current. Finally showing some life, bouncing off the 50 day
MA on sone rising, above average volume after a 10
week lateral move above that support level. Now it
needs to finish the deal and surge past 29.
BEAV 01/10 Cup hdl 29.60 -0.41 28.81 34.45 826K 1M 29.68
Trailing Stop. Some higher trade as BEAV fell lower so took the rest
off the table. It held the 18 day EMA on the low, &
if it sets up again we will look at another play on it.
BITS 02/01 Cup hdl 9.62 -0.20 10.68 12.85 52K 185K 9.93
Buy Not Hit. Slipped thru the 18 day EMA but still working on the
handle. Will give it another session to see if it can
hold and put in the bottom of the handle.
CELG 02/03 Test 50 54.26 -1.07 56.38 64.95 2.2M 500K 54.68
Buy Not Hit. Dipped harder, showing it is not finished consolidating
so dropping for now but will keep an eye on it it as
it continues to set up.
CHDX 01/23 Cup hdl 19.75 -4.45 24.32 28.95 873K 200K 24.44
Exited. Gapped lower on good earnings but some apparent concern
among investors about the futures given continued worries
about China overheating.
CMG 02/07 Asc Bse 60.72 -1.19 61.85 69.95 567K 800K 59.77
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower, tapped the 18 day MA & then rebounded
to close at the 10 day MA. Failed at the prior high
at 62 but will watch to see if it holds here & can rebound.
CRM 01/24 DB hdl 47.39 +0.38 43.19 51.85 1.4M 1.5M 45.97
Current. Excellent lateral move that tapped at the 10 day EMA
on the low and rebounded to close positive. Very nice
test and ready for the next move higher.
DO 01/30 Cup hdl 78.97 -2.18 83.42 95.95 4.6M 5.7M 85.05
Current. Gapped lower on the $4 special dividend ex-date today.
Now it should start to rebound and we can claim the
dividend on our stock position and let the stock recover.
GIGM 01/24 Cup 11.87 -0.53 11.48 13.95 987K 1.3M 11.82
Current. Fell harder after the two easy tests back, closing
just below the 10 day EMA. Has to hold up here and
resume the breakout move.
GS 02/01 Test 18 211.13 -2.15 212.88 231.90 5.4M 6.5M 210.95
Current. Managed to hold support at 210. It has shown more strength
upside than downside and has thus held up better than
some of its brethren. We need to see a bounce, however,
after 3 tests of the 210 support on the past 3 sessions.
HLTH 12/07 Saucer 14.18 -0.09 12.38 14.85 3.6M 5M 14.05
Current. Holding the 10 day EMA with a doji on lower volume
doji. Gave that strong Thursday break higher back a
bit too easily, but still holding the trend up the
10 day EMA.
HMSY 01/24 Test BO 20.96 +0.01 19.02 22.75 373K 333K 19.97
Current. A second doji at 21 after a strong 2 week run higher
above the 10 day EMA. Signalling it may be ready for
a pullback to test near 20, especially w/the high Monday
volume. That shows some churn & typically means a pullback.
HMSY 12/14 Asc Bse 20.96 +0.01 14.98 18.31 373K 331K 19.97
Current.
HPC 02/10 Test BO 20.28 +0.21 20.32 24.38 657K 1M 19.68
Buy Not Hit. Held the 10 day EMA but needs some more volume as it
bounces off this test.
ICE 01/23 Test 18 143.57 -5.79 133.00 151.00 3.6M 3.5M 148.55
Current. Faded on lower volume to test the 10 day EMA. A bounce
here is a new buy point as it continues its run up
the 10 and 18 day EMA.
INFY 01/03 Asc Bse 59.00 -0.44 56.13 65.65 837K 1.6M 58.39
Current. Nice reach to the 18 day EMA then a recovery to close
at the 10 day EMA on very low volume. Good test setting
up the next move.
ININ 01/29 Test 50 20.34 +0.09 20.78 24.95 169K 400K 19.33
Current. Excellent low volume dojis at the 18 day EMA setting
up a nice break higher to come.
KNOT 01/27 Test BO 30.07 -0.63 31.02 37.32 914K 825K 29.89
Current.
MDRX 01/18 Cup hdl 29.65 -0.31 29.09 34.75 880K 1.2M 29.55
Current. Holding above the 18 day EMA on the close. Volume bumped
up to just above avg; this is where it has to hold
and deliver more upside.
MNST 12/11 Cup hdl 51.44 -0.34 48.14 56.78 1.1M 2.4M 51.41
Current. Sold some more toward the 18 day EMA but then rebounded
to close near the 10 day MA. Has to make the stand
here and deliver more upside.Excellent low volume dojis
at the 18 day EMA setting up a nice break higher to come.
MON 02/01 Test BO 53.76 -0.46 55.69 62.95 1.7M 4.2M 54.24
Current. Low volume but bled thru the 18 day EMA. Giving it
a session to see if it will recover that level.
MOS 02/07 Dbl btm 22.36 +1.13 21.88 26.35 5.8M 3M 21.78
Entered today. Outstanding surge in price and volume as MOS blasts
through the January high.
MR 12/26 Test 50 26.32 +0.47 24.45 29.75 766K 1.1M 25.28
Current. Excellent continued break higher off the 10 day EMA
test, rallying on lower but still above avg volume.
Strong pattern and looks ready to lay some upside rubber.
NUVA 02/06 Rev HS 24.30 +0.33 24.82 29.75 185K 350K 23.54
Buy Not Hit. Reached all the way to the 50 day EMA intraday and
then rebounded for a gain on rising volume. Nice shakeout
and this may have set the bottom in this test that
prepares the breakout.
OII 01/30 Test 50 40.36 -0.67 40.78 46.95 430K 1M 39.54
Current. Tested lower to the 18 day EMA and rebounded to recoup
some of the losses after gapping lower on the SArabia
comments. This is a decent test and it needs to show
us some upside here.
OSG 02/08 Trnd Rv 62.79 +0.03 63.55 69.95 539K 700K 61.55
Buy Not Hit. Exellent doji that tapped the 10 day EMA on the low
and rebounded on much stronger, average volume. Getting
just about ripe for the break higher.
PAY 01/13 Test BO 40.97 +0.09 37.56 44.95 556K 1M 40.08
Current. Third straight doji over the 10 day EMA on lower, below
avg volume. Still just letting it work higher up the
10 day EMA.
RATE 02/10 Test BO 42.73 -1.30 44.95 53.95 254K 500K 41.78
Buy Not Hit. Turned over and faded but on light trade. Not the action
we wanted to see, but if it holds at the 10 day EMA
(42, the Dec high) & rebounds that is a very good sign.
RIO 01/30 Test BO 32.98 -0.29 33.05 39.65 6.6M 9M 33.18
Current. Tapped the 18 day EMA on the low and recouped some
downside. Still holding near support so letting it
make this test.
SIMO 01/31 Test BO 20.24 +0.45 19.00 22.78 531K 550K 20.22
Current. Nice recovery off the 18 day EMA test from Friday.
This is a great stock but it does have some volatility.
SSI 02/08 Asc Bse 21.77 -0.37 23.05 26.75 263K 410K 21.55
Buy Not Hit. Has not shown anything since the Thursday break higher,
giving all of that back and more. Dropping for now
& will see if it can set back up.
STLD 02/05 Test BO 37.93 +0.37 38.50 45.95 1.3M 2.5M 37.38
Current. Decent test of the 18 day EMA and a bounce higher.
Gave back the bigger part of the move, but like the
hold at this level.
TWGP 02/10 DB hdl 33.97 -0.14 34.62 40.95 158K 415K 33.44
Buy Not Hit. Okay, setting up even better with a tap at the 10 day
EMA on low volume. The handle is just about done.
TWLL 01/08 Test 50 16.04 -1.84 17.32 20.79 940K 331K 17.48
Trailing Stop. Turned a nice consolidation in to out and out selling.
Got out of town quickly on this one.
VCLK 01/27 Test BO 25.88 -0.45 26.10 30.85 1.6M 2.8M 25.38
Current. Tapped the 18 day EMA on the low and rebounded to hold
the 10 day on the close. Still a very nice test, and
still set to continue the move. Set up but has to click
off the next move.
VCLK 01/03 Test 18 25.88 -0.45 24.34 29.32 1.6M 3.5M 25.38
Current.
VMED 01/31 Dbl btm 27.27 -0.19 27.74 31.88 1M 4.5M 26.88
Current. Gapped lower but again held the 18 day EMA on the low
and on very low volume. This is the lick log, i.e.
where it needs to show us the recovery.
VRSN 02/06 DB hdl 25.73 0.00 26.21 30.32 1.9M 4M 24.97
Current. Very tight range Monday on very low volume as VRSN
holds its move and tries to set up for the next rally
following that Friday attempt to blast off.
WEBX 01/29 Trnd Rv 45.18 -0.61 37.25 42.75 778K 900K 45.11
Current. Edged back a bit more but on lower trade. This is where
we want to see it hold the line and continue the move
or we sell at least our options and look for a deeper
test to give us a new entry point.
WFR 02/05 FlyPlat 51.68 -1.48 54.45 61.95 4.5M 4.8M 51.21
Current. Slipped thru the 10 day EMA on continued below avg
volume. Not liking this action that much and it may
be in line for an 18 day EMA test (50.60).
WNR 01/27 Cup hdl 26.48 -0.25 27.75 33.32 154K 750K 26.55
Buy Not Issued. Faded below the 50 day EMA intraday. Recovered some
but going to drop for now & see how it holds and whether
it can set back up.
XING 01/16 Trnd Rv 17.43 -0.17 15.16 18.12 1M 1M 16.55
Current. Faded back from that Friday gain that gave us a good
target to take. Lower volume and will let it test some
here to set up the next move but don't want to see
it fritter away the move.
ZUMZ 02/08 Asc Bse 35.52 -0.66 36.72 42.95 254K 800K 34.36
Buy Not Issued. Still coming back to test the last move, fading toward
the 10 day EMA on very low, below avg volume. A hold
at 35ish & a strong rebound is a buy.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AXP 02/10 Put 57.00 -0.53 57.25 55.74 12M 5M 57.72
Entered today. Heavy volume as AXP broke lower. Really tanked, falling
to 56.21 on the low before rebounding to recover 0.80.
Would have preferred it to have closed near session
lows, but definitely some distribution here.
DGII 02/10 Put 12.41 -0.15 12.45 11.52 66K 140K 12.78
Buy Not Issued. Traded lower but just no volume, and that makes it
tough on a stock that is already a low volume mover.
QLGC 02/05 Put 18.46 -0.02 18.18 16.92 3.4M 3.8M 18.65
Current. Tapped the 10 day EMA on the high and backed off to
close flat. This is where it needs to roll back over.
SBUX 01/29 Put 32.67 -0.29 34.96 32.92 8.2M 11M 32.88
Current. Faded further to 32.38 but then started to rebound.
If it shows any further upside it is worth taking the
rest off the table and then letting it set up again
for the next leg lower.
WDR 02/10 HdShldr 25.18 -0.07 25.12 24.05 468K 725K 25.57
Entered today. Started lower once more but found a bit of support
at 25 and rebounded for a modest loss. Still weak but
want to see it through 25 soon.
End part 2 of 3
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