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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACH 02/01 Dbl btm 25.86 -0.06 25.33 29.97 428K 700K 24.97
Current. Very low trade as ACH paused for a 2nd session after
the strong upside move last week. Like how it is not
giving back any gains.
AH 02/07 BO 65.45 +0.52 65.42 73.85 425K 700K 63.48
Current. Adding some more ground to its Friday move though volume
really peeled back to below average as it continues
up the 10 day EMA.
AIR 02/06 DB hdl 29.90 -0.14 30.60 35.95 376K 680K 29.48
Current. Tested lower Monday, reaching below the 10 day EMA
intraday but rebounding to hold that level on the close.
Low volume and has filled that gap higher from last
Wednesday. Now it needs to move again.
AKAM 01/03 Test 50 55.10 -1.06 53.55 61.35 3.9M 7.6M 56.08
Trailing Stop. Took the rest of the gain off the table as it struggled for a second session. Despite the lower volume we did not like the up and down action as buyers & sellers fight it out. Decided to watch from the sidelines & move in at the next opportunity.
AMT 01/08 Flat 39.50 -0.42 39.38 45.45 1.5M 3.5M 39.38
Trailing Stop. Slid thru the 18 day EMA & we were not in the mood
to wait & see if it could reverse the move.
ANST 12/26 Cup hdl 28.54 +0.52 28.36 33.95 211K 400K 27.95
Current. Finally showing some life, bouncing off the 50 day
MA on sone rising, above average volume after a 10
week lateral move above that support level. Now it
needs to finish the deal and surge past 29.
APH 02/03 Cup hdl 67.24 -0.28 68.65 78.95 608K 1.2M 66.57
Buy Not Hit. Down for the 2nd session on rising but below avg volume.
Looks like a shakeout in the handle. Time to deliver.
BA 02/03 Test BO 89.20 -0.80 90.32 99.95 3.4M 5.8M 88.88
Buy Not Issued. Slipped back to the 50 day SMA on the close, still
trying to get back up after testing that late January gap.
BAX 01/04 Rev HS 49.90 +0.15 48.31 55.45 2.2M 2.4M 48.98
Current. Tight range continues as BAX works lateraly over the
10 day EMA. Nice test and letting it make this move
as long as it continues showing some good price/volume
action.
BDX 01/16 PreAnn 76.80 -0.70 75.04 84.95 1.2M 1.5M 76.88
Trailing Stop.
BPO 12/16 PreAnn 45.87 -0.84 39.29 46.75 1.2M 695K 46.89
Current. Still fading after the last run and its announcement
last week, but holding above the 18 day MA & on lower
trade so letting it test & will look for a possible
new entry point as it rebounds from this support.
CELG 02/03 Test 50 54.26 -1.07 56.38 64.95 2.2M 500K 54.68
Buy Not Hit. Dipped harder, showing it is not finished consolidating
so dropping for now but will keep an eye on it it as
it continues to set up.
CHDX 01/23 Cup hdl 19.75 -4.45 24.32 28.95 873K 200K 24.44
Exited. Gapped lower on good earnings but some apparent concern
among investors about the futures given continued worries
about China overheating.
CHTT 02/08 PreAnn 54.40 -3.02 57.89 68.95 1.3M 475K 56.22
Buy Not Issued. Tanked on its earnings results, blowing apart a nice
tight lateral consolidation.
CLB 01/27 PreAnn 79.13 -2.52 81.48 98.88 314K 500K 81.18
Exited. Gapped lower after the Saudi Arabia comments regarding
the oil supply.
CLE 01/18 Cup hdl 35.60 +0.12 35.23 41.42 1.2M 2.7M 34.57
Current. Gapped lower but recovered and added a modest gain
to last week's move.
CRM 01/24 DB hdl 47.39 +0.38 43.19 51.85 1.4M 1.5M 45.97
Current. Excellent lateral move that tapped at the 10 day EMA
on the low and rebounded to close positive. Very nice
test and ready for the next move higher.
CXW 01/27 Test BO 52.52 -0.22 49.47 56.95 393K 550K 51.42
Current. Modest fade on lower volume as CXW tests that strong
move, refusing to give back any ground right now.
DADE 01/30 Test BO 42.92 -0.29 42.65 48.95 404K 965K 42.68
Current. Tested below the 10 day EMA but then recovered to hold
that level as it makes another test of its nice run higher.
DAKT 02/08 Cup 38.78 +2.18 38.72 45.77 1.2M 1M 36.21
Entered today. Excellent price and volume move as DAKT broke out from
its sweet little pattern on strong volume.
DO 01/30 Cup hdl 78.97 -2.18 83.42 95.95 4.6M 5.7M 85.05
Current. Gapped lower on the $4 special dividend ex-date today.
Now it should start to rebound and we can claim the
dividend on our stock position and let the stock recover.
EAT 01/13 Cup 33.12 -0.22 32.00 36.95 884K 2M 32.25
Current. Nice low volume faded to test near the 10 day EMA after
that strong breakout. Nice test and needs to make a
strong upside move off the 10 day (32.68).
FFIV 02/10 Test BO 73.73 -1.77 75.95 84.95 621K 1.2M 73.88
Buy Not Hit. Turned a slumped back toward the 50 day EMA on low
volume. Still in the basing process; was not ready
yet to make the move.
FMCN 02/06 Test 18 84.92 +1.72 86.08 97.89 1.9M 1.3M 81.95
Current. Exploded higher on strong volume up to 88.50 but could
not hold but a fraction of the move. Disappointing,
but still trending higher. It is a volatile stock so
as long as it holds its trend we let it work for us.
GES 01/27 PreAnn 74.01 +1.06 72.48 83.45 932K 1M 70.38
Buy Not Issued. Volume cracked above average Monday as GES started
to move higher. Close to giving us the breakout.
GS 02/01 Test 18 211.13 -2.15 212.88 231.90 5.4M 6.5M 210.95
Current. Managed to hold support at 210. It has shown more strength
upside than downside and has thus held up better than
some of its brethren. We need to see a bounce, however,
after 3 tests of the 210 support on the past 3 sessions.
HANS 02/10 DB hdl 41.91 +2.39 40.87 49.88 7.2M 3.2M 38.89
Gapped higher, tested and just about filled the gap,
and then resumed the move on another session of strong,
above average volume.
HMSY 01/24 Test BO 20.96 +0.01 19.02 22.75 373K 333K 19.97
Current. A second doji at 21 after a strong 2 week run higher
above the 10 day EMA. Signalling it may be ready for
a pullback to test near 20, especially w/the high Monday
volume. That shows some churn & typically means a pullback.
ICE 01/23 Test 18 143.57 -5.79 133.00 151.00 3.6M 3.5M 148.55
Current. Faded on lower volume to test the 10 day EMA. A bounce
here is a new buy point as it continues its run up
the 10 and 18 day EMA.
IIVI 01/10 Test BO 32.61 +0.65 30.66 36.35 156K 295K 31.58
Current.
IIVI 12/18 Asc Bse 32.61 +0.65 27.64 32.98 156K 270K 31.58
Current. Bounced to recover the Friday loss, but still workign
laterally the past three sessions after a nice surge
higher last week. Solid, refusing to give up its gains.
INFY 02/10 Test BO 59.00 -0.44 59.78 68.75 837K 1.8M 58.11
Buy Not Hit.
INFY 12/19 Test 50 59.00 -0.44 54.37 65.45 837K 2.6M 58.39
Current. Nice reach to the 18 day EMA then a recovery to close
at the 10 day EMA on very low volume. Good test setting
up the next move.
JCI 01/13 PreAnn 93.90 -0.46 88.31 99.89 648K 1.7M 93.65
Trailing Stop. Took the rest of the gain as JCI slips back on lower
trade. Will let it test the 18 day EMA (92.66) and
then look for a new entry point.
JCP 01/22 Test BO 82.48 -0.37 83.15 99.75 969K 2.5M 82.44
Current. Very low trade as JCP continues testing the 18 day
EMA after gapping lower Thursday on the same store
sales. Holding up well & still in position to rally back.
JEC 02/08 PreSplt 90.64 +0.34 91.05 99.95 434K 500K 90.65
Buy Not Issued. Reached down to the 18 day EMA on the low and recovered
to close positive on rising trade. May be the final
shakeout before it makes its bounce.
KSS 01/31 PreAnn 71.83 -0.64 70.68 80.95 1.7M 3.5M 71.72
Current. Faded to close just below the 10 day EMA on continued
very low volume. This is where it needs to hold and
make some more sales or we sell.
KSWS 02/01 Cup 33.04 -0.06 33.00 38.95 179K 250K 32.55
Current. Nice doji at the 10 day EMA on continued low volume.
Nice test and ready to rebound from here.
LOGI 02/08 Cup hdl 27.99 -0.28 29.49 35.42 476K 1.1M 27.95
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower below the 50 day EMA on low volume. May
hold and will keep watching it but dropping for now.
MON 02/01 Test BO 53.76 -0.46 55.69 62.95 1.7M 4.2M 54.24
Current. Low volume but bled thru the 18 day EMA. Giving it
a session to see if it will recover that level.
NX 01/23 Trnd Rv 38.28 -0.02 39.29 44.88 260K 500K 37.97
Current. Held the 18 day EMA for a 2nd session, showing a doji
Monday. Looks like the pullback has run its course.
POT 02/06 Test BO 150.12 -0.48 153.71 172.75 572K 2M 148.88
Current. Another hold at the 18 day EMA on low volume, setting
up the next break higher. This hold is also keeping
it above the 18 day EMA.
PX 02/10 Rev HS 63.67 +0.04 63.92 71.95 1M 1.6M 62.24
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher and rallied to 64, but it was flash in
the pan and was back down quickly. Just as soon it
take a day off after the Friday move and then we catch
it as it continues back up.
RESP 02/07 Test BO 41.97 -0.05 42.48 48.85 208K 400K 41.11
Buy Not Issued. Nice doji at the 10 day EMA on low volume, ready to
break higher after this test of the strong late January
move.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 133.93 -0.28 135.96 154.89 5.7M 10M 134.55
Current. Tested lower toward the 18 day EMA and rebounded to
hold the 10 day on the close. Low low volume so letting
it make this test. The new Blackberry did not seem
to give it much lift. Didn't give it any lift.
RIO 01/30 Test BO 32.98 -0.29 33.05 39.65 6.6M 9M 33.18
Current. Tapped the 18 day EMA on the low and recouped some
downside. Still holding near support so letting it
make this test.
RL 01/30 PreAnn 82.95 -0.57 82.09 93.95 1.1M 1M 82.48
Trailing Stop. Started slicing lower early on some stronger trade & we closed it out versus having it fade toward the 50 day MA, but it held and recovered the 18 day EMA & remains in decent shape. If it holds we will look at it again.
SSI 02/08 Asc Bse 21.77 -0.37 23.05 26.75 263K 410K 21.55
Buy Not Hit. Has not shown anything since the Thursday break higher,
giving all of that back and more. Dropping for now
& will see if it can set back up.
STLD 02/05 Test BO 37.93 +0.37 38.50 45.95 1.3M 2.5M 37.38
Current. Decent test of the 18 day EMA and a bounce higher.
Gave back the bigger part of the move, but like the
hold at this level.
SYK 01/20 FlyPlat 61.94 -0.17 59.73 68.75 825K 2.1M 61.48
Current.
SYK 12/18 Test BO 61.94 -0.17 55.67 63.95 825K 1.4M 61.48
Current. Still a very tight, low volume test of the 10 day EMA.
Just letting it make this test.
TALX 02/05 Test BO 32.62 -0.22 32.58 38.95 256K 300K 31.55
Current. Gapped higher but gave it back on lower trade. No big
issue with that as it still has great upside support.
VIP 02/10 Test BO 84.80 -0.70 86.88 99.95 745K 1M 84.35
Buy Not Hit. Faded back to the 18 day EMA on rising trade. This
is where the test needs to hold. This is why we sold
out Friday; looks okay but it has to show us the next
upside move.
VIVO 01/06 PreAnn 28.98 -0.13 25.75 29.95 90K 220K 28.78
Current. Excellent low volume test, tapping the 18 day EMA on
the low and rebounding to cut its losses. Looks like
a good point to add some some positions if it gives
us a sharp move above the 10 day EMA (29.15).
VOL 02/03 Test 50 36.97 -0.04 37.42 42.97 590K 600K 35.08
Current. Still working laterally in a flat range above the 10
day EMA, working to set up the next break higher.
WFR 02/05 FlyPlat 51.68 -1.48 54.45 61.95 4.5M 4.8M 51.21
Current. Slipped thru the 10 day EMA on continued below avg
volume. Not liking this action that much and it may
be in line for an 18 day EMA test (50.60).
XTO 01/30 PreAnn 50.05 -0.84 50.48 57.95 2.5M 4.5M 48.33
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower on the S. Arabia comments regarding the
oil market. XTO rebounded off the 18 day EMA & volume
was lower overall so no distribution on the day.
ZOLL 02/06 PreSplt 65.05 -0.06 65.89 75.95 177K 400K 63.38
Buy Not Issued. Nice doji on low volume at the 18 day EMA. Still set
up to blast higher.
ZUMZ 02/08 Asc Bse 35.52 -0.66 36.72 42.95 254K 800K 34.36
Buy Not Issued. Still coming back to test the last move, fading toward
the 10 day EMA on very low, below avg volume. A hold
at 35ish & a strong rebound is a buy.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AXP 02/10 Put 57.00 -0.53 57.25 55.74 12M 5M 57.72
Entered today. Heavy volume as AXP broke lower. Really tanked, falling
to 56.21 on the low before rebounding to recover 0.80.
Would have preferred it to have closed near session
lows, but definitely some distribution here.
SBUX 01/29 Put 32.67 -0.29 34.96 32.92 8.2M 11M 32.88
Current. Faded further to 32.38 but then started to rebound.
If it shows any further upside it is worth taking the
rest off the table and then letting it set up again
for the next leg lower.
WDR 02/10 HdShldr 25.18 -0.07 25.12 24.05 468K 725K 25.57
Entered today. Started lower once more but found a bit of support
at 25 and rebounded for a modest loss. Still weak but
want to see it through 25 soon.
End part 1 of 3
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