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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AH 02/07 BO 66.03 -0.15 65.42 73.85 587K 700K 64.89
Current. Volume moved up to average as AH came back some, still
testing that Tuesday gap higher. Holding onto most
of the gains and still solidly in its uptrend above
the 10 day EMA.
AIR 02/06 DB hdl 31.30 +0.03 30.60 35.95 674K 680K 29.98
Current. Took a day off after the strong Wed surge. Volume remained
high as it showed a doji. Something to watch but likely
means little in this move.
AMKR 01/06 Cup hdl 11.84 +0.08 11.30 13.69 2.5M 5.9M 11.04
Current. Modest gain on very low volume. AMKR is bumping into
resistance at 12 it hit in January & early Feb. That
is the key point for it to clear on this move. Good
results in semis (e.g. HITT) may help break it thru.
AMX 02/12 Test BO 48.46 -0.04 47.60 54.95 5.1M 6.5M 46.57
Current. Held steady in a quiet market session. Volume remained
solidly average. Still in excellent shape to continue
the breakout move.
ANF 02/03 Test BO 82.41 +0.14 83.05 94.85 944K 2.6M 79.88
Current. Similar to other stocks it took a low volume day off
after 2 solid sessions. Holding above the 10 day EMA
& in the post-breakout uptrend above the short term
moving averages.
ANST 12/26 Cup hdl 31.69 +0.06 28.36 33.95 325K 400K 29.95
Current. Took a breather after the Wed blast off from its ascending
base. We said the breakouts from this pattern can be
explosive, and this one was. After a test we will look
at some more positions.
ATHR 02/13 Test BO 26.09 +0.30 26.38 31.65 1.5M 2.5M 24.65
Buy Not Issued. Tapped at the breakout but volume was not there yet.
Getting ready, & seeing some good results in its sector.
Just be patient & let it show the move.
BA 02/03 Test BO 91.71 +1.77 91.65 102.95 5.7M 5.8M 89.31
Entered today. Blasting higher on strong volume as UPS ordered a hangar
full of planes.
BKE 02/14 Test BO 36.20 +0.16 36.57 43.94 134K 210K 34.72
Buy Not Hit. Another lateral move holding the break higher from last week. Like how it refuses to give up any ground. Volume was up Thursday as it posted a modest gain. Already wanting to move back up without a full test of the 10 day EMA.
CRM 02/12 Test BO 49.61 -0.27 48.11 54.95 2.2M 1.7M 47.11
Current.
CRM 01/24 DB hdl 49.61 -0.27 43.19 51.85 2.2M 1.5M 47.11
Current. Took a breather after three solid upside sesions.
Volume was still above avg but a bit lower. No issues
with this move from a strong leader.
CROX 02/12 Test BO 52.85 -0.66 55.05 65.95 1.6M 2M 52.38
Buy Not Issued. Slipped back to the 18 day EMA on rising average trade.
Still in position for the break higher but the volume
has been up on the downside sessions this week. Need
to be patient & let it show us the move if it will.
CVA 02/14 Test BO 23.73 -0.27 24.28 27.95 717K 1.2M 22.89
Buy Not Hit. Flirted with the breakout but no volume & it faded
back toward the 10 day EMA. Still perched right at
the breakout point and looking solid.
CXW 01/27 Test BO 53.06 +0.02 49.47 56.95 277K 550K 51.42
Current.
DO 01/30 Cup hdl 79.21 -0.94 83.42 95.95 2.4M 5.7M 85.05
Current. Still holding the same level, working laterally on
low volume. Just letting it work this out after the
dividend payout and start the recovery to at least
fill that gap from 85.
GIGM 01/24 Cup 12.13 -0.26 11.48 13.95 605K 1.3M 11.82
Current. The bounce Tues & Wed did not have any volume and it
caught up with it today, fading back to the 10 day
EMA on the low. Still in excellent shape.
GS 02/01 Test 18 216.82 -0.58 212.88 231.90 3.6M 6.5M 213.32
Current. Modest fade on low volume after a nice price & volume
surge Wednesday tested the priro high near 220. 220
is the next level it needs to break to really stretch
its legs.
HMSY 01/24 Test BO 21.15 -0.24 19.02 22.75 188K 333K 20.21
Current. Slowed the past two sessions with some high volume
churn Wednesday after the strong run up the 10 day
EMA. Likely to come back to test 20.70ish.
HMSY 12/14 Asc Bse 21.15 -0.24 14.98 18.31 188K 331K 20.21
Current.
HPC 02/10 Test BO 20.58 +0.03 20.59 24.68 532K 1M 19.98
Current. Low volume and a slide sideways after the strong Tuesday
push higher. Just taking a moment; still in good position
to continue higher.
HWCC 02/15 Rev HS 25.99 +1.06 26.15 30.94 915K 500K 24.42
Entered today.
IIVI 01/10 Test BO 32.97 +1.00 30.66 36.35 330K 295K 31.58
Current.
IIVI 12/18 Asc Bse 32.97 +1.00 27.64 32.98 330K 270K 31.89
Current. Super volume as IIVI rebounds off the 10 day EMA, scratching
out a new all-time high.
JEC 02/08 PreSplt 92.99 +0.51 91.05 99.95 444K 500K 90.65
Buy Not Issued. Continued higher, finally getting some volume Thursday
but not much of a move. It leaked higher on us and
will need a modest pullback to give us a new entry point.
KSS 01/31 PreAnn 73.58 +0.55 70.68 80.95 1.3M 3.5M 71.72
Current. Riding higher with the market the past three sessions, but no new breakout over the February high near 74 and no real volume to drive it. Nice pattern and setting up for another big breakout. On a surge past 74 on volume we are in more positions.
KSWS 02/01 Cup 33.86 -0.30 33.00 38.95 132K 250K 32.89
Current. Bumping up against a new breakout over 34, just not
enough volume to blast it through just yet. Setting
up very well for the next breakout.
MNST 01/22 Test BO 54.25 +0.62 51.46 58.94 1.2M 1.8M 52.22
Current. Nice volume as MNST breaks higehr once again.
MON 02/01 Test BO 55.61 -0.14 55.69 62.95 2.8M 4.2M 54.38
Current. Tried to extend the move past the late January high at 56.24 but got thrown back for a modest loss. Lower volume so still in the game to clear this next key level. Want to see it over on stronger trade. If it does we are adding positions on that move.
MSTR 02/14 Cup hdl 126.40 +0.40 126.78 142.95 174K 385K 123.11
Buy Not Hit. Still set to make the breakout from a sweet little
pattern that absorbed a gap and reversal on earnings
in late January and continued to set up.
NUVA 02/06 Rev HS 23.42 -0.42 24.82 29.75 251K 350K 23.54
Buy Not Hit. Two consecutive downside sessions on rising, above
avge. volume. Not consistent with accumulation ahead
of a breakout so dropping it for now but will keep
an eye on it.
OII 01/30 Test 50 41.75 -0.22 40.78 46.95 548K 1M 40.57
Current. Gapped modestly lower as many oil services stocks struggled
after the Baker Huges debacle. OII held up very well,
but after that sector news we are watching closely
as we don't want it to fade & go dormant on us.
OSG 02/08 Trnd Rv 63.44 -0.14 63.55 69.95 340K 700K 61.55
Buy Not Issued. Still working laterally on low volume, setting up the next break higher. Don't really like the way it is rising as it tries to consolidate; would prefer a slight fade. Will have to see how well a strong move higher from here holds up to get us to enter.
POT 02/06 Test BO 158.36 +4.58 153.71 172.75 1.1M 2M 153.22
Current. Now it is getting its potash back in gear, rallying off the 10 day EMA on stronger, avge trade; best in over a week. Can rip off large chunks of real estate in a hurry when it gets moving. If it puts in 10 or so points we should look @ taking some gain.
PTNR 02/12 Test BO 14.22 -0.07 14.30 16.97 559K 344K 13.95
Current. Faded back from that strong price & volume move on
Wednesday, but it is in a strong uptrend & volume was
lower, so not sweating it.
QGEN 02/10 Test BO 17.38 +0.08 17.52 20.95 365K 500K 16.77
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher, looking pretty solid, but it gave most
of the move back. Still solid. It is gappy, but if
it moves back up through the buy point on this higher
trade we will look to start some positions.
RATE 02/10 Test BO 43.09 +0.13 44.95 53.95 133K 500K 41.78
Buy Not Hit. Still a pattern that you can almost bank on. Nice low
volume doji at the 10 day MEA once more. Close to showing
the break higher.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 135.14 -2.45 135.96 154.89 5.7M 10M 134.55
Current. Still trying to get up and off the 10 day EMA for good.
Still a great pattern, however.
RIO 01/30 Test BO 36.12 +0.34 33.05 39.65 7.5M 9M 34.31
Current. Added a few more steel supports to the move, edging
higher after the strong Tues & Wed moves.
RTI 01/31 Cup hdl 83.67 +0.97 84.05 99.95 700K 800K 80.55
Buy Not Issued. Keeps banging at the next breakout point but cannot
make the move. Strong Tues & Wed volume, however, suggests
it is close. Nice leader. Just needs a launch higher.
SIMO 01/31 Test BO 21.25 +0.79 19.00 22.78 873K 550K 20.22
Current. Got a bit dicely last week but held above the 18 day
EMA & Thurs gapped higher on strong volume. We said
it was volatile but it has great support & fundamentals
growth rates so we give it a little room to do its thing.
STLD 02/05 Test BO 39.74 +0.74 38.50 45.95 2.4M 2.5M 37.78
Current. Volume jumped above average as STLD moved higher, steeling
itself for the next breakout move over 40. It probed
that level Thursday but backed off. Looks rady for
another move to new highs.
TALX 02/05 Test BO 35.81 +3.76 32.58 38.95 9M 300K 31.55
Target Hit. Getting bought buy EFX. Gapped higher; not bad, but we waited, &sure enough it caught fire late, driving higher to 36.94. There it started to stall so we pulled the trigger at 36.90. Nice gain. Too bad it is not going to be around to trade anymore.
TROW 02/13 Test BO 49.73 +0.13 49.65 56.98 805K 1.2M 48.28
Current. Edged higher, still getting its feet under it to really
continue that breakout move from a very nicely formed
pattern.
VCLK 01/27 Test BO 27.15 +1.32 26.10 30.85 3.9M 2.8M 25.75
Current.
VCLK 01/03 Test 18 27.15 +1.32 24.34 29.32 3.9M 3.5M 25.75
Target Hit. Took some interim 11.8% stock & 45% option ($180/contract) gain as VCLK jumped higher on strong volume off the breakout test. Earnings are 2-21-07, & if it continues running higher into those numbers it is worth taking some more gain.
VRSN 02/06 DB hdl 26.19 +0.05 26.21 30.32 1.9M 4M 25.09
Current. Still waiting for the sign that VRSN is going to continue
its breka higher. Solid volume and a price gain Wed
looked to be it, but it waffled Thursday on low trade.
Nice pattern. Now give us the sign with a nice upside move.
VSAT 02/07 Test BO 33.90 +0.12 33.75 34.48 157K 250K 32.32
Current. Added some more upside though volume was considerably
lower. Have to like the break higher and the trend
up the 10 day EMA.
WFR 02/05 FlyPlat 54.16 -0.25 54.45 61.95 3.3M 4.8M 51.89
Current. Holding the Wednesday gap higher but right below the
high at 55. That is the next level it needs to break
to keep the breakout move going. Holding its gains well.
ZUMZ 02/08 Asc Bse 34.89 -0.17 36.05 42.95 221K 800K 34.21
Buy Not Issued. Testing a bit lower, holding the 18 day EMA on the
Thurs low. Low, low trade at this level. Looking for
a high volume price bounce that will show buyers back
in & make a higher low. That will give us our entry.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
HGT 02/12 Put 24.67 -0.11 24.32 22.86 77K 285K 24.88
Buy Not Issued. Turning down though no volume. Looks ready to sell;
just want to see volume kick up as it does.
NTGR 02/13 HdShldr 26.84 +0.84 25.48 23.85 1.3M 700K 26.04
Buy Not Hit. Bounced off the 90 day MA on strong volume. That is
not consistent with the pattern though it closed at
the 50 day EMA. Will keep watching but dropping for now.
SYY 02/07 Put 34.43 +0.09 34.18 32.89 1.4M 2.2M 34.21
Current. Still toying around with the 10 day EMA (34.47), rising
to close at that level on low volume Thursday. This
is where it needs to show us the sellers coming back
in. Still a very broad, toppish pattern.
WBSN 02/12 Put 21.86 -0.05 21.53 20.00 727K 950K 22.21
Buy Not Issued. Doji on low volume below the 10 day EMA. Still in position
to fall, but it ahs to show us a meaningful move lower.
End part 2 of 3
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