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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACH 02/01 Dbl btm 27.00 -0.16 25.33 29.97 544K 700K 25.95
Current. Gapped a bit higher then faded for a modest loss on
very low volume. After tthat Wed gap it took a day
off. Excellent uptrend above the 10 day EMA is in place.
AH 02/07 BO 66.03 -0.15 65.42 73.85 587K 700K 64.89
Current. Volume moved up to average as AH came back some, still
testing that Tuesday gap higher. Holding onto most
of the gains and still solidly in its uptrend above
the 10 day EMA.
AIR 02/06 DB hdl 31.30 +0.03 30.60 35.95 674K 680K 29.98
Current. Took a day off after the strong Wed surge. Volume remained
high as it showed a doji. Something to watch but likely
means little in this move.
ANST 12/26 Cup hdl 31.69 +0.06 28.36 33.95 325K 400K 29.95
Current. Took a breather after the Wed blast off from its ascending
base. We said the breakouts from this pattern can be
explosive, and this one was. After a test we will look
at some more positions.
APH 02/03 Cup hdl 67.47 -0.08 68.65 78.95 417K 1.2M 66.57
Buy Not Hit. Still forming the handle on below average volume. Just
need to be patient and let it show us the move higher.
BA 02/03 Test BO 91.71 +1.77 91.65 102.95 5.7M 5.8M 89.31
Entered today. Blasting higher on strong volume as UPS ordered a hangar
full of planes.
BAX 01/04 Rev HS 50.40 +0.13 48.31 55.45 1.8M 2.4M 49.21
Current. Not much headway, but in a slow session BAX continued
its trend up the 10 day EMA after breaking higher once
more on Wednesday.
BKE 02/14 Test BO 36.20 +0.16 36.57 43.94 134K 210K 34.72
Buy Not Hit. Another lateral move holding the break higher from last week. Like how it refuses to give up any ground. Volume was up Thursday as it posted a modest gain. Already wanting to move back up without a full test of the 10 day EMA.
BPO 02/13 PreSplt 46.48 +0.22 47.05 53.95 1M 1.1M 45.55
Buy Not Hit.
BPO 12/16 PreAnn 46.48 +0.22 39.29 46.75 1M 695K 46.89
Current. Holding the 18 day EMA on the low and bouncing for
a small gain on a nice volume increase. Looks to be
getting ready to move back up off of this near support.
CLE 01/18 Cup hdl 35.59 +0.10 35.23 41.42 1.5M 2.7M 34.66
Current. Faded back modeslty to the 10 day EMA on rising, average
volume. Need to see it make a break higher from here.
Earnings 3-15-07
COG 02/13 PreAnn 65.70 +0.10 66.89 76.95 356K 833K 63.75
Buy Not Hit. Tested the 18 day EMA on the low and rebounded, still
working laterally in the nice pattern.
CRM 02/12 Test BO 49.61 -0.27 48.11 54.95 2.2M 1.7M 47.11
Current.
CRM 01/24 DB hdl 49.61 -0.27 43.19 51.85 2.2M 1.5M 47.11
Current. Took a breather after three solid upside sesions.
Volume was still above avg but a bit lower. No issues
with this move from a strong leader.
CROX 02/12 Test BO 52.85 -0.66 55.05 65.95 1.6M 2M 52.38
Buy Not Issued. Slipped back to the 18 day EMA on rising average trade.
Still in position for the break higher but the volume
has been up on the downside sessions this week. Need
to be patient & let it show us the move if it will.
CXW 01/27 Test BO 53.06 +0.02 49.47 56.95 277K 550K 51.42
Current.
DAKT 02/08 Cup 29.32 -0.77 38.72 45.77 2.6M 1M 36.21
Current. Gave back some ground from the Wednesday close, but
giving it a bit of time to rebound furter in relief
from that sharp gap lower.
DO 01/30 Cup hdl 79.21 -0.94 83.42 95.95 2.4M 5.7M 85.05
Current. Still holding the same level, working laterally on
low volume. Just letting it work this out after the
dividend payout and start the recovery to at least
fill that gap from 85.
EAT 01/13 Cup 34.95 -0.24 32.00 36.95 1.2M 2M 34.12
Current. Low volume as EAT rested again following the Tuesday
gap higher on delicious earnings. Letting it take the
breather as the pattern is quite solid.
FFIV 02/10 Test BO 74.21 +0.46 75.95 84.95 707K 1.2M 73.88
Buy Not Hit. Another low volume hold above the 50 day EMA where
it is trying to put in a higher low. Just letting it
set up to show us the move.
FMCN 02/06 Test 18 80.32 +0.70 86.08 97.89 2.2M 1.3M 81.95
Current. This leader took another dive but found purchase at the 50 day EMA and rebounded for a big recovery on big volume. This one is volatile (newer issue) and after this test & recovery it appears set to continue higher. Looking at more positions over 81.
GES 01/27 PreAnn 83.63 +9.05 72.48 83.45 2.7M 1M 79.95
Strong earnings, stock split propelled GES higher and past the initial target. Worth taking some gains on this surge & then see if it can push higher on this move or tests modestly to set up the next run. No guessing about its strength.
GGB 02/13 Test BO 18.69 +0.19 18.54 22.44 1.5M 1.4M 17.95
Current. Continued the move higher after that strong breakout move.
GS 02/01 Test 18 216.82 -0.58 212.88 231.90 3.6M 6.5M 213.32
Current. Modest fade on low volume after a nice price & volume
surge Wednesday tested the priro high near 220. 220
is the next level it needs to break to really stretch
its legs.
HMSY 01/24 Test BO 21.15 -0.24 19.02 22.75 188K 333K 20.21
Current. Slowed the past two sessions with some high volume
churn Wednesday after the strong run up the 10 day
EMA. Likely to come back to test 20.70ish.
IIVI 01/10 Test BO 32.97 +1.00 30.66 36.35 330K 295K 31.58
Current.
IIVI 12/18 Asc Bse 32.97 +1.00 27.64 32.98 330K 270K 31.89
Current. Super volume as IIVI rebounds off the 10 day EMA, scratching
out a new all-time high.
JCP 01/22 Test BO 85.86 +1.27 83.15 99.75 2.2M 2.5M 83.68
Current. Getting its feet back under it as JCP breaks to a new
all-time high on stronger, avearge trade. Nice.
JEC 02/08 PreSplt 92.99 +0.51 91.05 99.95 444K 500K 90.65
Buy Not Issued. Continued higher, finally getting some volume Thursday
but not much of a move. It leaked higher on us and
will need a modest pullback to give us a new entry point.
KSS 01/31 PreAnn 73.58 +0.55 70.68 80.95 1.3M 3.5M 71.72
Current. Riding higher with the market the past three sessions, but no new breakout over the February high near 74 and no real volume to drive it. Nice pattern and setting up for another big breakout. On a surge past 74 on volume we are in more positions.
KSWS 02/01 Cup 33.86 -0.30 33.00 38.95 132K 250K 32.89
Current. Bumping up against a new breakout over 34, just not
enough volume to blast it through just yet. Setting
up very well for the next breakout.
MON 02/01 Test BO 55.61 -0.14 55.69 62.95 2.8M 4.2M 54.38
Current. Tried to extend the move past the late January high at 56.24 but got thrown back for a modest loss. Lower volume so still in the game to clear this next key level. Want to see it over on stronger trade. If it does we are adding positions on that move.
MSTR 02/14 Cup hdl 126.40 +0.40 126.78 142.95 174K 385K 123.11
Buy Not Hit. Still set to make the breakout from a sweet little
pattern that absorbed a gap and reversal on earnings
in late January and continued to set up.
NX 01/23 Trnd Rv 39.94 +0.66 39.29 44.88 377K 500K 38.42
Current. Volume moved up close to average as NX put in a new
closing high for the pattern. A break above 40 on strong
trade is the move that starts the next leg.
POT 02/06 Test BO 158.36 +4.58 153.71 172.75 1.1M 2M 153.22
Current. Now it is getting its potash back in gear, rallying off the 10 day EMA on stronger, avge trade; best in over a week. Can rip off large chunks of real estate in a hurry when it gets moving. If it puts in 10 or so points we should look @ taking some gain.
PX 02/10 Rev HS 63.90 -0.13 63.92 71.95 1.2M 1.6M 62.24
Buy Not Issued. Testing back to the 10 day EMA on lower volume. This
is actually setting up a better entry point for the
break higher.
RESP 02/07 Test BO 42.02 +0.62 42.48 48.85 291K 400K 41.11
Buy Not Issued. Looking really good as it comes off the 18 day EMA
test. Just some more upside and some more volume as
it continues the move.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 135.14 -2.45 135.96 154.89 5.7M 10M 134.55
Current. Still trying to get up and off the 10 day EMA for good.
Still a great pattern, however.
RIO 01/30 Test BO 36.12 +0.34 33.05 39.65 7.5M 9M 34.31
Current. Added a few more steel supports to the move, edging
higher after the strong Tues & Wed moves.
STLD 02/05 Test BO 39.74 +0.74 38.50 45.95 2.4M 2.5M 37.78
Current. Volume jumped above average as STLD moved higher, steeling
itself for the next breakout move over 40. It probed
that level Thursday but backed off. Looks rady for
another move to new highs.
TALX 02/05 Test BO 35.81 +3.76 32.58 38.95 9M 300K 31.55
Target Hit. Getting bought buy EFX. Gapped higher; not bad, but we waited, &sure enough it caught fire late, driving higher to 36.94. There it started to stall so we pulled the trigger at 36.90. Nice gain. Too bad it is not going to be around to trade anymore.
TROW 02/13 Test BO 49.73 +0.13 49.65 56.98 805K 1.2M 48.28
Current. Edged higher, still getting its feet under it to really
continue that breakout move from a very nicely formed
pattern.
VIP 02/10 Test BO 86.06 -1.69 86.95 99.95 672K 1M 84.74
Entered today. Turned right back down from the good Wed move. Volume
rose as it sold back so VIP is going to have to hold
and then prove to us it is worth our money with a strong
rebound on strong volume.
VOL 02/03 Test 50 37.93 +0.31 37.42 42.97 290K 600K 36.24
Current. Slow but steady move up the 10 day EMA. With no big
volume this is about all it can muster, but not going
to complain about a continuing move up the trendline.
WFR 02/05 FlyPlat 54.16 -0.25 54.45 61.95 3.3M 4.8M 51.89
Current. Holding the Wednesday gap higher but right below the
high at 55. That is the next level it needs to break
to keep the breakout move going. Holding its gains well.
XTO 01/30 PreAnn 50.51 -0.38 50.48 57.95 3.5M 4.5M 48.33
Buy Not Issued. Sold to the 10 day EMA and held the line as it continues
in its pattern, but very volatile of late given the
issues in the energy sector with earnings pushing stocks
all over the map, but mostly south.
ZOLL 02/06 PreSplt 63.07 -0.26 65.89 75.95 505K 400K 63.38
Buy Not Issued.
ZUMZ 02/08 Asc Bse 34.89 -0.17 36.05 42.95 221K 800K 34.21
Buy Not Issued. Testing a bit lower, holding the 18 day EMA on the
Thurs low. Low, low trade at this level. Looking for
a high volume price bounce that will show buyers back
in & make a higher low. That will give us our entry.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
WBSN 02/12 Put 21.86 -0.05 21.53 20.00 727K 950K 22.21
Buy Not Issued. Doji on low volume below the 10 day EMA. Still in position
to fall, but it ahs to show us a meaningful move lower.
End part 2 of 3
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