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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AH 02/07 BO 66.04 +0.01 65.42 73.85 241K 700K 64.89
Current. Held flat Friday on very low trade as AH continues
a very modest, tight pullback after the Tuesday gap
higher. Solidly in the uptrend and a very modest test.
AIR 02/06 DB hdl 31.52 +0.22 30.60 35.95 439K 680K 30.32
Current. Added a modest gain to end the week, moving on low
volume Friday but capping a solid price and volume
move higher during the week.
AMKR 01/06 Cup hdl 11.82 -0.02 11.30 13.69 1.7M 5.9M 11.04
Current. No volume as it held steady over the 18 day EMA, similar to Monday & still set up very nicely for a break higher. Earnings 2-7-07 after the close. Would love a run into those earnings to take some gain ahead of the news.
AMX 02/12 Test BO 48.23 -0.23 47.60 54.95 3.2M 6.5M 46.94
Current. Modest loss to end the week but on very low trade.
Nice break higher this week & an excellent test to
end it. Set up well to continue higher on the breakout
move.
ANF 02/03 Test BO 82.67 +0.26 83.05 94.85 930K 2.6M 80.37
Current. Worked higher all week though on modest volume and
did not break to a new all-time high, closing just
below the mid-February highs. Still solid, still working
higher up the 10 and 18 day EMA.
ANST 12/26 Cup hdl 32.53 +0.84 28.36 33.95 253K 400K 30.72
Current. What a week. After a big Wednesday surge on earnings, it took Thursday off and then was surging again Friday to a new high. Excellent action and just letting this big surge continue as long as it will. When it tops we will take the rest of the options.
ATHR 02/13 Test BO 25.73 -0.36 26.38 31.65 1.9M 2.5M 24.65
Buy Not Issued. Tried to breakout on Thursday but no volume. More volume
Friday as it tested the 18 day EMA on the low and rebounded
to hold the 10 day EMA. Still set up well to make the
breakout.
BA 02/03 Test BO 90.94 -0.77 91.65 102.95 4.5M 5.8M 89.31
Current. Gapped higher but faded back some after the strong
volume move Thursday. Good start to the move. Next
major point to break through is 92.
BKE 02/14 Test BO 36.18 -0.02 36.57 43.94 96K 210K 34.72
Buy Not Hit. Tight doji on more low volume to end the week. Still
testing the strong move last week and setting up nicely
to continue higher with the breakout.
CHL 02/15 Test BO 48.45 +0.09 49.95 57.95 1.3M 2M 47.22
Buy Not Hit. Making a higher low at the 18 day EMA as it continues
its lateral move after breaking higher in mid-January.
Looking to hold here and then continue the break. Very
nice pattern.
CRM 02/12 Test BO 49.63 +0.02 48.11 54.95 1.5M 1.7M 47.11
Current.
CRM 01/24 DB hdl 49.63 +0.02 43.19 51.85 1.5M 1.5M 47.11
Current. Solid break higher once more to start the week then
coasted into the weekend on lower volume and holding
the move higher. Excellent action as CRM continues its
strong uptrend.
CROX 02/12 Test BO 55.17 +2.32 55.05 65.95 2M 2M 52.38
Entered today. Got some nice volume late in the session as it broke
sharply higher off the 18 day EMA. Great point to enter
and we did.
CVA 02/14 Test BO 23.97 +0.24 24.28 27.95 507K 1.2M 22.89
Buy Not Hit. Still butting up against the next breakout with a move
over resistance at 24.
CXW 01/27 Test BO 53.12 +0.06 49.47 56.95 233K 550K 51.42
Current. Spent the week working laterally after that strong
gap higher. The 10 day EMA is running up to catch up
with it, and when it gets there that should set it
off on the next move higher.
DO 01/30 Cup hdl 78.59 -0.62 83.42 95.95 1.7M 5.7M 85.05
Current. Finished the week on low volume at the 90 day MA after
issuing that special dividend. Still letting it hold
here and then rebound.
GIGM 01/24 Cup 12.36 +0.23 11.48 13.95 736K 1.3M 11.82
Current. Excellent test of the early February breakout, holding
at the 10 day EMA on low volume, ready for the continuation
of the breakout run.
GLW 02/15 DB hdl 21.72 -0.33 22.65 27.57 15M 22M 21.35
Buy Not Hit. Faded through the 200 day MA (21.82) modestly, not
exactly the action we wanted to see as it tests its
break through this level. Will give it a session or
two to hold and show us the break higher.
GS 02/01 Test 18 216.92 +0.10 212.88 231.90 3.1M 6.5M 213.32
Current. Strong price & volume move Wednesday took GS off the 18 day EMA. Ended the week testing the 10 day EMA & bouncing. Set up nicely to really run for us given this higher low. Could get exciting to the upside this week.
HMSY 01/24 Test BO 21.48 +0.33 19.02 22.75 193K 333K 20.21
Current. Tested the 10 day EMA on the Friday low and bounced
to a new 10 year high. After a strong break higher
Tuesday & a lateral move midweek it may be ready for
more upside. Earnings 2-28-07.
HMSY 12/14 Asc Bse 21.48 +0.33 14.98 18.31 193K 331K 20.21
Current.
HPC 02/10 Test BO 20.51 -0.07 20.59 24.68 538K 1M 20.08
Current. Strong break higher Tuesday and then finished the week
moving laterally, still holding above the 10 day EMA
& in great shape to continue moving higher.
HWCC 02/15 Rev HS 25.92 -0.07 26.15 30.94 270K 500K 24.42
Current. Pretty wild session Friday, tapping at the 10 day EMA
on the low but rebounding to close flat. Volume was
much lower than the Thursday breakout trade but liked
the way it held the move.
IIVI 01/10 Test BO 32.99 +0.02 30.66 36.35 128K 295K 31.58
Current.
IIVI 12/18 Asc Bse 32.99 +0.02 27.64 32.98 128K 270K 31.89
Current. Solid finish to the week with a high volume surge Thursday.
For teh week IIVI was just marginally higher, moving
laterally and waiting for the 10 day EMA to rise up
to meet it. This should send it back up.
JEC 02/08 PreSplt 92.76 -0.23 93.45 101.95 230K 500K 91.65
Buy Not Issued. Making the test of the 10 day EMA on the Friday low
and rebounding to flat. That is likely the test of
that initial move off the 18 day EMA, and thus on a
continued break higher we will enter if we get some volume.
KSS 02/15 DB hdl 73.82 +0.24 74.32 84.95 1.4M 4.4M 71.94
Buy Not Hit.
KSS 01/31 PreAnn 73.82 +0.24 70.68 80.95 1.4M 3.5M 71.72
Current. Up for the week but low trade. Closed the week at 74
where there is resistance from Oct-Nov highs. This
is where it has to make the breakthrough.
KSWS 02/01 Cup 34.05 +0.19 33.00 38.95 156K 250K 32.89
Current. Man it sure looks ready to make a break higher. Rallied
to 34.47 on the Friday high but could not hold the
move. Sweet looking pattern.
MNST 01/22 Test BO 54.67 +0.42 51.46 58.94 1.2M 1.8M 52.22
Current. Great week, rallying further up the 10 day EMA, with
trade at its best levels to end the week.
MON 02/01 Test BO 55.65 +0.04 55.69 62.95 2M 4.2M 54.38
Current. Tried to extend the move past the late January high at 56.24 but got thrown back for a modest loss. Lower volume so still in the game to clear this next key level. Want to see it over 56 on stronger trade. If it does we are adding positions on that move.
MSTR 02/14 Cup hdl 126.40 0.00 126.78 142.95 173K 385K 123.11
Buy Not Issued. Tested the breakout move but volume remained below
avg and it closed flat. Still a sweet pattern and showing
it is just about ready to make the move.
OII 01/30 Test 50 41.52 -0.23 40.78 46.95 379K 1M 40.57
Current. Tried to break thru resistance at 42 Wednesday, but
it backed off from that. Not far and if it makes a
higher low at the 10 day (41) it will be ready to take
on that key level.
OSG 02/08 Trnd Rv 63.93 +0.49 63.55 69.95 274K 700K 61.55
Buy Not Issued. Melting higher on low volume, not our favorite entry
set up. Will let it test and see how it looks at that
point. Dropping for now.
POT 02/06 Test BO 160.73 +2.37 153.71 172.75 1.3M 2M 155.31
Current. Volume rallied Thurs & Fri as POT got off the pot & started higher again. Broke through early Feb high on the close, making a higher all-time closing hi. Want it to put in another 5 to 7 points on this run & then we can start looking to take some gain.
PTNR 02/12 Test BO 14.67 +0.45 14.30 16.97 465K 344K 14.07
Current. Solid week for PTNR as it jumped off the 10 day EMA
test, rallying on strong volume and closing Friday
at a new 6-year high. Excellent action.
QGEN 02/10 Test BO 17.60 +0.22 17.52 20.95 578K 500K 16.98
Entered today. Very gappy, and it gapped higher once more, tested
the 10 day EMA, then surged back up on strong volume.
Whiplash aside, we went ahead and moved in late in
the session as it rebounded on that strong trade.
RATE 02/10 Test BO 43.65 +0.56 44.95 53.95 153K 500K 41.78
Buy Not Hit. Tapped the 10 day EMA again on the low and posted a
nice gain. Volume will need to get better. Still a
super pattern.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 138.82 +3.68 135.96 154.89 6.1M 10M 134.55
Current. Good end to the week, bouncing off the 10 day EMA to
post a gain from the prior week and on some rising
trade. Still a sweet set up to breakout. Still has
to show the bigger breakaway move.
RIO 01/30 Test BO 35.90 -0.22 33.05 39.65 5.6M 9M 34.51
Current. Announced a secondary offering but didn't seem to impact it one bit as RIO faded on very low volume to end what was a very solid week. Jumped off the 18 day EMA Tuesday and allowed us to take some gain Wednesday. Letting it test.
RS 02/15 Cup hdl 45.28 +0.71 44.82 50.00 1M 1.1M 42.68
Buy Not Issued. Gapped a bit and ran early, not coming back to give
us any entry point later in the session. That leaves
us looking for a test of this move to enter.
RTI 01/31 Cup hdl 83.84 +0.17 84.05 99.95 378K 800K 80.55
Buy Not Issued. RTI continues to tap at a breakout as it works laterally
in a three week range above the 10 day EMA. Looks sweet
& some strong volume mid-week. Just has to show the
break higher.
RVSN 02/15 Test BO 22.24 -0.07 22.45 26.95 223K 220K 21.38
Buy Not Hit. Still testing the strong break higher from the prior
week and Monday. Excellent action and looking for the
breakout run to continue.
SIMO 01/31 Test BO 21.93 +0.68 19.00 22.78 867K 550K 20.48
Current. Continued the strong recovery that started Thursday
after the 10 day EMA test. Excellent recovery from
an excellent stock, posting a new all-time high. Relative
strength breakout on the move. Excellent.
STLD 02/05 Test BO 40.04 +0.30 38.50 45.95 2.4M 2.5M 38.61
Current. Volume jumped above average as STLD moved higher, steeling itself for the next breakout move over 40. It probed that level Thursday but backed off. Looks ready for another move to new highs.
TROW 02/13 Test BO 49.60 -0.13 49.65 56.98 868K 1.2M 48.55
Current. Solid move higher off the 18 day MA for the week, pausing
below 50 and trying to make a higher low at the 10
day EMA to then push back up through that important
50 level.
VCLK 01/27 Test BO 27.46 +0.31 26.10 30.85 1.3M 2.8M 25.94
Current.
VCLK 01/03 Test 18 27.46 +0.31 24.34 29.32 1.3M 3.5M 25.94
Current. After the strong break higher Thursday on solid trade
VCLK continued the upside momentum Friday, rallying
to a new all-time high. Excellent action.
VRSN 02/06 DB hdl 26.12 -0.07 26.21 30.32 2.5M 4M 25.28
Current. Still working laterally above the 10 day EMA, setting
up for another big move. Volume kicked to the upside
Wed as VRSN posted a gain. Looks promising.
VSAT 02/07 Test BO 33.68 -0.22 33.75 34.48 133K 250K 32.49
Current. Good week, breaking higher on solid trade and testing
to end the week on lower volume. Holding the gains
and ready to make the continued move after this test.
WFR 02/05 FlyPlat 54.58 +0.42 54.45 61.95 3.4M 4.8M 52.42
Current. Jumped higher Wednesday on rising, avg trade. Spent
the rest of the week trying to get through 55, but
a half-hearted effort. Set up well with a higher low
over the 10 day EMA.
ZUMZ 02/08 Asc Bse 35.05 +0.16 36.05 42.95 164K 800K 34.21
Buy Not Issued. Tapped at the 18 day EMA for the second session and
rebounded. No volume; no one selling on the fade. Now
it is just about set to make the bounce. We wait for
the move but don't start sawing Z's.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
HGT 02/12 Put 24.56 -0.11 24.32 22.86 184K 285K 24.88
Buy Not Issued. Tried the 10 day EMA once again but faded back for
a loss as volume started higher. Still looks primed
to make the decline as it has on prior occasions in
this downtrend.
SYY 02/07 Put 34.67 +0.24 34.18 32.89 2.2M 2.2M 34.21
Current. Bounced up to the 18 and 90 day MA Friday on better,
avg volume. Could not break below 34 last week where
there is some support. This is the lick log where it
has to turn over.
WBSN 02/12 Put 22.13 +0.27 21.53 20.00 697K 950K 22.21
Buy Not Issued. Bounced off the Thursday doji, heading toward the 18
day MA. Low volume. Will see how it handles the 18
day EMA test.
End part 2 of 3
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