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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri=Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.) Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon Market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor Market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACH 02/01 Dbl btm 26.57 -0.43 25.33 29.97 465K 700K 25.95
Current. After gappin ghigher Wednesday, ACH gapped lower Friday,
tapping the 10 day EMA on the low and rebounding. Low
volume. Volatile in expiration week, but still in the
uptrend so letting it work for us.
AH 02/07 BO 66.04 +0.01 65.42 73.85 241K 700K 64.89
Current. Held flat Friday on very low trade as AH continues
a very modest, tight pullback after the Tuesday gap
higher. Solidly in the uptrend and a very modest test.
AIR 02/06 DB hdl 31.52 +0.22 30.60 35.95 439K 680K 30.32
Current. Added a modest gain to end the week, moving on low
volume Friday but capping a solid price and volume
move higher during the week.
AMX 02/05 Rolling 48.23 -0.23 47.60 54.55 3.2M 6.5M 46.94
Current. Modest loss to end the week but on very low trade.
Nice break higher this week & an excellent test to
end it. Set up well to continue higher on the breakout
move.
ANF 02/03 Test BO 82.67 +0.26 83.05 94.85 930K 2.6M 80.37
Current. Worked higher all week though on modest volume and
did not break to a new all-time high, closing just
below the mid-February highs. Still solid, still working
higher up the 10 and 18 day EMA.
ANST 12/26 Cup hdl 32.53 +0.84 28.36 33.95 253K 400K 30.72
Current. What a week. After a big Wednesday surge on earnings, it took Thursday off and then was surging again Friday to a new high. Excellent action and just letting this big surge continue as long as it will. When it tops we will take the rest of the options.
ATHR 02/13 Test BO 25.73 -0.36 26.38 31.65 1.9M 2.5M 24.65
Buy Not Issued. Tried to breakout on Thursday but no volume. More volume
Friday as it tested the 18 day EMA on the low and rebounded
to hold the 10 day EMA. Still set up well to make the
breakout.
BITS 02/01 Cup hdl 11.09 -0.17 10.78 12.95 57K 185K 10.89
Burst higher Wednesday on strong volume and spent the rest of the week testing modestly, fading back on some low volume. Likely to hold around the 10.60 or above range & than continue higher. That test is a good entry point.
BKE 02/14 Test BO 36.18 -0.02 36.57 43.94 96K 210K 34.72
Buy Not Hit. Tight doji on more low volume to end the week. Still
testing the strong move last week and setting up nicely
to continue higher with the breakout.
CMG 02/07 Asc Bse 65.03 +3.65 61.85 69.95 2.1M 800K 63.78
Gapped higher on the strong earnings on strong trade.
Great report.
CRM 02/12 Test BO 49.63 +0.02 48.11 54.95 1.5M 1.7M 47.11
Current.
CRM 01/24 DB hdl 49.63 +0.02 43.19 51.85 1.5M 1.5M 47.11
Current. Solid break higehr once more to start the week then
coasted into the weekend on lower volume and holding
the move higher. Excellent action as CRM contiues its
strong uptrend.
CROX 02/12 Test BO 55.17 +2.32 55.05 65.95 2M 2M 52.38
Entered today. Got some nice volume late in the session as it broke
sharply higher off the 18 day EMA. Great point to enter
and we did.
CVA 02/14 Test BO 23.97 +0.24 24.28 27.95 507K 1.2M 22.89
Buy Not Hit. Still butting up against the next breakout with a move
over resistance at 24.
DO 01/30 Cup hdl 78.59 -0.62 83.42 95.95 1.7M 5.7M 85.05
Current. Finished the week on low volume at the 90 day MA after
issuing that special dividend. Still letting it hold
here and then rebound.
GGB 02/13 Test BO 18.72 +0.03 18.54 22.44 1.3M 1.4M 17.95
Current. Gapped lower but recovered to hold the Thursday gain.
Lower volume on the move but tolerable given the strong
volume break higher to start the week.
GIGM 01/24 Cup 12.36 +0.23 11.48 13.95 736K 1.3M 11.82
Current. Excellent test of the early February breakout, holding
at the 10 day EMA on low volume, ready for the continuation
of the breakout run.
GLW 02/15 DB hdl 21.72 -0.33 22.65 27.57 15M 22M 21.35
Buy Not Hit. Faded through the 200 day MA (21.82) modestly, not
exactly the action we wanted to see as it tests its
break through this level. Will give it a session or
two to hold and show us the break higher.
GS 02/01 Test 18 216.92 +0.10 212.88 231.90 3.1M 6.5M 213.32
Current. Strong price & volume move Wednesday took GS off the 18 day EMA. Ended the week testing the 10 day EMA & bouncing. Set up nicely to really run for us given this higher low. Could get exciting to the upside this week.
HLTH 12/07 Saucer 14.70 +0.07 12.38 14.85 3.2M 5M 14.32
Current. Continuing higher up the 10 day EMA, breaking to a
new 6 year closing high. Excellent run up the 10 day
EMA continues.
HMSY 01/24 Test BO 21.48 +0.33 19.02 22.75 193K 333K 20.21
Current. Tested the 10 day EMA on the Friday low and bounced
to a new 10 year high. AFter a strong break higher
Tuesday & a lateral move midweek it may be ready for
more uspide. Earnings 2-28-07.
HMSY 12/14 Asc Bse 21.48 +0.33 14.98 18.31 193K 331K 20.21
Current. Tested the 10 day EMA on the Friday low and bounced
to a new 10 year high. AFter a strong break higher
Tuesday & a lateral move midweek it may be ready for
more uspide.
HPC 02/10 Test BO 20.51 -0.07 20.59 24.68 538K 1M 20.08
Current. Strong break higher Tuesday and then finished the week
moving laterally, still holding above the 10 day EMA
& in great shape to continue moving higher.
HWCC 02/15 Rev HS 25.92 -0.07 26.15 30.94 270K 500K 24.42
Current. Pretty wild session Friday, tapping at the 10 day EMA
on the low but rebounding to close flat. Volume was
much lower than the Thursday breakout trade but liked
the way it held the move.
ICON 02/15 DB hdl 21.62 +1.01 21.32 25.55 1.1M 1.2M 20.21
Entered today. Excellent volume, excellent price gain Friday as ICON
broke out yet again, giving us a great entry point
as it surges to a new all-time high.
IYT 02/13 Rev HS 91.76 +0.07 90.32 100.00 262K 650K 90.88
Took another day of rest on low volume after those
strong Tuesday & Wed moves higher.
LOGI 02/14 Flat 29.13 +0.01 29.22 35.42 425K 1.1M 27.78
Buy Not Hit. Took the day off after bouncing higher Wed & Thurs.
Setting up nicely; just have to wait for it to show
the move.
MNST 12/11 Cup hdl 54.67 +0.42 48.14 56.78 1.2M 2.4M 52.22
Current. Great week, rallying further up the 10 day EMA, with
trade at its best levels to end the week.
MON 02/01 Test BO 55.65 +0.04 55.69 62.95 2M 4.2M 54.38
Current. Tried to extend the move past the late January high at 56.24 but got thrown back for a modest loss. Lower volume so still in the game to clear this next key level. Want to see it over 56 on stronger trade. If it does we are adding positions on that move.
MOS 02/07 Dbl btm 25.23 +0.97 21.88 26.35 3.1M 3M 23.72
Current. Huge move on the week on strong trade did not slow Friday. MOS surged to 26 on the high before backing off modestly. Letting this baby run; did not back off after taking a couple of days off. Another surge & can take a bit off the table.
OII 01/30 Test 50 41.52 -0.23 40.78 46.95 379K 1M 40.57
Current. Tried to break thru resistance at 42 Wednesday, but
it backed off from that. Not far and if it makes a
higher low at the 10 day (41) it will be ready to take
on that key level.
OSG 02/08 Trnd Rv 63.93 +0.49 63.55 69.95 274K 700K 61.55
Buy Not Issued. Melting higher on low volume, not our favorite entry
set up. Will let it test and see how it looks at that
point. Dropping for now.
PAY 01/13 Test BO 41.63 +0.48 37.56 44.95 412K 1M 40.08
Current. PAY gapped lower to start the week, but held the 18
day EMA and rebounded to close out the week at a new
high. Excellent action, just melting higher. Letting
it run.
PTNR 02/12 Test BO 14.67 +0.45 14.30 16.97 465K 344K 14.07
Current. Solid week for PTNR as it jumed off the 10 day EMA
test, rallying on strong volume and closing Friday
at a new 6-year high. Excellent action.
RATE 02/10 Test BO 43.65 +0.56 44.95 53.95 153K 500K 41.78
Buy Not Hit. Tapped the 10 day EMA again on the low and posted a
nice gain. Volume will need to get better. Still a
super pattern.
RIO 01/30 Test BO 35.90 -0.22 33.05 39.65 5.6M 9M 34.51
Current. Announced a secondary offering but didn't seem to impact it one bit as RIO faded on very low volume to end what was a very solid week. Jumped off the 18 day EMA Tuesday and allowed us to take some gain Wednesday. Letting it test.
RS 02/15 Cup hdl 45.28 +0.71 44.82 50.00 1M 1.1M 42.68
Buy Not Issued. Gapped a bit and ran early, not coming back to give
us any entry point later in the session. That leaves
us looking for a test of this move to enter.
RVSN 02/15 Test BO 22.24 -0.07 22.45 26.95 223K 220K 21.38
Buy Not Hit. Still testing the strong break higher from the prior
week and Monday. Excellent action and looking for the
breakout run to continue.
SIMO 01/31 Test BO 21.93 +0.68 19.00 22.78 867K 550K 20.48
Current. Continued the strong recovery that started Thursday
after the 10 day EMA test. Excellent recovery from
an excellent stock, posting a new all-time high. Relative
strength breakout on the move. Excellent.
STLD 02/05 Test BO 40.04 +0.30 38.50 45.95 2.4M 2.5M 38.61
Current. Volume jumped above average as STLD moved higher, steeling itself for the next breakout move over 40. It probed that level Thursday but backed off. Looks rady for another move to new highs.
TWGP 02/10 DB hdl 34.35 +0.32 34.62 40.95 124K 415K 33.44
Buy Not Hit. Started higher Friday though no volume yet. The handle
looks ready to yield the breakout.
VCLK 01/27 Test BO 27.46 +0.31 26.10 30.85 1.3M 2.8M 25.94
Current.
VCLK 01/03 Test 18 27.46 +0.31 24.34 29.32 1.3M 3.5M 25.94
Current. After the strong break higher Thursday on solid trade
VCLK continued the upside momentum Friday, rallying
to a new all-time high. Excellent action.
VMED 01/31 Dbl btm 27.85 -0.32 27.74 31.88 1.5M 4.5M 27.11
Current. Decent week, bouncing off the 18 day EMA but on low,
below avg volume. Stalled at 28.50 Wed - Fri. Friday
it tested back some, holding the 10 day EMA. Next move
has to be a close above 28.60.
VRSN 02/06 DB hdl 26.12 -0.07 26.21 30.32 2.5M 4M 25.28
Current. Still working laterally above the 10 day EMA, setting
up for another big move. Volume kicked to the upside
Wed as VRSN posted a gain. Looks promising.
WEBX 01/29 Trnd Rv 47.04 +0.24 37.25 42.75 755K 900K 45.11
Current. Tried to run again Friday (47.84 on the high) but faded
to a modest gain. Still wants to move higher.
WFR 02/05 FlyPlat 54.58 +0.42 54.45 61.95 3.4M 4.8M 52.42
Current. Jumped higher Wednesday on rising, avg trade. Spent
the rest of the week trying to get through 55, but
a half-hearted effort. Set up well with a higher low
over the 10 day EMA.
XING 01/16 Trnd Rv 19.26 +0.43 15.16 18.12 1.4M 1M 18.22
Current. Another outstanding surge by XING on more above avg volume. It is spurting higher up its trendline, leaving the 10 day EMA (17.75) in the dust. Another surge or two & that is about all it can put in on this move & a good point to lock in some more gain.
ZUMZ 02/08 Asc Bse 35.05 +0.16 36.05 42.95 164K 800K 34.21
Buy Not Issued. Tapped at the 18 day EMA for the second session and
rebounded. No volume; no one selling on the fade. Now
it is just about set to make the bounce. We wait for
the move but don't start sawing Z's.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
DGII 02/10 Put 12.69 +0.21 12.45 11.52 68K 140K 12.78
Current. Ran lower Friday, making a new low for the month but
then it reversed and closed at the 18 day EMA. Has
to stall here but don't like that rebound even though
it was on really low volume.
HGT 02/12 Put 24.56 -0.11 24.32 22.86 184K 285K 24.88
Buy Not Issued. Tried the 10 day EMA once again but faded back for
a loss as volume started higher. Still looks primed
to make the decline as it has on prior occassions in
this downtrend.
KONG 02/12 Dbl Top 8.37 +0.21 7.88 6.78 395K 490K 9.28
Buy Not Hit. Pushed up through the 50 day EMA on rising volume.
Dropping for now and will re-evaluate when it gets
to the 200 day MA.
QLGC 02/05 Put 18.04 -0.32 18.18 16.92 4.2M 3.8M 18.42
Current. Tapped the 10 day EMA again but this time it turned lower on strong, above avg volume. It broke thru 18 on the low but recovered that support on the low. Darn. Still looks ready to fall but has to close below that 18 level.
End part 2 of 3
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