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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACH 02/01 Dbl btm 26.57 -0.43 25.33 29.97 465K 700K 25.95
Current. After gappin ghigher Wednesday, ACH gapped lower Friday,
tapping the 10 day EMA on the low and rebounding. Low
volume. Volatile in expiration week, but still in the
uptrend so letting it work for us.
AH 02/07 BO 66.04 +0.01 65.42 73.85 241K 700K 64.89
Current. Held flat Friday on very low trade as AH continues
a very modest, tight pullback after the Tuesday gap
higher. Solidly in the uptrend and a very modest test.
AIR 02/06 DB hdl 31.52 +0.22 30.60 35.95 439K 680K 30.32
Current. Added a modest gain to end the week, moving on low
volume Friday but capping a solid price and volume
move higher during the week.
ANST 12/26 Cup hdl 32.53 +0.84 28.36 33.95 253K 400K 30.72
Current. What a week. After a big Wednesday surge on earnings, it took Thursday off and then was surging again Friday to a new high. Excellent action and just letting this big surge continue as long as it will. When it tops we will take the rest of the options.
APH 02/03 Cup hdl 66.98 -0.49 68.65 78.95 495K 1.2M 66.57
Buy Not Hit. APH continues working on the handle, slipping below
the 18 day EMA intraday but holding up at that level
on the close as volume remains well below average during
this part of the pattern, just as it should be.
BA 02/03 Test BO 90.94 -0.77 91.65 102.95 4.5M 5.8M 89.31
Current. Gapped higher but faded back some after the strong
volume move Thursday. Good start to the move. Next
major point to break through is 92.
BAX 01/04 Rev HS 50.46 +0.06 48.31 55.45 2.9M 2.4M 49.48
Current. Strong volume to end the week as BAX opened lower but
recovered. It continues the move higher and is breaking
through some serous resistance here at 50. If it can
make the move it has a lot of room to run.
BKE 02/14 Test BO 36.18 -0.02 36.57 43.94 96K 210K 34.72
Buy Not Hit. Tight doji on more low volume to end the week. Still
testing the strong move last week and setting up nicely
to continue higher with the breakout.
CEPH 02/15 Test BO 75.51 +0.29 75.95 88.75 978K 2.3M 73.44
Buy Not Issued. Tapped the buy point on the open but faded back as
there was no volume to drive it. Still a nice test
of the break higher on Tuesday with the strong earnings.
After this test it will be ready to run higher.
CHL 02/15 Test BO 48.45 +0.09 49.95 57.95 1.3M 2M 47.22
Buy Not Hit. Making a higher low at the 18 day EMA as it continues
its lateral move after breaking higher in mid-January.
Looking to hold here and then continue the break. Very
nice pattern.
CLE 01/18 Cup hdl 35.50 -0.09 35.23 41.42 754K 2.7M 34.66
Current. Pair of dojis on the 10 day EMA to end the week as
the test of the breakout two weeks earlier looks about
complete.
COG 02/13 PreAnn 67.17 +1.47 66.89 76.95 571K 833K 63.75
Buy Not Issued. Rallied on earnings as volume moved up to average.
Good enough move to enter but it closed off the high
so we are watching how it trades Tuesday. If it starts
back up it is a buy.
CRM 02/12 Test BO 49.63 +0.02 48.11 54.95 1.5M 1.7M 47.11
Current.
CRM 01/24 DB hdl 49.63 +0.02 43.19 51.85 1.5M 1.5M 47.11
Current. Solid break higehr once more to start the week then
coasted into the weekend on lower volume and holding
the move higher. Excellent action as CRM contiues its
strong uptrend.
CROX 02/12 Test BO 55.17 +2.32 55.05 65.95 2M 2M 52.38
Entered today. Got some nice volume late in the session as it broke
sharply higher off the 18 day EMA. Great point to enter
and we did.
CXW 01/27 Test BO 53.12 +0.06 49.47 56.95 233K 550K 51.42
Current. Spent the week working laterally after that strong
gap higher. The 10 day EMA is running up to catch up
with it, and when it gets there that should set it
off on the next move higher.
DAKT 02/08 Cup 29.65 +0.33 38.72 45.77 1.5M 1M 36.21
Current. Tough week as DAKT was pummeled on earnings results.
It held above the 200 day & we are letting it find
its feet if it will and rebound to fill some of that
gap up toward 32ish.
DO 01/30 Cup hdl 78.59 -0.62 83.42 95.95 1.7M 5.7M 85.05
Current. Finished the week on low volume at the 90 day MA after
issuing that special dividend. Still letting it hold
here and then rebound.
EAT 01/13 Cup 35.28 +0.33 32.00 36.95 965K 2M 34.12
Current. Strong week for EAT as it feasted on some good earning
and gapped higher. Moved laterally to close the week,
but like how it bounced higher Friday after two lateral
sessions where it caought its breath after the rush higher.
FFIV 02/10 Test BO 73.59 -0.62 75.95 84.95 766K 1.2M 73.88
Buy Not Hit. FFIV holds at the 50 day MA on low volume, working laterally. Need to see strong volume on this move to clear up any issues re a head & shoulders. Those are deceiving & often don't pan out, & thus our continued interest.
FMCN 02/06 Test 18 82.00 +1.68 86.08 97.89 1.6M 1.3M 81.95
Current. As we suspected, FMCN continued higher, sling-shotting upside after the intraday tap at the 50 day EMA on the Thursday low & rebounding sharply. Needs to continue the upside as the new week continues. Volatile so gave it a little rope come back.
GES 01/27 PreAnn 84.86 +1.23 72.48 83.45 809K 1M 82.95
Added even more onto the gain Friday after the Thursday move on the split & earnings. Moved up the stop in case, but letting it move as far as it will on this run. When it stalls we take some solid option gain & some stock as well.
GGB 02/13 Test BO 18.72 +0.03 18.54 22.44 1.3M 1.4M 17.95
Current. Gapped lower but recovered to hold the Thursday gain.
Lower volume on the move but tolerable given the strong
volume break higher to start the week.
GS 02/01 Test 18 216.92 +0.10 212.88 231.90 3.1M 6.5M 213.32
Current. Strong price & volume move Wednesday took GS off the 18 day EMA. Ended the week testing the 10 day EMA & bouncing. Set up nicely to really run for us given this higher low. Could get exciting to the upside this week.
HMSY 01/24 Test BO 21.48 +0.33 19.02 22.75 193K 333K 20.21
Current. Tested the 10 day EMA on the Friday low and bounced
to a new 10 year high. AFter a strong break higher
Tuesday & a lateral move midweek it may be ready for
more uspide. Earnings 2-28-07.
IIVI 01/10 Test BO 32.99 +0.02 30.66 36.35 128K 295K 31.58
Current.
IIVI 12/18 Asc Bse 32.99 +0.02 27.64 32.98 128K 270K 31.89
Current. Solid finish to the week with a high volume surge Thursday.
For teh week IIVI was just marginally higher, moving
laterally and waiting for the 10 day EMA to rise up
to meet it. This should send it back up.
JCP 01/22 Test BO 85.25 -0.61 83.15 99.75 1.3M 2.5M 83.68
Current. Excellent week for JCP, breaking to a new high Thursday
and then easing a bit on low volume Friday. Earnings
2-22-07.
JEC 02/08 PreSplt 92.76 -0.23 93.45 101.95 230K 500K 91.65
Buy Not Issued. Making the test of the 10 day EMA on the Friday low
and rebounding to flat. That is likely the test of
that initial move off the 18 day EMA, and thus on a
continued break higher we will enter if we get some volume.
KSS 02/15 DB hdl 73.82 +0.24 74.32 84.95 1.4M 4.4M 71.94
Buy Not Hit.
KSS 01/31 PreAnn 73.82 +0.24 70.68 80.95 1.4M 3.5M 71.72
Current. Up for the week but low trade. Closed the week at 74
where there is resistance from Oct-Nov highs. This
is where it has to make the breakthrough.
KSWS 02/01 Cup 34.05 +0.19 33.00 38.95 156K 250K 32.89
Current. Man it sure looks ready to make a break higher. Rallied
to 34.47 on the Friday high but could not hold the
move. Sweet looking pattern.
LOGI 02/15 Flat 29.13 +0.01 29.22 35.42 425K 1.1M 27.78
Buy Not Hit. Took the day off after bouncing higher Wed & Thurs.
Setting up nicely; just have to wait for it to show
the move.
MON 02/01 Test BO 55.65 +0.04 55.69 62.95 2M 4.2M 54.38
Current. Tried to extend the move past the late January high at 56.24 but got thrown back for a modest loss. Lower volume so still in the game to clear this next key level. Want to see it over 56 on stronger trade. If it does we are adding positions on that move.
MSTR 02/14 Cup hdl 126.40 0.00 126.78 142.95 173K 385K 123.11
Buy Not Issued. Tested the breakout move but volume remained below
avg and it closed flat. Still a sweet pattern and showing
it is just about ready to make the move.
NX 01/23 Trnd Rv 39.32 -0.62 39.29 44.88 358K 500K 38.42
Current. Good week for NX that carried it back to the early Febr high at 40. Backed off from there Friday on lower trade. This is where it needs to show us the breakout move. Earnings 2-27-07.
POT 02/06 Test BO 160.73 +2.37 153.71 172.75 1.3M 2M 155.31
Current. Volume rallied Thurs & Fri as POT got off the pot & started higher again. Broke through early Feb high on the close, making a higher all-time closing hi. Want it to put in another 5 to 7 points on this run & then we can start looking to take some gain.
PX 02/10 Rev HS 64.27 +0.37 63.92 71.95 1.1M 1.6M 62.24
Buy Not Issued. PX melted higher all week on below avg volume. We wanted
to see a bit better trade as it worked higher. Would
preter to see a test again & then some volume. May
just have to take a stab at it, but a tough call.
RESP 02/07 Test BO 42.12 +0.10 42.48 48.85 138K 400K 41.11
Buy Not Issued. Still in an excellent pattern, bouncing off the 18
day EMA to end the week but no volume. Nice looking
set up. Now it needs to show a nice looking break higher
to continue the breakout move.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 138.82 +3.68 135.96 154.89 6.1M 10M 134.55
Current. Good end to the week, bouncing off the 10 day EMA to
post a gain from the prior week and on some rising
trade. Still a sweet set up to breakout. Still has
to show the bigger breakaway move.
RIO 01/30 Test BO 35.90 -0.22 33.05 39.65 5.6M 9M 34.51
Current. Announced a secondary offering but didn't seem to impact it one bit as RIO faded on very low volume to end what was a very solid week. Jumped off the 18 day EMA Tuesday and allowed us to take some gain Wednesday. Letting it test.
RL 02/15 Asc Bse 85.80 +0.50 85.55 96.45 585K 1.2M 83.11
Entered today. Low volume but making another good move so we went
ahead and started the play as RL broke to a new all-time
high.
RS 02/15 Cup hdl 45.28 +0.71 44.82 50.00 1M 1.1M 42.68
Buy Not Issued. Gapped a bit and ran early, not coming back to give
us any entry point later in the session. That leaves
us looking for a test of this move to enter.
STLD 02/05 Test BO 40.04 +0.30 38.50 45.95 2.4M 2.5M 38.61
Current. Volume jumped above average as STLD moved higher, steeling itself for the next breakout move over 40. It probed that level Thursday but backed off. Looks ready for another move to new highs.
TROW 02/13 Test BO 49.60 -0.13 49.65 56.98 868K 1.2M 48.55
Current. Solid move higher off the 18 day MA for the week, pausing
below 50 and trying to make a higher low at the 10
day EMA to then push back up through that important
50 level.
VIP 02/10 Test BO 86.33 +0.27 86.95 99.95 433K 1M 84.74
Buy Not Issued. Doji above the 18 day EMA Friday as VIP tries to make
a higher low to set up the break higher.
VOL 02/03 Test 50 38.59 +0.66 37.42 42.97 227K 600K 37.11
Current. Picking up some momentum on Friday as VOL continued
its run up the 10 day EMA. Volume did not pick up with
it, however. Just letting it melt to the upside.
WFR 02/05 FlyPlat 54.58 +0.42 54.45 61.95 3.4M 4.8M 52.42
Current. Jumped higher Wednesday on rising, avg trade. Spent
the rest of the week trying to get through 55, but
a half-hearted effort. Set up well with a higher low
over the 10 day EMA.
XTO 01/30 PreAnn 50.88 +0.37 51.31 58.89 2.4M 4.5M 49.64
Buy Not Issued. Did not announce a split the past week but gapped higher
on earnings. That could not take it out of the base,
however, and it finished the week working laterally,
holding the 10 day EMA. Still set to make the move.
ZUMZ 02/08 Asc Bse 35.05 +0.16 36.05 42.95 164K 800K 34.21
Buy Not Issued. Tapped at the 18 day EMA for the second session and
rebounded. No volume; no one selling on the fade. Now
it is just about set to make the bounce. We wait for
the move but don't start sawing Z's.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
WBSN 02/12 Put 22.13 +0.27 21.53 20.00 697K 950K 22.21
Buy Not Issued. Bounced off the Thursday doji, heading toward the 18
day MA. Low volume. Will see how it handles the 18
day EMA test.
End part 2 of 3
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