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trend trading stock, trading system
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY LIST
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACLI 02/20 Cup hdl 38.94 -0.20 38.48 43.98 586K 532K 37.31
Going to let it test 38 and then we move in on the
bounce from that level.
ADBE 02/22 DB hdl 40.87 +0.24 41.32 47.95 3.7M 7.9M 39.64
Buy Not Hit. Still working on that nice handle, tapping the 10 day
EMA on the low and rebounding for a modest gain. Excellent
pattern.
AH 02/07 BO 64.96 -0.95 65.42 73.85 477K 700K 65.39
Current. Faded thru the 10 day EMA to the 18 day EMA on the
close and that keeps it in the uptrend but needs to
hold here.
AIR 02/06 DB hdl 30.29 -0.32 30.60 35.95 364K 680K 30.32
Current. Holding near the 18 day EMA on the close after tapping
support at 30 on the intraday low. Gave back the nice
break higher and is now trying to reload at support.
AMKR 01/06 Cup hdl 12.03 -0.02 11.30 13.69 2.7M 5.9M 11.68
Current. Another session of nowhere on modestly higher volume.
Still advancing in the trend but lacking any real upside
punch. Hard to cut it off as it is still moving up
but needs to get a move on.
AMX 02/12 Test BO 46.45 -0.70 47.60 54.95 7.2M 6.5M 46.94
Exited. Fell through eh 18 day EMA on stronger volume.
ANST 12/26 Cup hdl 32.68 -0.20 28.36 33.95 147K 400K 32.39
Current. Ease back on low volume as stock makes a typical pullback.
ATHR 02/13 Test BO 26.93 -0.07 27.24 32.65 1.1M 2.5M 25.97
Current. Pullback tapping the 10 day EMA at the intraday low and rebounded on low volume. Typical pullback after breakout move last Thursday.
BA 02/03 Test BO 88.93 -1.35 91.65 102.95 4.5M 5.8M 89.31
Current. Broke through the 18 day EMA to hold at the 50 day EMA on much stronger volume. Still holding the trend, but needs to hold here.
BKE 02/14 Test BO 35.45 -0.44 36.57 43.94 126K 210K 34.72
Buy Not Issued. Stock has not made the move we were looking for so will drop.
BLUD 02/24 Asc Bse 31.77 -1.04 33.24 39.55 893K 10M 31.98
Buy Not Issued. Did not like the distribution on higher volume. Will drop for now but keep an eye on it.
CAH 02/21 DB hdl 72.19 -0.25 73.45 84.45 1.2M 2.9M 71.15
Buy Not Hit. Still in nice pattern showing a tight doji on the 10 day EMA on low volume.
CELG 02/24 Dbl btm 57.22 +0.94 57.12 65.45 4.8M 4M 55.54
Entered today. Gapped up for a nice gain on strong volume.
CENX 02/21 Cup hdl 48.17 +0.74 49.54 59.75 646K 900K 46.22
Buy Not Issued. Bounced on low volume. Still forming the handle.
CHL 02/15 Test BO 49.28 -0.63 50.08 57.95 1.4M 2M 50.12
Current. Continue to pullback on much lower volume to hold the 10 day EMA. Testing the breakout. Should be ready to rebound from here.
CMG 02/21 Test BO 63.63 -0.68 64.25 73.95 537K 750K 62.32
Current. Pullback testing the 10 day EMA at the low and bounced on rising volume. May come back to fill the gap from last Monday's gap up.
CROX 02/12 Test BO 52.06 -0.44 55.05 65.95 2.4M 2M 52.55
Current. Continue to pullback on lower volume holding below the 18 day EMA. Stock needs to hold the 50 day EMA (50)
CSX 02/20 Test BO 39.46 -0.96 40.89 46.95 7.5M 8M 39.38
Current. Pullback testing the breakout. May continue to test back to 18 day EMA (39)
CXW 01/27 Test BO 53.40 -0.13 49.47 56.95 294K 550K 51.42
Current. Faded back testing the 10 day EMA at the low. Consolidating on low volume after early February's gap.
DIOD 02/22 Trnd Rv 39.37 -1.04 39.56 45.58 357K 500K 38.11
Ease back on low volume as stock makes a routine pullback after nice run.
DO 01/30 Cup hdl 80.87 +1.03 83.42 95.95 2.4M 5.7M 85.05
Current. Moving up after testing the 90 day EMA. Came off the day's high of 81.95 to hold the 18 day EMA.
EXC 02/17 Dbl btm 69.38 +2.45 65.31 73.45 9.2M 3.3M 67.89
Volatile session as stock exploded higher on excellent volume surge. Came off the day's high of 72.31. Trading at pre-split level in May 2004.
FALC 02/21 Test BO 10.95 -0.28 10.66 12.85 702K 700K 10.48
Current. Faded back tapping 10.68 at the low and bounced on low volume. Typical pullback after nice run.
FDX 02/20 Rev HS 116.99 -3.98 120.32 134.95 2.4M 2.5M 117.36
Current. Ugly reversal after a solid break higher Friday cleared
FDX to a new high. Closed near the stop point so seeing
if there is any dead cat bounce in it.
GIGM 02/17 Test BO 13.11 -0.25 12.76 15.42 987K 1.2M 12.66
Current. Gapped up at the open, but faded back on lower volume. May begin to consolidate after last Tuesday's breakout.
GIGM 01/24 Cup 13.11 -0.25 11.48 13.95 987K 1.3M 12.66
Current.
GLW 02/15 DB hdl 21.52 -0.09 22.65 27.57 10M 22M 21.35
Buy Not Hit. Held at the 18 day EMA on low volume. Still forming the handle.
GRMN 02/24 Test BO 57.19 -0.30 58.05 66.75 2.6M 3M 55.32
Buy Not Issued. Need to see a clear and decisive move on strong volume.
GS 02/01 Test 18 214.00 -2.50 212.88 231.90 5.6M 6.5M 215.57
Trailing Stop. Fell below the 18 day EMA on slightly above average volume.
HOLX 02/17 Test BO 58.07 -0.57 57.11 67.95 663K 1.2M 55.94
Current. Typical pullback on low volume.
HPC 02/10 Test BO 21.11 +0.09 20.59 24.68 765K 1M 20.29
Current. Continue to trend higher showing a tight doji on average volume. Building some resistance here.
HWCC 02/15 Rev HS 27.00 -0.26 26.15 30.94 200K 500K 26.32
Current. Tapped 28.01 at the high, but faded back on low volume. Taking a breather here
IIVI 01/10 Test BO 33.75 +0.36 30.66 36.35 202K 295K 32.12
Current. Continue to move up the 10 day EMA on much stronger volume making a 52 week high.
IIVI 12/18 Asc Bse 33.75 +0.36 27.64 32.98 202K 270K 32.11
Current.
JEC 02/08 PreSplt 92.69 -0.43 93.65 101.95 447K 500K 91.89
Current. Pullback testing the 18 day EMA at the low and bounced to hold the 10 day EMA on rising volume. Still in the trend.
MNST 01/22 Test BO 52.37 +0.01 51.46 58.94 1.1M 1.8M 52.22
Current. Tapped support at 52 intraday and bounced to show a doji on the 18 day EMA on average volume. Stock needs to hold here.
MON 02/01 Test BO 54.79 -0.95 55.69 62.95 2.6M 4.2M 54.97
Current. MON gave up last week's break over 56, sliding thru
the 18 day EMA on the close. Volume was below average
but edged higher. It has to hold the line here or we
close it as it has been too enigmatic the past month.
MSTR 02/14 Cup hdl 132.40 +4.45 130.34 146.75 437K 385K 127.11
Buy Not Hit. Volume did not come in until late in session. Will wait for a pullback given today's nice move.
NTGR 02/17 Dbl btm 28.30 -0.17 28.63 34.32 375K 1.1M 27.68
Current. Faded back as stock tested the 10 day EMA at the low and bounced on low volume. Still in the trend.
OII 01/30 Test 50 41.42 +0.35 40.78 46.95 511K 1M 40.89
Current. Showing a doji on the 10 day EMA on low volume. Moving up after testing the 50 day EMA.
POT 02/06 Test BO 165.01 -2.10 153.71 172.75 593K 2M 162.95
Current. Continue to pullback on rising volume after nice run. Looking for a bounce off the 10 day EMA (162.65)
PTNR 02/12 Test BO 13.95 -0.50 14.30 16.97 408K 344K 14.34
Current. Fell back tapping 13.63 at the low and bounced to hold the 18 day EMA on stronger volume. Stock needs to hold here.
QGEN 02/10 Test BO 17.28 -0.05 17.52 20.95 181K 500K 16.98
Current. Pullback on low volume. Stock should hold the 18 day EMA (17.20) and bounce.
RATE 02/10 Test BO 41.92 -0.37 44.95 53.95 142K 500K 41.78
Buy Not Hit. Faded back to hold the 18 day EMA on low volume. Still in the pattern.
RIMM 02/24 Asc Bse 146.77 +6.77 145.31 159.95 12M 13M 142.22
Entered today. Gapped up at the open for a great move on excellent volume surge.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 146.77 +6.77 135.96 154.89 12M 10M 142.22
Current.
RIO 01/30 Test BO 36.89 +0.20 33.05 39.65 5.7M 9M 35.21
Current. Still trending higher on low volume.
RS 02/15 Cup hdl 46.55 +0.28 44.82 50.00 651K 1.1M 45.11
Continue to move up the 10 day EMA on low volume. Moving up after testing the 18 day EMA.
RTI 01/31 Cup hdl 90.84 -1.73 84.05 99.95 820K 800K 87.21
Faded back on lower volume. Still in uptrend.
RVSN 02/15 Test BO 21.80 -0.03 22.45 26.95 70K 220K 21.38
Buy Not Issued. Tested the 90 day EMA at the low and made a fierce rally back showing a doji under the 10 day EMA on low volume. Looks ready to move.
SIMO 01/31 Test BO 21.99 +0.12 19.00 22.78 387K 550K 21.38
Current. Moving up on rising volume after testing the 10 day EMA.
STLD 02/05 Test BO 40.14 +0.01 38.50 45.95 946K 2.5M 38.89
Current. Beginning to make a lateral move as 10 day EMA moves up to meet the stock.
SYK 02/22 FlyPlat 62.30 -1.83 64.03 73.42 2.2M 1.7M 61.91
Current. Gapped down and continued the move down holding just above the 18 day EMA on lower, but strong volume. Took back all of last Thursday's great move. Should hold at strong support on the 18 day EMA (62)
TIE 02/17 Cup hdl 37.75 -0.28 37.15 43.78 2.6M 3.5M 36.18
Current. Faded back on average volume. Still in uptrend.
VCLK 01/27 Test BO 28.28 -0.20 26.10 30.85 2M 2.8M 27.77
Current. Filling the gap from last Thursday. Tested the 10 day EMA at the low and bounced on average volume.
VCLK 01/03 Test 18 28.28 -0.20 24.34 29.32 2M 3.5M 27.77
Current.
VRSN 02/06 DB hdl 26.07 -0.11 26.21 30.32 1.9M 4M 25.28
Current. Ease back testing the 18 day EMA at the low and rebounded to hold the 10 day EMA. Still in the pattern.
VSAT 02/07 Test BO 35.40 -0.20 33.75 39.98 144K 250K 34.32
Current. Faded back on low volume. Still in uptrend.
WFR 02/05 FlyPlat 54.89 +0.05 54.45 61.95 2.8M 4.8M 53.92
Current. Beginning to form a handle on low volume.
ZUMZ 02/08 Asc Bse 35.74 -1.03 36.05 42.95 288K 800K 34.21
Buy Not Issued. Stock has not made the move we were looking for so will drop, but will keep an eye on it.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
HGT 02/12 Put 24.82 -0.01 24.32 22.86 131K 285K 24.88
Buy Not Issued. Tested the 50 day EMA at the open, but faded back on rising volume to hold the 10 day EMA. Looking for another clear and decisive move on strong volume.
LRCX 02/17 Put 46.53 +0.74 44.98 42.78 4.3M 3.8M 45.60
Buy Not Issued. Stock has not made the move we were looking for so will drop.
MSFT 02/24 Put 29.07 +0.17 28.76 27.68 64M 64M 29.22
Buy Not Hit. Bounced still holding below the 10 day EMA on average volume. Still in downtrend.
SAY 02/24 HdShldr 22.68 +0.25 22.31 21.04 797K 1M 22.65
Buy Not Hit. Gapped up at the open, but faded back on average volume. Still in downtrend.
SBUX 02/17 Put 32.01 -0.73 32.65 30.92 10M 7.6M 32.32
Current. Great move down the 10 day EMA on strong volume.
SYY 02/07 Put 33.58 -0.17 34.18 32.89 2.6M 2.2M 33.84
Current. Continue to move down the 10 day EMA on slightly above average volume.
End part 2 of 3
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trend trading stock
trading system
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