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us stock market, trading system
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACH 02/01 Dbl btm 26.35 -0.27 25.33 29.97 634K 700K 26.21
Current. Continuing the pullback to test the break higher. Looking for a hold near 36.
ACLI 02/20 Cup hdl 38.94 -0.20 38.48 43.98 586K 532K 37.31
Going to let it test 38 and then we move in on the
bounce from that level.
ADBE 02/22 DB hdl 40.87 +0.24 41.32 47.95 3.7M 7.9M 39.64
Buy Not Hit. Still working on that nice handle, tapping the 10 day
EMA on the low and rebounding for a modest gain. Excellent
pattern.
AH 02/07 BO 64.96 -0.95 65.42 73.85 477K 700K 65.39
Current. Faded thru the 10 day EMA to the 18 day EMA on the
close and that keeps it in the uptrend but needs to
hold here.
AIR 02/06 DB hdl 30.29 -0.32 30.60 35.95 364K 680K 30.32
Current. Holding near the 18 day EMA on the close after tapping
support at 30 on the intraday low. Gave back the nice
break higher and is now trying to reload at support.
ANSS 02/17 Dbl btm 54.11 -1.46 54.32 59.95 289K 481K 54.45
Thumped down to the 10 day EMA on the low, managing
to hold on rising but still below avg volume. This
is where it needs to hold to avoid fading to fill that
gap from a week back.
ANST 12/26 Cup hdl 32.68 -0.20 28.36 33.95 147K 400K 32.39
Current. Ease back on low volume as stock makes a typical pullback.
APH 02/03 Cup hdl 68.04 +0.21 68.65 78.95 404K 1.2M 66.57
Buy Not Hit.
ARO 02/17 PreAnn 37.83 -0.45 39.07 46.78 746K 1.8M 37.38
Current. Gapped higher but closed lower, tapping the 18 day EMA again on the low. Working laterally with some decent price/volume action, but needs to show us that break that tried to start last week.
ASCA 02/22 Cup hdl 33.81 -0.20 34.41 40.95 296K 325K 32.38
Buy Not Issued. Fading back on below average volume, testing the strong move last Thursday. Setting up nicely after this test.
BA 02/03 Test BO 88.93 -1.35 91.65 102.95 4.5M 5.8M 89.31
Current. Broke through the 18 day EMA to hold at the 50 day EMA on much stronger volume. Still holding the trend, but needs to hold here.
BKE 02/14 Test BO 35.45 -0.44 36.57 43.94 126K 210K 34.72
Buy Not Issued. Stock has not made the move we were looking for so will drop.
BLUD 02/24 Asc Bse 31.77 -1.04 33.24 39.55 893K 10M 31.98
Buy Not Issued. Did not like the distribution on higher volume. Will drop for now but keep an eye on it.
CAH 02/21 DB hdl 72.19 -0.25 73.45 84.45 1.2M 2.9M 71.15
Buy Not Hit. Still in nice pattern showing a tight doji on the 10 day EMA on low volume.
CEC 02/20 PreAnn 43.25 -0.17 43.48 49.95 182K 250K 42.11
Buy Not Issued.
CELG 02/24 Dbl btm 57.22 +0.94 57.12 65.45 4.8M 4M 55.54
Entered today. Gapped up for a nice gain on strong volume.
CENX 02/21 Cup hdl 48.17 +0.74 49.54 59.75 646K 900K 46.22
Buy Not Issued. Bounced on low volume. Still forming the handle.
CHAP 02/24 Test BO 51.25 -0.37 52.32 59.95 441K 650K 50.11
Buy Not Hit. Still working laterally at the 10 day EMA, setting up the next leg.
CHL 02/15 Test BO 49.28 -0.63 50.08 57.95 1.4M 2M 50.12
Current. Continue to pullback on much lower volume to hold the 10 day EMA. Testing the breakout. Should be ready to rebound from here.
CLE 01/18 Cup hdl 32.52 -2.45 35.23 41.42 6.1M 2.7M 34.66
Exited. Gapped lower and closed below the 90 day EMA.
CMG 02/21 Test BO 63.63 -0.68 64.25 73.95 537K 750K 62.32
Current. Pullback testing the 10 day EMA at the low and bounced on rising volume. May come back to fill the gap from last Monday's gap up.
CMTL 02/24 Dbl btm 35.76 -0.67 36.69 42.65 153K 275K 35.62
Buy Not Hit. Stock has not made the move we were looking for so will drop.
COG 02/13 PreAnn 70.00 -0.57 66.89 76.95 770K 833K 68.57
Announced the split today but much of the move was already in the stock.
CROX 02/12 Test BO 52.06 -0.44 55.05 65.95 2.4M 2M 52.55
Current. Continue to pullback on lower volume holding below the 18 day EMA. Stock needs to hold the 50 day EMA (50)
CSX 02/20 Test BO 39.46 -0.96 40.89 46.95 7.5M 8M 39.38
Current. Pullback testing the breakout. May continue to test back to 18 day EMA (39)
CTSH 02/21 FlyPlat 94.03 -0.56 94.95 106.95 875K 1.5M 92.45
Buy Not Issued. Still in the nice lateral move, still ready for the break higher.
CXW 01/27 Test BO 53.40 -0.13 49.47 56.95 294K 550K 51.42
Current. Faded back testing the 10 day EMA at the low. Consolidating on low volume after early February's gap.
DIOD 02/22 Trnd Rv 39.37 -1.04 39.56 45.58 357K 500K 38.11
Ease back on low volume as stock makes a routine pullback after nice run.
DO 01/30 Cup hdl 80.87 +1.03 83.42 95.95 2.4M 5.7M 85.05
Current. Moving up after testing the 90 day EMA. Came off the day's high of 81.95 to hold the 18 day EMA.
EAT 01/13 Cup 35.17 -0.07 32.00 36.95 686K 2M 34.12
Current. Still working laterally in a tight range as the 10 day EMA rising to catch up to it.
EXC 02/17 Dbl btm 69.38 +2.45 65.31 73.45 9.2M 3.3M 67.89
Volatile session as stock exploded higher on excellent volume surge. Came off the day's high of 72.31. Trading at pre-split level in May 2004.
FDX 02/20 Rev HS 116.99 -3.98 120.32 134.95 2.4M 2.5M 117.36
Current. Ugly reversal after a solid break higher Friday cleared
FDX to a new high. Closed near the stop point so seeing
if there is any dead cat bounce in it.
FFIV 02/10 Test BO 77.87 -0.25 75.95 84.95 414K 1.2M 75.18
Current. Another nice test back on low volume, setting up the next break higher.
FMCN 02/06 Test 18 83.00 -0.70 86.08 97.89 1.9M 1.3M 84.95
Current. Gapped higher but closed lower ahead of earnings. After
hours they were solid and FMCN was trading at 86. If
it cannot hold near 86 after that open we will consider
selling it given this is some good news.
GES 01/27 PreAnn 82.52 -2.60 72.48 83.45 700K 1M 83.94
Fading back to the 10 day EMA to test after the big gap higher.
GGB 02/13 Test BO 18.82 +0.32 18.54 22.44 1.3M 1.4M 18.08
Current. Bouncing off the 10 day EMA after the late week test.
GRMN 02/24 Test BO 57.19 -0.30 58.05 66.75 2.6M 3M 55.32
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but was not quite ready to continue the breakout move.
GS 02/01 Test 18 214.00 -2.50 212.88 231.90 5.6M 6.5M 215.57
Trailing Stop. Fell below the 18 day EMA on slightly above average volume.
HOLX 02/17 Test BO 58.07 -0.57 57.11 67.95 663K 1.2M 55.94
Current. Typical pullback on low volume.
IIVI 01/10 Test BO 33.75 +0.36 30.66 36.35 202K 295K 32.12
Current. Continue to move up the 10 day EMA on much stronger volume making a 52 week high.
IIVI 12/18 Asc Bse 33.75 +0.36 27.64 32.98 202K 270K 32.11
Current.
JEC 02/08 PreSplt 92.69 -0.43 93.65 101.95 447K 500K 91.89
Current. Pullback testing the 18 day EMA at the low and bounced to hold the 10 day EMA on rising volume. Still in the trend.
JWN 02/17 PreAnn 56.60 -1.48 59.02 67.78 3.9M 2.8M 57.98
Broke below the 18 day EMA on strong volume and was
down after hours as its outlook was not what was expected
for 2007.
MON 02/01 Test BO 54.79 -0.95 55.69 62.95 2.6M 4.2M 54.97
Current. MON gave up last week's break over 56, sliding thru
the 18 day EMA on the close. Volume was below average
but edged higher. It has to hold the line here or we
close it as it has been too enigmatic the past month.
MSTR 02/14 Cup hdl 132.40 +4.45 130.34 146.75 437K 385K 127.11
Buy Not Hit. Volume did not come in until late in session. Will wait for a pullback given today's nice move.
NTGR 02/17 Dbl btm 28.30 -0.17 28.63 34.32 375K 1.1M 27.68
Current. Faded back as stock tested the 10 day EMA at the low and bounced on low volume. Still in the trend.
NX 01/23 Trnd Rv 40.06 +0.50 39.29 44.88 462K 500K 39.05
Current. Still trying to get through 39. Volume was up Monday; may be ready.
POT 02/06 Test BO 165.01 -2.10 153.71 172.75 593K 2M 162.95
Current. Continue to pullback on rising volume after nice run. Looking for a bounce off the 10 day EMA (162.65)
RESP 02/07 Test BO 41.85 -0.09 42.48 48.85 172K 400K 41.11
Buy Not Issued. Still holding the 18 day EMA on low volume.
RIMM 02/24 Asc Bse 146.77 +6.77 145.31 159.95 12M 13M 142.22
Entered today. Gapped up at the open for a great move on excellent volume surge.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 146.77 +6.77 135.96 154.89 12M 10M 142.22
Current.
RIO 01/30 Test BO 36.89 +0.20 33.05 39.65 5.7M 9M 35.21
Current. Still trending higher on low volume.
RL 02/15 Asc Bse 87.26 -0.28 85.55 96.45 419K 1.2M 85.21
Current. Still a nice test, holding the 10 day EMA on low volume.
ROST 02/24 Test BO 33.89 -0.23 34.62 39.95 700K 1.5M 33.41
Buy Not Hit. Nice test of the 18 day EMA on continued low volume. Set up well.
RS 02/15 Cup hdl 46.55 +0.28 44.82 50.00 651K 1.1M 45.11
Continue to move up the 10 day EMA on low volume. Moving up after testing the 18 day EMA.
STLD 02/05 Test BO 40.14 +0.01 38.50 45.95 946K 2.5M 38.89
Current. Beginning to make a lateral move as 10 day EMA moves up to meet the stock.
SWS 02/20 Test 18 28.36 -0.04 29.58 35.95 252K 475K 27.51
Buy Not Hit. Holding the 18 day EMA on low volume as it continues the test.
SYK 02/22 FlyPlat 62.30 -1.83 64.03 73.42 2.2M 1.7M 61.91
Current. Gapped down and continued the move down holding just above the 18 day EMA on lower, but strong volume. Took back all of last Thursday's great move. Should hold at strong support on the 18 day EMA (62)
TIE 02/17 Cup hdl 37.75 -0.28 37.15 43.78 2.6M 3.5M 36.18
Current. Faded back on average volume. Still in uptrend.
VIP 02/10 Test BO 86.19 -0.32 87.11 99.95 382K 1M 85.21
Still working laterally on low volume.
VOL 02/03 Test 50 36.21 -0.69 37.42 42.97 342K 600K 37.11
Current. Low volume bleed below the 18 day EMA. Need to see
it snap back as it has the last times it fell below
this level.
WFR 02/05 FlyPlat 54.89 +0.05 54.45 61.95 2.8M 4.8M 53.92
Current. Beginning to form a handle on low volume.
XTO 01/30 PreAnn 52.88 +0.31 52.32 59.89 3.4M 4.5M 51.31
Current. Surged to 53.79 but could not hold the move as volume faded below average. Still a nice break higher.
YUM 02/20 PreAnn 59.22 -1.29 62.24 71.95 2.3M 2M 60.18
Buy Not Hit. Stock has not performed so will drop.
ZUMZ 02/08 Asc Bse 35.74 -1.03 36.05 42.95 288K 800K 34.21
Buy Not Issued. Stock has not made the move we were looking for so will drop, but will keep an eye on it.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
SAY 02/24 HdShldr 22.68 +0.25 22.31 21.04 797K 1M 22.65
Buy Not Hit. Gapped up at the open, but faded back on average volume. Still in downtrend.
SBUX 02/17 Put 32.01 -0.73 32.65 30.92 10M 7.6M 32.32
Current. Great move down the 10 day EMA on strong volume
End part 2 of 3
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us stock market
trading system
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