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us stock market, trade stock
Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri=Ascending triangle/wedge; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle/wedge; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACLI 02/20 Cup hdl 36.05 -0.08 38.48 43.98 1.1M 532K 37.31
Tapped the 90 day on the low and recovered to close
flat. May have put in its bottom here where it can
make a higher low.
ADBE 02/22 DB hdl 39.26 +0.01 41.32 47.95 5.7M 7.9M 39.64
Buy Not Hit. Good hold at 38 once more and a recovery to flat. Still
in position to make the break higher and give us a buy.
DIOD 02/22 Trnd Rv 36.93 -0.61 39.56 45.58 707K 500K 38.11
Another shakeout down to 36 but it held and rebounded
on rising trade. Volume never got out of hadn on the
pulback, and it is set to make a higher low and rally.
Will have to get over 38.40ish to be in better position.
FDX 02/20 Rev HS 114.16 -0.07 120.32 134.95 2.3M 2.5M 117.36
Current. Reached lower below the 50 day MA and then reversed
to close flat and just over the 90 day MA. Solid volume
on the rebound. It is in position to rebound and it
is time to show it.
GFIG 02/14 Test BO 61.72 +0.11 67.77 75.75 409K 300K 65.08
Current. Holding the 90 day MA after gapping lower. It sold
off ahead of the market and has held this support.
Now it needs to show the rebound.
HLTH 02/28 Test 18 14.79 -0.15 15.11 18.25 2.4M 8M 14.38
Buy Not Hit. Big doji at the 18 day EMA on low volume. Still set
to make the rebound. Just have to let it show us the move.
HOC 02/26 Test BO 55.41 -0.06 56.98 65.75 730K 750K 54.95
Buy Not Hit. Held steady on slightly lower, below avg volume. Remains
in good position to continue the rally once the smoke
clears.
ICON 02/28 Test 18 21.35 -0.58 22.08 25.95 827K 1.4M 20.98
Buy Not Hit. Nice doji at the 18 day EMA on lower volume. Holding
the last break higher and set up well to make its move.
KNOL 01/09 Asc Bse 14.50 +0.25 11.38 13.95 226K 165K 14.12
Holding the 18 day EMA as it rides out the market turbulence.
MSTR 02/14 Cup hdl 125.25 -0.82 127.35 146.75 232K 385K 122.55
Buy Not Issued. Gapped lower but rallied off the 90 day MA. Pretty
decent shakeout that held support., so looking for
some volume as it rebounds and tries to get back into
the earlier breakout. Moved the buy point given the change.
NTGR 02/17 Dbl btm 26.09 -0.94 28.63 34.32 1.3M 1.1M 27.68
Current. Gapped lower below the 90 day MA but held support at
26 on the close so we left it alone for the day. Needs
to bounce for us now.
NUAN 02/28 Test BO 11.46 -0.12 14.65 17.65 1.6M 5.5M 13.77
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower below the close on the 18 day EMA Wednesday,
but rebounded to close flat. Excellent shakeout action
and good recovery to hold near support. Being patient
and letting it show us the move.
PCLN 12/20 Asc Bse 53.16 +0.75 43.05 50.95 2.7M 1.4M 52.11
Trailing Stop. Slipped lower on rising trade so took the gain. Then it rebounded in afternoon on continued strong volume. Great. Will look for another entry point, however. We are in the preserving mode so this happens. Made us some great money & didn't want to lose it.
PETD 02/28 Test BO 51.85 -0.52 52.15 60.95 97K 180K 51.08
Buy Not Issued. Nice doji at the 18 day EMA. Set up to give us a great
move.
PTNR 02/12 Test BO 13.47 -0.20 14.30 16.97 414K 344K 14.34
Current. Gapped lower to the 50 day EMA on the open and then
rallied to close flat. Good hold and recovery. Now
it needs a move over 14 to show it is back in the hunt.
If it fails that try we will likely have to close it.
RATE 02/14 Test BO 40.32 -0.27 42.15 51.45 860K 500K 39.45
Buy Not Hit. Big doji at the 50 day EMA that reached all the way down to the 90 day MA on the low. Furious recovery to hold the 50 day EMA on the close. Filled the gap, shakeout as well. Set up to move and just has to show it to us.
RIMM 02/24 Asc Bse 140.91 +0.30 145.31 159.95 10M 13M 142.22
Current. Gapped lower, held the 18 day EMA, and rebounded for
a gain on rising, above avg volume. This stock continues
to show excellent relative strength & when things calm
down is likely to surge higher.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 140.91 +0.30 135.96 154.89 10M 10M 142.22
Current.
RVSN 02/15 Test BO 22.29 -0.20 22.54 26.95 306K 220K 21.32
Current. Gapped lower but held the 18 day EMA and rebounded
to post a modest loss. In excellent position to continue
higher with this strong move.
TALX 02/28 Test 18 33.95 -0.08 34.41 39.65 666K 900K 33.22
Buy Not Hit. Still set up well, holding near support at the 18 day
EMA and in great position to run higher and continue
the breakout move.
VSAT 02/07 Test BO 33.61 -0.55 33.75 39.98 206K 250K 34.32
Current. Another run lower but then another rebound. Lost ground
on the session but like the recovery. Needs to get
decisively through 34, however, to clear the mid-February
interim highs and show it is really looking to move higher.
WNR 02/22 Cup hdl 30.10 +1.19 28.25 33.89 738K 450K 28.55
Current. Showing the right stuff, gapping lower but holding
the 18 day EMA and surging to a new high on strong
volume. Excellent action.
WOOF 02/21 Cup hdl 36.75 +0.04 37.25 42.89 322K 575K 35.65
Buy Not Issued. Holding the line above the 18 day EMA, testing lower and rebounding to close flat. It is set up to move. All we do is be patient & let it show us that run higher on rising volume. Moved the buy point to accommodate the pattern.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
BEBE 02/27 Put 18.54 +0.16 18.20 16.05 688K 1.2M 18.62
Current. Gapped lower and sold to 17.68 on the low but rebounded with the market for a gain. Stalled at the 18 day EMA at the peak. Needs to fail here and note the volume was not that strong on the bounce, indicating not many buyers moved back in.
CHRS 02/27 Put 12.42 -0.05 12.22 11.20 1.1M 975K 12.57
Buy Not Issued. Tapping at 12.60 on the high again and fading back. Still in position to roll over here.
DIA 02/28 Put 122.44 -0.22 121.36 119.25 25M 9M 122.97
Entered today. Took a few positions as it bounced up after that initial sell off but it caught some wind and continued higher to close just below the initial buy point. If it fades from here it is likely to find the 200 day MA & we will add to positions as it does turn.
HGT 02/12 Put 24.64 +0.25 24.32 22.86 119K 285K 24.88
Buy Not Issued. Still hanging on as it has bounced off the 24.10ish
level the past three weeks. That tenacity at that level
suggests we need to see if fall thru there before we
go into the downside position.
MSFT 02/24 Put 28.09 -0.08 28.71 27.61 80M 64M 28.15
Current. Gapped lower on news the EU was after it again but
it managed to recover to close flat. Volume was above
average but lower. Still in a pernicious downtrend
and not going to get too antsy with it.
QDEL 02/26 Put 10.64 -0.13 10.94 9.57 536K 595K 11.57
Buy Not Issued. Yep. Another tap lower and hold near 10.25 followed
by a rebound. Going to have to let it rebound from
the last leg lower and set up a better entry point.
QLGC 02/05 Put 17.61 +0.02 18.18 16.92 2.7M 3.8M 17.87
Current. Gapped lower & then rebounded to close flat on lower volume. We liked the open & thought we would let it just run lower. It started back up & we waited for it to come back; it didn't. Low upside trade so looking for a continued drop.
SBUX 02/17 Put 30.39 -0.51 32.65 30.92 12M 7.6M 30.85
Current. Another gap lower, tried to rebound but faded to close
well off the high. Just letting it continue its decline
here, moving the stop lower as it fades lower.
SONC 02/27 Put 21.54 -0.13 21.35 20.00 806K 625K 22.11
Current. Gapped sharply lower hitting a new low for this leg
on the low then rebounded to close just below water,
falling sharply off its intraday high. Could not hold
the move & still ready to continue the fade.
SPY 02/28 Put 140.51 -0.42 140.76 138.00 213M 70M 141.51
Buy Not Issued. Wild session, falling to 138 on the low (the target) after gapping lower. We held off & waited for an entry but it kept rising. Closed just below the buy point and another run higher that fails below the 90 day will set up the downside play.
STEC 02/27 Put 8.66 +0.04 8.91 7.70 992K 1.4M 9.27
Gapped lower and rebounded to close flat, unable to
undercut the mid-February lows. Given that action it
is likely to try a rebound from here and have to see
how it handles the 18 day EMA at 9.33 before we enter.
End part 2 of 3
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