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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAYS
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACL 03/05 Test 50 124.50 -0.52 125.05 135.00 299K 650K 121.18
Buy Not Issued. Could not move past the 10 day EMA, & with no volume
it started to bleed back from that resistance level.
Likely not to make the move on this go round of the
relief bounce but we will keep watching it.
ACLI 02/20 Cup hdl 35.01 -0.93 38.48 43.98 456K 532K 37.31
Did not get anywhere near 38, taking on water at the
10 day EMA at 36 and fading. When it failed there it
was time to exit and move on.
AIR 02/06 DB hdl 28.53 -0.32 30.60 35.95 536K 680K 30.32
Exited. Tapped the 50 day EMA on the high and started to fade
back on some rising trade so we decided not to hang around.
ANST 02/28 Test BO 30.56 -0.18 31.01 35.95 171K 325K 29.28
Current. Gapped higher but faded back for a low volume, modest
fade on the session. Holding up, but after that stronger
move we want more upside not just holding up.
ASCA 02/22 Cup hdl 32.56 +0.29 33.48 40.95 268K 325K 31.55
Buy Not Issued. Showing some life as it rallied to 33.11 on the high
but backed off to close. Trying a higher low here and
ASCA still looks solid.
BA 02/03 Test BO 88.71 +0.89 91.65 102.95 5.2M 5.8M 89.31
Current. Solid action as BA moved up through the 50 day EMA
(88.53) on a solid shot of above avg volume. Best trade
in a week and it was on the upside. Promising start here.
BWLD 03/03 DB hdl 54.40 -0.72 56.25 63.85 132K 450K 54.78
Buy Not Hit. Faded on very low volume after a good showing Tuesday.
Waiting for the buffalos to run (or will they fly?).
COG 03/01 PreSplt 67.16 +1.83 68.85 76.95 1.1M 700K 66.78
Buy Not Hit. With oil bouncing back energy bounced with it. COG
enjoyed some serious volume as it moved off the 50
day EMA. More upside in energy and it is ready to enter.
COG 02/13 PreAnn 67.16 +1.83 66.89 76.95 1.1M 833K 68.57
CYTC 03/03 Test BO 30.47 +0.25 30.65 34.95 1.2M 1.1M 29.77
Buy Not Hit. Nice volume jump as CYTC started higher off the 18
day EMA. Promising and in a more defensive sector.
DLTR 03/01 PreAnn 34.93 +0.32 34.65 39.95 2.4M 1.2M 33.78
Current. Excellent volume as DLTR pushed higher. Closed 0.50
off the high but showing excellent volume buying. Note
the low end discount stores are outperforming. That
occurs when economics are expected to soften.
FDX 02/20 Rev HS 112.35 -0.22 120.32 134.95 1.1M 2.5M 117.36
Current. Held the 50 day SMA on the session once more after
gapping higher Monday. Needs to use this as a shelf
for the next move higher to next resistance at 114.
FLIR 03/05 Test 50 33.90 -0.05 34.55 39.35 690K 750K 32.65
Buy Not Hit. Still set to move though it took a day off after a
nice bounce from the 50 day EMA Tuesday.
GES 03/03 PreSplt 81.88 +1.17 81.88 91.45 738K 845K 79.45
Buy Not Issued. Toyed with the buy point all session. Will see if it
gets any more boost tomorrow as the retailers announce
same store sales.
HMSY 03/06 Test 50 18.89 -0.32 19.68 22.95 255K 450K 18.75
Buy Not Hit. Nice easy test of the 50 day EMA (18.85) continues.
Just being patient and waiting for the bounce on the
next leg higher.
ICE 03/05 Test 50 129.10 -13.33 140.65 160.00 13M 6M 135.88
Exited. ICE reverse that Tuesday gap higher and more, breaking
through the 50 day EMA. With that move it was time
to exit & see how it shakes out.
JCI 03/01 Test 50 95.14 -0.46 95.35 103.95 799K 1.5M 92.25
Buy Not Issued. Continues to struggle below the 10 and 18 day EMA as
the daily range compresses. More indicative of a decline
than a rise. Dropping for now and will see how it sets
back up.
MSTR 02/14 Cup hdl 122.75 -2.46 125.45 135.85 285K 385K 121.45
Buy Not Issued. Down to the 50 day EMA on a sharp jump in above avg
volume. Will watch and see if it holds here and can
produce a rally. Dropping for now.
NKE 03/01 PreSplt 104.59 -0.51 105.67 115.00 2.4M 2M 102.95
Buy Not Issued. Still bumping up against 105, showing a doji below
that level on rising volume Wednesday. Still rising
money flow and still looking for a break higher through
this resistance.
NOV 03/06 PreAnn 72.31 +1.81 72.33 79.95 3.9M 4.3M 69.77
Entered today. Nice break higher on some solid volume. Held most of
its gain so when it stated to come back some late we
used that as the entry point.
NTGR 02/17 Dbl btm 27.10 +0.52 28.63 34.32 797K 1.1M 27.68
Current. Continued the bounce higher, this time getting some
volume up to average as it just managed to clear the
50 day EMA (27.03) on the close. This volume jump could
give it the push we want up to 28.
NX 01/23 Trnd Rv 41.06 +0.82 39.29 44.88 643K 500K 39.31
Current. Volume nicely higher and well above avg as NX breaks
through the logjam at 40. Excellent action giving it
some room to run.
RIMM 02/24 Asc Bse 135.14 -0.46 145.31 159.95 6.7M 13M 142.22
Current.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 135.14 -0.46 135.96 154.89 6.7M 10M 142.22
Current. Tapped the 50 dady EMA on the low and rebounded for
a modest loss on low volume. Just riding out this market
action as the stock remains in very good position.
RIO 03/06 Test 50 34.27 +0.14 34.75 39.95 13M 10M 32.55
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but faded to close to flat. Still
capable of delivering some nice upside from here.
RL 02/15 Asc Bse 84.20 +0.78 85.55 96.45 796K 1.2M 85.21
Current. Continued the recovery over the 50 day EMA. Not much
volume on the session but trying to put together a
good recovery. 85 is a key resistance level.
RS 03/06 Test 50 43.86 +0.34 44.32 50.95 813K 1M 41.97
Buy Not Issued. Rallied up through the 10 day EMA but volume was still
low and the move faded below near resistance on the
close. Just sitting tight to see if ti can deliver
the break higher.
SSYS 03/01 Test BO 38.84 -0.71 39.04 44.95 243K 175K 37.39
Current. Faded and gave back some of the Tuesday gain. Volume
was up, but still in very good shape.
SYK 02/22 FlyPlat 61.91 +0.26 64.03 73.42 1.2M 1.7M 61.91
Current. Bounced a bit further for the third gain in a row but
on lower and low volume. Running out of some gas as
it approached resistance at 62.50. Still in the uptrend
but a true test is coming.
TALX 02/28 Test 18 33.02 -0.14 33.47 38.65 431K 900K 31.13
Buy Not Hit. Holding the recent fade, having fill the gap and now
working laterally. Good recovery from the Monday dip
lower. Just being patient to see if it can hold and
then deliver the upside for the buy.
UCTT 03/03 DB hdl 16.89 +0.73 16.41 19.45 634K 725K 15.32
Entered today. Surging on a solid rise in volume to average. That
is not bad as this was the resumption of the strong
move to end January. Nice action.
VSEA 03/03 Test BO 47.32 -0.38 48.05 54.95 1.7M 2M 45.31
Buy Not Issued.
WFR 03/06 Test 50 53.90 +0.41 54.48 61.95 4M 5.4M 52.48
Entered today. Rallied higher again, continuing the Tuesday move.
Faded back from the high (54.76) but managed to hold
a gain and still a solid stock in good position.
XTO 01/30 PreAnn 51.31 +0.60 52.32 59.89 3.5M 4.5M 51.31
Current. Solid volume bounce as XTO continued its bounce off
the 50 day EMA (49.64). The sector is heating up so
letting XTO run for us as far as it will.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AEOS 03/03 HdShldr 28.97 -0.86 29.68 28.05 18M 4M 30.48
Buy Not Issued. Should have, could have, would have. It rallied Tuesday
ahead of earnings & setting up the downside. It gapped
lower, however, on the results & sold toward the 200
day before rebounding some. Will see if it sets up again.
CRI 02/27 Put 23.85 +0.13 23.66 22.00 829K 750K 24.21
Buy Not Issued. Tried to move through the 18 day EMA but faded to close
at that level. Will give it a bit more time to see
if it fails at this near resistance adn gives us a play.
PHRM 03/03 Put 26.40 +0.08 25.92 23.65 541K 600K 26.95
Buy Not Issued. Doji below the 90 day MA on rising volume. That shows
some churn, and after a bounce that is a sign to look
for a decline. That is what we are looking for.
SONC 02/27 Put 21.09 -0.19 21.35 20.00 506K 625K 21.39
Current. Heading back down after trying to pop higher Tuesday.
Still needs to get the break below 21 over and done
with so it can start falling.
TMO 03/01 HdShldr 45.33 +0.50 45.02 43.58 4.4M 3.5M 44.77
Current. Rallied higher toward the 10 day EMA on some rising
trade. Very weak pattern so still looking for it to
fail at that level (45.50ish) & then roll back over.
End part 2 of 3
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