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Begin part 2 of 3
CONTINUING PLAY TABLE:
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LEGEND
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri=Ascending triangle/wedge; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle/wedge; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
ACL 03/05 Test 50 124.50 -0.52 125.05 135.00 299K 650K 121.18
Buy Not Issued. Could not move past the 10 day EMA, & with no volume
it started to bleed back from that resistance level.
Likely not to make the move on this go round of the
relief bounce but we will keep watching it.
ACLI 02/20 Cup hdl 35.01 -0.93 38.48 43.98 456K 532K 37.31
Did not get anywhere near 38, taking on water at the
10 day EMA at 36 and fading. When it failed there it
was time to exit and move on.
BRCD 03/01 Cup hdl 9.60 -0.20 9.55 11.77 22M 15M 9.11
Current. Tried 10 on the high again and faded back for a breather
on lower volume. Solid mover ahead of the rest of the
market so looking just for a breather here in its new
breakout.
BTJ 03/07 Test BO 24.65 +1.08 25.18 29.98 328K 300K 23.42
Entered today. Bonus. Energy enjoyed a strong day and BTJ was bolting
higher on stronger, above avg volume. It closed off
the high but still a very solid break higher that is
leading to more gains.
CYTC 03/03 Test BO 30.47 +0.25 30.65 34.95 1.2M 1.1M 29.77
Buy Not Hit. Nice volume jump as CYTC started higher off the 18
day EMA. Promising and in a more defensive sector.
FDX 02/20 Rev HS 112.35 -0.22 120.32 134.95 1.1M 2.5M 117.36
Current. Held the 50 day SMA on the session once more after
gapping higher Monday. Needs to use this as a shelf
for the next move higher to next resistance at 114.
FLIR 03/05 Test 50 33.90 -0.05 34.55 39.35 690K 750K 32.65
Buy Not Hit. Still set to move though it took a day off after a
nice bounce from the 50 day EMA Tuesday.
HLTH 02/28 Test 18 14.70 -0.16 15.11 18.25 3.3M 8M 14.38
Buy Not Hit. Faded modestly on modest volume to the 18 day EMA.
Still set up well to run higher from this test, resuming
its strong uptrend.
HMSY 03/06 Test 50 18.89 -0.32 19.68 22.95 255K 450K 18.75
Buy Not Hit. Nice easy test of the 50 day EMA (18.85) continues.
Just being patient and waiting for the bounce on the
next leg higher.
ICE 03/05 Test 50 129.10 -13.33 140.65 160.00 13M 6M 135.88
Exited. ICE reverse that Tuesday gap higher and more, breaking
through the 50 day EMA. With that move it was time
to exit & see how it shakes out.
KNOL 01/09 Asc Bse 14.29 -0.07 11.38 13.95 128K 165K 14.12
More of the same, working laterally above the 18 day
EMA on low volume, consolidating to try and set up
the next move.
MSTR 02/14 Cup hdl 122.75 -2.46 125.45 135.85 285K 385K 121.45
Buy Not Issued. Down to the 50 day EMA on a sharp jump in above avg
volume. Will watch and see if it holds here and can
produce a rally. Dropping for now.
NTGR 02/17 Dbl btm 27.10 +0.52 28.63 34.32 797K 1.1M 27.68
Current. Continued the bounce higher, this time getting some
volume up to average as it just managed to clear the
50 day EMA (27.03) on the close. This volume jump could
give it the push we want up to 28.
NUAN 02/28 Test BO 13.93 -0.23 14.38 17.65 2.6M 5.5M 13.77
Buy Not Hit. Faded modestly on very low volume. Move that started
at the start of the money may have run out of gas.
Will have to show us solid upside trade to move in.
PTNR 02/12 Test BO 13.64 +0.27 14.30 16.97 222K 344K 14.34
Current.
RIMM 02/24 Asc Bse 135.14 -0.46 145.31 159.95 6.7M 13M 142.22
Current.
RIMM 02/03 PreAnn 135.14 -0.46 135.96 154.89 6.7M 10M 142.22
Current. Tapped the 50 dady EMA on the low and rebounded for
a modest loss on low volume. Just riding out this market
action as the stock remains in very good position.
RIO 03/06 Test 50 34.27 +0.14 34.75 39.95 13M 10M 32.55
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher but faded to close to flat. Still
capable of delivering some nice upside from here.
RVSN 02/15 Test BO 22.52 +0.32 22.54 26.95 176K 220K 21.72
Current. Nice action continues as RVSN posts and holds a very
solid gain after testing the 10 day EMA the past few
sessions. Very solid.
RYI 03/05 Test BO 38.43 +1.47 36.28 41.00 1.4M 1.5M 36.68
Continuing the surge higher on excellent volume. Excellent
action.
TALX 02/28 Test 18 33.02 -0.14 33.47 38.65 431K 900K 31.13
Buy Not Hit. Holding the recent fade, having fill the gap and now
working laterally. Good recovery from the Monday dip
lower. Just being patient to see if it can hold and
then deliver the upside for the buy.
UCTT 03/03 DB hdl 16.89 +0.73 16.41 19.45 634K 725K 15.32
Entered today. Surging on a solid rise in volume to average. That
is not bad as this was the resumption of the strong
move to end January. Nice action.
VCLK 03/03 Test 50 26.50 +0.37 26.87 31.95 2.6M 2.9M 25.32
Buy Not Hit. Solid above avg volume, the best in two weeks, as VCLK
rallies through the 10 and 18 day EMA. Looks ready
for a buy if it continues on this kind of trade.
VSAT 02/07 Test BO 32.79 -0.26 33.75 39.98 112K 250K 34.32
Current. Still trying the 10 day EMA (33.35), fading modestly
to close and on low trade. Important level to clear
but still like the overall action.
VSEA 03/05 Test BO 47.32 -0.38 48.05 54.95 1.7M 2M 45.31
Buy Not Issued.
WFR 03/06 Test 50 53.90 +0.41 54.48 61.95 4M 5.4M 52.48
Entered today. Rallied higher again, continuing the Tuesday move.
Faded back from the high (54.76) but managed to hold
a gain and still a solid stock in good position.
WNR 02/22 Cup hdl 32.33 +1.89 28.25 33.89 949K 450K 31.45
Target Hit. Excellent surge on strong volume. Rallied close to our target and then started to fade so took part of the solid 15% stock & 74% option gain ($350/contract). Given the strong sector moves we left part of the position to see if it can run further.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AEOS 03/03 HdShldr 28.97 -0.86 29.68 28.05 18M 4M 30.48
Buy Not Issued. Should have, could have, would have. It rallied Tuesday
ahead of earnings & setting up the downside. It gapped
lower, however, on the results & sold toward the 200
day before rebounding some. Will see if it sets up again.
BEBE 02/27 Put 17.52 -0.01 18.20 16.05 506K 1.2M 17.69
Current. A second doji that held 17.32 on the low again. Looking
for sales to send it back lower in its downtrend.
CHRS 02/27 Put 11.90 -0.01 12.10 11.09 854K 975K 12.04
Current. Tapped 12 on the high but faded back. Teh bounce up
was on lower volume so no upside strength to the move.
Still looking for a significant run lower here.
DIA 02/28 Put 122.00 -0.06 121.36 119.25 7M 9M 120.72
Current. Tombstone doji on lower volume as the bounce on DIA
is rapidly running out of steam.
HGT 02/12 Put 24.18 +0.49 23.72 22.25 152K 285K 24.02
Current. Jumped higher on the rise in energy overall, but volume
was lower and still expecting that downtrend to hold
and resume.
PHRM 03/03 Put 26.40 +0.08 25.92 23.65 541K 600K 26.95
Buy Not Issued. Doji below the 90 day MA on rising volume. That shows
some churn, and after a bounce that is a sign to look
for a decline. That is what we are looking for.
QLGC 02/05 Put 17.08 +0.06 18.18 16.92 2.7M 3.8M 17.38
Current. Not making the fall thru 17, but also not able to hold
the intraday hops higher. Have already taken some good
gain so going to let this action at 17 play out and
see if it fades once more.
SONC 02/27 Put 21.09 -0.19 21.35 20.00 506K 625K 21.39
Current. Heading back down after trying to pop higher Tuesday.
Still needs to get the break below 21 over and done
with so it can start falling.
STEC 02/27 Put 8.41 +0.09 8.91 7.70 705K 1.4M 8.31
Bounced modestly on even lower, below avg trade. Just
a blip higher in the downtrend and will be ready to
fall once more soon.
TMO 03/01 HdShldr 45.33 +0.50 45.02 43.58 4.4M 3.5M 44.77
Current. Rallied higher toward the 10 day EMA on some rising
trade. Very weak pattern so still looking for it to
fail at that level (45.50ish) & then roll back over.
VIX 03/01 Put 15.24 -0.72 18.55 14.05 0 0 20.05
Fading once more as the market rebounded, but then
cuts its loses as the market sold late. Closed near
the 10 day EMA. This move is about over.
End part 2 of 3
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